2/10: Stakes Roundup/Magna 5
 

Big slate of action Saturday with Fair Grounds the center of multi-stake card; SA featuring Gr. I's for gals; Magna 5 intrigue and more.. Fun Friday at Aqueduct where despite an early P6 carryover exit, the day was lucrative off a modest P4 hit ($170) and a mammouth $2,000+ ($1) superfecta available with the 2nd choice winning and the next three following.. Hope you did well..


SELECTIONS -- MAGNA 5 (LRL, GP, SA, GG)


LRL 9th (4:40pm): 14th Wide Country, 3yo-F, 1m (Super, Magna "A")

1. #9 Laila's Punch 2-1: Gaudet savvy as they get; Lost some time in Jan..
2. #1 Bedside Story 5-2: Dutrow hitting at 50% with MD visits..
A. #4 Wow Me Free 8-1: Hated NY trip, but a fit back home and one-turning..
B. #6 Paying Off 6-1: Grey 7/1-2-3 at LRL; Missed 'Story' last..


GP 8th (4:53pm): CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T (Super, DD, P3, Magna "B")

1. #11 Omaggio 3-1: Ready according to Catalano on ATRAB Friday..
2. #4 Stormy Roman 6-1: Obvious contender but never faces camera..
A. #10 Big Luck 12-1: Nice price and looks the part but pilot a minus..
B. #9 I'mroyallymecke'd 20-1: Hates GP, never wins, weak connections.. What's not to like?


SA 4th (5:02pm): CLM, 4yo-F, 6f (DD, P3, .10 Super, Magna "C")

1. #1 Red Neck Gal 4-1: Best yet last when returned to main..
2. #7 Wickersham 5-2: Well behind top tab when they last met..
A. #2 Bright Red State 10-1: Takes sneaky drop from 4+ to 4 only..
B. #3 Tyrolean Empress 6-1: Coming back to good effort..


GG 4th (5:16pm): 51st Cal Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f (Magna "D")

1. #4 Glorification 2-1
2. #1 SCRATCHED
3. #3 Eastlake Avenue 9-5


GP 9th (5:23pm): 20th Davona Dale (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 1m (DD, Super, Magna "E")

1. #2 Meditations 9-5: Deserving fave and most likely if close to last pair..
2. #4 Pretoria Light 6-1: Speed of the speed and possible to slip away..
A. #8 High Again 4-1: Mott runner turns around quick; Settles for Bravo..
B. #1 Lisa M 12-1: Corny lands here; Kassen cutie a threat on pace collapse..


<$150 Magna 5 Play:

A: 1-4-9
B: 4-9-10-11
C: 1-2-7
D: 4
E: 2-8

3x4x3x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


GULFSTREAM


7th: 25th Old Hat (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD, P3, P4, Super)

1. #4 Dreaming of Anna 4-5: Crazy to eat 4-5 or less on comeback.. 3rd
1. #6 You Asked 8-1: With one below the obvious anti-speed choices.. 2nd
3. #2 Splendid in Spring 15-1: Good chance to hit board on cutback.. 4th

COMMENTS: Dream Rush sets ridiculous pace and doesn't stop.. Hard to know if it's GP or the filly.. Idea of trying to beat Anna correct though, as she looked short.. Good effort by You Asked doing what was expected, but bad mistake by me not considering a wire job by Dream Rush..


8th/9th: See above..


10th: CLM, 3yo, 1m-T (Super)

1. #1 Ballet Fever 6-1
2. #5 Patriotic American 3-1
A. #7 Jet Prop 12-1
B. #9 Red Stag 5-1


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-6
8: 4-11
9: 2-4
10: 1-5-7-9

3x2x2x4 = $48



SANTA ANITA


7th: 65th Santa Maria H. (Gr. I), F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD, P3, P4, .10 Super)

1. #5 Ermine 3-1: '06 Oaks runner-up freshened; Castro wings west..
2. #8 Rahy's Appeal 8-1: Clever Bush made smart Left Coast call with 5yo..
A. #3 Seafree 4-1: Moves near top of Cali mare ladder with vets retired..
B. #1 Sugar Shake 7-2: Frankel Encino winner threat on front end..


