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-   -   Ron Ellis claims East Coast Bias (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=48516)

Calzone Lord 09-26-2012 09:55 AM

Ron Ellis claims East Coast Bias
 
This wouldn't be as noteworthy if he wasn't also a TVG analyst.

This is what Ellis said about Include Me Out...


Quote:

“To tell you the truth, I’ve been a little insulted by the lack of respect my filly has gotten,” Ellis said during a national teleconference on Tuesday. “She’s proven she’s the best filly on the West Coast but I understand the East Coast bias and the press building up those other fillies. But my filly loves that track and she’s done everything we’ve asked of her this year. Usually when they hook our California horses, reality sets in,”


It shouldn't be that hard to figure out why the press gives more attention to the Eastern horses.

Royal Delta is a champion and her and It's Tricky ran 1-2 in the BC Distaff last year.

My Miss Aurelia is an undefeated champion 2yo, not only did she win the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies in blowout fashion -- but she ran faster than Union Rags and a soundly defeated Alpha did on the same day and distance in similarly paced editions of the Frizette and Champagne.

Questing was basically the star of the entire Saratoga meet. Winning two Grade 1's in dominant fashion. One at 9fs and the other at 10fs.

Awesome Feather is a perfect 10-for-10 lifetime and was a champion 2-year-old filly after she won the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies.


No knock on Include Me Out -- she's a 2-time Grade 1 winner over the course of her 11 race career -- but anyone who is "insulted" by her not getting as much attention as those other horses and thinks it's because of a "East Coast Bias" is basically whining.

blackthroatedwind 09-26-2012 10:37 AM

What an absolutely ridiculous thing to claim. Include Me Out is a nice horse. However, she is beating absolutely nothing, and not exactly going very fast in doing it, plus she is suspect at the 1 1/8 miles of the Distaff. Amani is a FAR more dangerous West Coast horse heading to the BC.

The " East Coast bias " thing is a paranoid delusion. Is there an East Coast bias when people consider Game On Dude the top Handicap horse in the Country, or is it suspended in his case? How about I'll Have Another? Bodemeister?

It's nothing but a numbers game.

Indian Charlie 09-26-2012 10:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 892395)
What an absolutely ridiculous thing to claim. Include Me Out is a nice horse. However, she is beating absolutely nothing, and not exactly going very fast in doing it, plus she is suspect at the 1 1/8 miles of the Distaff. Amani is a FAR more dangerous West Coast horse heading to the BC.

The " East Coast bias " thing is a paranoid delusion. Is there an East Coast bias when people consider Game On Dude the top Handicap horse in the Country, or is it suspended in his case? How about I'll Have Another? Bodemeister?

It's nothing but a numbers game.

In the 80s and early 90s, there most certainly was an East Coast bias, especially with year end awards.

Clearly this does not exist anymore however.

I still cannot understand Vanlandingham winning the Eclipse.

Calzone Lord 09-26-2012 11:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 892395)
What an absolutely ridiculous thing to claim. Include Me Out is a nice horse. However, she is beating absolutely nothing, and not exactly going very fast in doing it, plus she is suspect at the 1 1/8 miles of the Distaff. Amani is a FAR more dangerous West Coast horse heading to the BC.

The " East Coast bias " thing is a paranoid delusion. Is there an East Coast bias when people consider Game On Dude the top Handicap horse in the Country, or is it suspended in his case? How about I'll Have Another? Bodemeister?

It's nothing but a numbers game.

I agree in general -- but I think Ellis picked an especially dopey situation to whine about it.

Calzone Lord 09-26-2012 11:21 AM

The "usually when they hook our California horses, reality sets in" line doesn't exactly prove true.

The last four horses to really establish themselves as clear-cut leaders of the handicap division in Southern California have been Lava Man, Rail Trip, Richard's Kid, and Game on Dude.


Game On Dude didn't run in California until about his 7th start. He came up at Gulfstream Park before Baffert went and got him.





Richard's Kid was a Maryland horse. Ran a bunch of races in the Mid-Atlantic before Baffert went and got him.

