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Champions Who Failed As Stallions
On another thread ... as a result of the possible retirement of Bernardini ... a youngster ... who doesn't know very much about this game ... asked me if a champion racehorse was ever a failure as a stallion.
I replied ... "Why sure, son ... there have been lots of them" ... and supplied this partial list for him to study and ponder ... Ponder ... Citation ... Coaltown ... Hill Prince ... Iron Liege ... Tim Tam ... Nadir ... Sword Dancer ... Bald Eagle ... Crimson Satan ... Jaipur ... Ridan ... Never Bend ... Bold Lad ... Successor ... Dr. Fager ... Vitriolic ... Arts And Letters ... Personality ... Riva Ridge ... Ack Ack ... Sham ... Wajima ... Bold Forbes ... Youth ... Affirmed ... Spectacular Bid ... Lord Avie ... Temperence Hill ... Conquistador Cielo ... Devil's Bag ... Chief's Crown ... Spend A Buck ... Vanlandingham ... Turkoman ... Smile ... Alysheba ... Ferdinand ... Groovy ... Easy Goer ... Risen Star ... Rhythm ... Blushing John ... Steinlen ...Fly So Free ... Criminal Type ... Housebuster ... Arazi ... Hansel ... Black Tie Affair ... Gilded Time ... Pleasant Tap ... Rubiano ... Dehere ... Bertrando ... Timber Country ... Holy Bull ... Cigar ... Skip Away ... Lit De Justice ... Favorite Trick ... Silver Charm ... Free House ... Answer Lively ... Real Quiet ... Victory Gallop ... Artax ... Can anyone out there add a few more ... to help educate one of our eager and deserving young friends? |
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The poster who "guaranteed" that Bernardini will be a success as a stallion ... is just a starry-eyed youngster ... who's aware that he knows absolutely nothing about thoroughbred racing ... but ... ... at least he asked a real authority on the game ... me ... for help. Give him a little credit for wanting to learn ... won't you? |
That's a distorted list. Some horses never had a chance . . . Dr. Fager for one. And the final chapter on some horses has yet to be written . . . Conquistador Cielo is an example.
Before Bernardini, how many Triple Crown races had the progeny of AP Indy won? Zero. Yet AP Indy was bred to the very best mares, his offspring sold for the highest prices, and his offspring was sent to the very best barns. Yet for Triple Crown races he was less than 1 for 1000 or so. Now he's about 1 for 1000. Depends on how you define a failure. Maybe at $300,000 AP Indy could be defined as a failure too. Some people say Grindstone is a failure. Yet his offspring won a Triple Crown race before AP Indy's offspring did. Think about that. $5,000 fee for Grindstone vs. $300,000 fee for AP Indy. |
Seabiscuit, Whirlaway, Gallant Fox, Assault, Twenty Grand
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Some excellent points Todko. AP Indy has had success served up to him on a plate.
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I have no problem betting a VGallop horse. his offspring may not look like much, but he gets runners. I dont have the numbers in front of me, but he produces winners at every level. Repent |
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Not very impressed Bold! |
yeah,
HBull has proved to be a useful sire. and Im not talking about Giacomo and Macho Uno b/c, although Grade 1 winners, those are just 2 horses out of hundreds. HBull's do well on turf when stretched out. maybe they are just high leveled claimers, but they are still runners. a failure at stud is a horse that cant get his horses to the track or a stud who simply does not produce winners. thats not the case for those that I mentioned. Repent |
Victory Gallop A Failure ?
