Weds 12/9: AQU Inner Track Opening Day
 

A new meet hopefully a turn around for the past few weeks disasterous handicapping.

My stats are:
- $14,379.80
233-27-42-31

Race 1: 2-Comfort Level $60W$40P
Claimed for 35K dropping to 14K. DiPrima is 2/6 with this move + $2.37
Going turf to dirt


Race 2: 4-First Showing $60W$40P
Had trouble at the start in maiden voyage, bullet work 11/28
CC can get them out of the gate


Race 3: 6-Triple Play $100WP
Adds blinkers,Franco been riding well last 7 days. 25-7-2-3


Race 4: 6-Wynhurst $200WIN
Has the highest speed figure at 6F


Race 5: 6-Uno Emayo $60W$40P
Interesting race, loads on speed on paper. My pick is Rudy's "other" horse. He has the ML 4/5 horse (3) which is first time starting for him.
You'll see him coming late

Race 6: 2-Powered Crazed $60W$40P
First time in Rudy Rods barn, he's 28% off the claim. Blinkers go on


Race 7: 3-Pegasus Red $60W$40P
One of his best races was 3/15/15 over this track which was a win. 93 speed rating


Race 8: 1-Majestic Bloom $100WP
Has only one race on dirt, which was a win..all be it on a wet track. Should get right to the front


Race 9: 4-Rich Dalone $100WP
His race 2/8/15 over this surface was very good. Today is third race off layoff
7/10 ITM with 4-2nds

Have a great Inner track opening day.
My two plays would be -

1st- Lady Liana
6th- Power Crazed

Race 1: 2-4-6

My pick won paying $7.60 $4.00

I should quit, undefeated on the inner :o

Race was only between 2 & 4 ..5 threw the jock right out of the gate

Here are the fractions 24.2 48.2 1:13.2 1:39.4 1:44.1

Race 2: 3-2-1

My pick ran out..

Fractions: 24.1 :50- 1:16.3 1:43.2 1:47.3

2 set the "pace" held for 2nd, 6 rank loading into gate made nice move flattened out.. My pick 4 just ran one paced worked hard to get 4th

Race 3: 5-3-6

My pick ran 3rd, hung like a Walmart Suit..

Three races every race the horse cutting the fractions ended up 2nd

Fractions: 22.4 :46.1 :59- 1:12.2

3-1-0-1
$7.60 winner price

Race 4: 7-6-5

My pick ran 2nd at 3/5

Once again speed ran 1/2 a trend is beginning


23.1 :46.1 :58.2 1:11.2

Hopefully you aren't betting $200 Win on a 3/5 shot trying to dig out of a 14K hole.

Race 5: 3-2-5-6

My pick ran 4th, the other Rudy horse won at odds on

5th straight race, the winner hasn't been worse than 2nd at any call

:22.4 :46.1 :58.4 1:12-

jms62:

I place my bets by 8 AM daily, never look at the odds..
The hole I've dug will be "fixed" within a week... Stay tuned

You don't look at odds when you bet? I'm afraid that hole is going to get deeper.

My horse that I bet can't read the tote board, so what do the odds matter to him or me ? Your comments made no sense to me at all

Let's see where I'm at next week at this time..

:cool: Will be interesting to watch and hopefully I will learn something from you cause I can't for the life of me figure a scenario where winning at an 11% Clip and betting 3/5 shots is going to get you out of a 14 K hole in a week...Always looking to learn. Good Luck.

Race 6: 1-2-5-3

My pick ran 2nd $4.60

The 2 was no worse than second at any call. 1 made a nice winning move

:24- :48.1 1:12.3 1:38.3 1:45.1

This is from your other post
So odds questions aside,
Despite your advice to everyone else, how could you honestly take advantage or make alterations to any potential biases, if all your bets are in by 8am?

An example is the 4th race. Would you really bet 200 to winon a 3-5 favorite. There is no value in a bet like that. High risk low reward. Sometimes the best bet is when you sit out a race. I'm no expert but the people who do well watch the tote and make bets based upon return on investment. Good luck rest of the way. Would like to see a good comeback

Is this worst then anything I did in my younger days?

