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-   -   1/5: Aqueduct (6th-9th); Gulfstream (6th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=45075)

Kasept 01-05-2012 06:59 AM

1/5: Aqueduct (6th-9th); Gulfstream (6th-10th)
 
AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Excellent group to start the late quad with two of the top 3 favorites appearing vulnerable. 3-1 Lynette is stretching out for the first time and 7-2 Royal Lahaina outposted and needing improvement to contend..

Best Value: #1 Royal Sighting 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Giant Sensation 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Cherokee Trick 10-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Shocking Behavior 12-1 7th


7th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Using the experience of our own Dee Tee Stables' City Zip colt My Pal of Pals as the example, 3-1 Ampersand is almost certainly a turf horse..

Best Value: #2 Get in the Game 6-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Saxaphone Len 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Suspicious U 5-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Mad Bomber 8-1 8th


8th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Wee Freudian 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #3 Surprise Strike 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1 City Trooper 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Off the Jak 8-1 2nd


9th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (Super)

Will be interesting to see the action at the claim box with Irish Eddie having a giant fire sale tag on and Shoutout having appeal to someone willing to wait for grass season or ship him south. Mahfouz, now with Rudy Rod, has been gone nearly 2 years and gets Ramon. Odd assembly..

Best Value: #10 Mahfouz 5-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Irish Eddie 8-5 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Shoutout 3-1 WON ($9.10)
Super Add: #7 Exact Again 5-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-6-8
7: 2-5
8: 1-3-5-7-8
9: 6-8-10

5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

NOTE: Huge SCR of fave #5 Afleet Lass..

Best Value: #9 Sookie Stackhouse 6-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Wyatt's Women 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Flying Trip 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Devilish Lady 6-1 5th


7th: CLM, 4+, 5f-T/72' (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Of course he can win, but Silver Timber's best days are behind him..

Most Likely: #1 Classical Closing 4-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Matt's a Giant 12-1 WON ($49.60)
Next Best: #10 Silver Timber 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Speight the Halo 12-1 6th


8th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

New 3yo's and a very intriguing group..

Most Likely: #2 Elusive Story 7-2 7th
Next Best: #7 Late Night Action 8-1 9th
Best Value: #4 Lightly Wound 20-1 11th
Exotics Use: #6 Nonno's Boy 12-1 2nd


9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Miss Netta is OK, but she figures to be overbet off BC & Frizette appearances. Plenty of viable options with rapidly developing sophs at this time of year..

Best Value: #2 Refining 5-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Miss Netta 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #7 The Cat's All That 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Golden History 8-1 6th


10th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Zulu Warrior 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Le Grand Artiste 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Romantic Channel 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 National Security 3-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Swaggaboy 4-1 10th


<$50 P5 Play:

6: 6-9
7: 1-3-4-10
8: 2-4-7
9: 2-6
10: 4-6

2x4x3x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$50/$75/$100 P4 Plays:

7: 1-3-4-10
8: 2-4-7
9: 2-6
10: 4-6-7-9 (8-11) (2-5)

<$50: 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
<$75: 4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
<$100: 4x3x2x8 = 192 x .50 = $96


Good luck!
Steve

pucknut 01-05-2012 08:57 AM

surprise strike at the big a has a major shot love this horse today

Kasept 01-05-2012 10:01 AM

AQU SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 01-05-2012 10:04 AM

GP SCR/CHG'S

RockHardTen1985 01-05-2012 10:58 AM

Steve I think the 13 has a huge shot in the 8th.
GL today.

Kasept 01-05-2012 11:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pucknut (Post 829266)
surprise strike at the big a has a major shot love this horse today

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 829287)
Steve I think the 13 has a huge shot in the 8th. GL today.

Good luck today guys!

GPK 01-05-2012 11:42 AM

Gonna try and hide 1st time Zaidie/Lezcano on the back end of a small pick 3.

Gulfstream Race 4

1,3,8/2,5,11/4

Bigsmc 01-05-2012 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 829304)
Gonna try and hide 1st time Zaidie/Lezcano on the back end of a small pick 3.

Gulfstream Race 4

1,3,8/2,5,11/4

Atta boy Kev.

3kings 01-05-2012 02:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 829304)
Gonna try and hide 1st time Zaidie/Lezcano on the back end of a small pick 3.

Gulfstream Race 4

1,3,8/2,5,11/4

Nice Kev!

