Derby Trail Forums - 11/9: Aqueduct (5th-10th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner Turf (Empire P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Ylikedis 10-1: Half to Andina del Sur up from MD for start #2.. 9th
Next Best: #4 Luck Money 5-1: Mrs. Wills home bred ITM at LRL, KD, KEE.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Seducer 12-1: Clement Cairo Prince firster o/o the fast Zloty.. WON ($33.00)
Super Add: #8 Espressoandacheck 6-1 7th

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-Outer Turf (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Flavius 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Hay Dakota 4-1 9th
Best Value: #8 Dream Friend 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Instilled Regard 9-2 3rd

7th: Pumpkin Pie, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Philanthropic is lone speed at 7f, a deadly combo..

Most Likely: #1 Philanthropic 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Honor Way 6-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Last True Love 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Pink Sands 7-2 3rd

8th: Artie Schiller, 3+, 1m-Inner Turf (P3, DD)

Per Grening on ATR, Proctor walked AQU turf Friday to see if Caribou Club would stay in and he's a go as the 5-2 ML fave. No shortage of pace involved here. Remember, 'Never a frown with Golden Brown'..

Best Value: #3 Golden Brown 12-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Caribou Club 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Frontier Market 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Just Howard 10-1 4th

9th: Atlantic Beach, 2yo, 6f-Outer Turf (DD)

An absolute ton of speed here and while someone may survive the duel up front, you have to be looking for stalker-closers. Though not in the tabs below, Embolden & Freewheeler (behind BC Juvy Turf Sprint winner Four Wheel Drive in the Futurity) are uses in multi-race wagers..

Most Likely: #11 Mystic Lancelot 6-1 9th
Best Value: #12 Prince of Thieves 15-1 11th
Next Best: #4 Jack and Noah 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Turned Aside 8-1 7th

10th: MSW, 2yo, 7f

This looks like a very good group of colts with a peck of breeding including drops from stakes winners Hystericalady (Tapage), Amen Hallelujah (Aasr), Tattinger Rose (Montauk Traffic), Disposablepleasure (Zuzudini) and more..

Most Likely: #6 Aasr 5-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Divine Leader 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Toledo 3-1 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #9 Onward 8-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

6: 2-6 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
7: 1 (A), - (B), 2-4-5-6-7 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 1-4 (B), 5-9 (C)
9: 4-5-6-8-11-12 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C)
10: 6 (A), 3-5 (B), 7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x2x6x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

7: 1-4 (A), - (B), 2-5-6-7 (C)
8: 1-3-4-8 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
9: 4-5-6-8-11-12 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C)
10: 6 (A), 3-5 (B), 3-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x4x6x1 = 48 x .50 = $24

Good luck!
Steve