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moses 03-13-2021 06:40 AM

Rebel Stakes Day
 
Trying to do my best Steve impression here. I listed C horses but I'm only going to be playing the A+B for these bets. Good luck all.

Race 5 - Azeri (8.5 furlongs)
#3 Letruska - 3/1
#5 Shedaresthedevil - 2/1
#1 Envoutante - 5/2

Race 6 - Allowance (8.5 furlongs)
#1 Ashaar - 9/2
#10 Claytnthelionheart - 7/2
#3 Excession - 3/1
#4 Aasr - 5/1

Race 7 - Essex (8.5 furlongs)
#2 Harpers First Ride - 4/1
#7 Night Ops - 3/1
#5 Silver State - 2/1
#6 Green Light Go - 6/1

Race 8 - Allowance OC (6 furlongs)
#9 American Butterfly - 8/1
#7 Secret Courier - 7/2
#3 Royal Daaher - 9/2
#10 Ancient Warrior - 5/1
#1 One For Richie - 3/1

Race 9 - Temperence Hill (12 furlongs)
#10 Campaign - 7/2
#8 Split the Wickets - 8/1
#6 Treasure Trove - 12/1
#7 Muralist - 20/1 - SCRATCHED

Race 10 - Hot Springs (6 furlongs)
#6 Whitmore - 8/5
#4 Engage - 8/1
#2 Flagstaff - 9/2
#7 C Z Rocket - 2/1

Race 11 - Rebel Stakes (8.5 furlongs)
#7 Concert Tour - 2/1
#1 Caddo River - 9/5
#4 Get Her Number - 8/1
#6 Keepmeinmind - 4/1

Race 12 - Starter Allowance $30K (8 furlongs)
#7 Solomonic - 4/1
#13 General Trev - 6/1
#8 Oro de Tejano - 8/1
#10 Off the Meds - 12/1


Pick 4 (Race 9-12)
Race 9: 8-10 (A); 6-7SCR (B); 1-2 (C)
Race 10: 2-4-6 (A); 1-7 (B); - (C)
Race 11: 7 (A); - (B); 1 (C)
Race 12: 7-8-13 (A); 1-2-10 (B); 5 (C)

All A’s: $9.00 (2x3x1x3)
A + B: $45.00 (3x5x1x6)


Pick 5 (Races 8-12)
Race 8: 3-7-9-10 (A); 1 (B); 8 (C)
Race 9: 8-10 (A); - (B); 6-7SCR (C)
Race 10: 6 (A); 2-4 (B) 7 (C)
Race 11: 7 (A); - (B); 1 (C)
Race 12: 7-8-13 (A); 1-2-10 (B); 5 (C)

All A’s: $12.00 (4x2x1x1x3)
A + B: $90.00 (5x2x3x1x6)

moses 03-13-2021 08:37 AM

Race 4 could be an interesting maiden race.

#2 Cryo is a 1/2 to MGSW sprinter Dust and Diamonds. He's also got a few other sibs that have won some stakes races.

#4 Battle Hymn's dam is Debutante and Schuylerville winner Gold Mover. She's got a couple stakes winners that she's produced already.

#6 Global Appeal is a 1/2 to Mucho Macho Man and Federico Tesio winner Awesome Speed. He'll try dirt for the first time and get lasix.

A few others have some nice workouts. I may have missed some other dam/sibling connections. Should be a nice race.

knickslions2 03-13-2021 08:51 AM

Good stuff Moses and good luck. That 4th race is interesting indeed. I’m loading up on the 1 there.

moses 03-13-2021 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1150210)
Good stuff Moses and good luck. That 4th race is interesting indeed. I’m loading up on the 1 there.

Thanks and good luck. I’m keeping my eye on the 6 there with those 20/1 ML odds. I like the 1 too.

moses 03-13-2021 10:04 AM

Still waiting on the scratches but started looking at TVG and realized there is no Pick 4 for races 5-8. Doh!

Not sure how that happened. I probably won’t play the pick 4 for races 6-9.

theguarantee 03-13-2021 11:52 AM

Thanks for posting Moses. Good luck today. Couple brief thoughts:

In the 6th while Ashaar will be dangerous on the front end I think he will have to step forward and clean up his act late to hold off Claytnthelinheart today. Thought he ran awesome off the bench and will be closer to today’s pace.

In the Hot Springs I much prefer both Boldor and CZ Rocket to Whitmore. Can’t wait to watch him beat me yet again.

In The Rebel I much prefer Caddo River to Concert Tour. I get the knocks but I think he will be pretty tough to run down gunning from the rail. While it seems like Big Lake is the obvious wiseguy horse I’m guessing he will be shorter than the horse absurdly low on the ML in Super Stock...but I actually like SS in here a touch. Horse is training like he’s stepped forward from 2 to 3 and has always shown talent. Had some subtle trips, has tactical speed...would really need to make a major leap forward but I’ll be using today.

The last looks like an absolute minefield. Instead of spreading I’m going to use 7 and 13 who look most likely to me and hope to be alive.

GL

moses 03-13-2021 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by theguarantee (Post 1150228)
Thanks for posting Moses. Good luck today. Couple brief thoughts:

In the 6th while Ashaar will be dangerous on the front end I think he will have to step forward and clean up his act late to hold off Claytnthelinheart today. Thought he ran awesome off the bench and will be closer to today’s pace.

In the Hot Springs I much prefer both Boldor and CZ Rocket to Whitmore. Can’t wait to watch him beat me yet again.

