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-   -   5/20: Hi Ho Pimlico (148th Preakness Day) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=72403)

Kasept 05-19-2023 12:38 PM

5/20: Hi Ho Pimlico (148th Preakness Day)
 
HI HO PIMLICO ~ 148th PREAKNESS DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Rock the Boat 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Tapio 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 American Speed 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Bustinupishardtodo 20-1 6th


2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Half a dozen here are within range of each other including Tate, so may as well key off the price with him..

Best Value: #7 Tate 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Iywaan 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Rusty's Gfivefifty 12-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Be Better 5-2 WON ($5.80)


3rd: MSW, 3/4/5yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD))

Most Likely: #5 Toofareastiswest 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Composer's Dream 6-1 WON ($12.20)
Exotics Use: #10 He's Got Swagger 7-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Weyhill Road 5-1 3rd


4th: Sir Barton, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Arabian Lion has the edge up front, but Denington and Tapit's Conquest are not far off him and all are lightly raced. May not be as open and shut as 2-5 ML indicates..

Most Likely: #4 Arabian Lion 2-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #6 Denington 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tapit's Conquest 4-1 2nd


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Another good ALW and as indicated by Kali on ATR Wednesday, Aussie mystery horse Uncorked SCR'D may be a surprise package for ever dangerous Brittany Russell..

Most Likely: #6 Tequilera 7-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Sake 10-1 11th
Next Best: #5 Downtown Katie 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Thegirlfromireland 15-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 2-3 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
2: 5-7 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)
3: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 4 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x1x3 =144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-6 in 4th)


P4 Grid:

2: 5-7 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)
3: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 4 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's:2x3x1x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup: 2x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-6 in 4th)


6th: Chick Lang (G3), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Prince of Jericho 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Havnameltdown 8-5 DNF
Exotics Use: #5 Super Chow 3-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Frosted Departure 8-1 3rd


7th: Gallorette (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Princess Theorem 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Whitebeam 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Sopran Basilea 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Traffic Song 12-1 6th


P5 Grid:

3: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
4: 4 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
6: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 + 1x1x2x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6 (4 in 3rd)


P4 Grid:

4: 4 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
6: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)
All A's: 1x2x2x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


8th: Dinner Party (G3), 3+, 9f-T (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hurricane Dream 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Speaking Scout 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Atone 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Never Explain 10-1 WON ($32.40)


9th: Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

SCR #2 Beguine

Most Likely: #5 Princess Kokachin 6-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Oxana 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Gunning 6-1 6th
Super Add: #3 I''m the Boss of Me 4-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

5: 6-12 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
6: 7 (A), 1 (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-5 in 6th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-7 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


10th: Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Coppola 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #13 Beer Can Man 8-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #1 Nothing Better 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Artemus Citylimits 5-2 4th


11th: Maryland Sprint (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Al Loves Josie Late SCR
Next Best: #7 Nakatomi 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Straight No Chaser 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #3 Threes Over Deuces 15-1
SCR Add: #2 Prevalence 8-1 2nd


2-day/All Dirt P5 Grid:

FRI 8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ OC/N1X
FRI 12: 5 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C) ~ PIM Special
FRI 13: 8-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 11: 4/SCR-7-8 (A), 2-3-10 (B), - (C) ~ MD Sprint
SAT 13: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Preakness

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x6x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-7 in FRI 12th)


P5 Grid:

7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
10: 10-13 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
11: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), 2-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-9-10 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

8: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 10-13 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
11: 2-3-7-8 (A), 9-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $18


12th: James Murphy, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Kingfish Stevens 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Circling the Drain 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Nagirroc 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #1 Funtastic Again 3-1 2nd


13th: Preakness (G1), 3yo, 9.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Mage 4-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Perform 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 National Treasure 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Blazing Sevens 5-1 2nd


$100 Black-Eyed Susan/Preakness DBL:

FRI 13: 9 (A), - (B), 8-10 (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 13: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C) ~ Preakness

2.) 8-10 with 3 (2x1 = 2 x $10 = $20) C-A
4.) 8-10 with 6 (2x1 = 2 x $5 = $10) C-C


2-day/All Dirt P5 Grid:

FRI 8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ OC/N1X
FRI 12: 5 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C) ~ PIM Special
FRI 13: 8-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 11: 4/SCR-7-8 (A), 2-3-10 (B), - (C) ~ MD Sprint
SAT 13: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Preakness

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x6x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-7 in FRI 12th)


2-day/All STK P5 Grid:

FRI 11: 3-10 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C) ~ Hilltop
FRI 13: 9-10 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 10: 1-10-13 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Jim McKay
SAT 12: 5-7-9 (A), 1-6-8 (B), - (C) ~ James Murphy
SAT 13: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C) ~ Preakness

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6 in SAT 13th)


P5 Grid:

9: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-10-13 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
11: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), 2-9-10 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
13: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-9-10 in 11th) + 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6 in 13th)


P4 Grid:

10: 1-10-13 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
11: 3-7-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 9-10 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
13: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 3x3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: 3x2x2x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 (9-10 in 11th) + 3x3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $9 (6 in 13th)


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 05-20-2023 08:34 AM

PIM SCR/CHG'S

cal828 05-20-2023 10:13 AM

Pretty sure that the 4 horse in Race 11 is a scratch

Kasept 05-20-2023 12:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cal828 (Post 1173351)
Pretty sure that the 4 horse in Race 11 is a scratch

Yeah. Late SCR. Just brutal.

jms62 05-20-2023 12:34 PM

Damn It!!!!! Breakdown.. We don't need this

casp0555 05-20-2023 12:35 PM

that didnt look good....pretty bad tumble by Saez and Havingameltdown looked hurt....hope both are okay

jms62 05-20-2023 01:16 PM

Prat got completely shut down trying to get up the rail..:mad:

jms62 05-20-2023 02:37 PM

5 deep and I run 2-3-4-5 ARRGH.

moses 05-20-2023 03:35 PM

I also went 5 wide and that horse wasn’t the first one i left out.

ontheoutside 05-20-2023 05:58 PM

so with that late scratch of 4 in the dirt 2 day pk 5,,,does the favorite take its place,,meaning the 8 in in race 11?

maryhope 05-20-2023 06:16 PM

What a disaster weekend, I can't believe didn't use National treasure in the all stakes, dirt pick 5, no speed in race,

theguarantee 05-20-2023 07:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by maryhope (Post 1173372)
What a disaster weekend, I can't believe didn't use National treasure in the all stakes, dirt pick 5, no speed in race,

You could've added him if that was so obvious pre-race --

It's a frustrating game...I had a huge two day double on Taxed/Blazing Sevens....I also played two separate pick 5's into the Preakness and in hindsight stupidly tried to save myself $40 that cost me hitting the pick 5...

Steve had some really good opinions over the two days...not that I play his picks like you seem to....I am super frustrated with my own betting, feel I left a lot on the table with many good opinions but just enough bad woven in...wish you best of luck moving forward, it's a tough game we all partake in.

pb72vett 05-21-2023 04:57 AM

Preakness
 
Baffert shipped horse early was speed in race and back class


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