Derby Trail Forums - 1/23: AQU ($114k P5 C/O); Gulfstream (6th-12th); Cross Country P5

AQUEDUCT ~ $114K P5 C/O

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Kaz's Beach 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Notorious Flirt 5-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Advanced Strategy 5-2 WON ($9.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Too Early 6-1 2nd

6th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Full of Fire 6-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Stella Mars 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Captivating Cara 3-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Gun Hill Girl 5-1 WON ($16.40)

7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Unbridled John 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Royal Suspect 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Kingfish 4-1 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #6 Freedom Force 15-1 8th

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Malibu Star 2-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Aasr 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Chestertown 9-5 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Villainous 8-1 6th

9th: CLM, 4+, 6f

Best Value: #6 Irish Roar 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Winning Drive 5-1 WON ($5.10)
Exotics Use: #3 Win With Pride 10-1 10th
Super Add: #10 Hurricane Dancer 12-1 7th

P5 Grid:

5: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-9 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Backup (3-5): 3x2x2x2x2= 48 x .50 = $24
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

6: 1-9 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
7: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
Backup (2-8): 2x2x3x2= 24 x .50 = $12
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Important looking MSW featuring Justify sibling Stage Raider..

Most Likely: #10 Stage Raider 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Marching 12-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Full Court Press 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Quantum Leap 15-1 6th

9th: Inside Information (G2), F&M-4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Sweet Bye and Bye 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Zofelle 5-1 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #8 Tuned 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Evil Lyn 9-2 6th

8th: LaPrevoyante (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T/0' (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Heavenly Curlin 9-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Always Shopping 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #3 Iron of Reality 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Sister Hanan 12-1 4th

9th: Inside Information (G2), F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Cinnabunny 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Bronx Beauty 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Thisismytime 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Pacific Gale 6-1 WON ($34.20)

10th: McKnight (G3), 4+, 12f-T/0' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Tide of the Sea 10-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #1 Doswell 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Channel Cat 9-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Mirinaque 30-1 9th

11th: Pegasus Turf (G1), 4+, 9.5f-T/96' (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Anothertwistafate 5-1 12th
Best Value: #9 Cross Border 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Breaking the Rules 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 North Dakota 10-1 10th

12th: Pegasus (G1), 4+, 9f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Coastal Defense 15-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Knicks Go 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Sleepy Eyes Todd 8-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Code of Honor 9-2 5th

P5 Grid:

8: 1-7 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
10: 1-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 8 (A), 9 (B), - (C)
12: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), 10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Backups: $24 ~ $18 (2-3) + $6 (10)
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

9: 2-3 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
10: 1-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 8-9 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
12: 1-2-4 (A), 10-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
Backup: $18 (2-4)
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

CROSS COUNTRY P5

POST-SCRATCHES

AQU 8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Malibu Star 2-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Aasr 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Chestertown 9-5 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Villainous 8-1 6th

OP 5th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Ram 20-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Outasite 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Macron 7-2 4th
Super Add: #9 King of the Nite Late SCR

TAM 10th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Stand With Mo 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Wilton 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Correlate 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Rumeli 5-1 4th

OP 7th: ALW/N1X,3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Twilight Blue 7-2 4th
Best Value: #11 Joe Frazier 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Swiftsure 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Sir Wellington 8-1 2nd

OP 8th: Pippin, F&M-4+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Istan Council 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Chance to Shine 10-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Our Super Freak 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Vault 6-1 -

P5 Grid:

AQ 8: 4-6 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
OP 5: 4-7 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
TAM 10: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 7: 1-5-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 8: 5-6 (A), - (B), 1-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
Backup (1-12): 2x2x1x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
All A's: 2x2x1x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

Good luck!
Steve