![]() |
4/14 (KEE): Blue Grass, Wiley (G1's), Comm (G2), Shakertown (G3)
8th (4:42) Jenny Wiley S. (G1)
1 1/16 Miles (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $300,000 1 Heavenly Landing Lanerie C J 118 LA 2 Zagora (FR) Castellano J J 118 LA 3 Tapitsfly Leparoux J R 120 LA 4 Aruna Dominguez R A 118 LA 5 Daisy Devine Graham J 118 LA 6 Bay to Bay Gomez G K 118 L 9th (5:13) Commonwealth S. (G2) 7 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $175,000 1 Comedero Graham J 118 LA 2 Right One (FR) Gomez G K 118 L 3 Plutonium Desormeaux K J 118 LA 4 El Gran Sol Pedroza M 118 LA 5 Lonesome Street Rosario J 118 LA 6 Philippe Leparoux J R 118 LA 7 Bergerac Castellano J J 118 LA 10th (5:44) Shakertown S. (G3) 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $100,000 1 Perfect Officer Castellano J J 118 L 2 Concorde's Flight Gomez G K 118 LA 3 Great Attack Sanchez J 120 L 4 Havelock Rosario J 120 LA 5 Byesville Straight M 118 L 6 Zeb Prado E S 118 LA 7 Great Mills Leparoux J R 120 LA 8 Surfrider (IRE) Dominguez R A 118 LA 9 Chamberlain Bridge Theriot H J II 120 LA 10 Unsaddled Glory Graham J 118 L 11th (6:18) Toyota Blue Grass S. (G1) 1 1/8 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $750,000 1 Heavy Breathing Lanerie C J 123 LA 2 Gung Ho Prado E S 123 LA 3 Prospective Contreras L 123 L 4 Hansen Dominguez R A 123 LA 5 Russian Greek Mena M 123 Blk-Off LA 6 Dullahan Desormeaux K J 123 LA 7 Politicallycorrect Trujillo E 123 L 8 Midnight Crooner Gomez G K 123 L 9 Holy Candy Rosario J 123 LA 10 Howe Great Castellano J J 123 L 11 Ever So Lucky Leparoux J R 123 LA 12 Hero of Order Martin E M Jr 123 L 13 Scatman Bridgmohan S X 123 L |
Couple thoughts after a glance...
Don't go through the PP's for the Commonwealth and Shakertown too quickly... It's hard to tell where which race finishes and the other starts. Dullahan has to get the desired set up. There's just too many front end types in the Blue Grass for the pace not to be at least honest. Will be interesting to see who wants the lead in the Jenny Wiley because someone may have the opportunity to take control. Leparoux with Tapitsfly? Gomez with Bay to Bay? Graham with Daisy Devine? Wasted Tears would look good again in this. Zagora's better than these and will win, but it sure feels like she's going to have catch someone who gets away with an easy time of it up front. |
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
What are we thinking Dullahan goes off at? I really don't see him staying under the radar.
|
Quote:
That workout on Sunday sure isn't going to help the price at all. |
Dullahan almost seems too good to be true.
Should get a perfect setup, handled the track before, working well. The problem is EVERYONE (including myself) likes him, so I worry about the price, even with Hansen in there. |
Quote:
|
Looking at Dullahan's PP's and seeing the lack of mid 90 Beyer's that a horse like Hansen has, I think Dullahan will have to be 5:1 or more.
|
race looks like a possible set up for Dullahan but don't like the fact that he's 1-5 even throwing out his first two sprint races. His one winning race on this track won't win this race. I rather take a shot with Ever So Lucky at his price or Great Howe who seems to find a way to win.
|
Quote:
what price will they be ? |
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
I'm not expecting Great Howe to be in the front. Hoping someone or others will do the dirty work up front against Hansen. Grass horses can handle the synthetics.
|
3/4/6 tri box
|
I think Dullahan can beat Howe Great this time.
The trip horse is going to be Heavy Breathing, who should tuck in nice and cozy behind Hansen, Scatman and maybe Hero Of Order. He's quick enough to stay close and some improvement in his final figs could put him in the mix. He ran pretty well last time in his graded stakes debut (lifetime best fig) and another move forward is plausible. Gets a patient jock in Lanerie and the right move may get him to the front in the lane. Prospective projects to get a nice trip too but Contreras will probably find himself 4 wide on the last turn somehow instead of staying inside. He should be able to get an inside trip; just follow Lanerie ! my early exacta is 1-6 w 1-3-4-6 |
Dullahan - Flattered by Coalport in that last race....I'm guessing 3-1 at post time. What do you think the odds will be in multi's? Seems like many outlets have Dullahan winning....so I'm thinking PK3/PK4 Odds will be even lower.
|
Holy candy is likely not good enough, but 30to1?? Try more like 12 if even that high.
|
I like Midnight Crooner a little if he goes off at 15-1. He romped over a next-out winner in his only synth start. Not nominated to the TC, so it's not like they shipped here because they got Derby fever.
|
Quote:
|
I agree about Midnight Crooner....Wonder why he wasn't nominated?
The conspiracy theorist in me assumes that MC was shipped and will win to ensure Bodemiester isn't blocked from the derby by someone like Holy Candy, etc. |
Quote:
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
I like him to hit the board. |
Quote:
|
That was quite the ride Aruna and Zagora were given, rating at the back off :25 and :50 fractions.
|
Quote:
|
At what point does the illustrious Commonwealth lose its graded status?
|
Do you really think the grading clowns would dare change the status of a Keeneland graded stake?
|
And there you have it. We now have a new stallion to breed to next year. Lonesome Street is now a gr2 winner!
|
Quote:
At what point are the embarrased into making this thing a listed race? |
Gimme Great Mills in the Shakertown !!
Ususally never trust Leparoux, but he's gotta be there on this guy today. |
Quote:
Also since I hate Hansen that guarantees he'll win by 5+ |
Quote:
Got the exacta saver but the win and exacta woulda been nicer. |
Keeneland is murderers row. Glad you got something out of it. I'm wisely on the sidelines. That place has ruined my bankroll for derby too many years.
|
I am trying to beat Hansen too so maybe we have a little something going here.
I wanted to play Heavy Breathing but 33-1 on a Pletcher horse is a lil scary. That means NO ONE is betting him...no one of importance that is. |
Dullahan is a classic big day trap horse. Looks like Holy Candy got the ones who abandoned ship. Just looks too good to be true.
It's either Hansen or Ever So Lucky. |
Life hands me 3-1 on a sure looking winner but i don't want it.
No thanks:mad: |
All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:58 AM. |
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.