Rail Trip was a horse who came up in Southern California -- but he didn't do so hot when he came East.

Lava Man was a horse who came up in Northern California ... and was another one who improved under a fine So. Cal trainer.


Zenyatta is the only California based horse to win the Breeders Cup Classic since 2003 -- and she did it on Pro-Ride.

The last 6 times the Breeders Cup Distaff/Ladies Classic has been run on dirt -- no West Coast horse has won it.

No West Coast horse has won the Breeders Cup Mile since 2004.

There's only been one West Coast based winner of the Breeders Cup Turf since 1994 ... and that was Johar who dead-heated for a share of the win.

The way Ellis described it -- you'd think the California based horses win these races every single year.

Indian Charlie 09-26-2012 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 892408)
The "usually when they hook our California horses, reality sets in" line doesn't exactly prove true.

The last four horses to really establish themselves as clear-cut leaders of the handicap division in Southern California have been Lava Man, Rail Trip, Richard's Kid, and Game on Dude.


Game On Dude didn't run in California until about his 7th start. He came up at Gulfstream Park before Baffert went and got him.




Richard's Kid was a Maryland horse. Ran a bunch of races in the Mid-Atlantic before Baffert went and got him.

Rail Trip was a horse who came up in Southern California -- but he didn't do so hot when he came East.

Lava Man was a horse who came up in Northern California ... and was another one who improved under a fine So. Cal trainer.


Zenyatta is the only California based horse to win the Breeders Cup Classic since 2003 -- and she did it on Pro-Ride.

The last 6 times the Breeders Cup Distaff/Ladies Classic has been run on dirt -- no West Coast horse has won it.

No West Coast horse has won the Breeders Cup Mile since 2004.

There's only been one West Coast based winner of the Breeders Cup Turf since 1994 ... and that was Johar who dead-heated for a share of the win.

The way Ellis described it -- you'd think the California based horses win these races every single year.

Yeah, California supremacy is long dead.

10 pnt move up 09-26-2012 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 892416)
Yeah, California supremacy is long dead.

That implies that there was a supremacy, which has never been the case.

I would say the sprinter thread brings up a decent example of a true east coast bias, if you won the Vosburgh, pre BC, you were basically the sprint champion despite your other accomplishments. Since many Cal horses were not in that race they had very few sprint champions pre BC, since the BC was instituted the Sprint division is arguably their strongest area, did they suddenly get good and produce more champions, unlikely, they were never really considered.

EJXD2 09-26-2012 02:30 PM

IMO IMO is a victim
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus (Post 892404)
Include Me Out is one Jay Hovdey -- who I suspect will take up the mantle for her now -- piece away from getting respect.

Well, while we wait for Jay, here's my paean to Include Me Out, who I absolutely feel is not getting the respect she deserves as a multiple Grade 1 and four-time graded stakes winner this year.

http://blog.twinspires.com/2012/09/i...-left-out.html

pointman 09-26-2012 02:41 PM

I don't get the whole east coast, west coast bias thing. Who cares where a horse is based? I play horses anywhere they run and play plenty of California racing even though I am a New Yorker. The place to settle it is on the racetrack. Seems to me the majority of the time I hear this claim it appears to be more a west coast inferiority complex than an east coast bias.

Danzig 09-26-2012 02:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by EJXD2 (Post 892453)
Well, while we wait for Jay, here's my paean to Include Me Out, who I absolutely feel is not getting the respect she deserves as a multiple Grade 1 and four-time graded stakes winner this year.

http://blog.twinspires.com/2012/09/i...-left-out.html

include me out is a victim?! please.

he wants her to get respect, let her win the distaff. she'll get it.
hell, alpha gets 'dissed' because of his record outside ny-is that a bias too? no, his record is pretty clear in that regard.

Gate Dancer 09-26-2012 03:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 892395)
The " East Coast bias " thing is a paranoid delusion. Is there an East Coast bias when people consider Game On Dude the top Handicap horse in the Country, or is it suspended in his case? How about I'll Have Another? Bodemeister?

