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The Indomitable DrugS 11-29-2010 06:26 PM

Girolamo
 
This horse will run all day long. It's pretty funny that he's still never run beyond 8fs on dirt.

If pointed to a race like the Santa Anita Handicap - he'd be more likely than anyone to win that race.

VOL JACK 11-29-2010 06:39 PM

I guess he could also go to the Donn.

blackthroatedwind 11-29-2010 06:44 PM

Or Dubai.

Betsy 11-29-2010 07:01 PM

He's been a favorite of mine, but I didn't think he ran more than "ok" in the Cigar Mile...... I never thought it was "fair" to classify him as a miler based on an ill-advised journey out west, but he doesn't strike me as a horse that will thrive at longer distances.

RolloTomasi 11-29-2010 07:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 728715)
This horse will run all day long. It's pretty funny that he's still never run beyond 8fs on dirt.

If pointed to a race like the Santa Anita Handicap - he'd be more likely than anyone to win that race.

I realize he's by AP Indy and related to the great Super Saver, but is there something you've seen in his races or deciphered from his PPs that suggests he wants to go further?

I shouldn't really ask, as doing the total opposite of what Godolphin wants to do with a horse would probably be a very successful approach.

NTamm1215 11-29-2010 07:11 PM

He's one of a frustratingly long list of mis-managed horses by Godolphin.

This was a banner year for their ineptitude. I can't quite figure out what's the problem because Rick Mettee is an awfully sharp guy.

Between Sara Louise being rushed into a 9 week campaign to Girolamo debuting in a GI to Vineyard Haven totally falling off form to Regal Ransom having a campaign headlined by winning a N3X at Saratoga, it was just sickening. Thank God Hibaayeb won a disgracefully bad Yellow Ribbon and Girolamo won the worst Vosburgh in its history.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-29-2010 07:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Betsy (Post 728726)
He's been a favorite of mine, but I didn't think he ran more than "ok" in the Cigar Mile......

He was rushed along early - and still finished up as well as anyone late despite stretching out a quarter mile off of two 6fs sprints.

The older male division going long is as weak as ever - it's a complete and utter joke with Blame and Quality Road out of the way.

Like with the vast majority of A. P. Indy's - Girolamo's best game will inevitably be going long on dirt. While he has tremendous natural speed for an A. P. Indy .. he keeps having to be rushed along after a furlong or so just to hold position. That's happened in every single race of his this year. He won the Vosburgh inspite of it - because that field sucked.

Indian Charlie 11-29-2010 07:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 728734)
He's one of a frustratingly long list of mis-managed horses by Godolphin.

This was a banner year for their ineptitude. I can't quite figure out what's the problem because Rick Mettee is an awfully sharp guy.

Between Sara Louise being rushed into a 9 week campaign to Girolamo debuting in a GI to Vineyard Haven totally falling off form to Regal Ransom having a campaign headlined by winning a N3X at Saratoga, it was just sickening. Thank God Hibaayeb won a disgracefully bad Yellow Ribbon and Girolamo won the worst Vosburgh in its history.

They are so bad, and so inept, I really think that someone that is a rank amateur or novice/beginner in horse racing would make better decisions.

Which makes me wonder if they are sabotaging themselves on purpose.

I know that sounds implausible, but the way they run things, nothing else really makes any sense.

VOL JACK 11-29-2010 07:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Betsy (Post 728726)
He's been a favorite of mine, but I didn't think he ran more than "ok" in the Cigar Mile...... I never thought it was "fair" to classify him as a miler based on an ill-advised journey out west, but he doesn't strike me as a horse that will thrive at longer distances.

Yeah, mine too.
Because I toss him every time he runs with the utmost confidence.
I love those over bet/over hyped horses.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-29-2010 07:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VOL JACK (Post 728744)
Yeah, mine too.
Because I toss him every time he runs with the utmost confidence.
I love those over bet/over hyped horses.

Girolamo's won 4 of his last 7 dirt races ... and he's the only A. P. Indy to ever win a Grade 1 stakes race at 6fs or less.

In terms of ability - I'm not sure there's another older male left in the country who I believe is much better than him.

Saturday was the first time I ever remember betting him in his career - and I bet virtually peanuts on him because he was coupled with the hopeless Vineyard Haven.

Cannon Shell 11-29-2010 08:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 728734)
He's one of a frustratingly long list of mis-managed horses by Godolphin.

This was a banner year for their ineptitude. I can't quite figure out what's the problem because Rick Mettee is an awfully sharp guy.

Between Sara Louise being rushed into a 9 week campaign to Girolamo debuting in a GI to Vineyard Haven totally falling off form to Regal Ransom having a campaign headlined by winning a N3X at Saratoga, it was just sickening. Thank God Hibaayeb won a disgracefully bad Yellow Ribbon and Girolamo won the worst Vosburgh in its history.

I dont think Mettee has much influence on where they run horses. As a matter of fact I dont think anyone in that organization says no to SM very often.

my miss storm cat 11-29-2010 08:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 728734)
He's one of a frustratingly long list of mis-managed horses by Godolphin.

This was a banner year for their ineptitude. I can't quite figure out what's the problem because Rick Mettee is an awfully sharp guy.

