Derby Trail Forums - 12/3: Aqueduct ($289k DBL P6 C/O)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Maniacally difficult start to sequence with entire field separated by a couple lengths. There appears to be pace and pace pressers, so stalker/closers feel like the ones to utilize prominently. Note that you will get the benefit of the toteboard to help with final decision-making..

Best Value: #4 Evidence Based 6-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Perhaps Tonight 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Lookin to Fly 10-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Kemba 9-2 2nd

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Martini's Amica 4-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Candy Light 2-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Champagne Poetry 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Big Bean Christine 15-1 9th

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Gold Panda 8-5 5th
Best Value: #4 Saratoga Pal 10-1 WON ($40.40)
Next Best: #5 Winners Laugh 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Big Bobby 3-1 2nd

8th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Suspect bunch. Gran Casique seems the most trustworthy on current form and Cause of Action (away 5 months) drops back towards level of success here last winter..

Most Likely: #5 Gran Casique 7-2 DQ'd-7th
Best Value: #3 Cause of Action 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Crea's Bklyn Law 4-1 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #6 Joycee Haz Pizzaz 6-1 6th

9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Rock solid cast and with turf season nearing end, a number of these are priced to sell. Tough, tough group to narrow down for ticket-builders..

Best Value: #9 King's Honor 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Jack the Cat 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Matty's Express 8-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Mo Ready 6-1 5th

10th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer

Tricky finale where pace is rather murky..

Most Likely: #3 She's the One 2-1 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #10 Uncle's Gem 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Highway Queen 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Caumsett 8-1 9th

P6 Grid:

5: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 5 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
7: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-9-10 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x1x2x3x2 = $72
All A's: 2x1x1x2x3x2 = $24
Backup: $16 (2-4)

P5 Grid:

6: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-9-10 (A), 2-4 (B), 5 (C)
10: 3-10 (A), - (B), 2-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $6 (5) + $27 (2-5-7)

P4 Grid:

7: 7 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-9-10 (A), 2-4 (B), 5 (C)
10: 2-3-5-10 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x5x4 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 1x2x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: $4 (5) + $6 (7-8)

Good luck!
Steve