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4/23 (GP): Mandatory Pay Rainbow 6/Discussion
7th (4:15)
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Claiming ($12,500) | Purse: $19,800 1 Edge Ahead Gallardo A A 116 $12,500 L 2 Include Traci Saez L 116 $12,500 FTL 3 Wise Blitz Dominguez E 123 $12,500 L 4 Guiding Spirit Maragh S 116 $12,500 L 5 Game On Santiago Javier 123 $12,500 L 6 Captain Crench Bocachica O 116 $12,500 L 7 Halo West Rodriguez J I 113 $12,500 L 8 Alice's Alex Madrid S O 116 $12,500 L 9 Walk the Tiger Bernardini D 116 $12,500 L 10 Marias Pass Alvarez J L 118 $12,500 Blk-On L 11 Rumbletown Curatolo R 109 $12,500 L 12 Our Redemption Garcia Jose A 123 $12,500 L AE Indian Fog Lopez P 123 $12,500 L AE Norwich Cadet Solis A 116 $12,500 L AE Mountain Chapel Vazquez R A 116 $12,500 L AE Late Payment Nelson L 123 $12,500 L 8th (4:45) 5 Furlongs (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($20,000 - $15,000) | Purse: $28,100 1 Danny's Prayer Sanchez J 119 $15,000 L 2 Reign of Kings Bocachica O 123 $20,000 L 3 Walt's Whiz Lopez P 121 $20,000 L 4 Notonthesamepage Cruz M R 121 $20,000 L 5 Lighten Up Rodriguez J I 111 $20,000 L 6 Foolish Honor Alvarez J L 116 $20,000 L 7 Sunkist Ruckus Nunez E O 121 $20,000 L 8 Mipando Trujillo E 119 $15,000 L 9 Wild Storm Cat Saez L 121 $20,000 L 10 Renick Creek Garcia L 119 $15,000 L 11 Si Senora Dominguez E 116 $20,000 L 12 Knight Shot Baird E T 119 $15,000 L AE Mustang Island Bravo J 119 $15,000 L AE Show the Way J Bocachica O 121 $20,000 L AE Blue Tape Leyva J C 121 $20,000 L AE Shanda D Trujillo E 116 $20,000 L 9th (5:15) 6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $63,600 1 Stormy Parade Saez L 122 Blk-Off L 2 Meadow Cat Bravo J 122 3 Mr. Oz Trujillo E 122 FTL 4 No Paparazzi Madrid M 122 L 5 Solar d'Oro Madrid S O 122 Blk-On L 6 Vimana Sanchez J 122 L 7 Christiesborntorun Lopez P 122 L 8 Peasant Bocachica O 122 9 Hebert Hall Solis A 122 FTL 10 Zero Rate Policy Alvarez J L 117 L 10th (5:45) 1 Mile (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $66,900 1 Heritage House Saez L 119 L 2 Sovereign Crisis Bravo J 116 L 3 Snow Trial Garcia L 112 4 Zaniah Alvarez J L 107 L 5 Morningsideheights Baird E T 119 L 6 Silver Rock (IRE) Curatolo R 112 FTL 7 Duchess of Doom Bocachica O 119 L 8 More Is Better Solis A 119 L 9 Performing Jara F 123 L 10 Waquoit's Dance Trujillo E 119 L 11 Ithinkihadthatone Lopez P 119 L 12 Hope and Luck Sanchez J 119 L AE Upfrontn'dangerous Leyva J C 119 L AE Miss Muffin Cruz M R 119 L 11th (6:15) 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $66,900 2 Catalan Curatolo R 112 L 3 Hariolus (BRZ) Lopez P 119 L 4 Storm Chart Jara F 119 L 5 Chinglish Bravo J 116 L 6 Laguna Moon Marquez C H Jr 119 L 1 Capital Market Trujillo E 119 L 7 Saint Jude Jurado L 119 L 8 Houngun Saez L 119 L 9 Storm Warnings Bocachica O 112 L 10 Pacmanstephen Leyva J C 112 L 11 Dover Beach Solis A 116 L 12 Gathering Cloud Cruz M R 119 L 13 AE Troubles Comin Garcia Jose A 119 L 1a AE Liston Trujillo E 119 L A-Coupled: Capital Market and Liston 12th (6:45) 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Claiming ($25,000 - $22,500) | Purse: $27,300 1 Misia Luisa Dominguez E 114 $22,500 L 2 Chance Review Bravo J 123 $25,000 L 3 Lotsa Noodles Madrid M 114 $22,500 L 4 Poppin's Pride Garcia L 121 $22,500 L 5 Rachel's Girl Smith A E 116 $25,000 L 6 Shahadaroba Curatolo R 116 $25,000 L 7 Essence of Faith Suckie M C 121 $22,500 L 8 Natasha's Gold Rodriguez J I 104 $22,500 L 9 Diaper Dandy Trujillo E 121 $22,500 Blk-On L 10 Persistence Cruz M R 123 $25,000 L 11 Avorio Alvarez J L 116 $22,500 L 12 Sassidy Lopez P 121 $22,500 L AE Adelaide's Mink Leyva J C 116 $25,000 L |
Wow..... Looks daunting to say the least.
