The Rail at Aqueduct
 

What they are conducting out there is not racing......it is get to the rail and everything else will take care of itself.

Worse than Keeneland before Polytrack.

send in Hevesi. He'll get to the bottom of it.

It's already clear you add nothing to this site. There is no need to continue to prove it with each of your insipid posts.

Here's a thought....add 10 posts that actually involve some of the topics on this site....and then maybe one of your useless ( and completely humorless ) posts will seem slightly more tolerable.

That last race was comedy.

It's beyond absurd. The inside horse was dead....DEAD....and somehow held off the outside horse. And, did you see the closing rush by the #1 horse who was glued to the rail?

I sure did. I needed the 9 in my rolling pick 3's. It's frustrating watching the best horse lose.

chuckle. thanks for the keen insight and kind words. does this mean I'm off the holiday card list? good grief.

here's a thought right back at you.... have a good day and wonderful holiday season.

I wasn't involved, but there is no way on an even racetrack the 9 horse loses the race. You can tell he was stronger. It's like he was held back by some invisible force.

Looked very sore to me, he got out into the 5 path. When he leveled out didnt have much punch. Rail may be golden today, but that 9 horse was sore

I wouldn't be surprised if that entire field of $25K NYB maidens is sore. The track, however, carried the winner home.

Im not saying the others were sound and fantastic, just the runner up was obviously not wanting to cut that turn.

You're probably right.

I simply cannot play when the track is like this.
Last weeks 7 outta 9 wire to wire rail winners on Friday was worse, but not by much.
This is beyond absurd. You can't tell me they couldn't even this track out and make it resemble racing.
This track super has got to go.
Its not rocket science to just harrow the ****ing thing deeper.

Lansdon is probably the luckiest guy I have ever met, its just incredible.
He couldn't watch the race so I gave him the call over the phone and just kept saying, shes dead, shes dead, shes dead, shes hanging in there but shes dead. I was astonished that she held on because she looked dead for a 1/4 mile.
Rail carries her home, he gets the purse, and he loses her in the claim box!!!
LOL!!!
Was gonna try to sell her for less than that to some Mountaineer guys and someone claims her.

on second thought....

Who made you the Prince of Sipid?

You don't like me, that's ok. Not everyone does.

I'm good with the three people I've met through here who called me to say thanks for putting them on 4 of 6 pick 4's over a three day period last week. More than a few others also offered their thanks here.

Maybe I'll take your advice. Perhaps not. Who knows. But you really don't rate all that high in my book to take free slaps at people you obviously have a problem with for less than obvious reasons.

You ain't the only person on earth that knows a few things about the sport and making money at it.

Off topic, Bruce, but are you going down to GP for the Sunshine Millions? I'm pretty sure that Kevin is coming down here... we're going to Tampa Bay on Friday and then heading down to GP later that night.

This is truly ridiculous. Another rail wire job and the 2nd horse looked dead and buried on the turn and just kept riding the conveyor belt rail to get 2nd.
This isn't racing.

Barcola wins by 18 lengths, lol.
This is pretty funny stuff.

What I found most pathetic about that particular " race " was the intensive effort by the riders of the horses, who have speed, inside of Barcola to maintain their inside position. I guess hustling from the gate wasn't in their best interests.

Don't you think at some point they just give up?
I mean, I know that they arent geniuses. But I truly think they stop trying on tracks like this when they know they have no speed.
I saw what you saw, but I think at some point they just say screw it.

I hear ya but don't you at least try to play to the track's strengths if you have the animal to do it? Honestly, if guys don't then at some point you begin to wonder just how much they want to win and then you veer off into crazy-paranoid-horseplayerland where you begin to actually believe guys are cheating. Then you stop paying attention and betting and find somewhere else to play where at least you believe things are on the level.

Unfortunately, in this game as much as anywhere, perception is very close to reality.

No, I think your perception IS reality.
I know you and many others think I'm nuts to like tracks like the Finger lakes and Fair Grounds, but I truly see guys ride out their mounts all the time and hustle.
I just think on a day like today when they know they can't pass anyone, that often they all just grab(when guys like you and I are screaming why don't they send?!!!!) and try and suck up late in the race.
Its why I didn't play Friday after one race I played, and why I didn't play today.
I just hate speed biased days in NY. I can't tell you the whole why or how, but our jocks don't ride like they do in Cali and other places. We just never seem to get speed duels even when it looks as if there just has to be one.
One guys always gets loose and the other speeds grab and follow the leader.
I see it all the time and its just impossible for me to play when its like that.
At least in Cali if there is a bias, a whole bunch of guys know it and send like hell to the lead and give you a duel. Not in NY, never.
I think these jocks are far too cozy with one another in Ny, I really do. They seem reluctant to duel with each other.