8th: CLM, 4yo, 5.5f (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #1 Quietly Go 5-2
2. #3 Wild Nekia 3-1
A. #10 Beechmont 6-1
B. #11 Artaxman 7-2


9th: 25th Las Las Virgenes (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 1m (DD, .10 Superfecta)

1. #6 Jump On In 4-1: Desormeaux flies cross country to get beat? No..
2. #1 Baroness Thatcher 6-1: Gr. III Ysabel winner should get trip..
A. #2 Swiss Diva 8-1: Cal-bred looks like she can hold own here..
B. #9 Rags to Riches 5-1: Jazil's little sister draws lousy; Gets Go Go..


10th: MDN CLM, 4+, 7f (.10 Super)

1. #3 Majestic American 4-1
2. #4 Slews the Believer 5-2
A. #5 Livinthehighlife 15-1
B. #7 Via Rodeo 2-1


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-8
8: 1-3
9: 1-6
10: 3-4-5-7

3x2x2x4 = $48



AQUEDUCT


8th: 28th Whirlaway, 3yo, 8.5f

1. #1 Summer Doldrums 5-2: Chased quality as juvy; Ran monster last.. WON @ 7-2
2. #2 Lawrence the Roman 6-5: Will be overbet, won't get lead; Bounce candidate.. 5th
3. #4 Sir Whimsey 8-1: Against re-emerging rail bias, but 'right' horse underneath.. 2nd

$1 EX: $31.25

Hard to be more right about a scenario than this race.. Lawrence flat as Doldrums proves to be real NY-based Derby horse here.. Excellent effort from the solid Sir Whimsey to turn this from a 'no bet' proposition into a nice 5-1 exacta return..


TAMPA BAY


10th: 17th Super, 4+, 7f (Superfecta)

1. #4 Yes Yes Yes 4-1: Nice to see at least one Team Todd elder horse..
2. #8 Weigelia 7-2: Trombetta troubador owns TBD win; Alternates efforts.. 2nd
A. #13 Roman Candles 10-1: Stretchout the question; Standout Oldsmar barn..
B. #5 D'artagnan's Spirit 5-1: Ziadie Dudley winner flies late.. WON


FAIR GROUNDS


5th: Taylor's Special H., 4+, 5.5f-T (P3, Super)

1. #6 Chosen Chief 8-1: Bindner 8yo offers value; Race 2 back wins this.. 5th
2. #1 Venomous 6-1: More value on likeable overachiever; Turf transfer the question.. 4th
A. #4 SCRATCHED
B. #9 Wrzeszcz 4-1: Equine 'eye chart' won this event in '05; Loves strip, trip.. 2nd


6th: Mineshaft H. (Gr. III), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P6, Super)

1. #7 Welcome Again 12-1: Frankel invader gets JJ in to ride; Overlaid..
2. #5 Master Command 8-5: Away since Nov. and obviously the one to beat.. WON
A. #4 Patriot Act 8-1: Needs career best to win; Finally getting good at 5? 2nd
B. #1 Sandburr 6-1: TX bred aced prep besting Jonesboro, 'Act'.. 4th

$1 EX: $22.20

COMMENTS: Master Command justifies the 3-5 price with Patriot Act continuing a solid stretch of form.. Top choice Welcome Again loomed 3 wide into turn but faded..


7th: FG BCH (Gr. III), 4+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

1. #3 Cloudy's Knight 8-1: 7yo third off break and priced right.. WON @ 6-1
2. #4 Fort Prado 3-1: Serious racehorse NEVER runs a bad one..
A. #10 Devilment 9-2: Pierce pacesetter may not look back.. 2nd
B. #2 Transduction Gold 12-1: Gelding nearly perfect since Summer '06.. 3rd

$1 EX: $37.60


8th: The Silverbulletday (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, P4, Super)

1. #2 Appealing Zophie 3-1: Spinaway winner got break, adds Johnny V.. WON
2. #3 Total 4-1: Stall adept at stretching them out.. 2nd
A. #6 Get Ready Bertie 9-5: Flint bay scored in prep; Tough to eat 2-1.. 3rd
B. #8 High Heels 8-1: E Dubai bay looks versatile; Price will be right.. 5th