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I already put together a syndicate and found out that I can't place the bet in NJ or CT. Driving Parx might be my last shot. . . ugh. Looking at the entries, I am not confident.
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Daunting indeed. Noticed another D'Oro in the mix.
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I have to assume that this day is treated very differently from a strategic point of view, especially in relation to the previous P6's at GP.
Any suggestions, strategies? How much would be a "right" amount to put into it?? |
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I'm just hoping for some good weather! We all know how quick GP management is for cancelling turf races at the last moment...
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Twinspires has a socalled players pool, and they are going to put together a 100K ticket,and people can put in as little as 10.00 freaken dollars...
That is pretty sick, and they will probably hit it, and it very possble people will lose money on the deal..... Even if they hit, and are the only ticket, you might get at best 40-1 for your money.....thats if the pool is 4 million or so.... I will pass Twinspires, thanks anyway. |
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Not that this means one iota, but I wasnt able to wager on the Rainbow 6 a few weeks ago thru my phonebet account nor in person at the local Turf Club.. The phonebet attendant even told me that my .50 cent late P4 bets arent available over the phone, even if it totalled 54$, and that i had to use either .com or place bets in person...What a joke!
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First run through, it's a VERY tough sequence. |
Found out today that at least in the Arlington tote system, you can only bet 4600 combination on a single ticket. The tote manager 'assumed' that it was the same way at other locations.
Just a heads up for people getting a little nuts |
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In related news, Sunday is Easter. |
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GP (04/23): Rainbow 6 Discussion
Have at it.
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Notonthesamepage looks like a nice play against in the 8th. I like the 2,3 and 8 in that race, especially the 8. Walder is just ridiculous on the cut back.
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GP R7 - A: 5,10 B: 6,8,11 C: 2,12
[AE - #s 13 + 14 = Bs?] GP R8 - A: 2,7,9 B: 3,4 C: 8,12 [AE - #13 A or B, 14 + 15 C, 16 B] GP R9 - A: 7,9,10 B: 2,6 C: 3,4 GP R10 - A: 8,9,10 B: 2,6 C: 3,4 [AE - #13 C] GP R11 - A: 8,12 B: 3,5 C: 1,2,11 GP R12 - A: 9,10 C: 1,6,12 |
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5,6,10/
2,3,8/ 2,3,4,7,10/ 2,10/ 1,5,12/ 2,9 |
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The takeout is 20%. So if there's $4 million bet in tomorrow, and $1.5 million in the carryover, there will be a $700k overlay on the payout- so you're playing with a ~20% bonus on the payoff, and that's just assuming the betting distribution will be "normal". Like you said, there will be tons of people playing even the most extreme combos (with Twinspires putting in $100k alone, they will have to spread extremely wide by necessity.) The chances of having a lone winning ticket tomorrow are virtually none. That is no longer the objective since the distribution is mandatory. It's taking advantage of the huge money already in the pool to hit a reasonable combo with a 20-25% bonus in the payoff. If that's not good enough for you, by all means waste your money today chasing absurd horses trying for the whole pool. Good luck. |
I read somewhere that Gulfstream should "buy" the ticket today, to ensure a carry for tomorrow...Local papers are estimating 5 million tomorrow.
Tomorrow, If these field sizes hold, there will be 2,488,320 combinations, requiring an investment of $248,832 to cover every possibility. http://blogs.trb.com/entertainment/n...grow_to_5.html |
I'm thinking that the best thing to do is run a few tix with a good number of shots and hope for the best. Then, go play another track and not worry about it.
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I agree...his logic makes no sense.
Hey, I'm putting together a $40 ticket for a dime, and then not just enjoy it and not worry too much about it. The fun for tomorrow is you can invest a small amount of money, and if you hit it, it will be like hitting a nice pk 4. Playing Friday is almost pointless unless you have some serious longshots that you love. |
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2/8/10/11
8/9 6/7/8/9 2/4/6/8 3/5/11 5/9/10 |
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Paid pretty well today considering there was two odds-on and one other favorite selection in the sequence. Some guy sitting by me at Keeneland got knocked out in the 2nd leg and won the 3rd and 4th, then starts getting excited, "I can still get 5 of 6!" I said to him "Sorry to be the bearer of bad news but they don't pay 5 of 6". These are the guys we are playing against tomorrow- definitely guys that make their living at it. |
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No short jokes needed...:) |
.10 pick 6
6,10 3,8,9 3,5,9,10 2,6,9 2,12 1,5,6,9,10 |
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