Kasept 01-05-2012 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 829304)
Gonna try and hide 1st time Zaidie/Lezcano on the back end of a small pick 3.

Gulfstream Race 4

1,3,8/2,5,11/4

$200 Kev.. Nice!

MaTH716 01-05-2012 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 829304)
Gonna try and hide 1st time Zaidie/Lezcano on the back end of a small pick 3.

Gulfstream Race 4

1,3,8/2,5,11/4

Good job Hoss. :D

GPK 01-05-2012 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc (Post 829352)
Atta boy Kev.

You wanna know what a idiot I am? Here is what I played.

01/05/2012 13:48:14 54037107355010 Gulfstream Park 4 $1.00 1/2,5,11/4 $3.00 Pick 3 ?
01/05/2012 13:49:01 74330810763891 Gulfstream Park 4 $1.00 1,3/2,5,11/4 $6.00 Pick 3 ?
01/05/2012 13:49:22 43841326781362 Gulfstream Park 4 $1.00 1,8/5,11/4 $4.00 Pick 3 ?
01/05/2012 14:15:45 51303006585472 Gulfstream Park 5 $2.00 2,3/4 $4.00 Double ?

This is what happens when you try and get too f*cking cute. Notice I don't have 8-2-4 pick 3. I pressed the 1 heavy when he opened up at 3-5. So all I have is a 2-4 double for $66.70 instead of the 1 pick 3 for $199.

I'm the biggest douche bag alive.

MaTH716 01-05-2012 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 829357)
Good job Hoss. :D

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 829358)
You wanna know what a idiot I am? Here is what I played.

01/05/2012 13:48:14 54037107355010 Gulfstream Park 4 $1.00 1/2,5,11/4 $3.00 Pick 3 ?
01/05/2012 13:49:01 74330810763891 Gulfstream Park 4 $1.00 1,3/2,5,11/4 $6.00 Pick 3 ?
01/05/2012 13:49:22 43841326781362 Gulfstream Park 4 $1.00 1,8/5,11/4 $4.00 Pick 3 ?
01/05/2012 14:15:45 51303006585472 Gulfstream Park 5 $2.00 2,3/4 $4.00 Double ?

This is what happens when you try and get too f*cking cute. Notice I don't have 8-2-4 pick 3. I pressed the 1 heavy when he opened up at 3-5. So all I have is a 2-4 double for $66.70 instead of the 1 pick 3 for $199.

I'm the biggest douche bag alive.

I take it back, Hossy would have never done something like that........................

geeker2 01-05-2012 02:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 829358)
You wanna know what a idiot I am? Here is what I played.

01/05/2012 13:48:14 54037107355010 Gulfstream Park 4 $1.00 1/2,5,11/4 $3.00 Pick 3 ?
01/05/2012 13:49:01 74330810763891 Gulfstream Park 4 $1.00 1,3/2,5,11/4 $6.00 Pick 3 ?
01/05/2012 13:49:22 43841326781362 Gulfstream Park 4 $1.00 1,8/5,11/4 $4.00 Pick 3 ?
01/05/2012 14:15:45 51303006585472 Gulfstream Park 5 $2.00 2,3/4 $4.00 Double ?

This is what happens when you try and get too f*cking cute. Notice I don't have 8-2-4 pick 3. I pressed the 1 heavy when he opened up at 3-5. So all I have is a 2-4 double for $66.70 instead of the 1 pick 3 for $199.

I'm the biggest douche bag alive.

Would the Vanilla Ice video make you feel better? ;)

Bigsmc 01-05-2012 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geeker2 (Post 829361)
Would the Vanilla Ice video make you feel better? ;)

or this?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ytCEuuW2_A

GPK 01-05-2012 02:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc (Post 829363)

:D
:tro:

geeker2 01-05-2012 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc (Post 829363)

:wf :tro:

Kasept 01-05-2012 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 829364)
:D
:tro:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BW2vr...eature=related

GPK 01-05-2012 02:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 829369)

Hey, doesn't the double count??:o

And I'm live to some horses in the 7th on the back end.:)

MaTH716 01-05-2012 02:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 829370)
Hey, doesn't the double count??:o

And I'm live to some horses in the 7th on the back end.:)


GPK 01-05-2012 02:30 PM

:eek::eek::tro:

GPK 01-05-2012 02:41 PM

Good call on Matts a Giant, SB. Wish I would have used him in the double.