I posted that for anyone who chose to read. Where did I say what I posted is my advice to anyone??

I do my handicapping a day in advance, for 23 years I've been placing my bets by 8AM... What I've see today, I'll adjust into my handicapping for tomorrow..

Race 7: 7-6-9

My pick ran out

The 6 was no worse than 2nd entire race

23- :46.1 :58.3 1:11.3

But thats my point, sometimes the track changes from race to race let alone from day to day. You are at a HUGE disadvantage by putting bets in at 8am and we're not even talking about possible scratches that affect the way a race might be ran.

I have to say something, today there seemed to be quite a few "birds" chirping in here about my style of betting...
It's very easy to sit on the sidelines with your comments. Why don't you post your daily,plays ??
As I stated from my very first day here, it's hit or miss...lately it's been more miss...

I was bought up with these skill sets, if you don't have something nice to say don't say it....

I'll leave it at that...


I will continue posting my daily picks, no one has to reply. Not doing it to impress anyone...

That's it, for anyone who is really betting I wish you well...

Those arm chair QBs move on from me

From what I've seen today, you have to be no worse than 3rd... I will take that into advisement as I handicap now for Thursday..
Am I at a disadvantage possibly, but I've been doing this now for 23 years. Hard to teach an "old dog" new tricks

I do thank you for your comments

Just trying to find out your strategy and see if we are missing something. As for posting picks everyone commenting are frequently posting picks. Some pretty successful

I think everyone has actually been very complementary to you as I've seen many well wishes going your way. I've seen new guys come in, start posting and get absolutely roasted, this has been far from the case as everyone seems to be gennerally rooting for you.

But you cant kill people for having questions about your strategies, especially with the amounts you say that you are pushing through the windows. If that's the case, why post them at all?

There are a couple of very good cappers on this board and I've been fortunate to learn a little from all of them. That's what this place is all about. Just like we are trying to gain an edge by asking you certain questions, you could quite possibly learn something from some of the people that post here.

Best of Luck, I'd really like to see you make a comeback.

The arm chair quarterbacks post their REAL MONEY picks in the selections thread and have been doing so for years. They are experienced enough to see that you have absolutely no chance whatsoever of digging out of this 14 K hole in a week especially betting Win bets on odds on favorites. We tried to tactfully point that out but now you have copped an attitude.

Maybe I'm just cranky with this cold steak I'm going through... Thus my short comments... yes many are rooting for my comeback...

I DO play every bet that I post, in fact sometimes even more... My "mentor" questions my strategy daily by the way... He gets frustrated with me..
I'm a stubborn person, am constantly reading books,trends,angles...

I used to play the Grand Slam everyday I gave up after going 0-29

I do thank you for your kind words

As I've stated now 3 times I place my bets EVERY morning at 8AM so I have NO idea what the odds on my horse will be at post time.....

You and others say me betting early is not good, I do it for the following reasons:

1-Some of my picks are longer prices, if I wait till post and see those odds I've been known to change my mind thus causing me to either not bet

2- I am out of my house quite a bit and don't want to miss the races I've chosen to bet for the day

3- been doing this for 23 years and my habits are hard to change


Final point, you say you doubt I can get out of this hole in a week...tell you what it WILL happen... And not by betting 3/5 shots...

If you took offense to my comments I'm sorry, as I've stated from the first day I ever posted in here. I'm doing this me, not to impress anyone...

I've been very polite to everyone in here since my arrival, I wish people well in their threads....

Race 8: 4-3-5

My pick ran out

Race 9: 11-4-7

My pick ran 2nd, $4.40


9-1-3-1
Bet: $1,300
Collected: $620
- $680

Lonestar I understand why you need to bet by 8am but why not make them conditional
wagers based on the price you wish to accept. No one ever lost money passing a race.

LoneStar, I have to say that I have been on this board for several years and have never seen the guys (and gals) be so supportive and patient. I feel like i'm in the Twilight Zone.

I wish you good luck going forward, but have to say, I can't see this turning around without a change of strategy. I hope you prove me wrong and I can learn something too.
Betting into tracks with larger fields may help?

I thank you for your words...

Hopefully Turfway Park turns it around for me.. I'm working on reinventing the "wheel"