Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   Friday 7/27 Play (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=64747)

moses 07-27-2018 12:33 PM

Friday 7/27 Play
 
Saratoga 2
$20 double 5/1
$30 win 5

$0.50 Pick 4
2,5 / 1,8 / 1,2,3,4,6 / 1,3,5,10,11
($50)

moses 07-27-2018 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1113685)
Saratoga 2
$20 double 5/1
$30 win 5

$0.50 Pick 4
2,5 / 1,8 / 1,2,3,4,6 / 1,3,5,10,11
($50)

I’m terrible. But at least I put the 2 in my Pick 4.

moses 07-27-2018 01:08 PM

I should write a book on how to lose money very, very quickly.

knickslions2 07-27-2018 02:15 PM

Toga 7

$.50 late pick 4

2,3,4,9,10
1,4,8
1
1,3,4,6,9,10,11,15

$60

GL

knickslions2 07-27-2018 03:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1113694)
Toga 7

$.50 late pick 4

2,3,4,9,10
1,4,8
1
1,3,4,6,9,10,11,15

$60

GL

Canceled bet

jms62 07-27-2018 03:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1113688)
I should write a book on how to lose money very, very quickly.

Track is a mess today... Any work you did earlier is a toss when the track went sloppy and off.

saratogadew 07-27-2018 03:22 PM

Sar7 .50 Pick4

7) 3-6-10-11
8) 1-4-5-7
9) 1-4
10) 3-6-8-9

64.00

moses 07-27-2018 03:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1113699)
Track is a mess today... Any work you did earlier is a toss when the track went sloppy and off.

Yeah, I should have just not bet. I didn’t realize how bad it was until I could barely see the horses in race 3.

jms62 07-27-2018 04:03 PM

Sar 8

$10 Ex Box 2,4

knickslions2 07-27-2018 04:36 PM

Toga 9

$20 win 2

jms62 07-27-2018 04:43 PM

Toga 9

$20 DBL 2,5/1

$20 Show 2

jms62 07-27-2018 04:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1113707)
Toga 9

$20 DBL 2,5/1

$20 Show 2

^^
Worst play of the meet if not the year :zz:

moses 07-27-2018 04:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1113708)
^^
Worst play of the meet if not the year :zz:

Im sure I’ve made worse.

I was considering putting $200 on Hofburg. But my dad would kick my ass if he ever found out I put something like that on a 1/5 shot. Hofburg looked good but what a weak field.

jms62 07-27-2018 05:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1113709)
Im sure I’ve made worse.

I was considering putting $200 on Hofburg. But my dad would kick my ass if he ever found out I put something like that on a 1/5 shot. Hofburg looked good but what a weak field.

That would be a horrible play. In a situation like that when he has 164 K of 201 in the show pool you want to play another horse to show. If Hofburg runs out you collect a bundle but unlike me you need to pick a horse that finishes in the money.

moses 07-27-2018 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1113710)
That would be a horrible play. In a situation like that when he has 164 K of 201 in the show pool you want to play another horse to show. If Hofburg runs out you collect a bundle but unlike me you need to pick a horse that finishes in the money.

Agreed. I’d never actually make that play. To clarify, it would have been $200 to win, but I’d still never do that. Too many variables to risk $200 for a 20% return.

Plus Saratoga has been killing me. I’ve been making some money at Del Mar and losing it the next day at Saratoga. I’ll save my bigger bets for Del Mar for now.

moses 07-27-2018 05:22 PM

Saratoga 10

$10 win 10

jms62 07-27-2018 05:54 PM

Dmr 1

$20 Dbl 10/7,8

moses 07-27-2018 06:01 PM

Del Mar 1

$1 Pick 3
5,10/1,5,6,7,8/3,5,10

$30

moses 07-27-2018 06:19 PM

Del Mar 2
$1 Pick 3
1,5,6,7,8/3,5,10/5,6,9

jms62 07-27-2018 06:29 PM

Dmr 2

$10 DBL 8/7,8,10

Alabama Stakes 07-28-2018 09:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1113709)
Im sure I’ve made worse.

I was considering putting $200 on Hofburg. But my dad would kick my ass if he ever found out I put something like that on a 1/5 shot. Hofburg looked good but what a weak field.

Hey Mo. the idea of this game is to bet a little...to win a lot. Not bet a lot , to win a little. Please proceed with this approach.

moses 07-28-2018 09:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1113745)
Hey Mo. the idea of this game is to bet a little...to win a lot. Not bet a lot , to win a little. Please proceed with this approach.

Haha. Good point there. That’s generally my approach. Singling Hofburg in a horizontal bet was a much better play than trying to bet him heavy to win. Just one of those things that crosses my mind...and then gets dismissed as a stupid idea. I have a lot of stupid ideas pop into my head. But I’d never actually make a wager like that.

Maybe this is a simple way to look at it but a $10 DD of Hofburg with the 1 & 11 (the two co-favorites in Race 10 yesterday) would have cost $20 but paid $61.00. Would have had to wager $164 on Hofburg to win to win $41.00.

jms62 07-28-2018 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1113748)
Haha. Good point there. That’s generally my approach. Singling Hofburg in a horizontal bet was a much better play than trying to bet him heavy to win. Just one of those things that crosses my mind...and then gets dismissed as a stupid idea. I have a lot of stupid ideas pop into my head. But I’d never actually make a wager like that.

Maybe this is a simple way to look at it but a $10 DD of Hofburg with the 1 & 11 (the two co-favorites in Race 10 yesterday) would have cost $20 but paid $61.00. Would have had to wager $164 on Hofburg to win to win $41.00.

That is the way to play it. In a full field at a big meet like Saratoga often times the Exacta offers value. You just don't want to use too many horses underneath. Too many folks use too many horses so they need to maintain a high win percentage. You can make money winning 5-10% of the time provided you aren't playing chalk chalk. You just need the stomach for it. I find cursing and ranting and raving helps ;)


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:35 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.