It's nothing but a numbers game.

I too distinctly remember the majority of praise being heaped on the West coast 3 year olds during and following the Triple Crown season. I'm a little surprised that Mr. Ellis is so 'thin-skinned'..................

We'll see what 'reality' sets in on Nov 2nd and 3rd.............

Calzone Lord 09-26-2012 03:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig (Post 892459)
include me out is a victim?! please.

People don't really care that much about year-end awards right now because the way horses are being campaigned, they are almost never decided this early in any division save the glamor 3yo male division.

Basically -- he's saying Include Me Out is being "victimized" and "disrespected" by other people (not him!) and, oh yeah, he likes Amani to beat her in the Zenyatta and either Amani and Royal Delta for the BC Distaff.

Royal Delta obviously has more of a following, she's won an Eclipse Award, she's won a Breeders Cup Distaff, and earlier this year, she became only the 842nd horse since Congaree to run an all-time record Thoro-Graph figure.

Awesome Feather has more of a following, she's a perfect 10-for-10 lifetime and she's also won an Eclipse Award.

My Miss Aurelia has a following, she's also an undefeated champion.

Questing has a following, she very impressively won two Grade 1's at Saratoga and was pretty much the star of the meet this year.

Include Me Out is not a victim of any bias... and if she is the deserving leader of the vote for her older female division right now, only about 28% of the precincts have reported.

Danzig 09-26-2012 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 892471)
People don't really care that much about year-end awards right now because the way horses are being campaigned, they are almost never decided this early in any division save the glamor 3yo male division.

Basically -- he's saying Include Me Out is being "victimized" and "disrespected" by other people (not him!) and, oh yeah, he likes Amani to beat her in the Zenyatta and either Amani and Royal Delta for the BC Distaff.

Royal Delta obviously has more of a following, she's won an Eclipse Award, she's won a Breeders Cup Distaff, and earlier this year, she became only the 842nd horse since Congaree to run an all-time record Thoro-Graph figure.

Awesome Feather has more of a following, she's a perfect 10-for-10 lifetime and she's also won an Eclipse Award.

My Miss Aurelia has a following, she's also an undefeated champion.

Questing has a following, she very impressively won two Grade 1's at Saratoga and was pretty much the star of the meet this year.

Include Me Out is not a victim of any bias... and if she is the deserving leader of the vote for her older female division right now, only about 28% of the precincts have reported.

right...which is why i don't get ellis' comments, or the guys article.

and i thought they were going to santa anita for the bc two years in a row to take advantage of all the fantabulous west coast marketing? but...they can't market one mare?
it just makes no sense. and the 'victim' label is almost as overused as the 'hero' label.

blackthroatedwind 09-26-2012 07:13 PM

The best argument for Include Me Out is that she isn't that good on synth and will move forward on dirt. Based on her races earlier in the year at Santa Anita that seems entirely possible, though the sloppy track Santa Margarita ( where she ran well ) was an absurd four horse field where the co-favorite was last. While she was victimized by a premature move two back, she still lost to Love Theway Youare. Basing her talent only on the race Gradings feels like a poor way to judge her.

I still think she's a really good horse. I just don't think she has shown to be as good as the other top horses in the division. However, if she wins the Ladies Classic in five weeks, she will be a deserving champion. I don't think too many people look at it differently nor do I think people that follow the sport fail to give her the respect she deserves....assuming they're paying attention.

