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-   -   Spectacular Bid VS Seattle Slew (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=40762)

The Indomitable DrugS 02-01-2011 05:41 PM

Spectacular Bid VS Seattle Slew
 
What always amazes me is when Seattle Slew is rated higher. On the Bloodhorse list - Slew was rated higher - but just by one position. Slew is kicking his ass on two recent fan polls as well. These horses are only 2 years apart.

It's pretty simple however, Spectacular Bid was unquestionably the better 2yo, unquestionably the better 3yo, and unquestionably the better 4yo.

Slew won 8 Grade 1's and 9 total Graded Stakes in 3 seasons.

Bid won 14 Grade 1's and 22 total Graded Stakes in 3 seasons.

Slew flopped in California as a 3yo when he was outsprinted early and put in a non-effort. Bid dominated in California - and all other regions. He was also much more versatile from a running style standpoint and could take back.

In terms of speed figures - Seattle Slew could barely even warm Spectacular Bid up.

One of Bid's slowest races at age 3 came when he won the Florida Derby by daylight despite breaking into the side of the starting gate - and having to be steadied 3 different times.



Despite the poor ride from his not so highly regarded teenage jockey - he still won with a 4.25 Ragozin. A faster number than Slew ran his entire 3yo season.

Slew was lucky to land into one of the all-time worst 3yo crops. If you remove Spectacular Bid from his crop - horses like General Assembly and Coastal are legitmate champion 3yo quality horses in an avg crop.

Bid was boo'd in NY - a cross country invader in California - and not from the Mid-west.

He made the absolute best of the only two big home games he ever got. His Laurel Futurity is arguably the greatest race ever run by a 2yo. His Preakness win was also an amazing performance - earning a gigantic figure despite a poor ride.

Quote:

My horse couldn’t have beaten him if he had cut through the infield. I’ve had enough of running against Spectacular Bid for awhile. So has the General. Spectacular Bid Preakness was just plain outstanding from any point of view. Im a believer.”

Leroy Jolley- trainer of General Assembly after the Preakness

ArlJim78 02-01-2011 05:53 PM

the triple crown is all many people think about. Slew has it, the Bid doesn't.
but you're right, there is no comparison. The Bid was a freak.

randallscott35 02-01-2011 05:57 PM

No doubt Doug.

MISTERGEE 02-01-2011 06:02 PM

would you say that slew was the better sprinter?

randallscott35 02-01-2011 06:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MISTERGEE (Post 748041)
would you say that slew was the better sprinter?

Slew was the best everything.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-01-2011 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MISTERGEE (Post 748041)
would you say that slew was the better sprinter?

Not at 7fs.

Bid won a Graded Stakes race by 15 lengths in 1:20 and change as a 2yo at 7fs.

He won the Hutchenson in his 3yo debut in super fashion. He also won the Malibu in 1:20 and change off the layoff for his 4yo debut .. Aaron Hesz talks about that as one of the most impressive races he's ever seen. To that point - I guess a lot of big Eastern horses struggled when they shipped out there - especially in sprints.

randallscott35 02-01-2011 06:20 PM

My bathroom currently has two pictures in it, framed. Bid walkover and the 1980 Tremont savage pic.

Indian Charlie 02-01-2011 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 748064)
My bathroom currently has two pictures in it, framed. Bid walkover and the 1980 Tremont savage pic.

Whatever floats your boat.

randallscott35 02-01-2011 06:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 748065)
Whatever floats your boat.

Guest bathroom but thanks.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-01-2011 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 748064)
My bathroom currently has two pictures in it, framed. Bid walkover and the 1980 Tremont savage pic.

No magazines with pages stuck together?

randallscott35 02-01-2011 06:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 748074)
No magazines with pages stuck together?

I am not single in Erie

smuthg 02-01-2011 07:31 PM

is this not an "Montana v. Marino" or "Rice v. Moss" argument... in my mind, no doubt that Moss and Marino were better talents, but Montana and Rice have the rings. Regardless of what the Bid did, he didn't win the Triple Crown, and he'll always have that held against him...

