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12/31: Aqueduct ($94k 'Must Pay' C/O)
Bit of a maddening beat at Aqueduct Sunday when live to 2 horses for a P6 conso and 4 runners for sizeable P4's thanks to the multi ticket approach. Though AE-draw in Silver Day (7-1) got by 6-1 Money in Motion and 37-1 Classic R&B to quash the P4 opportunity, the fact was driven home that the more elaborate ticket structuring puts you in best position for scores. A win by Classic R&B specifically was worth $3,619. If unaware, DRF Ticketmaker makes it simple to build your multi plays: http://www.drf.com/store/drf-bets-ticketmaker
The sequence was stood on its' ear early when implausible Go West Marie ($25) won the first leg and widespread single A.P. Cino failed in the second. A.P. Cino's loss is another example of how the multi ticket approach keeps you in the hunt longer and more often as Photon was on 20% of the plays and helped get the investment in position for at least a conso. Despite the P4/P6 misses, the day was bouyed along by Modern Child who was nicely piloted by Rajiv Maragh for a $38 tote bump. Only one horse was live for the P6 in the nightcap and the Chatterpaul winner wasn't it, so a must-pay P6 opportunity results on this New Year's Eve card. There's also a similar forced distribution at Laurel in their P5. Hope everyone has had a good 2013 and enjoyed the excellent year of racing to which we were treated. From a balance sheet perspective, I lost several thousand this year but take solace in the fact that the Del Mar P6 DQ out of $23k+ turns this recap into a gloatfest. As Damon Runyon said, 'all horseplayers die broke', but as long as you're north of the loam, you're live in the next race... Best of luck to everyone today and warm wishes for a 2014 filled with health, happiness, love and good fortune. Steve  AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD) $94k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here.. Not 100% convinced that favored Sun and Moon (2-1) is reliable and if it's not her or returning Sustainable (5-2), this race could get messy fast. Aqua Regia gets first Lasix after losing any chance at start of debut. Tizarocket showed more speed in last and subsequently fired 3 straight bullets on 5 day intervals.. Most Likely: #2 Sun and Moon 2-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Sustainable 5-2 WON ($6.90) Best Value: #7 Aqua Regia 15-1 3rd Exotics Use: #1 Tizarocket 6-1 4th 5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD) Unless a short rest regression saps Moments Notiz, he appears tough to beat (A). Consistent inner track performer Frazil, Linda Rice's other player Quick Money and Island Sunset SCR'D on the barn switch to Jacobson are contenders (B's). 10-1 Head Heart Hoof (Entered for 1/1/14) and 12-1 Exley merit a glance (C's).. Most Likely: #11 Moments Notiz 8-5 WON ($3.70) Next Best: #7 Quick Money 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Frazil 7-2 2nd Super Add: #10 Head Heart Hoof 10-1 7th 6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Forged (half to MSW sprinter Comedero) and American Creed exit the 12/7 MDN heat that produced Groupthink & Uncle Sigh in a photo. Uncle Sigh then smoked in second start last week. Frost Jordan moves inside after wide-ish trip debut. Mark Twain has a terrific worktab for 5/2-0-1 at meet Leo O'Brien and was sold for nearly 3x the average price for a Noonmark yearling. All Over Me is out of $174k earner Leawood who was better on grass but an OK main track sprinter. Slippery Cannizzo won first out with River Dancer and Sol the Dancer earlier this year.. Most Likely: #1 Frost Jordan 3-1 WON ($3.90) Next Best: #3 Forged 7-2 10th Best Value: #8 Mark Twain 10-1 7th Exotics Use: #7 American Creed 4-1 5th 7th: NY-OC/N1X, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD) Sidearm, Geaux Mets SCR'D and Sandcat mixed it up to noses and necks 3 weeks ago and also crossed paths with impressive Samraat, (as did Eye Luv Lulu in his debut). Tricky element in this set is 5.5f distance, a configuration at which Double Gold, Sol the Freud and Sandcat all broke their maidens. Don't be put off by Eye Luv Lulu winning v. MCLM/$50k as that was open company and a good equivalent to NY-MSW's. Sing the Dream (20-1) may not be a win candidate, but could boost your tri or super. Very good race.. Best Value: #6 Eye Luv Lulu 7-2 WON ($16.00) Next Best: #3 Sol the Freud 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Sandcat 4-1 8th Super Add: #8 Sing the Dream 20-1 5th 8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD) Most Likely: #7 Fortify 2-1 5th Best Value: #5 Snake Pit 12-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Cease 6-1 WON ($11.00) Exotics Use: #3 Hackleton 30-1 7th 9th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y Most Likely: #5 Tycoon Cat 5-1 WON ($18.20) Next Best: #2 Petrocelli 3-1 2nd Best Value: #7 Star of New York 10-1 7th Exotics Use: #9 Here Comes Tommy 7-2 8th <$200 P6 Play: All A Entries 1 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6) A's with One B 2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 3 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 4 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6) 5 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00 A's with Two B's 6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00 8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00 9 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 5 with 5 - $8.00 10 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 - $8.00 11 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 2 - $8.00 A's with One C 12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 13 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 4 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 14 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 15 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $16.00 16 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 3,9 with 5 - $16.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $11,354.00 (6OF6) 17 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 7 - $8.00 Total: $152.00 <$100 P4 Play: All A Entries 1 $2.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 A's with One B 2 $1.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $6.00 3 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $6.00 4 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $12.00 $1.50 Pick 4 (1/6/9/5) Paid $915.00 5 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $6.00 A's with Two B's 6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $2.00 7 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00 8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $2.00 9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00 10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 7 - $2.00 11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 7 - $4.00 A's with One C 12 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $1.00 13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 1,4 with 7 with 5 - $2.00 14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 3,10 with 5 - $4.00 15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 2 - $2.00 Total: $65.00 Good luck! Steve |
