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dullahan
im hearing alot of smoke about this horse in the belmont..i dont see it at all..hes not very good on dirt. any people out here that can make a case for a big effort?..
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He also supposedly had a killer work the other day.
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He's there running late everytime but usually with a decent pace ahead of him. He had plenty of pace to run into for the Derby. Let's see how he handles this race where the pace is not as hot.
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he seems to be a 'perfect drift' sort..on the dirt anyway..i like the jock sw. but just think others have more upside..
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See him in the tri but can't see him winning
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7-11 star dweeb could take out 6 horses at the break..:mad::rolleyes:
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i see rags and street life with the best chances to be the skunk at the party
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Yesterday when Romans was asked what Dullahan's best surface was, he responded:
"Belmont Dirt" His confidence goes a long way in my book. |
whats he gonna say..
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what a dilema....a triple crown winner but not a group that I want to represent the sport. I think I would prefer someone else to be the one to go down in history.
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I think it was 45 and change, but potatoes and potatos.
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If he's to have any chance to win, he'll need to do it from closer to the pace than he's ever been around two turns. In a 12-furlong race with a projected moderate pace, that drop back and make one late run shtick isn't going to cut it. I just can't see it. I'll Have Another and Paynter both will get first run on him. Castellano has to hope neither of those two will get the distance.
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I agree with that, I don't see him running close to the pace then outfinishing I'll Have Another, and if he hangs way back to make a run I think he's doomed. Many people get all excited about closers having more distance to get the job done. not me.
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I HATED Dullahan in the Derby, and I still have my doubts about him on dirt, but he was brilliant on the Belmont dirt a few days ago, and Romans thinks he's ready. I think he and Paynter are the two IHA has to worry about. I've completely abandoned the Union Rags bandwagon for the time being.
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I actually look for at least a little more pace than people are expecting in the Belmont.
You have a full field, a big crowd that might stir up a few horses, not a very long run into the 1st turn, and a lot of jockeys on hopeless horses who know they have no shot if they're not forward...and might want to try and pull a D' Tara on the front end or a Commendable pressing a stretch-out sprinter from a clear 2nd. Paynter won a 5.5 furlong maiden race just four months ago. Unstoppable U won a 6 furlong maiden dueling on the lead less than 3 months ago. A few other horses in there can go faster than 48. I just wish I didn't have to hear all of those people going on about how Dullahan is training. I'm gonna take one last shot with him. I don't see myself on him again for a while after this. |
Calzone, didn't you mention in a previous thread that the late runners from the Derby were horses to bet against next time out? The statment held to form as Went the Day Well did not go the day well in the Preakness. Are you not going against your own advice by picking Dullahan?
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However, deep closers also can overachieve in the Belmont if they get a 47 and change pace. If they don't ... they have to be clear-cut the best horse in order to win. Dullahan obviously needs 47 and change and he needs Union Rags to give I'll Have Another a little pressure after a mile. |
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If Dullahan gets that type of pace, I think his main competition is as likely to be a nag like Street Life as it is to be anyone of the big 3 horses. |
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With you there...it is just hard to figure out the pace because who knows which one of these pinheads will either go early for no reason or make an early move because he had no clue how big the track really is. |
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easy on the street life nag stuff..hes done ok and has alot to look forward to this year. he just may get the dist and get a nice check over many over achievers that are here..ill take his jock over anyone here when my money is on the line.
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A couple of months ago, the hype on Street Life, due to his last-to-first/on the wrong lead rallies, was at massive proportions. It's only just that he's now getting the "nag" backlash he deserves. He's failed miserably when stepped up in class, which was predictable, given the fact that he had to retreat to the inner track at Aqueduct to break his maiden.
He failed to catch the near 50-1 Right To Vote, stretching out from 6.5f, in the Peter Pan last out despite getting a breakneck :45+ and 1:09+ setup. Mercifully, he has Mr. Prospector blood coursing through his veins, so he does have some shot. |
dont you think he moved to late that race he had planty of steam post finish and i say this redboarding that he cost me that trifecta with that late burst
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right to vote would be 6-1 in this field..
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if streetlife was pointing to this all along does that give him an asterisk in the peter pan?
maybe this race that burst is just after the top of the stretch and he sits closer to the pace not dead freaking last |
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Of course, in no way would that help Street Life's chances. |
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He sat close in the minor Broad Brush. Life and death to get up. Atigun has a better chance. |
you were right street life is not much..but dullihan is not anything..on the dirt..
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Dullahan looked uncomfortable the whole race... hope the horse came out of the race ok.
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