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-   -   TVG offering guaranteed 4/1 on California Chrome (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=53801)

letswastemoney 05-01-2014 03:16 PM

TVG offering guaranteed 4/1 on California Chrome
 
Only if you bet at a certain time tomorrow.

This didn't work out so well for bettors when they did something similar for Game On Dude in the San Antonio. Seems strange. Then again, maybe TVG will not lose much since they're only offering this for a one hour period?

10 pnt move up 05-01-2014 03:18 PM

4/1 seems completely fair. With the scratches over the past month or so this horse seems like a standout and his chances of winning are higher than that.

intense 05-01-2014 05:45 PM

$25 max, I'll toss that on it and it will be my only win bet on Cali Chrome most likely. Not bad value as he should go off at 5/2 or so.

RockHardTen1985 05-01-2014 05:48 PM

I would not bet him at 10-1, but I guess I can see why you would take 4-1 when he will be around 5-2 at post time. I think 5-2 and 4-1 are underlays on this horse.

knickslions2 05-01-2014 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 975969)
I would not bet him at 10-1, but I guess I can see why you would take 4-1 when he will be around 5-2 at post time. I think 5-2 and 4-1 are underlays on this horse.

Seriously???? :eek:

jms62 05-01-2014 06:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 975969)
I would not bet him at 10-1, but I guess I can see why you would take 4-1 when he will be around 5-2 at post time. I think 5-2 and 4-1 are underlays on this horse.

JFC I wanted to beat him now He'll be a mortal lock.

knickslions2 05-01-2014 07:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 975992)
JFC I wanted to beat him now He'll be a mortal lock.

Who you looking at? I'm going to have Crome in exactas cause if he breaks well and takes to the track he will win. He is the best horse in the race. I am interested in intense holiday tapiture and candy boy. Intense holiday reminds me of monarchos setup, candy boy needed last race and expect him to run good here and I'm throwing out tapiture a last race. They all need to improve to beat chrome and need a nice hot pace which shouldn't be a problem. Of course I may change my mind by morning.

RockHardTen1985 05-01-2014 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 975975)
Seriously???? :eek:

100% serious. 6 or 8-1 would be fair. Why would I want this horse at 4-1 or 5-2?

10 pnt move up 05-01-2014 07:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 975998)
100% serious. 6 or 8-1 would be fair. Why would I want this horse at 4-1 or 5-2?

What are his flaws?

knickslions2 05-01-2014 07:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 975998)
100% serious. 6 or 8-1 would be fair. Why would I want this horse at 4-1 or 5-2?

You said you wouldn't bet him at 10-1. That's crazy and I would love to know why.

RockHardTen1985 05-01-2014 07:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 976001)
You said you wouldn't bet him at 10-1. That's crazy and I would love to know why.

I dont like the horse. I have said it for weeks. Somewhere between 6 and 10-1 would be fair odds, and I still would not bet him at fair odds. This was before the draw. The draw makes him even less likely with sharp speed inside and out. I think the 20 is moving forward at the right time and I think the race sets up better for him. I think Candy Boy is being totally ignored, and I think Intense Holiday will run well. Ill also use Uncle Sigh because he is no worst then the Big Rat and might be double the price and Chitu who I think got the absolute best of the draw and could pull the best trip.

letswastemoney 05-01-2014 07:42 PM

If you believe in TimeformUS, California Chrome isn't even the fastest.

RockHardTen1985 05-01-2014 07:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by letswastemoney (Post 976004)
If you believe in TimeformUS, California Chrome isn't even the fastest.

I know. People jumping on me about not liking him, comical. I believe Serling said on twitter he thinks half the field will challenge him. Thats not a direct quote, I dont even have twitter. Plus since when do we chalk out at all? Especially in a 20 horse race though.....

10 pnt move up 05-01-2014 07:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 976008)
I know. People jumping on me about not liking him, comical. I believe Serling said on twitter he thinks half the field will challenge him. Thats not a direct quote, I dont even have twitter. Plus since when do we chalk out at all? Especially in a 20 horse race though.....

This horse hardly needs the lead, how are they going to challenge him?

Just looking for you to provide reasons why you do not like him, other than the "I just like to pick against the favorite in the Derby", as we a all know its a hard race to win, its a safe position.

Aly-Sheba 05-01-2014 08:01 PM

I know on Steve's show they have been saying Intense Holiday has been training great all week. I just have a hard time playing a horse that was on the wrong lead down the stretch and lugged in bad in the La. Derby. Maybe it's the track because Vicars in trouble switched leads back and fourth, in his last couple races.

I think Ca. Chrome will have to sit a little off the pace to win. Which I think he can, but I will only play in the exotics.

10 pnt move up 05-01-2014 08:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aly-Sheba (Post 976012)
I know on Steve's show they have been saying Intense Holiday has been training great all week. I just have a hard time playing a horse that was on the wrong lead down the stretch and lugged in bad in the La. Derby. Maybe it's the track because Vicars in trouble switched leads back and fourth, in his last couple races.

I think Ca. Chrome will have to sit a little off the pace to win. Which I think he can, but I will only play in the exotics.

Intense Holiday is going to take play, maybe 3rd choice now?

knickslions2 05-01-2014 08:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 976013)
Intense Holiday is going to take play, maybe 3rd choice now?

Ya hoppertunity scratching kills his odds

SCUDSBROTHER 05-02-2014 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 976010)
This horse hardly needs the lead, how are they going to challenge him?

