Santa Anita - Race 5 on 1/1/07
 

Anyone see those works on Painted Shadow for his debut. I know Baffert likes to send them in the morning but he has a particular long string of works with a recent 1:10 and 3 for 6F and a back 58 and 2 from the gate....

I would assume that the word is out on this one .....

PSH

That is the type of horse that you single on the end of a pick three ticket, with the reasoning you have, will probably be 7/5, but the value will be in the pick threes because none knowing people will spread in that race

He's got Squeeze Now going as well. This horse has put together some decent works, but not quite as strong as Painted Shadow. What do you think, a little 1,2 for Baffert here?

Looks impressive. The only draw back is that he draws the last post with nobody in the post outside of him. There are others in the race that look like they can ran some too.

Luberon, but bad post again, but made a willing move in first start.

Speedy Jones, But trainer rarely has them ready ot win in the first start.

Choctaw Chief, Just sounds fast Solis / Headley

Squeeze Now, Hate it when Baffert has 2 horses with one being a single.

Come Over Again, Intresting possibility

Can anyone explain what Stute is think by having Can This Be True run insane bullets (34.2 and 46.2) two days before he runs this horse? Didn't he notice that his horse tired last race after dueling for the lead? I guess I can understand doing that 4-5 days before a race but why TWO days before? Does anyone here believe that this is a good thing?

SA 7th
 

Areyoutalkintome is my play here. Fresh horse. May have 3 up front early. Bushwacker, Roi, and Proud Tower. Looking for Areyoutalkintome to sit right off here. Hopefully get 4/1 or 5/1. Harvard Avenue scares me.

I'm going to pound Proud tower Too. He's too good for these.

I'm taking my shot on Roi. Hopefully his speed can hold up for 5.5 furlongs.

I think you really need to bet against horses like Proud Tower Too in this spot. If I thought he was too good for these, I would probably skip the race.
I may not bet this race because I am having trouble deciding between a couple of these. If I dont bet it, I will root for Proud Tower Too. Hes a very neat horse.

I think the odds will end up like this:

Proud Tower Too 9/5
Harvard Avenue 5/2
Areyoutalkingtome 7/2
Roi Charmant 6/1
Bushwacker 10/1
Premium Saltine 15/1
Red Warrior 15/1

Very well could be too good for these. But..... The pace will be super hot. He hasn't ran since March. If he get's out like I think, I don't see him holding up. Didn't see the race, so I may be way off here, but Areyou beat him in the CalCup last year and ran 3rd to him race after. I see Proud at 8/5 or lower. You give me 4 or 5/1 on Areyou, then I'm taking that. I'm afraid Harvard may just get both of them.

I dont see Proud Tower Too making the lead in here. For some reason I think Bushwacker gets it. Roi Charmant is fast too and he will be there.

Hot pace, I agree. I'd have to bet a closer in here.

Hot pace but a 5.5 furlong race at Santa Anita isn't a great spot for a closer. Bushwhacker is going to have to go faster early than he ever has if he is going to get ahead of Roi or even PTT.

SA 6th
 

WHat do you make of the Brazilian and Chilian Horses in this race???? Grade Ones and all?? Does it mean anything? The 4 has some nice works>

Somebody tell me something......

SA Race 3
 

$220 win #1- Tug O War with Go Go
Should secure a nice inside stalking trip while the 6 blazes the way up front.

Ouch!

You will have better luck if you thread your picks in other Santa anita threads. trust me, look at what I am doing at Calder today

That ride looked familiar.

Hate to tell you guys that on Santa Anita's oval ( and alot of other tracks) when the good horses run 5 1/2 furlongs the finisher from off the pace wins and at 7f they steal it on the lead. Proud Tower will not make the lead till the last furlong.

Can we get a winner in the 4th with #12 Dynamatic ! Miglimore for his first win down the hill.

I like Epic Power and Sherwood Park in that.Don't like Palma much.The Frankel would not surprise me,but seems like he would use Flores or Solis etc. if he was ready.

Thanks Scuds

Apparently this is a VERY good thing - Wow! Nice job holding off the Baffert horse... I stand corrected and will respect this trainer a bit more. :o

You know, I am FUMING at myself right now about this horse. He took a ton of money last time and ran 2nd to Bafferts 2nd out winner Tenfold on opening day. A great play back because the connections obviously saw something to bet him down to 11/2 first out (into Tenfold who was like even money first out) and now he scores as a $30 horse.....unbelievable

One of my favorite angles too, playing a horse back 2nd out, after taking action in their debut

Fave loses
 

kind of glad fave lost - maybe Baffert can ease up on him a bit and we get better odds next out

Race shows what a speed favoring track SA is

Painted Shadow
 

I noticed Painted Shadow had some nervous bowels , maybe he has the flu
I think I do

:p

Used him,but only in p3 with E POWER/H AVE.,P T TOO,AREYOU..

I don't like Nak jumping off EP, he might not have had a choice though with O'Neil's horse in the race.

Obviously a very tough race.He will try for me.Frenchie got along great with the horse at Del Mar,and just barely got caught.I will use him in the 2nd-4th spots in a super box with KC,SHERWOOD,WE ALL.

I boxed 2-9-12

so if you don't have those 3 you should be in good shape.

Wanted to use bith Epic and Sherwood in multirace stuff,but it was chalk(so no biggie.)Don't understand why Frenchie didn't tap my horse in the stretch.Guess we will never know what that was about.

He hit him lefthanded after Gomez had gone by.Whatever........You were right.I needed Corey that time.

I think you can toss Bushwacker. I bet him

He should be the first to swallow his tongue

I'm worried about the Harvard horse too

7-1 on Harvard Avenue is too good to be true. Watch his odds plummet as he turns for home

3/1 on Roi now, not what I was looking for. 5/2 makes Proud Tower Too playable.

What did I tell you about coming from off the pace at 5 1/2f

6-1 to 5-1
 

Harvard Avenue was 6-1 the whole time they were loading the gate.
I guess I should be happy he didn't drop to even money after the wire

Gomez on come from behind horse
 

Something about Go Go on a stretch runner mowing them down....
Let's see if he holds true to form and loses on the even money fave in next race...

SA - Race 8...Somethinaboutbetty
 

I don't like the post but I like the odds

Well, I'm sick now. Singled Areyou, had exacta with him on top, and win money. I was really scared about Harvard, but thought Areyou could do it. Set up like I thought, just needed a longer nose. That's how it goes I guess. My own fault really, I knew I should have thrown Harvard in.

glad I read your post.. I'm going to put a little on your horse with the fav. in a ebox..

good luck