Derby Trail Forums - BC NOTEBOOK: Sprint, F&M Sprint, Turf Sprint, Dirt Mile ~ Final Fields

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- - BC NOTEBOOK: Sprint, F&M Sprint, Turf Sprint, Dirt Mile ~ Final Fields (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=61152)

taxicab

11-01-2016 11:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT- (Post 1080496)

Am i the only one not sold on Drefong?
Kings Bishop Win

* restircted 3 YO race
* no pressure up front
* speed favoring track that day
* off since late August

Having said that, he's going against established older sprinters, and is 3rd choice over AP Indian? He's never EVER been this deep, and i think that baffert/speed is propping this one up.

-bt-

Mike Smith agrees with you......

NTamm1215

11-02-2016 07:12 AM

AP Indian is the 4th choice on the morning line? How could he possibly go off longer than Drefong, even with the public's Baffert love affair?

MaTH716

11-02-2016 08:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 1080545)

AP Indian is the 4th choice on the morning line? How could he possibly go off longer than Drefong, even with the public's Baffert love affair?

West Coast love for Baffert & Ellis which means no love for Arnaud Delacour.

I'll sign up for 4-1 on him right now.

knickslions2

11-02-2016 09:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 1080552)

West Coast love for Baffert & Ellis which means no love for Arnaud Delacour.

I'll sign up for 4-1 on him right now.

Right with you Matt!

jms62

11-02-2016 09:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1080555)

Right with you Matt!

Don't think we see those 4-1 guys. How often are we all fired up with Breeders Cup morning line and plan accordingly only to be dissapointed. Tepin last year for instance.

MaTH716

11-02-2016 09:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1080556)

Don't think we see those 4-1 guys. How often are we all fired up with Breeders Cup morning line and plan accordingly only to be dissapointed. Tepin last year for instance.

More importantly to me, is what will his odds equate to in the multi's. My guess is he will be generous there as people try to get through being thin to spread in other legs.

Alabama Stakes

11-02-2016 10:19 AM

Dirt Mile

After careful consideration, I was thinking that since Runhappy runs the turns so fast he can barely hold them, having the advantage of 2 of them to run in just a one mile race, should beat this field. Other than Gun Runner, there really isn't anyone who scares me. Dortmund runs well every time and is a big good looking guy, but after having his spirit broken by the big hoss, cant have much left in the tank for this task.

Sightseek

11-02-2016 11:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 1080545)

AP Indian is the 4th choice on the morning line? How could he possibly go off longer than Drefong, even with the public's Baffert love affair?

This is a good thing!

Anyone else like Noholdingback Bear as a longshot?

10 pnt move up

11-02-2016 11:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 1080545)

AP Indian is the 4th choice on the morning line? How could he possibly go off longer than Drefong, even with the public's Baffert love affair?

I think there are a few questionable morning lines.

MaTH716

11-03-2016 09:39 AM

Scott Hazelton ‏@ScottTVG 1m1 minute ago
Suedois is about to be vanned off the track after a spin on the turf

MaTH716

11-03-2016 10:03 AM

Here's a big one.

Steve Byk ‏@Steve_Byk 1m1 minute ago Arcadia, CA
BREAKING: Lord Nelson a Scratch from @BreedersCup Sprint.

knickslions2

11-03-2016 10:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 1080656)

Here's a big one.

Steve Byk ‏@Steve_Byk 1m1 minute ago Arcadia, CA
BREAKING: Lord Nelson a Scratch from @BreedersCup Sprint.

ouch

MaTH716

11-03-2016 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1080657)

ouch

yup, there goes any hope of a price on AP Indian.

knickslions2

11-03-2016 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 1080658)

yup, there goes any hope of a price on AP Indian.

Agree. AP looks like single to me now

MaTH716

11-03-2016 10:10 AM

Alicia Wincze Hughes ‏@BH_AHughes 39s39 seconds ago
Lord Nelson out of BC Sprint with a cut on right front, got infected, has to be treated with antibiotics, per Spendthrift's Ned Toffey.

jms62

11-03-2016 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 1080656)

Here's a big one.

Steve Byk ‏@Steve_Byk 1m1 minute ago Arcadia, CA
BREAKING: Lord Nelson a Scratch from @BreedersCup Sprint.

:mad: I just did that race and I felt up to that point was my best bet of the entire weekend.

Sightseek

11-03-2016 10:57 AM

Suedois out with a stress fracture.

MaTH716

11-03-2016 10:59 AM

Steve Byk ‏@Steve_Byk 1m1 minute ago Arcadia, CA
Steve Byk Retweeted David O'Meara
Sorry for Suedois connections.. Lady Shipman draws in to Turf Sprint..

MaTH716

11-03-2016 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 1080668)

Steve Byk ‏@Steve_Byk 1m1 minute ago Arcadia, CA
Steve Byk Retweeted David O'Meara
Sorry for Suedois connections.. Lady Shipman draws in to Turf Sprint..

So much for that.

David Grening ‏@DRFGrening 2m2 minutes ago
McLaughlin said Lady Shipman will run in Ken Maddy, that opens the door for Green Mask to run on Turf Sprint.

-BT-	11-03-2016 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 1080569)

This is a good thing!

Anyone else like Noholdingback Bear as a longshot?

with the lord nelson scratch i started taking a longer look....outside stalk when masochistic and delta bluesman gun it

-bt-

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