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-   -   Jobless report continues to improve - GOP heads explode (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=45883)

Riot 03-07-2012 05:04 PM

Jobless report continues to improve - GOP heads explode
 
God's Own Party, in the face of improving jobless numbers during a Democratic administration, double down on calling women sluts, screaming falsely about losses of religious freedomz, and blaming people with no control of the subject about gasoline prices.

Meanwhile, the rest of the United States is trying to move forward in the 21st century.

Quote:

Private-sector jobs report better than forecast, hinting at 220,000 government report Friday

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. reported this morning that the economy generated 216,000 private-sector jobs in February, well up from the revised 173,000 the firm reported for January, and above consensus expectations of 208,000. The monthly report by the government's Bureau of Labor Statistics, which surveys changes in both private- and public-sector jobs, will be released Friday.

ADP processes over 500,000 payrolls for some 430,000 separate businesses, covering more than 23 million employees nationwide. It is from those data that the jobs report is gleaned by Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC.

Every month, two days before the BLS releases its report, ADP releases its own. While the up or down trend of both reports usually meshes, analysts frequently point to the disparity in the actual count between the two. Indeed, over the past six years, that disparity has averaged 122,000 jobs for December, and it averages 75,000 across all months. So, the analysts say, ADP's report must be taken with a grain of salt. However, the ADP and BLS reports for Februarys since 2006 have exhibited the least disparity, averaging a difference of just 25,000 jobs between the two.

If that average holds, then Wednesday's ADP report is a good omen for Friday's BLS report.

More detail, plus charts, graphs, at:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/0...day?via=blog_1

dellinger63 03-07-2012 08:39 PM

10 million per job. Way to go!

Coach Pants 03-08-2012 08:28 AM

http://www.challengergray.com/press/...x?PressUid=216

http://www.dol.gov/opa/media/press/eta/ui/current.htm

http://www.usnews.com/opinion/articl...mployment-rate

http://www.stltoday.com/news/nationa...c25872f3f.html

I think it's common knowledge that you're incredibly naive.

Good luck with your stupidity.

geeker2 03-08-2012 08:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 844121)

Dailykosuck knows all !

Antitrust32 03-08-2012 09:52 AM

From Coach's link and oh so true. Funny and sad.

http://www.usnews.com/opinion/articl...mployment-rate


COSTELLO: I want to talk about the unemployment rate in America.

ABBOTT: Good Subject. Terrible Times. It's about 8 percent.

COSTELLO: That many people are out of work?

ABBOTT: No, that's 16 percent.

COSTELLO: You just said 8 percent.

ABBOTT: 8 percent unemployed.

[Check out the U.S. News Economic Intelligence blog.]

COSTELLO: Right 8 percent out of work.

ABBOTT: No, that's 16 percent.

COSTELLO: Okay, so it's 16 percent unemployed.

ABBOTT: No, that's around 8 percent...

COSTELLO: Waits a minute. Is it 8 percent or 16 percent?

ABBOTT: 8 percent are unemployed. 16 percent are out of work.

COSTELLO: If you are out of work aren't you unemployed?

ABBOTT: No, you can't count the "Out of Work" as unemployed. You have to look for work to be unemployed.

[See a slide show of Mort Zuckerman's 5 Ways to Create More Jobs.]

COSTELLO: But they are out of work!!!

ABBOTT: No, you miss my point.

COSTELLO: What point?

ABBOTT: Someone who doesn't look for work, can't be counted with those who look for work. It wouldn't be fair.

COSTELLO: To who?

ABBOTT: The unemployed.

COSTELLO: But they are all out of work.

ABBOTT:No, the unemployed are actively looking for work ... Those who are out of work stopped looking. They gave up. And, if you give up, you are no longer in the ranks of the unemployed.

COSTELLO: So if you're off the unemployment roles, that would count as less unemployment?

[See the 10 best cities to find a job.]

ABBOTT: Unemployment would go down. Absolutely!

COSTELLO: The unemployment just goes down because you don't look for work?

ABBOTT:

Absolutely it goes down. That's how you get to 8 percent. Otherwise it would be 16 percent. You don't want to read about 16 percent unemployment do ya?

COSTELLO: That would be frightening.

ABBOTT: Absolutely.

