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-   -   2/7: Santa Anita (Late P4) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9595)

Kasept 02-07-2007 09:20 AM

2/7: Santa Anita (Late P4)
 
Back in brutally cold New York for the week, and it convinces me that the Florida gig ain't so awful... The weather frosted out Philly Park looks for Tuesday, and fear of cancellation shied me from AQU for Wednesday, so Santa Anita it is Wednesday!

Got lucky for readers Saturday at Gulfstream with a $400 P4 play made possible by the outrageous 100-1+ Hal's My Hope in the nightcap. Good thing too, as anyone who caught it wouldn't have been happy with a tiny payout for any of the other inclusions after Invasor, Naissance Royale and Nobiz chalked out the first three quarters of the quad! Glad some people caught it...

SELECTIONS -- SANTA ANITA

5th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, .10 Super)

Very interesting grass ALW with quality O'Neill state-bred on rail likely to push ML fave Bitter Bill.. Sets up for stalker?

1. #2 Tap It Light 3-1: Other O'Neill chased Gr. II foes on main.. WON @ 6-1
2. #4 Deadshot Keen 8-1: Value player IRE import went evenly in Gr. III.. 3rd
A. #3 Steady Demand 6-1: C. Dollase red couldn't catch Bitter Bill.. 4th
B. #5 Victorian Palace 5-1: Gallagher import aced York debut (sf); bulleted for NA bow..


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #5 Voulez Vous 5-2: $775k F-T '06 (Feb) buy just missed in first try.. WON @ 2-1
2. #4 Corage 4-1: Greely sharp with sprinters and 5 Star Day bay cuts back.. 3rd
A. #7 Sagittarian 12-1: Always like Chop-Chop on firsters: big bullet in tow..
B. #3 Stormy 4-1: Debut bay from Frankel has solid string of a.m. efforts..

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ALERT: #1 Miss Veronica 20-1: Low profile connections, but Distorted Humor WinStar bred working nicely.. Can boost tris, super..


7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 1m-T (DD, .10 Super)

1. #7 Make Mine Minne 8-1: Headed by ML 2nd choice (below) last; better price here.. 2nd
2. #6 Bosset 5-2: See above..
A. #2 Vanguarda 8-5: Argentinian from cold Vienna seems underlaid.. 3rd
B. #5 Quemar 6-1: Stein Kiwi mare ITM both tries SA lawn; gets loose? WON @ 5-1

$1 Exacta 5-7 $39.20
$1 Trifecta 5-7-2 $141.70



8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7f (.10 Super)

1. #4 Excess Dixie 7-2: Mullins gelding 2nd off break.. 2nd
2. #8 Brother Man 6-1: Last may be good enough after pair :48 moves..
A. #2 Sidepocket Cat 6-1: Can Olguin motivate bay dropper? WON
B. #9 My Man Stan 9-2: Stein bay lost chance at break last..

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ALERT: #5 Senator Bowden 15-1: Something appealling about Puhich gelding by Coronado's Quest in 2nd start after drawing 13 hole in debut..


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 2-4
6: 4-5-7
7: 2-5-6-7 $1 P3 (2/5/5) $213.20
8; 4-8

2x3x4x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

SCUDSBROTHER 02-07-2007 11:22 AM

Surprised you took the 2nd one(p4.)I thought it was difficult to get a single in there.Tough to even lean hard on one horse.

Rootdog1 02-07-2007 12:27 PM

take a shot

5) 1,4,5,8
6) 2,3,4
7) 2,8
8) 4,7

$48

estreetposse 02-07-2007 03:39 PM

gl with all the PK4's


my book had some interesting horse matchups, both horses you like to win steve


Tap it Light -105
Stella Mark -115

Make Mine Minnie +110

Silk Kerchief -130

made a bet on both, gl

-bt-

Scav 02-07-2007 04:44 PM

Alright Byk, I am on board for that exact ticket. I have to thank Hooves for talking about Political Force, won about $100 so I figure I would drop down on this......GET IT DONE. My first ticket I have played exactly to spec.....

Bigsmc 02-07-2007 04:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Alright Byk, I am on board for that exact ticket. I have to thank Hooves for talking about Political Force, won about $100 so I figure I would drop down on this......GET IT DONE. My first ticket I have played exactly to spec.....

Oh boy. The weight of Scavs on Steve's shoulders. No pressure. :rolleyes:

hoovesupsideyourhead 02-07-2007 04:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Alright Byk, I am on board for that exact ticket. I have to thank Hooves for talking about Political Force, won about $100 so I figure I would drop down on this......GET IT DONE. My first ticket I have played exactly to spec.....

scav that has a you ed better be right tone to it....lol

Scav 02-07-2007 04:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
scav that has a you ed better be right tone to it....lol

NO PRESSURE BYK, NO PRESSURE

(he knows I am playing, I didn't have time to get it and I always miss the 5th race so I have to play the late three instead of four)

Kasept 02-07-2007 04:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Alright Byk, I am on board for that exact ticket. I have to thank Hooves for talking about Political Force, won about $100 so I figure I would drop down on this......GET IT DONE. My first ticket I have played exactly to spec.....

