Gallup: Romney 52% Obama 45%
 

According to the latest Gallup poll, Romney has opened up a commanding lead. This is the best poll yet for Romney. I am somewhat skeptical because the betting lines still have Obama as a solid favorite.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/el...ma-romney.aspx

Real Clear Politics is now showing Romney taking his first lead in the electoral college.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...llege_map.html

A new poll just came out showing that Romney is leading Pennsylvania.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/poll-s...3#.UICahG_A-Qx

The fat lady is clearing her voice.

I wouldn't go that far. As I said before, all the betting places still have Obama as a solid favorite. In addition, there are other polls that still show Obama leading.

I think it will be a very close race.

Loads of free money waiting for you at Intrade. Mortgage the house and go all in.

Obama is finished. Feel free to play the game if you'd like. Throw a few quid down on Obama if you're sure.

But me? I've seen too many robberies the past few years to justify putting my quid on the line for two as.sholes.

Don't care either way. The decline continues with either of them.

Saving my cash for Maylan Studart on the turf.

What, is she going to start stripping on it?

5th? I would like to lodge an objection.......

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/business...the-presi.html

PS: So right now it's October 4, 2012 at 12:50 pm EST. President Obama's got 66 percent odds [of winning the election] on Intrade, 69 percent on Iowa and 73 percent on Betfair. If you were trying to make money right now, what do you do?
AJG: Well, I would if I could -- Betfair is locked for U.S. persons -- sell President Obama's contracts on Betfair and buy President Obama's contracts on Intrade, and wait, because eventually the prices on these two contracts would have to converge. They just predict the same event happening, so they will have to be worth the same once the event happens or doesn't. So come November 6th, both of these contracts will expire at the same value, but because I sold one high and I bought the other one low, I will pocket the 8 points difference between the 2 contracts.

^^Optimal report

i was just saying there was a way to make money regardless of the result.

I hope every conservative here strongly goes all-in on the premise that Mitt Romney will be the next president of the United States :tro:

Fat lady doing scales......

The election's not here yet, so would never assume one side or the other is "done".

However, it is supposedly unprecedented that a candidate with an over 50% score in the Gallup poll with less than 3 weeks to go (when the poll was first taken) would lose. That does not of course mean that it can't happen. But it has not happened yet.

What no one knows is how fast or slow a poll can rise or fall. Hundreds of millions of voters making individual decisions are of course independent from each other. But treated as a population and evaluated with correlative statistics, it is apparently unlikely that the poll would change that fast.

Obama Wins Arizona
 

3 weeks before the election.

How does this graphic even exist if the fix isn't already in? Anyone have any ideas?




The "News Department" of the affiliate which broadcasted their election fraud is not responding.

Story:

http://dailycaller.com/2012/10/21/cb...d-of-election/

Romney's chances are looking better and better all the time. Every poll out there is moving in his direction. Obama is still the betting favorite but the line is getting lower and lower by the day. Intrade now has Obama with a 57.7% chance of winning.

It's clear the fix is indeed already in, and everyone at the Arizona Board of Elections knows it. The people of both parties on the Arizona Board of Elections have already made up some vote numbers. Those darn Republicans! Cheating for Obama!

Then, those many folks have transmitted those vote totals to multiple local television stations, because no, that wouldn't be unusual at all, to receive vote totals before an election.

And all those local television stations are sitting on the vote totals, except the one that goofed and published it. Curses! The fools! They revealed the fix!

Those thousands of people, from all those GOP's at the Board of Elections to GOPs at the television stations, are clearly in on this vast conspiracy, and just keeping their mouths shut about it.

Or ... a television station was testing their election chyrons, and put one up with figures filled out to see if it would work.

Naw - that couldn't be it! That makes no sense! It's gotta be a huge, state-wide, vote-fixing plot involving thousands of potential whistle blowers! That makes more logical sense!

Yes, the fix is in...in Ohio...I heard it on the internet...Wonder if those machines have those pesky hanging chads..:D

Romney-linked voting machine company to count votes in Ohio

http://www.salon.com/2012/10/23/romn...votes_in_ohio/

The line has now dropped even more. Obama is now 57.3% at Intrade.

news flash from the 47%

we dont vote

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QNsCxa4BZB8

Obama is free-falling at Intrade. He is now down to a 56.8% chance of winning.

It's over for him.

The inciter played the inciter card last night and failed. Just looked angry, arrogant, and delusional.

I'm more than willing to bet any Derby Trailer $100 that Obama will win, if they want to take Romney. Upped my offer from $50 :rolleyes:

I'd rather wager that the loser is banned from the forum for life.

I'll take Romney. Deal?

You got it. When Obama wins, you leave Derby Trail forever - no coming back under a different name, either.

And when Romney wins you're gone forever.

Deal.

yesssssss !!!

If Romney were to win, I would happily leave Derby Trail, as I will be retired to Australia.

Deal.

What do you want to use for the calling of the election? It takes weeks to be "officially" certified. Election night, when NBC, CBS and ABC call it for Obama? Your Derby Trail ban starts then.

Well there are plenty of horsie forums down under you can troll into oblivion. Safe travels.

Australians in emergency electric fence building mode.

We'll miss you :( MMSC will be especially bereft.

i was just there..she wont be welcome..:zz:

Care to put your money where your mouth is, Hooves? When Obama wins, you leave Derby Trail, too.

"i was just there..she wont be welcome.."




Good job!!

It's only fair hooves competes against bigdumb

I have a better deal....if Obama wins, you have to stay.

BigRun didn't offer the bet. I did.

You and Hooves on Derby Trail if Romney wins, me if Obama wins. Hooves, are you man enough, or not?

That isn't a fair bet. One of the libtards like hi_i'm_smug or NZBob has to offer.