The Risen Star (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, Super)

1. #12 Notional 9-2: O'Neill-Reddam visitor gets top FG pilot; Can stalk.. WON
2. #5 Circular Quay 9-5: Team Todd BC runner-up gets perfect pace set-up.. 5th
A. #8 Imawildandcrazyguy 15-1: Price says yes with Kaplan ('Drums' and 'Storm') on fire.. 2nd
B. #4 Izzie's Halo 8-1: LeComte runner up (Hard Spun) has home field edge.. 4th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #9 Spankey Came Home 30-1: Crazy colt could be anything after bizarre ALW try at SA..

$1 EX: $40.30


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 5-7
7: 3-4
8: 2-3-6 $1 P3 $49.10
9: 4-5-8-9-10-12 $1 P4 $331.60/P3 $130.40

2x2x3x6 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Steve, if you don't mind me asking, why did you leave out Dream Rush in GP's 7th, and do you have any opinion on my choice in the 10th, the dirt to turf Victory Blue? Your choice Ballet Fever is solid, I just hate playing horses claimed from Pletcher.

I'm hoping the horses that are attending the pace are going to cook themselves including Dream Rush, and am strictly looking to get some value in this. I figure 'Anna' is the most likely winner anyway, though at least a tad vulnerable at the trip and coming off the break, so why not put the best prices with her that you think have a shot given the scenario? I was there when Dream Rush got beat, and was actually with Shawn Musgrave who made it clear that his filly had quality and could win, and think Dream Rush may not be that terrific.

Alan Goldberg (You Asked) is one of the wisest wise guys around, and Guidry seems to come up big in spots like this all the time. I had her on top when I first wrote this up, and then swapped her with Anna... And horses exiting any races against Outofthebox's Golden Dreamer have been coming back to win left and right. In a short field with speed, You Asked is the right horse with the right style in the right post at the right price...

(Have to go back and look at the 10th to answer part two of the question...)

G,

Victory Blue is fast enough in that 10th, but Victory Gallop's don't turf all that great (8 for 102 First Turf), and Oliveres is riding an 0 for 31 run with First Time Turfers on top of that...

As for being claimed from Team Todd, Spatz actually improved Ballet Fever quite a bit already, and that one hole this trip/course is advantageous. Good race to end good card...

Thanks for the great answers

SB, DO NOT GET SUCKED INTO OMAGGIO. I am telling you, he is always 'ready'. That friggin horse has cost me so much friggin money on the end of pick threes....UGHHHHHHHHH

On a more positive note, if we could get 'late' jock switch on ImRoyallymecked, which is possible becuase someone will tell the trainer that he has a HUGE shot if he throws a nut jock on, he has the number power to get there, nice find byk

3rd SCR at Golden Gate
 

NOTE: Another scratch (#1) at GG results in changes to the Magna 5 play..

Which brings that race in the slop to 4 horses....might as well hit the all and make MAGNA a 4 race event......

DrDave

magna5
 

steve you have 2-8 for magna 2-4 for your pick 4 9th at gulf is that intended or mistake

Because I like action

02/10/07 LRL 9 $12 Pick-5 1 / 4-6,9-11 / 1 / 4 / 2 ------ Cancel

I actually like the singles I have quite abit, only horse that I caution on is the 4 at Golden gate, but I feel solid on those legs, and then the Omaggio race, if he wins, I will win the ticket, given how he never wins for me

Intended more or less... I think the 2 is very much the likliest winner.. Want to protect in the big ticket Magna with Mott's 8, but in the smaller ticket am protecting with the 4.. May end up using both myself in my bets, or I may single 2 on a main ticket and cover with lighter ones with the 4 & 8...

Mag 5
 

A) 1,4,9

B) 3,4,5,11

C) 1,5,6,7

D) 4

E) 2,4

if i play here's my ticket

1,4,9
3,4,11
1,5
2,4
2,3 if Meditations doesnt get it done i'll go with the Romans(he's been on fire and is quietly lighting it up at Gulfstream) longshot

might single beside story and red neck girl.