COSTELLO: Wait, I got a question for you. That means ther're two ways to bring down the unemployment number?

ABBOTT: Two ways is correct.

COSTELLO: Unemployment can go down if someone gets a job?

[See the 10 worst cities to find a job.]

ABBOTT:Correct.

COSTELLO:And unemployment can also go down if you stop looking for a job?

ABBOTT: Bingo.

COSTELLO: So there are two ways to bring unemployment down, and the easier of the two is to just stop looking for work.

ABBOTT: Now you're thinking like an economist.

COSTELLO: I don't even know what the hell I just said!

Danzig 03-08-2012 09:58 AM

yeah, when i saw the one title abbott and costello i had to check it out.

funny, but so sad because it's exactly what they use to show how things are just peachy.

'look, it's getting better'. but it's not.

on top of bad numbers, bad economy, bad debt/deficits, you have an admin who feels perfectly justified in killing citizens with drones.

Rudeboyelvis 03-08-2012 10:22 AM


geeker2 03-08-2012 10:59 AM

^^^^^ Ror!!!

Danzig 03-08-2012 11:27 AM

love it!

jms62 03-08-2012 11:36 AM

Then isn't the GOP simply dropping the ball? Shouldn't they be pounding the table and questioning the validity of the numbers? Put Barack on the Defensive to justify the numbers.

Antitrust32 03-08-2012 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 844160)
Then isn't the GOP simply dropping the ball? Shouldn't they be pounding the table and questioning the validity of the numbers? Put Barack on the Defensive to justify the numbers.

no because when a Repub is in office the same thing occurs!! So why call it out when you will do the same thing?

moral of the story: Both Parties suck donkey balls. Both parties lie.

Riot 03-08-2012 12:22 PM

It's amazing to watch some of you guys figure out how unemployment numbers have always been calculated, and thinking you are on to something suddenly revealing and secret :D

:tro:

Antitrust32 03-08-2012 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 844178)
It's amazing to watch some of you guys figure out how unemployment numbers have always been calculated, and thinking you are on to something suddenly revealing and secret :D

:tro:

it's amazing that you think things are improving in this country based on a report that you seem to aknowledge is full of crap.

Riot 03-08-2012 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 844181)
it's amazing that you think things are improving in this country based on a report that you seem to aknowledge is full of crap.

Well, no.

But to respond at your level: nanny, nanny boo-boo back at you :D

Question: What is going to happen to jobless numbers in 3 months?

Answer: They are going to increase, as the Republicans removed unemployment benefits in the worse-hit-jobless states from 99 weeks to only 69 weeks.

Question: Why was that done? Isn't that a terrible thing to do to the unemployed?

Answer: Who cares about the unemployed? The GOP wants jobs numbers to rise, and they'll do anything to win an election.

cabvmd 03-08-2012 12:26 PM

Coach Pants,

Thanks for the links to the "real" data.

Riot, you have to wake up and smell the stink coming from Washington DC. And The GOP are just a responible as the Liberal Dems. If you think the GOP are having their heads explode over the data released by the dailykos.com you are mistaken. They are just part and parcel of the same rotten to the core system ruining this country just for themselves and their friends in the inner circle benifit.

People like me that work with data every day can spot manipulated numbers a mile away.

The government owns the regular media ie "popular media" with show like American Idol, Dancing etc that most Americans watch and get fooled in to thinking what ever they hear for these plastic talking heads must be true or it would not be on TV.

Coach Pants and people like him and dellinger63, danzig, Rudeboyelvis, jms62 and myself know where to find the "real data" and believe me my head is exploding to see how trerrible things really are and these clowns telling lies every single minute of every single day just to get re-elected and keep doing what they have been doing for the 40 years.

BHO is making the mess Bush and that devil Cheney made while they were in charge even worse. They are all to blame.


This county's political system is Broken PERIOD. Due to this the contry is BROKE. Until we can get a viable third party candidate that owes nothing to the real power brokers of the world (Trilateral and Bilderberg Groups) we will continue down this path, unfortunately there is no clone of Abraham Lincoln the first true third party candiate, who just happened to win the Presidency and oh yeah, saved the country.

Still love racing and always will.:tro:

Antitrust32 03-08-2012 12:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 844182)
Well, no.