I think Victory Gallop has had several Graded Stakes Winner's, so, I am not sure I would call that a failure.:)
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and its even more than that. stakes races and stakes runners are such a small percentage of thoroughbred racing. I handicap VGallop runners at Calder, Colonial, Beulah, Belmont, Inner Aqueduct, Outer Aqueduct, Arlignton, Fairmont, Emerald, ..................wherever and they win at every level(claiming, allowance, overnight stakes, graded stakes). his horses look terrible a lot of times. but they can run and they are competitive. that makes him an excellent sire in my book. he is like a poor man's Marias Mon. marias mon is my favorite sre b/c they win everywhere. sprint, route, dirt, turf, off track, whatever..........they are runners. Repent |
Conquistador Cielo-
You see a lot of his offspring out in Cali. They seem to be allright, especialy in sprint ranks. Repent brings up a good point about horses even getting to the track... If the Sire is producing what appear to be freakishly talented runners, but that are also freakishly injury prone, is that considered successful? How would you brand Fu Peg so far based on this point? |
Sire: Victory Gallop
Thanks, Repent ! This is probably one of my all time favorite horses and I always follow his progeny and have won a lot of money on these youngsters. I couldn't believe what I was reading.
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its the whole triple crown lunacy that blinds so many fans. Im not saying thats what BB was doing, but its the most overemphasized part of the game. Vgallop performed well in the triple crown races. so ppl want to see his horses do well in the triple crown races and consider him a disappointment when they do not. its BS. same for Free House. he was a very good California sire when he was alive. so what if they did not run in triple crown races. its just 3 races, and to be honest, the Preakness and Belmont are 2 of the softer Grade 1 races around at this point. the Haskell and Travers almost always come up tougher as far as 3Yo Grade 1 races are concerned. Repent |
This list is absurd. It includes many stallions - like Ack Ack, Affirmed, Lord Avie, Conquistador Cielo, Devil's Bag, too many to list - who had good, productive careers as stallions. So they never led the sire lists; a lot of good sires don't . Many of those named figured among the top 10 or 20 during their careers. Horses who sire 9% SWs are not failures. Now Personality, that was a failure.
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But the poster was trying to put into context how the performance of some in the shed fall short of their performances on the track. |
There's also a difference between success at stud as "fashionable" and success at stud unfashionably..
Pleasant Tap is a 'success' if anyone is willing to let the progeny ripen. Through '04, Tap's stats yield 74% runners, 49% winners and 8% stakes winners. At $10,000 a clip, he's the greatest bargain in breeding.. Turf.. Dirt.. routes.. sprints.. Tap Dance City, Tap the Admiral (RIP), PT's Grey Eagle, Pleasant Breeze, Tap to Music.. And he get's his get from ordinary mares. But the breeding industry is precocious crazy and care little about soundness and longevity, so Pleasant Tap is a "failure" at stud.. Myopic.. |
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Big difference between commerical failure and failure in general. Most start at such a high stud fee that the expectations are insane to begin with. |
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Louisborg, Victorious Ami, Separato, Red Lifesaver, Rousing Victory. Now that being said....I think BB is correct to say that Victory Gallop has not been a real big success as a sire. Being a sire of decent claimers and the occasional small stakes winner is fine, but as Oracle suggests, it isn't exactly what most people hope for when they send a champion like VG to the shed. The list on the whole I think is rather good, but I have to take some issue with Affirmed. The Tin Man Flawlessly Affirmed Success Quiet Resolve Affluent Zoman Peteski Those were all MULTIPLE G1 winners by Affirmed which makes me wonder just how many MULTIPLE G1 winners you need to sire before you are no longer considered a failure. Add those names to his long list of other graded stakes winners and his success as a broodmare sire.....and I think calling him a failure is a tad inaccurate. |
I opened my 2006 stallion register, which is complete to the end of October,2005. Victory Gallop had at that time three crops of racing age, the oldest being 4; from 192 named foals, he had 67% runners (only 11 of 54 2yos), 49% winners (5 of those 11 2yos) and 10 SWs (0 2yo). Obviously, he isn't a sire of early maturing stock. If you consider only his 3 and 4yos, he had 80% runners, 65% winners from foals, and 7% SWs, which are not bad numbers for a very young stud career. No homeruns yet, just a lot of steady singles and doubles.
