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-   -   Dave Hill's NFL ~ Super Bowl LVIII (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=72771)

Kasept 09-10-2023 05:40 AM

Dave Hill's NFL ~ Super Bowl LVIII
 

Kasept 09-14-2023 06:33 AM

Dave 4-3 with specified games ~ and then 5-3 with the Jets MNF throw-in..

Back today for Week 2 looks..

Kasept 09-17-2023 12:30 PM

WEEK 2

BAL +3.5
SEA +5.5
TEN +2.5
TB -2.5
LAR +7.5
ARI +6.0

SNF/MNF Bonus Plays

NE +2.5
NO -3.0

Kasept 09-17-2023 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1175488)
WEEK 2

BAL +3.5
SEA +5.5
TEN +2.5
TB -2.5
LAR +7.5
ARI +6.0

SNF/MNF Bonus Plays

NE +2.5
NO -3.0

BAL +3.5 WON
SEA +5.5 WON
TEN +2.5 WON
TB -2.5 WON
LAR +7.5 WON
ARI +6.0 WON

Week 1: 4-3
Week 2: 6-0
Total: 10-3

Bogey 09-18-2023 06:31 AM

Impressive week for Dave. The NFL is not for the faint of heart.

Kasept 09-21-2023 01:25 PM

Week 3
 


LW: 6-0 (10-3-0 Overall)
Bonus plays: 1-1-1

jms62 09-22-2023 06:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1175524)


LW: 6-0 (10-3-0 Overall)
Bonus plays: 1-1-1

He almost always gets a better line than what is available. I need to find out what book he is using.

fantini33 09-22-2023 11:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1175535)
He almost always gets a better line than what is available. I need to find out what book he is using.

There is an article about him that I read and one of the things he absolutely stresses (rightfully so) is having ALL sportsbooks available to shop around and find the best price/line. He also strongly advises betting as early in the week as possible, before the numbers change to much. He is using many books and giving out the best number available early on in the week.

Hope you are well Jim.

Kasept 09-22-2023 11:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1175535)
He almost always gets a better line than what is available. I need to find out what book he is using.

He shops for best prices and bets Tuesday. He has access to all the offerings via Unabated.com.

Free 5 day trial (Use code 'HILL'): https://unabated.com/?ref=hill

jms62 09-22-2023 04:28 PM

Thanks guys. Lots to unpack. I notice also his games usually don't have a significant player who is at risk due to injury.

Kasept 09-23-2023 06:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33 (Post 1175536)
There is an article about him that I read and one of the things he absolutely stresses (rightfully so) is having ALL sportsbooks available to shop around and find the best price/line. He also strongly advises betting as early in the week as possible, before the numbers change to much. He is using many books and giving out the best number available early on in the week.

Jim.. Ed.. Here's the article: "How I Use Unabated"
https://unabated.com/articles/how-i-...ted-david-hill

Kasept 09-27-2023 06:27 PM

@davehill77: Not able to do @Steve_Byk’s show tomorrow because I’m still in Paris but here are my picks for this week in case anyone is still with me after last week’s bloodbath:

GB+1 LOSS
JAX -3 WON
LAR +1 (best bet) WON
HOU +3 WON
NE +7 LOSS
ARI +14 LOSS
NYJ +9.5 WON
SEA +1 WON


Through Week 4
TW: 5-3
LW: 1-4
Overall: 16-10
Bonus plays: 2-1-1

stonecutter 10-01-2023 08:18 AM

Steve I believe GB +1 is a loss.....

Kasept 10-01-2023 09:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stonecutter (Post 1175649)
Steve I believe GB +1 is a loss.....

Yes..

