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-   -   8/18: Saratoga (Day 24; $100k P6) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43523)

Kasept 08-18-2011 05:59 AM

8/18: Saratoga (Day 24; $100k P6)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2L, 4+, 19f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Late SCR
Next Best: #4 Port Morseby 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Parker's Project 10-1 WON ($30.40)
Super Add: #5 Brave Prospect 12-1 DNF


2nd: Walsh Novice, 4+, 19f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 All Together 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1e Sheppard entry 4-1 WON ($6.30)/4th
Best Value: #2 Here Comes Art 8-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Demonstrative 7-2 2nd


3rd: CLMN/N2L, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Settle for Medal 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Cooper River 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Gospel Lesson 4-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Launch N Relaunch 4-1 2nd


4th: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Stud Muffin 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Coljak 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 J L Bernstein 7-2 WON ($8.50)
Super Add: #1 Sheraguska 6-1 4th


5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$100k Guaranteed P6 starts here..

Maddeningly competitive group including 15-1 overlay Loyal Shadow who is the 4yo half-sister of the City Zip colt My Pal of Pals that Dee Tee shares with their breeder Dr. Paul Giacopelli..

Most Likely: #8 Resoundingly 7-2 6th
Best Value: #9 Loyal Shadow 15-1 WON ($31.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Ouchy Night 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Royal Order 15-1 4th


6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Tricky anchor to early quad given status of free-falling fave Papa Bear (5-2) and Hushion's gaudy 2nd/break stat (46%; $2.74)..

Best Value: #8 No Questions 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 My Man Marty 7-2 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #5 Papa Bear 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Thisonesforruthie 6-1 6th


<$50 P4 Play:

3: 3-7
4: 3-4-5
5: 2-6-7-8-9
6: 1-5-8

2x3x5x3 = 90 x .50 = $45


7th: CLM, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Red Leader 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Jimanator 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Show Trial 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Hurricane Heat 12-1 6th


8th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Free Brave 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Sumfun 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Tahoe Warrior 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Sly 6-1 5th


9th: 32nd West Point-NY, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Lubash 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Compliance Officer 5-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Ichabad Crane 3-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Pocket Cowboys 6-1 3rd


10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #6 Holy Spice 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Singmeasong 3-1 -th
Exotics Use: #3 Rennina 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Simsational 7-2 WON ($8.90)


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 7-8-9
6: 1-8
7: 8-12
8: 8
9: 1-5
10: 3-4-6-9

3x2x2x1x2x4 = 96 x $2 = $192

$2 Pick 6 (9/1/1,2,4,7,12/2/1/9) Paid $1,362.00 (5OF6)


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 8-10-12
8: 5-6-8
9: 1-5-8-10
10: 3-4-6-9

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-18-2011 06:23 AM

All races ON turf except 7th..

pb72vett 08-18-2011 06:39 AM

pb 72 vett
 
Steve word is Banrock will not run??

Kasept 08-18-2011 06:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pb72vett (Post 800957)
Steve word is Banrock will not run??

Cool.. Thx. Will check with Bush.

NOT running confirms Bush..

Kasept 08-18-2011 10:41 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

asudevil 08-18-2011 12:10 PM

Nice call on Parker's Project.

ADJMK 08-18-2011 12:33 PM

p6 stab $96

8/5,6,7/10/2,3,5,8/5/3,4,6,9

Max Caidy 08-18-2011 12:45 PM

Gotta love Sheppard at 14-1 !!!!

Kasept 08-18-2011 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil (Post 801003)
Nice call on Parker's Project.

Thx! That was rather amazing between the win price and the Shep Exacta.

ninetoone 08-18-2011 02:23 PM

Loyal Shadow...nice!

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-18-2011 02:23 PM

siacccaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa..lol

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-18-2011 02:26 PM

see steve sprint for the wc..

Kasept 08-18-2011 02:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead (Post 801049)
see steve sprint for the wc..

Actually, I watched the race from Winner's Circle.

That was sweeeeet....

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-18-2011 02:52 PM

nice congrats to dr g

Clip-Clop 08-18-2011 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 801060)
Actually, I watched the race from Winner's Circle.

That was sweeeeet....

That was presumptive. And profitable!

MaTH716 08-18-2011 02:56 PM

Congrats Doc!

SuffolkGirl 08-18-2011 03:15 PM

:tro:
Quote:

Originally Posted by ninetoone (Post 801047)
Loyal Shadow...nice!


Clip-Clop 08-18-2011 04:59 PM

Go 9!

Kasept 08-18-2011 05:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop (Post 801108)
Go 9!

We'll take it, eh Clip!?! 5 of 6 a very healthy $1,362...

pgiaco 08-18-2011 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 801068)
Congrats Doc!

Thanks!! Love that filly!:{>:

ADJMK 08-18-2011 05:34 PM

Congrats Steve. Right on the ball as usual and at least you get paid a little today.
Just think if you were agressive and singled The Shadow.
Would have knocked down the early P4 and maybe the P6. That's what we dream about.

intense 08-18-2011 06:51 PM

Thanks for the 9 horse in the 5th today. Was at the casino and tossed a little bet on it before I left, nice to see it hit for a nice score on my way back!

Great picks as always, keep up the great work!

MaTH716 08-18-2011 07:46 PM

Nice Job today Steve!

Kasept 08-18-2011 09:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop (Post 801067)
That was presumptive. And profitable!

I watch a lot of races from the winner's circle..

Kasept 08-18-2011 09:22 PM

ADJ, intense, Matt...

Thanks. Was a terrific day all around from what I thought was a strong edition of ATR, through the jumpers, Loyal Shadow and the P6 conso. Hope many did well..

Just back from dinner at Pennell's with the Sciacca Family... Would be thrilled to reprise a good portion of today on Friday!

'night all..

dagolfer33 08-18-2011 09:58 PM

Great day Steve!! Looks like you were on top of it today, congrats!!

herkhorse 08-19-2011 05:50 AM

Another great day Steve!

atolunch 08-19-2011 06:40 AM

Great day, Steve!

Congrats, and hope you keep it rolling:tro:

tmpg2000 08-19-2011 07:18 AM

Congrats yesterday Steve!

Pennell's is one of my favorites

Clip-Clop 08-19-2011 07:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 801110)
We'll take it, eh Clip!?! 5 of 6 a very healthy $1,362...

Just have to get the rest of it today! Great work as always.


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