:eek: Don't know if THIS was the one to jump on.. Where were you Saturday for the GP score? Or the previous SA '4' pop? Got to get by this 5th... Tough group of races anyway, but this 5th had me scratching my head!

Maybe the play is an overlap of Rootdog and me... One common horse in each leg... 4-4-2-4..

Scav 02-07-2007 04:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
:eek: Don't know if THIS was the one to jump on.. Where were you Saturday for the GP score? Or the previous SA '4' pop? Got to get by this 5th... Tough group of races anyway, but this 5th had me scratching my head!

Maybe the play is an overlap of Rootdog and me... One common horse in each leg... 4-4-2-4..

Great confidence level.....

I am not a huge fan of playing other's ticket verbatum, I would rather make my own idiotic mistakes BUT Hooves got me some play money so what the hell, $48, I have done alot worse..

Rudeboyelvis 02-07-2007 05:04 PM

I have faith in ya Steve...But I like Roots chalk in the 5th...


5) 2,3,4,5
6) 4,5
7) 2,6,7
8) 4

24 bux...

hoovesupsideyourhead 02-07-2007 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Great confidence level.....

I am not a huge fan of playing other's ticket verbatum, I would rather make my own idiotic mistakes BUT Hooves got me some play money so what the hell, $48, I have done alot worse..

nice start boy o

Kasept 02-07-2007 05:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT-
gl with all the PK4's


my book had some interesting horse matchups, both horses you like to win steve


Tap it Light -105
Stella Mark -115

Make Mine Minnie +110

Silk Kerchief -130

made a bet on both, gl

-bt-

Well BT.. that's a good start!

Kasept 02-07-2007 05:21 PM

You know.. it's a tough game. I thought that 5th was VERY quirky, but felt very good about the winner. I thought the key was how much the 1 and 7 would cancel each other. Expected a good stretchout try from the 7, but really was trying to get the 4 into the exacta... I had a good buzz off him when I capped. Winner (6-1) and the 4 (14-1) got off at silly odds...

Scav 02-07-2007 05:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
You know.. it's a tough game. I thought that 5th was VERY quirky, but felt very good about the winner. I thought the key was how much the 1 and 7 would cancel each other. Expected a good stretchout try from the 7, but really was trying to get the 4 into the exacta... I had a good buzz off him when I capped. Winner (6-1) and the 4 (14-1) got off at silly odds...

OH BYK OH BYK, I GET HOME and click favorites/horse racing/youbet.com

sign in

Santa Anita

Race 5

RESULTS

BOOM!!!!

Rootdog1 02-07-2007 05:30 PM

congrats guys!....keep it going. I was not impressed by what I saw in the pp's for tap it light and I got beat....I expected a quicker pace as well as more from Gomez and Gallagher...and ole Michael Baze moved a little slow with the slower then expected pace. After watching the race, It was an obvious prep for Victorian Prince and I was most impressed by the effort of Bitter Bill, looked good stalking on the first stretch out.

Scav 02-07-2007 05:42 PM

God damn four got going too late.....HALF WAY BYKSTER

Trundleon 02-07-2007 05:51 PM

R WE Going To Freeze Together??
 
I'm up here freezing like you!

Am I going to put you on the air again Friday and Sat at RPI/Union??

Nice double.........I had it.

My first actual post.............let's see if it goes through!!!!!

Kasept 02-07-2007 05:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
God damn four got going too late.....HALF WAY BYKSTER

4 is a watch horse for next out.. And my 7 broke badly... I didn't care for the Baffert-Mig thing at all, and was getting nervous about leaving her out...

Scav 02-07-2007 06:14 PM

UNBELIEVABLE, I was going to box 5-6-7 becuase that 2 horse was not getting Gomez action and THE F"N GOD DAMN INTERNET wouldn't load up.....

Scav 02-07-2007 06:15 PM

02/07/07 SA 5 $48 Pick-4 2,4 / 4,5,7 / 2,5-7 / 4,8 ------ ------

here is the ticket, for ish and giggles

swedejxn 02-07-2007 06:17 PM

nice call on the tri steve... I was all over Quemar and minnie...

Kasept 02-07-2007 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Trundleon
I'm up here freezing like you!

Am I going to put you on the air again Friday and Sat at RPI/Union??

Nice double.........I had it.

My first actual post.............let's see if it goes through!!!!!

