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-   -   6/19-20: Belmont Stakes 2-day P5 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=67994)

Kasept 06-19-2020 05:22 AM

6/19-20: Belmont Stakes 2-day P5
 
BELMONT STAKES 2-DAY P5 ($1)


PRE-SCRATCHES


FRI 7th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 7f-T (2-day P5, P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Vip Nation 5-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Out of Trouble 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Lovely La La 3-1 7th
Super Add: #8 First Appeal 6-1 3rd


FRI 9th: Sir Cat, 3yo, 6f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Chimney Rock 2-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Old Chestnut 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Jack and Noah 3-1 WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #5 Turned Aside 4-1 2nd


SAT 8th: Acord (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Perfect Alibi 5-1
Next Best: #1 Gamine 1-1
Exotics Use: #4 Casual 3-1
Super Add: #2 Lucrezia 9-2


SAT 9th: Jaipur (G1), 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Stubbins 3-1
Next Best: #3 Texas Wedge 4-1
Best Value: #6 Hidden Scroll 8-1
Exotics Use: #2 Oleksandra 7-2


SAT 10th: Belmont (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Tiz the Law 6-5
Best Value: #3 Max Player 15-1
Next Best: #2 Sole Volante 9-2
Exotics Use: #4 Modernist 15-1


$1 P5 Grid:

FRI 7: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), 1-4-8 (C)
FRI 9: 3-7 (A), 2 (B), 5 (C)
SAT 8: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
SAT 9: 3-5 (A), 6 (B), 2-7 (C)
SAT 10: 8 (A), - (B), 1-2-3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x3x1 = $81
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

moses 06-19-2020 07:50 AM

Good luck Steve. I’ll include Gamine in my bets but I hope she is even money because there are enough question marks for her and those 3 other fillies you have listed are all very good horses. Hoping one of them shows up big and pulls off the win.

Bfarris21 06-19-2020 03:43 PM

Can you explain how to calculate the parlay in a sequence? I missing something in my math and off on something.

Kasept 06-20-2020 04:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bfarris21 (Post 1139460)
Can you explain how to calculate the parlay in a sequence? I missing something in my math and off on something.

Result (÷ 2) x next Result (÷ 2) x next Result (÷ 2) x next Result, etc., ÷ 4 (to reach .50 denomination because you've been calculating at $2)..

Here's the ridiculous Thursday Indiana P5 I mentioned on air yesterday..

Results: 6.40, 26.20, 7.00, 11.80, 4.80

[6.40] ÷ 2 x [26.20] = 83.84 ÷ 2 x [7.00] = 586.88 ÷ 2 x [11.80] = 3,462.59 ÷ 2 x [4.80] = $4,155 ÷ 4 (to get to .50 denomination) = $1,038 (Paid $6,428)

Bfarris21 06-21-2020 07:11 PM

So if I did this correctly then this bet paid 3.2 times the parlay. 16, 6.10, 3.40, 6.50, and 3.60. Pais 780.50.


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