King Glorious 09-26-2012 07:48 PM

There always has been and always will be a bias towards the East when it comes to matters of national votes because there are more major population centers back east. There's basically no people in Montana, Wyoming, Nebraska, Kansas, Colorado, Idaho, Utah, New Mexico, Oklahoma, The Dakotas, and Nevada. Almost all of the people in what would be considered the West are in California, the Seattle/Portland corridor, and Phoenix. Some might consider the major Texas cities of Dallas and Houston to be in the West but still, it's nothing compared to the East. The I-95 corridor between Boston and Washington dominates the rest of the country as far as population and media. Right or wrong (and I think it's mostly right), people from back East have always looked at the West, and particularly California, as soft. Be a street hustler in California and if you aren't good at it and are left homeless, you won't freeze to death. You will in NY or Chicago or Detroit or Boston. The weather has a lot to do with this mentality. I don't understand how anyone can deny it exists. Like the song says, if you can make it in NY, you can make it anywhere. Easterners, especially NY'ers, have always had that mentality. Sports fans out here are very fair weather. Fans don't live and die with their teams like they do back there. They booed Santa in Philly. They came on the court to fight Ron Artest in Detroit. Having lived on both coasts, there is nothing like the East Coast.

NTamm1215 09-26-2012 07:54 PM

I'm sure what Ellis is referring to has a lot to do with the so-called experts and their opinions of her. The first 3 times that Jeff Siegel did his rankings on HRTV, he did not have Include Me Out in the Top 5 for the older female division. Mike Watchmaker has never had her in the top 5 and currently has her ranked 7th behind Awesome Maria and Plum Pretty.

Of course, can someone really get insulted by the stupidity of the likes of Watchmaker?

Include Me Out is hardly a great horse, but it is largely forgotten that she has had a pretty good year in a terrible division out west.

blackthroatedwind 09-26-2012 08:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 892534)
I'm sure what Ellis is referring to has a lot to do with the so-called experts and their opinions of her. The first 3 times that Jeff Siegel did his rankings on HRTV, he did not have Include Me Out in the Top 5 for the older female division. Mike Watchmaker has never had her in the top 5 and currently has her ranked 7th behind Awesome Maria and Plum Pretty.

Of course, can someone really get insulted by the stupidity of the likes of Watchmaker?

Include Me Out is hardly a great horse, but it is largely forgotten that she has had a pretty good year in a terrible division out west.

How could Jeff possibly be accused of having an East Coast bias?

As for ranking her below Awesome Maria and/or Plum Pretty...that's not a bias...that's indefensible. One horse is retired after two weak efforts and the other is training up to the November sale.

skyfire 09-26-2012 08:05 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 892471)
People don't really care that much about year-end awards right now because the way horses are being campaigned, they are almost never decided this early in any division save the glamor 3yo male division.

Basically -- he's saying Include Me Out is being "victimized" and "disrespected" by other people (not him!) and, oh yeah, he likes Amani to beat her in the Zenyatta and either Amani and Royal Delta for the BC Distaff.

Royal Delta obviously has more of a following, she's won an Eclipse Award, she's won a Breeders Cup Distaff, and earlier this year, she became only the 842nd horse since Congaree to run an all-time record Thoro-Graph figure.

Awesome Feather has more of a following, she's a perfect 10-for-10 lifetime and she's also won an Eclipse Award.

My Miss Aurelia has a following, she's also an undefeated champion.

Questing has a following, she very impressively won two Grade 1's at Saratoga and was pretty much the star of the meet this year.

Include Me Out is not a victim of any bias... and if she is the deserving leader of the vote for her older female division right now, only about 28% of the precincts have reported.

Exactly. :tro:

NTamm1215 09-26-2012 08:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 892536)
How could Jeff possibly be accused of having an East Coast bias?

As for ranking her below Awesome Maria and/or Plum Pretty...that's not a bias...that's indefensible. One horse is retired after two weak efforts and the other is training up to the November sale.

I think East Coast bias is just the terminology that anyone from California who feels minutely disrespected uses.

Dahoss 09-29-2012 06:53 PM

Looks like reality just set in.

NTamm1215 09-29-2012 06:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 893082)
Looks like reality just set in.

Yeah, just thought of that. But, that track is kind of ridiculous.

pointman 09-29-2012 06:55 PM

Or maybe the track is playing with an east coast bias.

Dahoss 09-29-2012 07:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 893083)
Yeah, just thought of that. But, that track is kind of ridiculous.

Kind of is being nice. I can't believe Joyful victory was second. she stinks.

booner 09-29-2012 07:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 893084)
Or maybe the track is playing with an east coast bias.

