11/12: Aqueduct/Churchill Cross Country P5
 

AQUEDUCT/CHURCHILL CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


Leg A: Aqueduct - Race 8 (3:47 pm)
Leg B: Churchill Downs - Race 7 (4:06 pm)
Leg C: Aqueduct - Race 9 (4:17 pm)
Leg D: Churchill Downs - Race 8 (4:36 pm)
Leg E: Churchill Downs - Race 9 (5:06 pm)


AQU 8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Our Last Buck 1-1 4th
Best Value: #5 First Line 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Dudley Square 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Mischief Afoot 7-2 WON ($10.40)


CD 7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Second Coming 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Beautiful Trauma 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #3 French Empire 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Chance to Shine 4-1 6th


AQU 9th: MCLM/$25k, 3+, 1m

Bad bunch o' coconuts and as Andy says, "Bad horses win bad races".. There's several here that could surprise..

Most Likely: #2 Unbridled Juan 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Uncle Ned 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Tri Saint Lorenzo 5-2 WON ($7.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Tiz Envy 6-1 6th


CD 8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Abrogate 5-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #12 Mine for Passion 5-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Dame Cinco 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Zoom Up 3-1 2nd


CD 9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #9 Lake Nakuru 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Telephone Talker 9-2 WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #11 Churn N Burn 4-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Toma Todo 10-1 8th


P5 Grid:

AQU 8: 6 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
CD 7: 1-4 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
AQU 9: 1-2-9 (A), 4-5-6 (B), 3-7-11 (C)
CD 8: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
CD 9: 6-9 (A), - (B), 2-4-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x6x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (5) + $18 (3-7-11) + $36 (2-4-8-11)


Good luck!
Steve

CD SCR/CHG'S

AQU SCR/CHG'S

Wow that was some serious herding in Aqueduct 8. That horse should have come down.

Unbelievable, he should be suspended, but he does that all the time, and they let him....

Unreal. Pays $1,263 or 3x the parlay.

Great handicapping Steve, we'll get 'em next time! That payout was huge, I was thinking around $400 or so, and I was shocked when I saw the will-pays.

I knew Nevin horse wasn't winning the first leg, but couldn't figure out how to better attack it. 4x2x3x3x2 was the right answer but the AQU nightcap was such a dog's breakfast. Am thoroughly disgusted.

Me too. I couldn't get off 2-3-4 in the 1st leg as I didn't like the 6, and feared the 3 was ready to pop one loose. And thinking the rest was probably pretty chalky, just couldn't justify the risk, but in hindsight....