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Not one of these horses has close to the pedigree, conformation, and race record of Bernardini. Not even close. Some on your list were not too bad either. Just to let you know, the mares have a little to do with it too. A horse like Bernardini, mainly because of his pedigree on top and bottom, will attract nothing but the best. |
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I keep looking at the pedigree of Bernardini and I'm frankly confounded by all these claims of "best pedigree ever".....I see nothing that I don't see in most stakes level thoroughbreds. AP Indy (who I'm not in love with as some "super sire") is known for his pedigree...Seattle Slew atop the great Secretariat broodmare Weekend Surprise. Good enough! But his dam side leaves me less than excited...Cara Rafaela is the daughter of Quiet American (ho hum) so you get the Fappiano (double ho hum), Mr P, RAN line that until this year was considered a kiss of death for the Derby...Oil Fable, Cara's dam out of The Bid (not a rousing success at stud). What's all the fuss????? |
Cigar and Precisionist are at the top of the list:rolleyes:
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How you don't love AP Indy is pretty remarkable. He is a Seattle Slew out of a Secretariat Mare. It looks like he will have sired 2 of the last 4 Horses of the Year. |
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He may not have enough races under his belt when he retires to be an "all time great", but you cant say that he is not the total package. Great breeding, confirmation... he has it all. Oh yea and 3 grade 1 wins and 2 grade 2 wins in 7 starts doesnt hurt either. |
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Again, don't put words into my mouth...I never said the pedigree was bad, I simply question those claiming it's somehow superior to all others...simply isn't so! I listed three horses with imo better pedigrees, I could if I wanted to take the time probably list a dozen or more. Bernardini's confirmation, movement and racing prowess were NOT the topic here...only his pedigree! I have never said he wasn't a special horse! |
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... you cite two ... neither of whom remotely established a male line or had a sizable string of graded stakes winners. They were failures as stallions. The only name on my original list that I would withdraw is Ack Ack ... whose male line still exists ... albeit by a thread. I'm defining success by racing performance of their offspring ... and the establishment of a male line. Financial success doesn't count ... because most of that occurs immediaitely on syndication ... and disappears when the kids can't run. |
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None of them even remotely came close to establishing a successful male line ... nor did any of them sire a long string of successful graded stakes winners ... that's how. Siring allowance winners that you cashed a bet on is not the measure of a succcessful stallion. |
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None of their names will likely appear as the male progenitor of future champions. |
Just a few more recent runners who have pedigrees I'd prefer to Bernardini:
Fusaichi Pegasus Aptitude AP Valentine Medaglia d'Oro Saarland War Emblem Birdstone...you want a special dam side, his dam, Dear Birdie ranks with Toussaud, a Reines-de-Course and Blue Hen! Noble Causeway...that one is up for debate perhaps. |
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It's extremely rare for a stallion's offspring to get better as he gets older ... so it's very, very unlikely that Victory Gallop will ever produce a series of G1 or other graded stakes winners ... nor that any of his sons will become successful stallions. |
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... not by the number of bets you cash on claiming and allowance races. Sires of Runners: There is a statistic called the Lifetime Average Earnings Index (Lifetime AEI) ... which provides a good measure of success as a sire of runners. Only stallions with Lifetime AEI's above 3.00 are generally considered to be successful sires of runners. I don't have that figure for all of the stallions I cited ... but I doubt if any of them are anywhere near 3.00. Also important is the percentage of stakes winners ... which should be above 10% ... and as high as 15% or more for the great stallions. None of the stallions I cited comes close to those figures. Sires of Sires: This becomes evident when a stallions sons go to stud. It's a bit early for some of the more recent horses on my list ... but it's highly doubtful that any of them will produce one or more sons who are success at stud. Broodmare Sires: Same as Sires of Sires ... but on the female side. |
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... of the nearly 70 horses on it ... you cite only 5 possible exceptions ... and provide no data ... none whatsoever ... to support your insipid ... as always ... assertions. Hey Annie-Phonie ... why don't you cite their Lifetime AEI's ... or their SW% ... or their Broodmare CI's ... or their lists of successful sons at stud? Huh ... huh ... huh? Or could it be .. once again .. that you're full of crap ... and haven't the slightest idea of what you're saying? |
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... it's the emotional reaction that counts. |
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