First of all, I don't think you or anyone is crazy to play other tracks, and I am probably lazy and foolish not to simply move my play to another curcuit. I do not know the reasons, though obviously I have suspicions, but I have been struggling to win in NY for quite a while. I am becoming resigned to the idea that it has to be easier somewhere else.

I think you are right, that save Saratoga, where the competition and attention is fierce, the races in NY often lack the competitiveness they often have on paper. Whatever the reasons it makes things difficult. And now it's wintertime, and CC Lopez is unfortunately back, so I basically have stopped playing. I bet a few dollars in the 6th today ( won pennies ) and lost most of that on Tasteyville in the 8th. I have neither the inclination to do the work nor the interest in betting my money.

I've been saying the same thing for quite some time. And I agree that other than Saratoga or big days at Bel and Aqu, Ny has become so very hard to win at.
Everyone blames juicing but thats not what i am seeing. I am seeing exotic payout after exotic payout that makes absolutely no sense.
I do understand why that race with the firsters paid so little, Jerkens horse was buried in gimmicks, and it was a tough race and some folks went all all underneath.
But day after day its underlaid payouts that make no sense. The icing on the cake this weekend was Italian Saint actually going off as the FAVORITE !!! and winning for fun. I laughed out loud at that one.
Value is hard to find, and I like to play races at a track where they "flow" the way they used to everyplace.
I cant take the non-contested pace races and whats worse, they never seem to miss in NY with these ****ing overbet favorites that drive players here up the wall. I mean, so many times you see horses bet WAY down below where they should be, so you play against them as a good player is supposed to do, and they just waltz home. Its supposed to even out but it seemingly never does.

I'm not getting into the " juice " discussion...because I can't.

I found the feature race on Saturday to be highly questionable. There was a Barclay Tagg horse, Stormy Kiss maybe, who on paper was clear speed and pretty much a cinch. The second choice was trained by Gary Contessa, Magnolia Jackson, a horse of minor ability who while she could win, and deserved to be second choice, was no major threat to the favorite on paper. Now the betting opens, and Magnolia Jackson opens 1/9, and the obvious favorite is somewhere around 2:1. While Magnolia drifts to 2:5 a few minutes before post she still remarkably is ultimately favored while both horses are even money. The race didn't even need to be run.

Tagg's horse got the lead, but it was apparent to anyone watching that Magnolia Jackson, who was stalking, was going to eat her up at will. And she did, with the longest shot on the board sucking up for second. Now, I don't think anything went on with Magnolia Jackson, and her abhorant 75 Beyer fig backs that up, but how the hell did EVERYONE know that the Tagg horse was finished?

I cannot make my decisions based on the board but if I am finding situations like the one described above I simply cannot bet.

How do you think Lans felt? Cozykaylee had lost to Magnolia last out at the Meadowlands only because she got completely left at the gate. Must have kicked something walking over and was off and had to be scratched.
I truly feel she could have won that race very easily. At least Johnny would have tried.
Then of course there was Flying with Ryan last week who went off at only 5-1 who I would have made 25-1 at least in my own mind. Never showed speed in his life, or any dirt ability. raffie could beat him to the 1/4 running backwards and hes drawn inside. gets grabbed back to 4th and Ryan cruises.
Sorry, but thats not a game I wanna play.

I have switched my play to Kentucky recently, for the reasons you state. The amount of NYB races lately, while I applaud the program and plead for its success, is frustrating due to the unhandicappable nature of them; it seems there's either a layup favorite which would have to fall down to lose or an absolutely inscrutable race in which you feel lucky getting the winner going 5 deep. The only thing I've had success on this fall is the pick 4, in which you can express your "race" opinions, i.e., singling an obvious horse and going deep in the others, and still getting a reasonable (and logical) payoff.

I NEVER want to abandon NY racing in general, and the lower takeout is always a plus relative to other jurisdictions, but i have no "juice" to play Aqu lately (no pun intended.)

