9/2 (SAR): Woodward, Spinaway (G1's), Saranac, Glens Falls (G3's)
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Where are all the two year olds in Saratoga?
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Rally Cry in an upset. Do I think he's as good as Gun Runner, no. But with a likely odds difference of 1-5 and 4-1 he's worth a shot. He has thrown a few very big races, including his last that make him competitive.
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That is a really interesting race actually. The invader from WO looks outstanding too. |
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Da Silva never let the horse extend........he never moved his arms on the straighten. Freak. |
Caviar Czar is the only horse in the race making his turf debut. Dam was a stakes-placed turf runner imported from France.
More importantly, his second dam, Love Me True is the dam of the 2013 Epsom Derby winner, Ruler of The World as well as 2008 Champion older horse Duke of Marmalade (Juddmonte International, King George, Prince of Wales's, etc.). Fourth dam is uber-broodmare Lassie Dear (A.P. Indy, Summer Squall, Lemon Drop Kid, Honor Grades, etc.). Caviar Czar's sire, Medaglia d'Oro, in addition to siring slow 3yo fillies (Rachel Alexandra, Elate, Songbird, Plum Pretty) has sired numerous Grade 1 turf winners and overseas champions. He himself was by top turf stallion El Prado (Kitten's Joy, Artie Schiller, Timo, etc.). Caviar Czar had two blistering works over the Belmont turf course in June, both bullets at 1/2 mile. Not sure what the delay was making his turf debut, but last race was off-the-turf. John Velasquez opts for this over stablemate Master Plan. |
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He was an MTO in that race. While it's strange it's taken this long to run him on the turf, my guess is that after the race, it won't seem so strange. Still, you have to toss him in multis. |
Rabbit not allowed entry to Woodward:
http://www.drf.com/news/paoluccis-ra...oodward-stakes What do you guys think? I can see both sides. |
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I guess there's always the Discovery to point for. At least I got a Timo reference in there. |
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Only chance has of winning for Rally Cry is to be ridden aggressively and try to run him off his feet, if he cedes another candy trip to Gun Runner I doubt he can pass him when it matters.
Riders are rarely that aggressive on this circuit so I expect a nice slow pace jog win for Gun Runner. |
I think I could have timed the last quarter of the Spinnaway with a sun dial.
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Of course I fell for all the Seperationofpowers is the next great thing and singled her, when I knew she road a gold rail to the big win. |
wow, this horse has gotten really good, that was his best race to date.
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