GP late pick 4
4,6
3,4,11
2,3
1,4,5,9

FG all stakes pick 4
5,7
4,5,10
2,6,8
5,8,10,12

good luck to all

Steve, nice job putting Summer Doldrums on top. The NY bred wants to stick with state breds.

Splash, the bridgejumpers just hit the frigid waters of the Big Apple, thanks to Lawrence the Roman.

Here are my wagers:

Gulfstream P4 (races 7 - 10)
4,6 / 4,11 / 1,2,6 / 1,2,5,7,9
4 / 4,11 / 1,2,6 / 1,7

Fairgrounds All Stakes P4
5,7 / 3,4,10 / 2,6,8 / 5,8,12

Fairgrounds race 9
Ex PW
8,9,12 / 5,8,9,10,12

Aqueduct Race 8:
Ex Box 1,2,5
Ex Box 1,5

$5 win 5

Magna 5:

1,6,9 Bilinski/Contessa gets me again at 14-1 :(
2,4,6
5,7 15-1 seemed vunerable against this company - never looked twice...Nice call to add her Steve
3
2,6,8

108 bucks - GL everyone

That was a frustration ride if I have ever seen one.....god damn Douglas is such a hot head

Mag 5 is already gonna pay huge....first 3 winners..

$31.80 (8-1ML)
$15.00 (4-1ML)
$32.80 (10-ML)

SLB is alive in the Pick 4, nice cappin

lol..hollendorfer busts out his own horse..the 4 /vs the 3

nice P4 steve:)

well done Stevo

Thank you Pais.. It's feast or famine for me this year at FG so far..

props to the boss

nice call as usaual bykster..im a little quezzzzy right now

A fine day at FG Steve!

Curt, Matt, Bri,

Thx.. FG made up for poor GP and M5 efforts today.. Pleased with the AQU and TBD analysis too. GP Saturdays been tough sledding for me 2 of last 3 weeks.

Looking forward to the last quad at SA... Been an intense afternoon of racing...

Another P4 w/ the Help of the Bykster!
 

Nice Capping Mr. B.

I don't think I would've hit the FG Pick 4 w/o looking at your analysis and picks. I included the 3 in the second leg and that was the difference. I have been using your picks as a sanity check and push to add prices to my picks and capping.

Last week it was Hals My Hope this week it is was Cloudy's Knight.

Like you I was ice cold at Gulfstream, but oh well. There is always next weekend .

HH

Thx Double H... Glad you hit it!

I liked Knight as part of the top four yesterday , but it was BTW (Andy) that gave me a real push on him which made me put him on top... He deserves the nod as much or more as me..

Ahhh but ya sorta helped me seal a thought at GP. Bykster you had Ballet Fever in the 10th at GP and I say if I like and the Bykster likes, its a go. 6-1 as stated in the M/L aint bad, thanks. It allowed me to make enough money to try the last Pik 4 at Santa Anita.

So thanks for the GP play, I say.

On it! Agian
 

Thanks Steve for another pick 4 at the Fair Grounds!!! YOU DA MAN BROTHER!


...GILBERT

Kev.. Gil..

Thx.. Missed you earlier GPK..

Gil, hope you're putting winnings to good use!!

Thanks for the credit.....however I would gladly exchange it for either of the second or third finishers in the Aqueduct finale somehow getting the money.

Steve, nice work

Steve I am investing it on
 

Fast woman and slow horses!!

Thanks Agian Brother!

nice work on the PK4 at Fair Grounds

wish i could have taken you up on, but i can't get a video for FG so its kind of tough to bet in the dark

nice cap'n


gl all


-bt-

Well in that case Thanks to Andy as well.

This is a GREAT site and I thoroughly enjoy visiting. It is truly amazing the amount of knowledge and expertise that is freely shared.

Thanks again to both you and Andy.

I'm so stupid. I failed to check the show pool to see if there was bridgejumpers, even though I had a strong opinion against LtR. He either was going to roll or finish off the board... $2 shows on the other 5 returned $43.40, so a $100 investment (which in reality was about $55 at risk) returned $434... 8-1 on your money.