#7 Essential Quality (Brad Cox, 4-1, $10.20);
#24 “All Other 3-Year-Olds” (5-1, $12.80); #4 Concert Tour (Bob Baffert, 5-1, $13); #8 Greatest Honour (Shug McGaughey, 9-1, $20.80); #12 Hot Rod Charlie (Doug O’Neill, 12-1, $26.20); #15 Medina Spirit (Bob Baffert, 13-1, $28.80); #18 Prevalence (Brendan Walsh, 21-1, $45.40); #11 Highly Motivated (Chad Brown, 25-1, $53.80); #16 Midnight Bourbon (Steve Asmussen, 27-1, $56.80); #9 Helium (Mark Casse, 28-1, $59.80); #20 Risk Taking (Chad Brown, 30-1, $62.80); #21 Rock Your World (John Sadler, 31-1, $65); #2 Caddo River (Brad Cox, 33-1, $69.40); #23 Weyburn (Jimmy Jerkens, 35-1, $72.80); #3 Collaborate (Saffie Joseph Jr., 36-1, $74.40); #14 Mandaloun (Brad Cox, 36-1, $75.40); #5 Crowded Trade (Chad Brown, 38-1, $78.40); #13 Hozier (Bob Baffert, 44-1, $91.40); #6 Dream Shake (Peter Eurton, 45-1, $92); #22 Spielberg (Bob Baffert, 46-1, $95); #17 O Besos (Greg Foley, 50-1, $102.20); #19 Proxy (Mike Stidham, 51-1, $105.60); #10 Hidden Stash (Vicki Oliver, 53-1, $109.60); #1 Big Lake (Steve Asmussen, SCRATCHED). |
Some time between this morning when I woke up and 6:00 tonight, an additional $500 was wagered on Collaborate (about 10% of the money wagered on him.) In the grand scheme of things it’s not much but I’m wondering who put money on him after the Florida Derby. There is basically no chance he will even start in the Kentucky Derby at this point.
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I wasted a lot of time on this thread and I regret it. But at least it's made a couple of things clear to me. First, you don't have the foggiest notion of what expected value is or what "having an edge" really means. More surprisingly, you don't seem to understand the fact that in parimutual pools, if you convince everyone to bet like you do, your payoffs suffer. You can relax. I won't make the mistake of engaging with you again. |
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Again, we agree to disagree. It’s not a big deal. For some reason, you seem personally offended because I think these bets are bad bets. I’m not sure why you are so offended, but it’s pretty funny. Another thing I find hilarious is you seem incapable of just dropping it. Almost like I’ve really gotten under your skin and as hard as you are trying to stay calm, you’re clearly mad. Mission accomplished! GFY Dunbar and shove your blackjack CD up your tight ass, k? |
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