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Hard Spun!!!
Looked real good this evening!!!
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I have not seen the race from today yet, but he does seem interesting. His previous races have looked nice, and his pedigree seems to indicate that he could be effective when the spring 3yo races stretch out to 8.5 and 9 furlongs. He is by Danzig, of course, but more importantly the dam side of his pedigree is dominated by horses that were all G1 winners at 10f and beyond (Turkoman, Alydar, Roberto). Now I am no pedigree expert like many on this board are, but it seems to me like that indicates that stretching out should not bother him. If he stays healthy I think he will be a factor in the bigger 3yo races in March and April. |
Did Mario Pino forget the mile race finishes at the first finish line
or was he told to ride him out and extra 1/16 of a mile to the second finish line at FG. However he was impressive indeed. |
Wow, he made my boy Makeithapen look real real bad there.
This horse seems to have lots going for him, can't wait to see him throughout the Spring. Hopefully, Makeithapen's people will think about the Illinois Derby if they really want to go to Louisville with him -- there's enough good money to be made there for a single race on a track that he loves. |
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Hard Spun completed the mile - which ends at the sixteenth pole finish line - in 1:37.87 and galloped out an extra sixteenth of a mile to the normal finish line, per instructions from trainer Larry Jones. |
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congrats to hard spun, may his great racing continue!! |
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Take your Danzig Connection example. His broodmare sire (Sir Ivor) was a multible stakes winner at the lengthy distance of 12f. More importantly, Danzig Connection had a lot of Princequillo on his dam's side. That is where the whole mutant heart business comes into play, and is probably why DC could win going 12f. Anyway, I digress....Hard Spun appears to have talent and a pedigree that indicates he might be strong going 9f and beyond. He could be a nice 3yo. |
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and yeah, it's supposed to be speed from the sire, stamina from the dam, but...horses don't know who their parents are! danzig sires anything and everything. an amazing horse. |
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I think you are right to get excited about this colt even though it is early. For me the key to enjoying the 3yo spring season is not to treat the races as nothing more than Kentucky Derby preps. For example, if someone was excited about Lawyer Ron early last year, guess what, they were right! Just because he was a nonfactor in the Derby and missed the rest of the TC, his performance in the Risen Star/Southwest/Rebel/Arkansas Derby means that his early backers were right. It should not be ALL about the first Saturday in May. Some people enjoy trying to pick the winner of the Kentucky Derby in January. Fine. I don't. I have no way of knowing what kind of form Hard Spun will be in 4 months from now, or what other quality 3yos will emerge, but I do think he is a colt to watch for in the bigger 3yo races in the weeks ahead. |
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another horse i got on somewhat early was smarty--but i didn't think he was truly going to win the derby til he won the ark derby. i turned to my kids after he crossed the finish that day and said there's your derby horse. it was fun-but in a way, not so fun...you know that if you're right, that the horse is that good, you're days watching him are numbered. i know rick porter was already offered a lot of money for this guy-those offers will only get bigger if he continues to do so well. |
If he stays at Fair Grounds looks like he'll be tested against Circular Quay on the road to the Derby. Pletcher reported as saying he thought the longer stretch would be most beneficial to CQ's running style.
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We all talk about top trainers . Larry Jones is always under the radar. I would like any of you name one horse he has trained that under performed. He always has his runners ready and seem to always do the right thing for his horses. These conection are a big plus mark.
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One thing I find interesting is that Jones shipped Hard Spun to Oaklawn for the Winter and is now indicating that he will take the Louisiana route and not the Arkansas route to the Derby. If that pans out, I wonder how the folks at Oaklawn will feel about the connections. Probably already a little strained to begin with.
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From Oaklawn's web site:
HARD SPUN ROMPS TO LECOMTE VICTORY ON SATURDAY Undefeated Hard Spun, stabled at Oaklawn, travelled to the Fair Grounds in New Orleans for Saturday's featured $100,000 Lecomte Stakes and drew clear to an easy victory in the one mile event for three-year-olds. The early favorite for the Arkansas Derby took command from the outset in the Lecomte under jockey Mario Pino and maintained the lead by nearly a length all the way to the head of the stretch. Jockey Pino then asked the even-money favorite to finish up well and the bay son of Danzig drew clear from the field for his convincing win. Izzie's Halo, twice stakes-placed for trainer Tom Amoss, outlasted the six rivals for he place spot, while Sugar Bowl Stakes winner Teuflesberg, the second chice at 7-2, had no punch in the stretch and finished a distant third. Racing in the silks of Fox Hill Farm, owner of previous Oaklawn stars Rockport Harbor and Round Pond, Hard Spun was taking his career record to four wins from four starts and his earnings to $160,970. Trainer Larry Jones has indicated that the next stop on the Triple Crown trail for Hard Spun will be the $250,000 Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn on Presidents' Day, Monday, February 19. |
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5F Oaklawn Tiz Wonderful 1/6/2007 Dirt GD B 1:07.00 |
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Hes taking the right route. Why stay at Oaklawn and get your head chopped off by Westwon
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in this instance, i actually disagree with your analysis, because to me hard spun doesn't move in a way that makes me think he will be strong going 9+ furlongs against true g1/g2 competition. but regardless who is right, the colt is 4 for 4 so i can't blame you for liking him, but mainly i just appreciate your rational discussion, and most of all, your restraint. |
Visually impressive.
However the allowance types did the 1m40yds in 1:39+ -- Hard Spun was 1:37 and change for the mile. Nothing riveting but it's only January. Decent pace and ran out well. The bigger concern is that he looks to be a "need the lead" type and that's unlikely to change by Derby. |
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I don't know about "needing the lead", nothing to me indicated that he was rank up there and he had a cool head about him. He's got a good way of going too, sort of glides across the ground. |
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I might actually be looking to bet against him if the right race comes up. I wonder what figure Beyer gave the allowance horses who went 1m40yds in 1:39 and change? |
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http://www.drf.com/drfLeaderBoard.do?category=beyer |
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i try not to get too up on these guys. too big a letdown when they can't sustain the pace we always set for them. it's always interesting from now til may. some people back one horse come hell or high water. some bounce from horse to horse after each prep is run. always fun!! |
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