But to respond at your level: nanny, nanny boo-boo back at you :D

.


So what was the point of this thread you started?

You are a bigger flip flopper than Romney!

jms62 03-08-2012 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 844172)
no because when a Repub is in office the same thing occurs!! So why call it out when you will do the same thing?

moral of the story: Both Parties suck donkey balls. Both parties lie.

Isnt the object to Get Into Office? There are millions of numnuts out there that are buying these bullspit unemployment numbers hook line and sinker and a good portion will be voting for "the guy that made the numbers better"

Riot 03-08-2012 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 844185)
So what was the point of this thread you started?

You are a bigger flip flopper than Romney!

:zz: That makes no sense at all.

As I said: "Jobless report continues to improve - GOP heads explode"

Carry on exploding :D

Danzig 03-08-2012 12:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 844172)
no because when a Repub is in office the same thing occurs!! So why call it out when you will do the same thing?

moral of the story: Both Parties suck donkey balls. Both parties lie.

:tro:

Antitrust32 03-08-2012 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 844187)
Isnt the object to Get Into Office? There are millions of numnuts out there that are buying these bullspit unemployment numbers hook line and sinker and a good portion will be voting for "the guy that made the numbers better"

there are millions of Riot's out there.

Antitrust32 03-08-2012 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 844188)
:zz: That makes no sense at all.

As I said: "Jobless report continues to improve - GOP heads explode"

Carry on exploding :D

okie dokie numb nuts

Danzig 03-08-2012 12:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 844187)
Isnt the object to Get Into Office? There are millions of numnuts out there that are buying these bullspit unemployment numbers hook line and sinker and a good portion will be voting for "the guy that made the numbers better"

of course that's the object. that's why i always remind people that when a pols lips move, he's lying.
and those who bought or continue to buy obama's lines( or any other candidate, politician, officeholder)-they're just naive, or have their head in the sand, or just want to believe. when he does't do what he said he was, it's someone else's fault.
when the patriot act that obama said he was going to change or kill continues with no changes, well there's a reason for that.when he and his minions say that the constitution says they can kill citizens without due process, there's logic mired somewhere too. it's just that only believers are smart enough, keen enough, perceptive enough to understand all the nuances that us dumb f^cks can't grasp. it also explains why i have a couple people on ignore, i have zero interest in reading their messages from far out there land.

Riot 03-08-2012 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig (Post 844195)
of course that's the object. that's why i always remind people that when a pols lips move, he's lying.
and those who bought or continue to buy obama's lines( or any other candidate, politician, officeholder)-they're just naive, or have their head in the sand, or just want to believe. when he does't do what he said he was, it's someone else's fault.
when the patriot act that obama said he was going to change or kill continues with no changes, well there's a reason for that.when he and his minions say that the constitution says they can kill citizens without due process, there's logic mired somewhere too. it's just that only believers are smart enough, keen enough, perceptive enough to understand all the nuances that us dumb f^cks can't grasp. it also explains why i have a couple people on ignore, i have zero interest in reading their messages from far out there land.

Yeah, plowing through the superficial, shallow, name-calling haters gets pretty obnoxious.

Antitrust32 03-08-2012 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 844197)
Yeah, plowing through the superficial, shallow, name-calling haters gets pretty obnoxious.

you do realize YOU are the one she has on ignore right?

oh geez this is funny

Riot 03-08-2012 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 844160)
Then isn't the GOP simply dropping the ball? Shouldn't they be pounding the table and questioning the validity of the numbers? Put Barack on the Defensive to justify the numbers.

The unemployment numbers have been calculated this way - independent of who is President - for some years now. Everybody knows who they include, and who they do not.

The screaming that "the numbers are not real" is absurd - because everybody who pays attention to them knows what they include and do not. They know the caveats. And the numbers over the years have always reflected the same thing as far as inclusion/exclusion, and the exclusions and caveats are already known to everyone who is reading the numbers, and is estimatable separately.

So dismissing the numbers as completely invalid is pretty absurdly ridiculous.