Me too, and while I don't necessarily suspect foul play in the races themselves (although your ryan is flying example was certainly odd, and i thought the same thing after reviewing the card) it's either (a) the players are too sharp relative to other jurisdictions or ( b ) there's past posting going on (which would be a huge huge huge disaster.)

The early action might have alot to do with MJ's inner track record, it was really good......

By the way, before anyone thinks im crazy that past posting could make a serious impact on a payoff, take the debated example from this weekend. the exacta paid $393.50. There was $294,685 in the pool, minus a 25% takeout, so $221,013 to be paid out. This means $1123 in winning $1 wagers were paid out; so a $100 "extra" wager would make a significant difference.

I understand what you're saying but those inner track races were no better than a number of main track races and she simply could not beat Tagg on paper. There was no way she should have been favored over Tagg and I have discussed this with a number of sane people I know and every one of them had similar feelings.

And I'll quote..."does anybody care?" LOL :cool: WOW !!!

I posted the same thing on the selections thread before the race. I said there was no way she could outsprint Stormy Kiss and win the race. In her prior effort at the meadowlands on a highly speed favoring track, she borke sharp while her only rival was acting up in the gate and got left.
I saw her as no shot horse who would get bet.
1-9? I didn't get it at the time and I still don't get it now.
Anyone wanna explain how Italian Saint could go off the chalk on Sunday?
I didn't play the race and didn't watch the tote board either, but when I looked at the chart my first reaction was shock that she had won by 5 lengths. My next reaction when I saw that she was favored was laughter.
Too many of these races lately, way too many.
Its like someone knows whats gonna happen before it does, and they never guess wrong.
I've really noticed it the last 3 weeks or so. Anyone wanna explain the payout in the 6th race exacta today by the way? You have an entry at 8-5, and the expensive firster at 2-1. Then you have a clear 3rd choice in Marquet
Desire at 7-1, and Sensational Humor at 9-1. The Truehreat at 10-1.
Now these horses were bet identically in pik-3's at the payout leg(except the first two choices were flip flopped by 12 bucks with the expensive horse being favored). A friend of mine was live in the race and asked me to get down the payouts to see if anyone had taken sneaky money so he could save on his bet by starting a pik-4 with his two horses and anyone he thought was taking live money.
So basically you get two 11-1 shots, who are 6th and 7th choices in a 9 betting interest field. They run 1-2, and the exacta is only 198 bucks? Excuse me? The house parlay was 307.44. Since it was the 6th and 7th choices, you are supposed to get a little above that.
I'm sorry but this is just not right. Then the trifecta pays 1387, same amount as the one on Sunday with the 10-1, 60-1, and 5-1. LOL!!! 11-1, 11-1, 7-1 pays the same as that?
Sorry but when things stop making sense, its a good idea to lay off a circuit and watch until you feel like a sense of order has returned.

I had the exacta in the 6th and didn't find it particularly low. If you think the $5.2 million firster was 2-1 in exotics, where smart people are betting, you're kidding yourself. Make him closer to the price he should have been and the $198 is generous.

Tampa Bay opens saturday
 

I'd suggest you switch your action to a track with full fields and nice payouts such as Tampa Bay.. Sure the takeout is higher, but the payouts are there. Why agonize over a circuit that is running the way you say ? I personally donot play the Big A inner meet. I follow the sun. Saratoga, Belmont, Keeneland, Churchill, Calder, Tampa ....... I buy what is in season, especially with the turf. Happier days ahead ;)
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this guy is a genious....:D

sounds like the winter duldrums of racing setting in.....the aq meet is hardly playable..save a few plays ..there is no conststancey in the track set up..your thowing darts...5 rules of capping life at the big a inner.

1 the horse that figures cant get to the plodder with front speed
2 well intentioned firsters get pounded down and dont runa step
3 if your lucky enough to be right and hit the payout is less than the parlay in most cases
4 when in doubt see rule 1
5 watchig a few races does no good as the mix of horses makes it a crap shoot..as they seal or roll the track without notice...you have to be there...

gee
 

Gee thanks, I think its the florida sunshine that does it.

Sunny and 80 ! :cool:

My play is almost non-exsistant right now. I dont like anything at Turfway, I never really got into NY racing, I cant figure out Hollywood, Calder to me is a crap shoot and I cant get excited about the Fairgrounds. I have taken some stabs at NY the past few weeks to come up empty. I think I am going to wait for SA and then Gulf and Oak.