In The Rebel I much prefer Caddo River to Concert Tour. I get the knocks but I think he will be pretty tough to run down gunning from the rail. While it seems like Big Lake is the obvious wiseguy horse I’m guessing he will be shorter than the horse absurdly low on the ML in Super Stock...but I actually like SS in here a touch. Horse is training like he’s stepped forward from 2 to 3 and has always shown talent. Had some subtle trips, has tactical speed...would really need to make a major leap forward but I’ll be using today.

The last looks like an absolute minefield. Instead of spreading I’m going to use 7 and 13 who look most likely to me and hope to be alive.

GL

I wanted to use both Concert Tour and Caddo River but it just got too expensive. I love Concert Tour so I’m just jumping in and hoping for the best.

Once I realize that I messed up the earlier Pick 4, I added Boldor and CZ Rocket to my late Pick 4 wager. I really like Engage and not sure what to make of Flagstaff adding blinkers. That should be an interesting race.

In the 8th, Ashaar looks like the main speed but I have a feeling he will get pace pressure so I wanted to cover with those other two. I think that makes sense.

Thanks and good luck.

Alabama Stakes 03-13-2021 12:27 PM

CZ Rocket has poor record at Oaklawn. Whitmore has a very good one.

Dahoss 03-13-2021 12:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1150234)
CZ Rocket has poor record at Oaklawn. Whitmore has a very good one.

This is lazy. CZ Rocket has run 4 times there. 3 of those races were two turns and the last time was when he was in the worst form of his career and was claimed by Miller who turned him into a buzzsaw.

If he loses it won’t be because of his poor record at Oaklawn.

moses 03-13-2021 01:14 PM

Oaklawn Race 4
$2 ex. box 1-2-6
$5 win 6
$5 double 1,6 / 3

Dahoss 03-13-2021 01:19 PM

Aqueduct 4th
Win #4

Conrad 03-13-2021 01:28 PM

Oaklawn R4:

$20 win: 4

moses 03-13-2021 01:36 PM

Damn. I thought I had it.

Conrad 03-13-2021 01:40 PM

Aqu R6:

$4 ex: 3-4 w 6
$15 win: 6

Dahoss 03-13-2021 02:08 PM

Interesting tactics there. That looked more scripted than Wrestlemania

Alabama Stakes 03-13-2021 02:14 PM

Gulf 7
 
$10 exacta
7/
5-8-9

moses 03-13-2021 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1150245)
Interesting tactics there. That looked more scripted than Wrestlemania

One of the benefits to the 6 missing in race 4 is that I wasn’t alive to the double there because I would have lost my mind with that ride on Letruska.

moses 03-13-2021 02:25 PM

Ashaar at even money odds is ridiculous.

Dahoss 03-13-2021 02:36 PM

Oaklawn 6th
Win #2

moses 03-13-2021 02:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1150249)
Oaklawn 6th
Win #2

Nice one.

Dahoss 03-13-2021 03:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1150249)
Oaklawn 6th
Win #2

$19.80

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1150250)
Nice one.

Thanks

Dahoss 03-13-2021 03:14 PM

Gulfstream 9th
Win #1

Alabama Stakes 03-13-2021 03:14 PM

Ramon Vasquez hit that 3 hoss 30 times with the stick....wow

Dahoss 03-13-2021 03:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1150253)
Ramon Vasquez hit that 3 hoss 30 times with the stick....wow

Fascinating...

RolloTomasi 03-13-2021 03:36 PM

Speaking of excessive punishment, how about Nancy Holthus' post-race interview with Steve Asmussen?

3-minute interview in which she did the talking for 2:55 minutes. I think Asmussen was able to get a couple of "Yeahs" in...

Dahoss 03-13-2021 03:42 PM

If you really want excessive punishment turn on the Santa Anita feed. The sooner that place closes the better. Put it out of its misery.

moses 03-13-2021 03:44 PM

Oaklawn 8
$10 win 9
Pick 3
9 / 6,8,10 / 1,2,4,6,7

RolloTomasi 03-13-2021 03:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1150256)
If you really want excessive punishment turn on the Santa Anita feed. The sooner that place closes the better. Put it out of its misery.

Where else can you watch a 4-horse field featuring a 3yo 1/2 brother to a Triple Crown winner versus a 4yo filly coming off a 20-length defeat?

Alabama Stakes 03-13-2021 04:12 PM

He looks like a cannon, then finished very strongly.

jms62 03-13-2021 04:14 PM

Oaklawn 9

2,10/6,7/1,4,6,7/2,5,7,11,13

Conrad 03-13-2021 04:16 PM

Oaklawn R9

$8 win/$12 Place #8

jms62 03-13-2021 04:20 PM

I Would say 25 lengths is a bit much to make up

knickslions2 03-13-2021 04:22 PM

How does 9 not get past there geeze killer

Conrad 03-13-2021 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Conrad (Post 1150263)
Oaklawn R9

$8 win/$12 Place #8

Lovely :eek:
Almost won the photo for last place

moses 03-13-2021 04:23 PM

Lol I suck

Dahoss 03-13-2021 04:23 PM

LMAO I had $4 pick 3’s singled to CZ Rocket with all but 2 and 5 there :zz:

Which means CZ Rocket is a lock

knickslions2 03-13-2021 04:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1150269)
LMAO I had $4 pick 3’s singled to CZ Rocket with all but 2 and 5 there :zz:

Which means CZ Rocket is a lock

Almost makes up for losing that pick 4

jms62 03-13-2021 04:43 PM

Oaklawn 10

$100 Win 7

Dahoss 03-13-2021 04:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1150270)
Almost makes up for losing that pick 4

Huh?

Dahoss 03-13-2021 04:49 PM

Oaklawn 10th
Pick 3
7/ 1/ ALL


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