Riot 03-08-2012 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 844199)
you do realize YOU are the one she has on ignore right?

oh geez this is funny

Yes, numbnuts, that's why I said it :D

Is this really that hard for you to follow? :p

Danzig 03-08-2012 01:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 844191)
there are millions of Riot's out there.

click 'user cp' on top left
four sections on left-hand side
look at miscellaneous-second option is buddy/ignore list.

click on that



To remove a user from either the Buddy or Ignore Lists, un-tick the box next to their name and click the 'Save List' button. or add new name to list.

it's a great stress reliever. you can post what you wish and now have to worry about nonsense in reply!


well...til someone quotes them-then you just scroll down quickly. :D

Riot 03-08-2012 01:11 PM

Or, you can just pretend you have them on ignore, and occasionally directly answer them by mistake :rolleyes:

Antitrust32 03-08-2012 01:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 844212)
Or, you can just pretend you have them on ignore, and occasionally directly answer them by mistake :rolleyes:

Yes, you are SOOO important that people just PRETEND to have you on ignore.

Coach Pants 03-08-2012 01:38 PM

Lets hear it for central banks and Franklin Roosevelt.



*please baby Jesus let her spin that graph*

bigrun 03-08-2012 01:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 844212)
Or, you can just pretend you have them on ignore, and occasionally directly answer them by mistake :rolleyes:


ROR, at another site guy put me on ignore because i quoted a poster that was on his ignore list and he was forced to read it...:D

Riot 03-08-2012 01:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 844228)
Yes, you are SOOO important that people just PRETEND to have you on ignore.

I'm not important at all. Thus your incessant attention is confusing.

Riot 03-08-2012 01:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bigrun (Post 844242)
ROR, at another site guy put me on ignore because i quoted a poster that was on his ignore list and he was forced to read it...:D

Were his eyes held open a 'la "A Clockwork Orange"? :D Yeah, he was "forced" to read it?

LOL - I love the internet, it has great pictures of cute kittens and puppies :-)

And it's a home to the mildly psychotic.

Antitrust32 03-08-2012 01:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 844243)
I'm not important at all. Thus your incessant attention is confusing.

it's cause i loooooooove you riot :{>::{>:

Riot 03-08-2012 01:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 844247)
it's cause i loooooooove you riot :{>::{>:

Love hurts, huh? :D

Coach Pants 03-08-2012 01:51 PM

Post the student loan numbers.

Danzig 03-08-2012 09:53 PM

http://economywatch.msnbc.msn.com/_n...ood-to-be-true

Employment data may be too good to be true

By John W. Schoen, Senior Producer


At first glance, the U.S. job market seems to be moving in the right direction, although at a crawl. When you take a closer look, some of the data showing improving conditions for job-seekers may be too good to be true.



and further down:

Some suspect the government's formulas for smoothing out seasonal factors may be inadvertently inflating the numbers. Gallup chief economist Dennis Jacobe figures that, without those seasonal adjustments, the jobless rate has actually been rising for the past three months, hitting 9.1 percent in January.

Seasonal adjustment is a common practice used to analyze economic data because filtering out the impact of seasonal forces usually gives a better assessment of underlying trends. But, for reasons economists are still debating, this winter's seasonal adjustments may have thrown the numbers out of whack

"We think that the improvement over the last few months dramatically overstates the underlying improvement," said Goldman Sachs economist Andrew Tilton. "You will not see that rate of improvement going forward."

Goldman Sachs expects the jobless rate to end the year at 8.2 percent, barely below January's reading of 8.3 percent. That view is shared by economists at the Federal Reserve, whose chairman, Ben Bernanke, has said central bankers don't expect further big drops in the jobless rate.

lord007 03-08-2012 10:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 844016)
God's Own Party, in the face of improving jobless numbers during a Democratic administration, double down on calling women sluts, screaming falsely about losses of religious freedomz, and blaming people with no control of the subject about gasoline prices.

Meanwhile, the rest of the United States is trying to move forward in the 21st century.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/...from-stimulus/.........Not in D.C....Where my job's at..$885mil...whoa

DaTruth 03-08-2012 11:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 844238)
Lets hear it for central banks and Franklin Roosevelt.



*please baby Jesus let her spin that graph*

That looks like a wave that is getting close to cresting.

dellinger63 03-09-2012 06:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 844243)
I'm not important at all.


I knew you'd eventually get something right!


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