Joe,

Congrats on 1st post... Didn't realize the Red Raiders were in town this weekend! Boy, if you have me on the air it'll be a big upstate NY weekend as I'm on Trackfacts on OTB-TV with Kling and Amello Sunday morning too..

I'll try to come to the Field House Friday night.. Too much going on Saturday to make it to Achilles...

Good work on the Double... Would have prefered the top choice hang on there in the 7th, but live to a pair in this difficult nightcap...

Kasept 02-07-2007 06:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by swedejxn
nice call on the tri steve... I was all over Quemar and minnie...

Delta Willie A turns up!! Thx on the tri..

What's happening brother? Did you go to Vegas? You've been incognito around here... Why haven't you been showing the DTers how it's done "Willie Style"?

I had a feeling Quemar was gonna come a' runnin'... Minnie just short. As suggested, the fave was an underlay...

And where's your partnership form??

mclem10011 02-07-2007 06:42 PM

Steve.....
 
Your on fire tonight at SA! I played a 2-4-9 tri in the finally. Good luck

GPK 02-07-2007 06:43 PM

someone knew something about Sidepocket Cat...6/1 ML and wins for fun at 5/2

Scav 02-07-2007 06:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by T3B
someone knew something about Sidepocket Cat...6/1 ML and wins for fun at 5/2

OH MY GOD....I just saw I was alive to $900 and $1200...UNF"N BELIEVABLE....THIS GOD DAMN INTERNET

PSH 02-07-2007 06:45 PM

Pick 3 hit
 
Thanks Steve, just hit Pick 3 races 5-7 on a 3x3x3 2 dollars ticket. great job... PSH

Scav 02-07-2007 06:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PSH
Thanks Steve, just hit Pick 3 races 5-7 on a 3x3x3 2 dollars ticket. great job... PSH

I am about to drive to every COMCAST facility and PUNCH every employee in the face

Kasept 02-07-2007 06:50 PM

Sorry Team.. I blew that.. Dammit... Gave the 2-4 out on the radio Tuesday night as the last leg and then got seduced this morning by the #8 and moved him up to second choice and the winner down to 3rd choice.. Jeezuz.. $1,100
with the 2...

Scav 02-07-2007 06:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Sorry Team.. I blew that.. Dammit... Gave the 2-4 out on the radio Tuesday night as the last leg and then got seduced this morning by the #8 and moved him up to second choice and the winner down to 3rd choice.. Jeezuz.. $1,100
with the 2...

No Sorries, handicapped the hell out of it, too much weight in that ticket, I don't play and you nail it. You could blow up Comcast for me though

Thoroughbred Fan 02-07-2007 06:57 PM

Still a very nice job capping the card. Congrats!

Kasept 02-07-2007 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PSH
Thanks Steve, just hit Pick 3 races 5-7 on a 3x3x3 2 dollars ticket. great job... PSH

Thx PH!! Nice score.. $425 I think..? Hope you went three deep in the nightcap on the "4"!!

TitanSooner 02-07-2007 07:03 PM

good capping Steve.. that paid unbelievable.. I liked the 8 as well.. put too much weight on him.. my bad.

Rootdog1 02-07-2007 07:18 PM

good capping guys.....we'll get uhm next time!!!

Kasept 02-07-2007 07:28 PM

OK.. I'm over it.. Thx for the nods boyz.. What a fun day..

SCUDSBROTHER 02-07-2007 07:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Sorry Team.. I blew that.. Dammit... Gave the 2-4 out on the radio Tuesday night as the last leg and then got seduced this morning by the #8 and moved him up to second choice and the winner down to 3rd choice.. Jeezuz.. $1,100
with the 2...

Time for Andy to come in and tell ya that ya needed to spend more.

Scav 02-07-2007 07:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Time for Andy to come in and tell ya that ya needed to spend more.

Scuds, don't you agree that Byk should be on TVG, he uses $50 better then anyone I know....SMOKES those dudes, they hit MAYBE 2 tickets a year, and are rarely alive after the 2nd leg

Kasept 02-07-2007 07:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Time for Andy to come in and tell ya that ya needed to spend more.

He already did on the phone with me just before.. And he's right. By trying to keep the ticket under $50, I cost myself and everyone $1,000. For $72 the winner is cover and for $96 the 4 horses I listed for the race are covered. And it was the kind of race to be at least a little liberal in... Good news is that the ticket I gave out on the radio Tuesday was with the 2-4 in the 8th, so those people that write it down hit it...

But Andy would be 100% right telling me to spend the money.. It was a tricky group of races; I had good opinions; I failed to capitalize on the opportunity because of the budget parameters I try to maintain.. Silly when we were talking $24 or $48 more and I had already voiced confidence in the #2 the night before...

TitanSooner 02-07-2007 07:46 PM

we'll come back tomorrow with a vengeance!


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