Kasept 10-05-2023 06:21 PM

Week 5

LAR +5
DAL +4
BAL -4
BUF -5.5

LW: 5-3
Overall: 16-10
Bonus plays: 2-1-1

Kasept 10-15-2023 10:19 AM




LW: 0-4
Overall: 16-14
Bonus plays: 3-1-1

Kasept 10-21-2023 06:49 AM

LW: 2-3
Overall: 18-17
Bonus plays: 4-1-1



maryhope 10-21-2023 08:11 AM

Hill was 2-3 for week 6 not 3-2

Kasept 10-21-2023 09:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by maryhope (Post 1175885)
Hill was 2-3 for week 6 not 3-2

You're right.. THX.. I had the SEA/CIN as a W..

Kasept 10-24-2023 09:54 AM

LW: 5-4 (2-3 Straight; 3-1 Teasers)
Overall: 23-21
Bonus plays: 5-1-1

Kasept 10-26-2023 07:28 PM








Kasept 11-02-2023 11:10 PM


Kasept 11-10-2023 05:18 AM


Kasept 11-19-2023 09:31 AM

WEEK 11 ~ TUESDAY'S PLAYS

BAL -3.5 WON
CHI +8.5 WON
GB +3.5 WON
WAS -9.5 LOSS
BUF -7 WON

Kasept 11-26-2023 09:38 AM

THANKSGIVING-BLACK FRIDAY

GB (+7.5) WON
DAL (-11.5) WON
SF (-6.5) WON
J-E-T-S Jets, Jets, Jets (+10.5) LOST



SUNDAY

NE (-3.5) LOST
BUF (+3) PUSH
BAL (-3) WON

Kasept 12-01-2023 07:35 PM


Kasept 12-10-2023 09:09 AM


Kasept 12-17-2023 12:35 PM

WEEK 15

PIT/IND O/42.5 WON
NO -5.5 WON
WAS/LAR O/50.5 LOSS
DAL +2.5 LOSS
BAL -3
WON

Kasept 12-24-2023 11:35 AM

WEEK 16

NO +4.5 LOSS
PIT +2.5 WON
LAC +13/13.5 WON
MIN +3.5 LOSS
MIA M/L WON
NE +7 WON
IND +3 LOSS
TB +1 WON
PHI -11.5 LOSS

Kasept 12-31-2023 06:17 AM


Kasept 01-06-2024 04:05 PM


Kasept 01-13-2024 08:23 AM

WILD CARD WKND

MIA +4.5 LOSS
PIT +10.5 LOSS
DET -3 LOSS
TAM +3 WIN
MIA/KC U-44.5 WIN

TX TEASER ~ HOU +8.5, DAL -1.5 | TAM +9 (Optional) LOSS

Kasept 01-13-2024 08:24 AM

RICH ENG'S NFL ACTION

CLE -2.5 LOSS
KC -4.5 WIN
PIT +10.5 LOSS

Kasept 01-20-2024 04:07 PM

DIVISIONAL

BAL -9.5 WON
SF -9.5 LOSS
TAM +6.5 LOSS
BUF -2.5 LOSS

Kasept 01-28-2024 01:58 PM

CHAMIONSHIP SUNDAY


Kasept 02-09-2024 01:55 PM

SUPER BOWL



Note: Final prop is EACH team scoring a rushing AND passing in BOTH halves.. +15000

jms62 02-11-2024 11:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1177098)
SUPER BOWL



Note: Final prop is EACH team scoring a rushing AND passing in BOTH halves.. +15000

I need to find out where I can place that bet 150/1 both teams score rushing passing TD each half. Difficult but great odds

knickslions2 02-11-2024 01:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1177142)
I need to find out where I can place that bet 150/1 both teams score rushing passing TD each half. Difficult but great odds

I bet it on fan duel. Odds too good to pass up on

jms62 02-13-2024 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1177145)
I bet it on fan duel. Odds too good to pass up on

I bet it too and boy was this a Sucker bet. I went through every Super Bowl and this Never happened. Closest was 2004 and 1997. In 2004 Both Teams had a rushing and passing TD in Second Half. In 1997 Both Teams did it in the First Half.


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