The Indomitable DrugS 02-01-2011 08:00 PM

If Alydar was born in Seattle Slew's crop - Seattle Slew wouldn't have won a single race in the triple crown series.

I assume Sir Barton is better than Kelso and Dr. Fager.

Indian Charlie 02-01-2011 08:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 748115)
If Alydar was born in Seattle Slew's crop - Seattle Slew wouldn't have won a single race in the triple crown series.

I assume Sir Barton is better than Kelso and Dr. Fager.

Yeah, but, Slew beat Affirmed and Affirmed beat the Bid, so Slew must be better than the Bid!

Indian Charlie 02-01-2011 08:04 PM

Hey Sal, I know you think Bernardini was better than AP Indy, but was AP Indy better than Slew?

The Indomitable DrugS 02-01-2011 08:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 748118)
Hey Sal, I know you think Bernardini was better than AP Indy, but was AP Indy better than Slew?

Seattle Slew at age 4 - would have killed A. P. Indy at age 3.

In terms of who the better 3yo was - it's a tough call but probably A. P. Indy

Slew wasn't running good numbers - was facing miserable competition - and he was pretty one dimensional.

Here is Slew's attempt in California at age 3 when they tried to rate him back and got him boxed in ...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lFmKe4t-V8s

Danzig 02-01-2011 08:31 PM

i'm a huge seattle slew fan, have a print of him at three chimneys...but no way i'd rank him ahead of the bid.

justindew 02-01-2011 08:50 PM

Is Andy asleep?

dalakhani 02-01-2011 09:17 PM

I think there is little debate that Spectacular Bid was a faster horse. The thing is, Slew had this whole mystique thing going for him in droves. He was a cool horse with a cool name and the pretty horsey people love slew and thats why he gets rated higher in these polls.

Did anybody ever read the book "stud"? I loved the way Slew was described in there. The author said he had a "miles davis kind of cool". I know that you are talking strictly about speed and racehorse ability but that aura thing is why people tend to overrate the brilliance that he showed on the track.

DaTruth 02-01-2011 09:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dalakhani (Post 748149)
I think there is little debate that Spectacular Bid was a faster horse. The thing is, Slew had this whole mystique thing going for him in droves. He was a cool horse with a cool name and the pretty horsey people love slew and thats why he gets rated higher in these polls.

Did anybody ever read the book "stud"? I loved the way Slew was described in there. The author said he had a "miles davis kind of cool". I know that you are talking strictly about speed and racehorse ability but that aura thing is why people tend to overrate the brilliance that he showed on the track.

It is a shame Zenyatta and Seattle Slew never had the chance to hook up. The resulting foal might have been the next Michael Jackson.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-01-2011 09:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaTruth (Post 748163)
It is a shame Zenyatta and Seattle Slew never had the chance to hook up. The resulting foal might have been the next Michael Jackson.

At least they were both great horses.

There have been a lot of bad horses who were pretty cool as well.

I remember a favorite greyhound of mine growing up who was borderline uncontrolable and would jump all over his handler in the post parade. He rarely got past Grade C though.

smartbid09 02-02-2011 01:12 AM

If Spectacular Bid didn't have such an idiot on his back in the Belmont he wins the triple crown. If he wins the triple crown "the bid" wins 1979 horse of the year!

And If Bids owners kept Spectacular Bid on the race track for a 4-year-old campaign after winning the triple crown The Bid perhaps would have closed out his race track career with a walkover and the title "horse of the century".

This is a possibility of course not a definite.

But Ronnie Franklin rode him like an idiot, Spectacular Bid loses the belmont & he loses his one encounter to Affirmed. Slew however won when it counted. He left no doubt of his greatness. Poor bid! He deserves better than 10th on the Blood horse list. Can't say for sure he was better than Slew though. But he probably was.