Just looking for you to provide reasons why you do not like him, other than the "I just like to pick against the favorite in the Derby", as we a all know its a hard race to win, its a safe position.

I took the 4-1, but doubt that I will collect...... Why?

1) He's small. Damn small horses lose photos.

2) Breeding :(

3) Change in Track.

4) Espinoza is better at throwing bombs than ducking them.

4-1 is fair (nothing less is.) Take a big bite lil fella!

my miss storm cat 05-02-2014 08:41 PM

I took it... was going to do a win bet anyway so yeah figured why not.

10 pnt move up 05-03-2014 05:40 PM

100% overlay, a bit of bookmaking there I guess, close as we come into the states.

dalakhani 05-03-2014 05:42 PM

:tro:
Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 975992)
JFC I wanted to beat him now He'll be a mortal lock.

:tro::tro::tro:

Seattleallstar 05-03-2014 05:47 PM

They haven't added the extra money to it yet, is this the same for everyone else?

my miss storm cat 05-03-2014 05:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seattleallstar (Post 976773)
They haven't added the extra money to it yet, is this the same for everyone else?

Didn't you get the email?

Dear Gioia,
Well done, you placed an eligible bet in the TVG Odds Boost promotion! If California Chrome wins the Kentucky Derby tomorrow you'll receive the official tote payout; the bonus to bring your payout to 4 to 1 will be credited within 48 hours. It will appear in your account separate to your official payout on California Chrome.

Best of luck!
TVG

Seattleallstar 05-03-2014 05:52 PM

I didn't get an email

Seattleallstar 05-03-2014 06:03 PM

I just emailed tvg and I did place the between 9 and 10 am Pacific

my miss storm cat 05-03-2014 06:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seattleallstar (Post 976787)
I just emailed tvg and I did place the between 9 and 10 am Pacific

Good luck. There shouldn't be any problem... don't worry. :)

SCUDSBROTHER 05-03-2014 06:30 PM

You rock, lil fella!

Indian Charlie 05-03-2014 06:44 PM

I wonder how many people middled Chrome using the TVG offer and some offshore exchange.

SCUDSBROTHER 05-03-2014 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 976802)
I wonder how many people middled Chrome using the TVG offer and some offshore exchange.

Just a $25.00 max allowed

Indian Charlie 05-03-2014 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER (Post 976809)
Just a $25.00 max allowed

oh.

lame.

SCUDSBROTHER 05-03-2014 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat (Post 976793)
Good luck. There shouldn't be any problem... don't worry. :)

LOL....That LIL CAL Bred out there on the lead (busting his ass, like Megahertz) was the most beautiful thing I have ever seen. :tro:

SCUDSBROTHER 05-03-2014 07:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 976812)
oh.

lame.

What's lame is TVG holding off paying the $42.00 bonus for up tp 48 hours.
Just pay us, Cheapo.

my miss storm cat 05-03-2014 07:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER (Post 976817)
LOL....That LIL CAL Bred out there on the lead (busting his ass, like Megahertz) was the most beautiful thing I have ever seen. :tro:

:tro:

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER (Post 976820)
What's lame is TVG holding off paying the $42.00 bonus for up tp 48 hours.
Just pay us, Cheapo.

Oh is that what it ends up being?

Cool.

edit - Under account history I have 37.50 where it says promotions.I bet 50 to win and I know the offer was only good for the first 25 but just so you know...

Still though... free $ so it's all good.

SCUDSBROTHER 05-03-2014 08:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat (Post 976824)
:tro:


Oh is that what it ends up being?

Cool.

edit - Under account history I have 37.50 where it says promotions.I bet 50 to win and I know the offer was only good for the first 25 but just so you know...

Still though... free $ so it's all good.

It's there, now. LMfao @ me adding half of 12 (instead of half of 3.) :o

asudevil 05-04-2014 10:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 976003)
I dont like the horse. I have said it for weeks. Somewhere between 6 and 10-1 would be fair odds, and I still would not bet him at fair odds. This was before the draw. The draw makes him even less likely with sharp speed inside and out. I think the 20 is moving forward at the right time and I think the race sets up better for him. I think Candy Boy is being totally ignored, and I think Intense Holiday will run well. Ill also use Uncle Sigh because he is no worst then the Big Rat and might be double the price and Chitu who I think got the absolute best of the draw and could pull the best trip.

Please provide me with a list of your 10 least favorite stocks.

lemoncrush 05-04-2014 11:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat (Post 976824)
:tro:


Oh is that what it ends up being?

Cool.

edit - Under account history I have 37.50 where it says promotions.I bet 50 to win and I know the offer was only good for the first 25 but just so you know...

Still though... free $ so it's all good.

I'm guessing they invested a large percentage of the money they took in on Chrome at 4-1, and invested it back into the mutual pool on Saturday at 2-1, just to offset potential losses. No idea how these things work, but that was my first thought. And why they might delay paying everyone out until they get their money back.

alysheba4 05-04-2014 08:44 PM

i am so tired of watching TVG, those idiots start singing some lame fking song after i lose a tough beat......fk them, they think wagering real money is some joke?

3kings 05-05-2014 06:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil (Post 976922)
Please provide me with a list of your 10 least favorite stocks.

Good idea but you are going to have to wait till next Derby day. He has a self imposed one year ban because Untapable didn't have a chance in the Oaks. We all know he is a man of his word, so see you next year RHT.

dalakhani 05-05-2014 07:22 AM

Why should we be deprived of the RHT magic for a whole year? Free RHT!


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