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-   -   TUE - Aqueduct (R3-R8 Empire 6 Force Out $147k) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=67216)

Bogey 12-31-2019 07:07 AM

TUE - Aqueduct (R3-R8 Empire 6 Force Out $147k)
 
Happy New Year's

Aqueduct

POST SCRATCHES - SLOPPY


R3 - MSW 68k

#1 Call Me Later (12-1) 3RD
#6 Portos (7-5) WON $2.70
#2 Cowtown (6-1) 2ND
#3 Flat Lux (8-1) 4TH

R4 - Clm 25k

#2 Coltandmississippi (7-2) WON $7.70
#6 Win With Pride (3-1) 2ND
#3 Candy Promises (9-2) 4TH
#4 Hardcore Folklore (15-1) 2ND

R5 - Clm25k N2L

#10 Other Things Equal (1-1) WON $3.40
#9 Paynter's Prize (20-1)
#3 Beachside (5-1) 2ND
#4 Mr. Vincent (15-1)

R6 - NYB Alw 64k N1X

#8 Operation Roses (1-1) 4TH
#3 Silver Seeker (6-1) WON $20.20
#5 Ten Twenty Nice (15-1) 3RD
#9 Bebe Banker (8-1)

R7 - Alw 77k N1X

#2 Patagonia (3-1) WON $9.50
#4 Communicator (2-5) 2ND
#1 Creative Style (12-1) 4TH
#3 Moretti (6-1) 3RD

R8 - NYB Md Clm 25k

#6 Lorcan (10-1) 4TH
#8 Rightsdowngentlemen (12-1) WON $23.60
#11 Hudson Overpass (8-5) 2ND
#4 Da Berg (7-2)

Empire 6 - 1 2 6 / 2 3 4 6 / 10 / 3 8 / 1 2 3 4 / 6 8 11 = $57.60 PAID $1340.70

PK5 - All (7) / 10 / 8 / 1 2 4 / 6 8 11 = $31.50

PK4 - 3 9 10 / 3 8 / 1 2 3 4 / 6 8 11 = $36
PAID $569.25

Good Racing Luck

blackthroatedwind 12-31-2019 10:08 AM

Communicator is the #4 in the 7th. Wouldn't want you to screw up your tickets.

moses 12-31-2019 11:10 AM

Good luck Gus.

I haven’t previously been a fan but Moretti interests me a little today. Off the long layoff and with Bodexpress breaking the track record in his last, he didn’t stand a chance. I like the blinkers coming off and trust Pletcher to have him ready to run today. With Communicator and Patagonia getting a lot of the attention, I could see him being a decent price.

The longshot that is intriguing to me is Mathematician. He has run OK in losing efforts on turf but switches to dirt and now under Asmussen. His only dirt try was as a two year old in December 2017 where he tired and finished 5th, losing to this year’s Woodford winner, Marconi. Since then, he’s been running nothing but turf routes, so he should in theory handle the distance...big question is whether he’ll like the dirt but Asmussen taking over gives me some hope. Probably too much to ask...but I definitely will have him included in some bets.

Maybe I’m looking too hard but it is hard for me to back a 2-5 ML horse who has never faced winners, is handling two turns for the first time,, gets a jockey switch, and has put in mostly middling works since the big win, even if he did wow in his maiden win and is a 1/2 to Accelerate.

Anyway, good luck!

Bogey 12-31-2019 11:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1133668)
Communicator is the #4 in the 7th. Wouldn't want you to screw up your tickets.

Thanks, Andy

Bogey 12-31-2019 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1133670)
Good luck Gus.

I haven’t previously been a fan but Moretti interests me a little today. Off the long layoff and with Bodexpress breaking the track record in his last, he didn’t stand a chance. I like the blinkers coming off and trust Pletcher to have him ready to run today. With Communicator and Patagonia getting a lot of the attention, I could see him being a decent price.

The longshot that is intriguing to me is Mathematician. He has run OK in losing efforts on turf but switches to dirt and now under Asmussen. His only dirt try was as a two year old in December 2017 where he tired and finished 5th, losing to this year’s Woodford winner, Marconi. Since then, he’s been running nothing but turf routes, so he should in theory handle the distance...big question is whether he’ll like the dirt but Asmussen taking over gives me some hope. Probably too much to ask...but I definitely will have him included in some bets.

Maybe I’m looking too hard but it is hard for me to back a 2-5 ML horse who has never faced winners, is handling two turns for the first time,, gets a jockey switch, and has put in mostly middling works since the big win, even if he did wow in his maiden win and is a 1/2 to Accelerate.

Anyway, good luck!

Nice analysis, Good luck today.

moses 12-31-2019 01:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey (Post 1133672)
Nice analysis, Good luck today.

Thanks. Gonna try to hit the Pick 5 but tossing Communicator.

1,2,6,7 / 8,10 / 8 / 2,3,6 / 1,2,6,8,11 ($60.00)

blackthroatedwind 12-31-2019 01:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1133675)
Thanks. Gonna try to hit the Pick 5 but tossing Communicator.

1,2,6,7 / 8,10 / 8 / 2,3,6 / 1,2,6,8,11 ($60.00)

Why toss him? Include him but hope to beat him.

moses 12-31-2019 01:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1133676)
Why toss him? Include him but hope to beat him.

The first few legs were looking pretty chalk so i figured the payout would be pretty low with Communicator in there.

But I’m starting to think it was a terrible idea to toss Jose Lezcano as he’s a nose away from being 5 for 5.

knickslions2 12-31-2019 01:41 PM

Tough beat if anyone played the Lezcano early pick 5.

knickslions2 12-31-2019 01:53 PM

Aqueduct 6

Going to try to beat chalk here and due for a price

$20 win 3
$20 dd
2,3/4

GL

moses 12-31-2019 02:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1133679)
Aqueduct 6

Going to try to beat chalk here and due for a price

$20 win 3
$20 dd
2,3/4

GL

Nice one. And good call Gus.

Bogey 12-31-2019 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1133679)
Aqueduct 6

Going to try to beat chalk here and due for a price

$20 win 3
$20 dd
2,3/4

GL

Nice hit, Tom

knickslions2 12-31-2019 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1133679)
Aqueduct 6

Going to try to beat chalk here and due for a price

$20 win 3
$20 dd
2,3/4

GL

$202

Thanks Moses.

Thanks Gus. Get the rest home!!

knickslions2 12-31-2019 03:08 PM

You the man Gus!! Congrats my friend

moses 12-31-2019 03:09 PM

Gus!!! Great picks today! Congrats.

casp0555 12-31-2019 03:15 PM

Silver Seeker :):tro: very nice Gus...Happy New Year!!!

Bogey 12-31-2019 03:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1133683)
You the man Gus!! Congrats my friend

Thanks, Tom

Bogey 12-31-2019 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1133685)
Silver Seeker :):tro: very nice Gus...Happy New Year!!!

Thanks, Billy - Definitely was a key to the nice payout.

Bogey 12-31-2019 03:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1133684)
Gus!!! Great picks today! Congrats.

Thanks, Moses. I tried to get cute in the PK5 with the All button and left some on the table. The PK5 paid handsomely.

jnunan4759 12-31-2019 03:51 PM

Thanks Gus. $1340.70 on a 20 cent bet. Starting 2020 with a little bankrool


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