6/8 (BEL): 151st Belmont Stakes Day ~ 8 G1's
BELMONT STAKES
1. Joevia (Sacco/Lezcano) 30-1 2. Everfast (Romans/Saez) 12-1 3. Master Fencer (Tsunoda/Leparoux) 8-1 4. Tax (Gargan/I. Ortiz) 15-1 5. Bourbon War (Hennig/Smith) 12-1 6. Spinoff (Pletcher/Castellano) 15-1 7. Sir Winston (Casse/Rosario) 12-1 8. Intrepid Heart (Pletcher/Velazquez) 10-1 9. War of Will (Casse/Gaffalione) 2-1 10. Tacitus (Mott/J. Ortiz) 9-5 OVERNIGHT: http://www.equibase.com/premium/eqbH...-BEL-20190608D |
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You’d be hard pressed to give two worse rides in a row than Mike Smith just did. Scary bad.
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Mike Smith could have definitely got him out.
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Another Smith gem
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Nice main track these last few days. Not sure why or how but unacceptable as a bettor. Kind of taints what should have been a fantastic day.
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Good call on the winner, mr hoss.
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Thought Spinoff was Winston, must be spinnin too many joints of the ice cream cake, which I rate at 5 ⭐️
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As handicappers, we can pick up a bias pretty quickly if we're paying attention. So I don't feel like I have any big disadvantage if there is a bias. But by the same token, I don't like it. It's just one extra thing to worry about and an extra factor to focus on. I know that tracks are not going to be the exact same every day. There are factors that can change the track that are out of their control. That's part of the game. I'm fine with that. But for them to go out of their way to intentionally change the track and make it lightening fast is inexcusable. |
How is a track being "lightning fast" inexcusable? How does that affect the results?
Asking for a friend. |
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But why would management go out of their way to intentionally make the track lightening fast (which causes a speed bias)? Nobody wants them to do that. It makes the track play totally differently from the way it normally plays. How could they not know that their customers don't want them to do that? Do they think people want to have to totally change the way they handicap? |
Playing the bias 101
It must have affected the results a little. There was one guy who did not have a single winner on top on Friday or Saturday. Pretty amazing feat on the 2 big days of the meet with all those races.
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Tacitus
I’d say I’m more upset Tacitus ran about two miles in a 1 1/2 mile race. Sir Winston ran the route exactly as I hoped the ten would. Four wide all the way around isn’t much of a ride.
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Don’t be such a baby
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Coming from you, it’s a compliment. And I am not jealous of you or anyone. I don’t root against or wish bad things on you or anyone else. Try admitting when you’re wrong, and you might feel better about yourself. The past is not the lowest form of conversation. It’s awesome. The condescending way that you talk to people is really the lowest. |
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Rupert, there wasn’t a big speed bias. There was a big rail bias.
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Working with horseman to find a surface a majority want priority two Taking a call from "they" to speed the track up is a fantasy ESPECIALLY this day and age of hypersensitivity to track conditions and horse fatalities. BTW who do you think made the call Yo Glenn scrape the surface we want fast times for TV? |
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I think there was totally a speed bias both Friday and Saturday. There may have been a rail bias too. I don't focus on rail biases or outside biases because they are too hard to determine conclusively. It's not too hard to figure out if there's a speed bias. Rail biases are harder to determine conclusively, at least for me. |
The King of Comedy is such a good movie. It really does not deserve this.
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I will take your word for it that there was a rail bias. It's not something I focus on. |
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http://live.drf.com/nuggets/48281-in...t-s-main-track |
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Don’t change ever. |
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