Port Conway Lane 02-02-2011 01:40 AM

I wonder if a $20 win ticket on Screen King and a $5 ex ticket Bid over Screen King has any value. Old style colorful tickets.

I think it's pretty cool that prior to the '79 Derby Delp had already proclaimed Bid to be the greatest horse to ever look through a bridle and by the time he finished his career the Bid came damn close to proving him right.

Thunder Gulch 02-02-2011 10:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaTruth (Post 748163)
It is a shame Zenyatta and Seattle Slew never had the chance to hook up. The resulting foal might have been the next Michael Jackson.

Zenyatta vanquished Slew and Bid in that computer race, so they both suck.

RolloTomasi 02-02-2011 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 748124)
Seattle Slew at age 4 - would have killed A. P. Indy at age 3.

In terms of who the better 3yo was - it's a tough call but probably A. P. Indy

Slew wasn't running good numbers - was facing miserable competition - and he was pretty one dimensional.

Here is Slew's attempt in California at age 3 when they tried to rate him back and got him boxed in ...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lFmKe4t-V8s

I like how you continue to use Seattle Slew's Swaps effort as a true measure of his ability. The horse was shipping across country to run in a race only 3 weeks after completing the Triple Crown. Against his trainer's wishes.

The horse that beat Seattle Slew...J.O. Tobin. You realize he ran in the Preakness, right? Also, never mind that Seattle Slew didn't run for 10 months following the loss. Clearly he came out of the race in good shape.

You must really have downgraded Quality Road after the BC Classic.

Instead of focusing on the Swaps as your answer to everyone challenging your assessment of Slew, why don't you comment on the head-to-head between Seattle Slew and Affirmed (who toyed with Spectacular Bid), rightly brought up (even if IC was kidding) after you suggested Alydar would have beaten him in all 3 Classics?

You've already back pedaled a bit by stratifying the horse into "the 3yo Seattle Slew" and "the 4yo Seattle Slew".

Linny 02-02-2011 11:43 AM

I think that Bid was better, but I give Slew his due for bullying through in the Derby and (more so) for his losing effort in the Gold Cup the next season. THAT was an amazing performance.

Bid, up to 10f was the fastest thing I ever saw. He was vulnerable beyond 10f though Franklin (IMO) cost him the Belmont. Losing to a TC winner at 12f is no disgrace.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-02-2011 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 748227)
I like how you continue to use Seattle Slew's Swaps effort as a true measure of his ability. The horse was shipping across country to run in a race only 3 weeks after completing the Triple Crown. Against his trainer's wishes.

The horse that beat Seattle Slew...J.O. Tobin. You realize he ran in the Preakness, right? Also, never mind that Seattle Slew didn't run for 10 months following the loss. Clearly he came out of the race in good shape.

You must really have downgraded Quality Road after the BC Classic.

Seattle's Slew's Swaps proved nothing other than that he was a one-dimensional speed horse and he didn't fire when he was boxed in. It was a non-effort followed by a layoff. I agree.


Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 748227)
Instead of focusing on the Swaps as your answer to everyone challenging your assessment of Slew, why don't you comment on the head-to-head between Seattle Slew and Affirmed (who toyed with Spectacular Bid), rightly brought up (even if IC was kidding) after you suggested Alydar would have beaten him in all 3 Classics?

Affirmed ran a career top Beyer of 128 (on Beyer's old scale) when he beat Bid in a match-up of 4yo VS 3yo. Affirmed got to jog through pokey fractions on an uncontested lead and barely held. No horse in history is going to beat Affirmed on a loose lead through 25 flat fractions. Spectacular Bid made it very close at a distance that wasn't his best.

When Seattle Slew (as a 4yo) beat Affirmed (as a 3yo) - Affirmed appeared to be tailing off from a very tough 3yo campaign. In Affirmed's two subsquent starts - he was 3rd in the Malibu stakes at 1/5 odds and 2nd in the San Fernando at 1/2 odds.