AQU SCR/CHG'S
A few highly impactful SCR's for P6 players.. And it's rather notable that 3 of the vet SCR's on the day are Island Sunset (5th), Geaux Mets (7th) and Spa City Fever (8th). |
Steve- I always enjoy reading your comments, when you have the time, prior to the race day. Even more so today. You tell it like it is. Win or lose. You're not about excuses. We still have one more day to get into the positve and thats what keeps the adrenaline flowing. Thanks for another fun and exciting racing season, and the chance to bust it open next year (if it doesn't happen today).
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$529,893 in new money added to the C/O $93,867 in the AQU P6 pool.
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Thanks very much.. BOL today and all good things for you and yours in 2014! |
6th race adviso... Chatterpaul FTS Thrill Hill, shipped back up from FL for this, took early money and has maintained it. White Wabbit people that won the nightcap Sunday with Silver Day.
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That's the 2nd time Frost Jordan has looked hopeless in midstretch only to unleash a huge rally in the last 1/8. Just missed last time, this time it was enough to get him up.
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Nice key on the #6 in the 7th. Best of luck on finishing the year with a bang.
Either way best wishes for 2014. |
Congrats steve
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Great job Steve!
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Way to go Steve. After all the tough beats you deserved that.
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Congrats Steve :tro:
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:o
Kind of a walk off home run.. I'm stunned. THX guys.. |
Great job , Steve.
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Congrats and Happy New Year Steve!!:tro::$:
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AWESOME HIT STEVE!
love the 7-1 and 8-1 A's Great Hit! :tro::tro: |
WOW!
:$::tro: |
Steve- I guess it happens today for you. How cool is that. HAPPY NEW YEARS.
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:)Great Job Steve...Happy 2014
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Great Score, Like you say on the radio, sometimes you just have to keep on pitching. Well done.
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Re: Happy New Years
Way to end 2013, with a nice looking ticket.
I would be remiss if I didn't "thank you" for all of your time and insight during the year. It is this info that has made me a better handicapper. All the best in 2014! |
Great Play!
I watched the last 3 AQU races on TVG (their "talent" couldn't "see" playing the five in the last race...Shocking), and studied your tickets for the P4 and P6. I brought my 9 year old son into the den to help root home the 5 in the last. Absolutely Fantastic! Have a Happy New Year! |
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Thank you.. That's the ultimate compliment for me and what I try to provide with DT & ATR and on the racing side with Dee Tee as well. It frequently feels like a small raft in a sea of negative hatemongers, so it means a lot to know whatever we're trying to do finds some success with those that want to enjoy the game. Best wishes for a great '14! |
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Thanks for rooting along.. Best to you and the family for a great new year! |
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THX a lot. They should do a remix of that.. 'Barely Back in Black'. |
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Thanks again all..
Best wishes for '14 to everyone and their families! |
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Steve, more like a a walk off Grand Salami - Congrats!!!! Happy and Healthy New Year - Hard work pays off.
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Oh Yea!!! Congrats Steve!!! Way to end the year!
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Three cheers for our fearless leader and proper ticket structure!:tro:
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Great job Steve!!!!! Great way to end year. Happy New Year everyone!
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way to go steve. Looks like what my old trumpet teacher kept telling me,
" what you put in, you take out ". Congrats on ending '13 on a high note and continuing onward in '14. Best Wishes to you and your family for a happy and healthy year ahead. |
Congrats Steve! Happy New Year.
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You the man Steve. Congrats and best wishes for 2014
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Great hit Steve! Well done! Perfect way to end the year and head into the new one!
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Well done, friend. Fantastic. All the best to you and Tina in 2014.
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Congrats
Steve, great score today. Hope some guys jumped aboard. Good things happen to good people. You deserved that one. Alot of tough beats this year. Great finish!!!
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Gioia and guys...
Thanks all for the encouragement! Was a unique way to end the year. Hope everyone had a great NYE and are on the way to a rewarding, fulfilling 2014. |
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