Kasept 01-05-2012 02:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 829377)
Good call on Matts a Giant, SB. Wish I would have used him in the double.

Thx! Was sweeet... Cured the misses on the P5 and AQU P4!

MaTH716 01-05-2012 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 829380)
Thx! Was sweeet... Cured the misses on the P5 and AQU P4!

Whoa, $49 bucks!!!!!

Congrats Stevie

Kasept 01-05-2012 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 829383)
Whoa, $49 bucks!!!!!

Congrats Stevie

Thx Matt.. That was a crazy price.

geeker2 01-05-2012 02:57 PM

Just for the record I am on the $96 version of the Byk P4 train ! :D

Nice start.....

Heels1989 01-05-2012 03:00 PM

I'm 8 deep in the GP 8th and still feel I do not have enough coverage. :zz:

geeker2 01-05-2012 03:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Heels1989 (Post 829388)
I'm 8 deep in the GP 8th and still feel I do not have enough coverage. :zz:


6 horse fav at 3-1 from morning line 0f 12-1 :eek:

Heels1989 01-05-2012 03:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Heels1989 (Post 829388)
I'm 8 deep in the GP 8th and still feel I do not have enough coverage. :zz:

borrowing Mr Steve's clip: :wf

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BW2vr...eature=related

ADJMK 01-05-2012 04:25 PM

No need to waste time handicapping Gulfstream. Too many race with no form and too many question marks. Just throw darts and you will be better off.

Alan07 01-05-2012 04:30 PM

Pick 4 pays $105k, yet P5 pays only $22k! :eek:

Pick 4 pool was $131,964, P5 pool was $71,588. Would assume 1 ticket on P4 and perhaps 3 tickets with P5.

Kasept 01-05-2012 04:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 829409)
No need to waste time handicapping Gulfstream. Too many race with no form and too many question marks. Just throw darts and you will be better off.

That's not true and it's a defeatist attitude. As was the case last winter, it doesn't take but the occasional big hit to make out. You have to persevere and get a few to run for you.

Kasept 01-05-2012 04:44 PM

Pedigree players take note: With Buzz the Deputy's GP10 win ($40.20), sire Deputy Wild Cat is now 8 for 35 (22%) with 'first time turf' starters.

Kasept 01-05-2012 04:58 PM

January 5-5:57 PM-Santa Anita 5

$0.50 P4 (PWHL)
5: 1, 9
6: 3, 5, 6, 7
7: 1, 2, 3, 7
8: 9, 10

$32

GPK 01-05-2012 06:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 829422)
January 5-5:57 PM-Santa Anita 5

$0.50 P4 (PWHL)
5: 1, 9
6: 3, 5, 6, 7
7: 1, 2, 3, 7
8: 9, 10

$32

Ok buddy, you and me...lets get this one home.

01/05/2012 17:52:21 06553067751654 Santa Anita Park 5 $0.50 1,3,4,9/3,5,6/1,2,4,9/9,10 $48.00 Pick 4

Kasept 01-05-2012 06:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 829447)
Ok buddy, you and me...lets get this one home.

01/05/2012 17:52:21 06553067751654 Santa Anita Park 5 $0.50 1,3,4,9/3,5,6/1,2,4,9/9,10 $48.00 Pick 4

Very cool that you've got the same 2! BOL..

GPK 01-05-2012 06:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 829451)
Very cool that you've got the same 2! BOL..

I mushed us. Sorry.

Kasept 01-05-2012 06:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 829456)
I mushed us. Sorry.

Meh.. They didn't run. High Resolve an old favorite too from days with Gilchrist. Still a fun day of play. Hope everyone caught a little something along the way.

GPK 01-05-2012 06:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 829458)
Meh.. They didn't run. High Resolve an old favorite too from days with Gilchrist. Still a fun day of play. Hope everyone caught a little something along the way.

I feel like the only thing I caught was a case of the clap.

ADJMK 01-06-2012 01:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 829411)
That's not true and it's a defeatist attitude. As was the case last winter, it doesn't take but the occasional big hit to make out. You have to persevere and get a few to run for you.

Its ok Steve. Not jumping the bridge yet. Actually have had a few hits and am still up for the meet. Just too many races with long layoffs, 1st time turf etc. More guesswork than handicapping invoved. You really need to pick your spots.


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