3/2 (GP): FOY (G2), Palm Beach, Very One, Bride, CDN, T-SPR, Fox (G3's)
 

Nice post for Vekoma. Looking for a big race from him!!

Could you elaborate a little on why ? I know you and Moses are high on this hoss.
He seems to have bad action. He is seldom running straight. To me these guys rarely go forward as 3 year olds. I can’t see him even hitting the board.
Though in anothertwistafate I like the deuce Epic Dreamer to wire the field. Vekoma did beat him breaking his maiden, but I think with the Holy Bull under his belt, he can keep going. The Hough guy is interesting also.

This should strengthen your opinion on Vekoma if anything.

I wonder how people that took 23:1 on Global Campaign in the Derby future pool feel about him likely being north of 10:1 in this race.

Pretty funny when you think about it.

Hate to say it, I'm not a fan either.

There are probably some flaws in my thinking but he starts well, has early speed and finishes well, has been wide on the turn for both his races but still finishes well, has beaten Network Effect, Call Paul, Epic Dreamer, and Mihos (maybe no elite horses but each pretty good), thought his Nashua win was one of the more impressive wins of the 2YOs last year, has done this all without lasix (which is now added), like the pedigree a bit with Candy Ride as the sire and Speightstown as the damsire.

All that said, I’m really just dying to see him run again. I think what he’s done so far is a really nice foundation to build from but need to see him continue to impress.

His speed figures were very good as a two year old and Im sure got some of the kinks worked out. Horse is training well and has that Candy Ride appeal. Those races he won were against nice horses. Horses that have won races against some of the derby contenders. Of course its always a mystery for the first race at 3 but I think this one has a lot of positives. I think the favorite is more of a mystery here. As for the future bets I thought he was one of the few good values in the pool.

That reminds me. One more reason:

I’ve got a futures wager on him at 35-1. I didn’t double down in Pool 2 but figured I’ll see what he does in the FOY and maybe put more money on him if his odds still look nice in pool 3. I don’t see anything moving people too far off some of these other horses. And they all run on the 9th during the Pool 3 window so recency bias will likely benefit Vekoma (if he does win the FOY) for Pool 3 value.

I think he's the 4th most likely winner Saturday.

He's not. He's the second likeliest winner....regardless of where he finishes.

At least I got a good laugh today. Hes number 2 no matter how the race ends but I like him at 1.

I hope a lot of people think that.

I respect it.

Can I lock in that 7-2 on Chads horse in the 11th? Feels more like 7-5 to me.

Another embarrassing ML.

And the horse listed above her at 3-1 doesn’t look very good (and also sees Castellano switch over to the Chad horse you’ve mentioned).

I like the Motts horse a lot here. Hopefully Brown and Pletcher horses get hammered at windows

I'm a fan of her, she's not in the same world as the 1. Plus the draw only helps the 1 and hurts the 10. Unless you think she's winning with that JV 5 wide no cover special ride.

She somehow won with that ride last time. However, she is not beating Precieuse unless that one gets extremely unlucky.

I like the Mott horse as well but have to agree. The horse I’m particularly interested in to beat the 1 is the 4 La Signare. Works show that she is in good shape and although there are a few early runners and she faded last time out, she probably needed a race under her belt since she hadn’t run since July.

Speaking of not running since July, that’s got to be the biggest concern with Chad’s horse. She’s run once in the last year and a half. Although obviously she fired off a long layoff in July and Chad has no problem prepping these horses.

I'm not a big fan. Lynch horses all work fast, I wouldn't put much stock into that.

I like a horse in the 12th. Guess who....

Hmm. I’ll have to re evaluate. May simply not try to beat the 1.

Don't change anything based on me. To be honest if I was going to use another horse it would probably be the Lynch horse. Based on potential upside, probable trips and price. I'd probably use her over either outside horse. I can argue both sides of it regarding the 4.

I’m just going to take another look. I’ve only began to glance at the Saturday races, been working on today’s card at Gulfstream.

Edit: And embarrassed to admit I just noticed that Mucho is running in race 2. Will be worth watching.

Mucho currently sitting at 4-1 as someone $12,000 in the win pool on Lutsky and only $2,000 on Mucho. Let’s see if this stays.

Did a Servis fan just drop 10k on Lutsky not knowing about the trainer change? He has a shot...

I have Mucho as my A, Lutsky as my C, and none of the others even up for consideration. It’ll baffle me if Lutsky goes off below even money.

He's probably going to win, but Mucho will probably be better down the road. Lutsky wires him today.

Anyone have an idea of why Lutsky was transferred out of the Servis barn after the maiden romp??

Horses 1-4 have ALL been working lights out.

Awesome little race here.

Perhaps. I still like Mucho in this spot.

I have no idea but did notice a similar switch with another horse for these connections.

He could very well get DRUBBED here, but I just put $30 on the nose of Clement’s horse, the 5, off of that nice number at Tampa. Also did a $20 exacta 1-5

Had a shot. Nice hit on the exacta.

Does anyone know if the FOY's wire is at the first finish line?

I believe 1 1/16 are always the first wire. In fact, that was the reason they put it in.

Anyone have anything clever races 4-6? Im all ears.

Isn't Breaking the Rules in the 5th?

Yea. That's my point... pick 3 could pay about 8 bucks.