How do you think Spectacular Bid (at age 4) would have faired against Seattle Slew (at age 3) - I know you aren't a numbers guy but virtually every single race Bid ran at age 4 was about double digit lengths faster than every single race Slew ran at age 3.

smartbid09 02-02-2011 12:31 PM

Everybody says that Affirmed was tailing after a hard campaign but Seattle Slew was coming back after battling colitis x. I think they were both exhausted no?

Not to sound hostile.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-02-2011 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by smartbid09 (Post 748249)
Everybody says that Affirmed was tailing after a hard campaign but Seattle Slew was coming back after battling colitis x. I think they were both exhausted no?

I believe the battling colitis X wasn't until the winter late in his 3yo season or early in his 4yo season. Long after his freshening started.

Slew had a couple nice ALW wins to start his 4yo season - was defeated as a 1/9 favorite by Dr. Patches in his stakes debut as an older horse in the Grade 3 Patterson Handicap at the Meadowlands. After that he ran four great races - winning the Malboro, Woodward, and Grade 3 Stuyvesant at AQU under 134lbs - his only defeat a great 2nd place finish in the JCGC.

blackthroatedwind 02-02-2011 12:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 748252)
I believe the battling colitis X wasn't until the winter late in his 3yo season or early in his 4yo season. Long after his freshening started.

Slew had a couple nice ALW wins to start his 4yo season - was defeated as a 1/9 favorite by Dr. Patches in his stakes debut as an older horse in the Grade 3 Patterson Handicap at the Meadowlands. After that he ran four great races - winning the Malboro, Woodward, and Grade 3 Stuyvesant at AQU under 134lbs - his only defeat a great 2nd place finish in the JCGC.

You do realize that Dr. Patches was a VERY talented horse? He had previously won an allowance at Saratoga ( as did Slew ) that got a very similar, if not better, fig. Plus. Patches had something Slew was about to get, Angel Cordero.

Seattle Slew, until the Marlboro Cup, was ridden by Jean Cruget. Now, Ron Franklin did Bid no favors, but Cruget was one of the worst ever. Winning the TC, much less nine or ten straight races, with Cruget is akin to walking across the Grand Canyon on a tightrope with PG1985 on your shoulders.

By the way, using the Swaps as any kind of example of Slew's talents ( and you're right, he was relatively " slow " as a 3YO ) is wildly unfair....and you know that. At least base your argument on relevent races.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-02-2011 01:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 748227)
The horse that beat Seattle Slew...J.O. Tobin. You realize he ran in the Preakness, right?

J. O. Tobin broke in the air at the start and was 8th by 12 lengths after a half mile ... to that point - he had never raced further than 6fs on dirt.

Considering J O Tobin was effective as a speed sprinter - being 8th by 12 after a half mile and having to close serious ground in only his second lifetime dirt race - and first beyond 6fs probably wasn't ideal.

Here is the 2nd place finisher in that Preakness.


Betsy 02-02-2011 01:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 748259)
You do realize that Dr. Patches was a VERY talented horse? He had previously won an allowance at Saratoga ( as did Slew ) that got a very similar, if not better, fig. Plus. Patches had something Slew was about to get, Angel Cordero.

Seattle Slew, until the Marlboro Cup, was ridden by Jean Cruget. Now, Ron Franklin did Bid no favors, but Cruget was one of the worst ever. Winning the TC, much less nine or ten straight races, with Cruget is akin to walking across the Grand Canyon on a tightrope with PG1985 on your shoulders.

By the way, using the Swaps as any kind of example of Slew's talents ( and you're right, he was relatively " slow " as a 3YO ) is wildly unfair....and you know that. At least base your argument on relevent races.


I thought so too; 3 weeks after the TC and the horse was rightly exhausted. Nice move there by the Taylors.

As to the Indy/Slew ?, Slew would have eaten AP Indy for lunch at any time.