:tro:

blackthroatedwind 09-29-2012 08:41 PM

It's nice to see the Disease of Grab isn't exclusive to the East Coast jockey colony. Some display of ( lack of ) speed out there today.

The irony, however, of an East Coast filly defeating Include Me Out shouldn't be lost.

cmorioles 09-29-2012 09:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 893104)
It's nice to see the Disease of Grab isn't exclusive to the East Coast jockey colony. Some display of ( lack of ) speed out there today.

The irony, however, of an East Coast filly defeating Include Me Out shouldn't be lost.

I agree about the grabbing. I think the fractions influenced the results more than any track bias.

VOL JACK 09-30-2012 07:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles (Post 893113)
I agree about the grabbing. I think the fractions influenced the results more than any track bias.

:tro:
If she had went out it 46 and drew away I might agree with the track bias thing
but, Love and Pride got a pretty easy lead.

I expect the track to be very fast and speed favoring for the BC, since tracks like SA seem to be believe ultra fast times makes the horses and races look better from quality and historical perspective.

Danzig 09-30-2012 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 893104)
It's nice to see the Disease of Grab isn't exclusive to the East Coast jockey colony. Some display of ( lack of ) speed out there today.

The irony, however, of an East Coast filly defeating Include Me Out shouldn't be lost.

yeah, i thought it was delicious irony. i'm sure he wishes now he'd said nothing.

Seattleallstar 09-30-2012 05:48 PM

Tier 2 of the East Coast horses for the division whooped Include me out

gamblin4ever 10-01-2012 03:49 PM

Even though she did lose to the 2 east coast runners, I do believe she is disrespected. But not from east coast bias, it's the Ron Ellis bias, If Baffert, Sadler, or Hollendorfer had her she would probably be more respected. Just my opinion.

Calzone Lord 10-01-2012 04:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gamblin4ever (Post 893375)
the Ron Ellis bias

No such thing.

Ellis is a fine trainer and has been for a while. Was Rail Trip ever a victim of a Ron Ellis bias?

Sure, he's a miserable analyst who is often unprepared and rarely adds anything, but he's a very good horse trainer.

gamblin4ever 10-01-2012 05:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 893379)
No such thing.

Ellis is a fine trainer and has been for a while. Was Rail Trip ever a victim of a Ron Ellis bias?

Sure, he's a miserable analyst who is often unprepared and rarely adds anything, but he's a very good horse trainer.

I'm not saying he's a bad trainer, I personally think he is a great trainer. He takes his time and runs his horses when and where they can win. I'm saying if Include Me Out was trained by the other 3 I mentioned the horse would get more respect than it gets being with Ellis as far as the majority of the media is concerned.
I also think the lack of pace in the race is what did Include Me Out in.

Calzone Lord 10-01-2012 05:31 PM

I know, but that's not the case.

If you think Include Me Out was trained by Hollendorfer or Sadler she'd have the following that horses like Royal Delta, Awesome Feather, Questing, and My Miss Aurelia have?

Not a chance.

Blind Luck didn't get a ton of respect just because Hollendorfer trained her -- she had a much better resume than Include Me Out and she was a better horse than her, plain and simple.

blackthroatedwind 10-01-2012 06:28 PM

The better question about Include Me Out is what the hell was she doing so far back behind a slow pace early.

Calzone Lord 10-01-2012 06:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 893388)
The better question about Include Me Out is what the hell was she doing so far back behind a slow pace early.

I think it was likely a case where they went into the race with that idea in mind.

I've heard Ron Ellis talk a lot over the years (unfortunately) -- and knowing how square he is, he complained about the ride she got when Talamo was over aggressive at Hollywood two back, and he's the type of person who would want the horse finishing as well as possible at 8.5f to "set her up" for 9f.

Calzone Lord 10-01-2012 07:24 PM

Moran had to be trolling.


http://www.ntra.com/business_develop...by%20Voter.pdf

10 pnt move up 10-01-2012 08:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 893396)

Thats funny, where does he write out of for espn?


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