Why is it bad for a front-runner to be one-dimensional (esp. when his one dimension was spectacular) and a closer not to be? I watch his Derby on replay and it's still incredibly impressive - and his GC was a real display of courage.

alysheba4 02-02-2011 01:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 748259)
You do realize that Dr. Patches was a VERY talented horse? He had previously won an allowance at Saratoga ( as did Slew ) that got a very similar, if not better, fig. Plus. Patches had something Slew was about to get, Angel Cordero.

Seattle Slew, until the Marlboro Cup, was ridden by Jean Cruget. Now, Ron Franklin did Bid no favors, but Cruget was one of the worst ever. Winning the TC, much less nine or ten straight races, with Cruget is akin to walking across the Grand Canyon on a tightrope with PG1985 on your shoulders.

By the way, using the Swaps as any kind of example of Slew's talents ( and you're right, he was relatively " slow " as a 3YO ) is wildly unfair....and you know that. At least base your argument on relevent races.

.....some of your finest work:D

The Indomitable DrugS 02-02-2011 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 748259)
You do realize that Dr. Patches was a VERY talented horse? He had previously won an allowance at Saratoga ( as did Slew ) that got a very similar, if not better, fig. Plus. Patches had something Slew was about to get, Angel Cordero.

Seattle Slew, until the Marlboro Cup, was ridden by Jean Cruget. Now, Ron Franklin did Bid no favors, but Cruget was one of the worst ever. Winning the TC, much less nine or ten straight races, with Cruget is akin to walking across the Grand Canyon on a tightrope with PG1985 on your shoulders.

By the way, using the Swaps as any kind of example of Slew's talents ( and you're right, he was relatively " slow " as a 3YO ) is wildly unfair....and you know that. At least base your argument on relevent races.

I know Dr. Patches was very good. You don't run down a loose on the lead Seattle Slew as a 4-year-old if you're anything short of being very good.

The Swaps was the one and only time in Seattle Slew's career where he was rated off of the lead ... perhaps it doesn't point to him being a one-dimensional speed horse... and maybe he would have put in the same non-effort had he not been rated.

The Indomitable DrugS 02-02-2011 01:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Betsy (Post 748265)
Why is it bad for a front-runner to be one-dimensional (esp. when his one dimension was spectacular) and a closer not to be?

Spectacular Bid wasn't a one-dimensional closer - on 7 different occasions he won Graded Stakes races in wire-to-wire fashion. On 5 different occasions he won Graded Stakes from 5 lengths back or further after a half mile. But ideally - he was a presser.

robfla 02-02-2011 01:41 PM

for those that don't have Slew's PPs


blackthroatedwind 02-02-2011 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 748268)
I know Dr. Patches was very good. You don't run down a loose on the lead Seattle Slew as a 4-year-old if you're anything short of being very good.

The Swaps was the one and only time in Seattle Slew's career where he was rated off of the lead ... perhaps it doesn't point to him being a one-dimensional speed horse... and maybe he would have put in the same non-effort had he not been rated.

I get what you're saying about him, theoretically, failing badly the one time he didn't have the early lead, but you have to take a lot of other factors into account, and that race ( the Swaps ) simply can't be used as a fair barometer.

The thing is, he's not your run-of-the-mill speed horse that needs everything his own way. He showed pretty definitively in the Jockey Club Gold Cup that he is fast enough to outrun pretty much anyone while also being able to carry that speed a very long way. You just don't see horses like that. Hell, as great as Dr. Fager was, and there is no doubt he is on the very short list of greatest horses ever, he got trounced at 1 1/4 when severely pressured by a rabbit. Slew dusted off two, at 1 1/2 miles, when one of them was also a Triple Crown winner, and stilled missed by a slim nose to a damn good horse in Exceller. He was not your ordinary need the lead type and shouldn't be suggested as such.

smartbid09 02-02-2011 02:07 PM

Don't know which horse was better but know which horse I would have rather owned....... SEATTLE SLEW!

blackthroatedwind 02-02-2011 02:12 PM

Another poster on my ever growing ignore list. I feel like The Fat Man.


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