Between Sara Louise being rushed into a 9 week campaign to Girolamo debuting in a GI to Vineyard Haven totally falling off form to Regal Ransom having a campaign headlined by winning a N3X at Saratoga, it was just sickening. Thank God Hibaayeb won a disgracefully bad Yellow Ribbon and Girolamo won the worst Vosburgh in its history.

Respectfully you kinda left out Campanologist being 16th in the Melbourne Cup and Delegator 8th in the BC Mile.

Look at this...

http://www.timeform.com/godolphin/gd...5060&source=01

These are seriously good horses.

Or were... :confused: :wf

I don't know what to think anymore.

I'm not defending anyone anymore.

Fin.

VOL JACK 11-29-2010 08:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 728752)
Girolamo's won 4 of his last 7 dirt races ... and he's the only A. P. Indy to ever win a Grade 1 stakes race at 6fs or less.

In terms of ability - I'm not sure there's another older male left in the country who I believe is much better than him.

Saturday was the first time I ever remember betting him in his career - and I bet virtually peanuts on him because he was coupled with the hopeless Vineyard Haven.

I bet Haynesfield in a cold exacta over Bribon.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-29-2010 08:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VOL JACK (Post 728767)
I bet Haynesfield in a cold exacta over Bribon.

I couldn't trust Haynesfield with Vineyard Haven in there ... he did a nice job of rating off of him and relaxing.

Give Haynesfield an easy lead and it's Katie bar the doors.

RolloTomasi 11-29-2010 08:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 728752)
Girolamo's won 4 of his last 7 dirt races ... and he's the only A. P. Indy to ever win a Grade 1 stakes race at 6fs or less.

In terms of ability - I'm not sure there's another older male left in the country who I believe is much better than him.

I don't buy it. And not necessarily because I don't think he had the potential or the stamina to be a top middle distance horse, but simply because his time is over with.

Here's a horse, going on 5, that's made all of 11 starts, despite racing at 2, 3, and 4. Physical issues are probably a very real limiting factor here. Furthermore, whether you want to call it mismanagement or not, he's been kept for the most part around one-turn during his career and it would be quite a feat for the connections (who everyone agrees are inept) to re-develop this horse into a two-turn runner.

The progeny stats for AP Indy are a huge selling point, but looking at Girolamo closely, how many other AP Indy runners have his kind of natural speed (I don't agree with your "rushed along" comment)? He's constantly in the thick of it early at shorter distances, often under strong restraint from his jockey. He's been up close in nothing but fast-paced races with fractions of :45-:46+ and 1:09+. He almost certainly would be on the lead in races of 9f-10f. He appears to have little acceleration (Jersey Town left him for dead on the turn the other day) and no real "move". He's not a typical AP Indy plodder.

Visually, he's never really finished up particularly well. He was under a heavy drive just to make up a couple of lengths on two sons of sprint sire Speightstown this past weekend. He looked good in an allowance last year, but that just brings up another question mark...his class.

He's won 4 of his last 7 dirt races. Looked at the other way, he's lost the Cigar Mile, BC Sprint, and Forego...all open races He's won a couple of conditioned allowances, a 5-horse age restricted Grade 1, and held safe one of Oaklawn's finest in Riley Tucker.

I would point to that great barometer of future success, the now defunct Futurity Stakes, as further evidence of his "cut below" status. He was outrun by Charitable Man, Flying Pegasus, and Kensei that day, and faltered alongside the decidely non-Grade 1 colt Freisan Fire in what turned out to be a preview of failure for the following 2 racing seasons.

Betsy 11-29-2010 10:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 728738)
He was rushed along early - and still finished up as well as anyone late despite stretching out a quarter mile off of two 6fs sprints.

The older male division going long is as weak as ever - it's a complete and utter joke with Blame and Quality Road out of the way.

Like with the vast majority of A. P. Indy's - Girolamo's best game will inevitably be going long on dirt. While he has tremendous natural speed for an A. P. Indy .. he keeps having to be rushed along after a furlong or so just to hold position. That's happened in every single race of his this year. He won the Vosburgh inspite of it - because that field sucked.

I admit that I think they have done a lousy job with him......but I figure that he'll be retired anyway now that he has his grade 1. After Bernardini, I've learned not to get my hopes up with Godolphin.

Betsy 11-29-2010 10:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 728774)
I don't buy it. And not necessarily because I don't think he had the potential or the stamina to be a top middle distance horse, but simply because his time is over with.

Here's a horse, going on 5, that's made all of 11 starts, despite racing at 2, 3, and 4. Physical issues are probably a very real limiting factor here. Furthermore, whether you want to call it mismanagement or not, he's been kept for the most part around one-turn during his career and it would be quite a feat for the connections (who everyone agrees are inept) to re-develop this horse into a two-turn runner.

The progeny stats for AP Indy are a huge selling point, but looking at Girolamo closely, how many other AP Indy runners have his kind of natural speed (I don't agree with your "rushed along" comment)? He's constantly in the thick of it early at shorter distances, often under strong restraint from his jockey. He's been up close in nothing but fast-paced races with fractions of :45-:46+ and 1:09+. He almost certainly would be on the lead in races of 9f-10f. He appears to have little acceleration (Jersey Town left him for dead on the turn the other day) and no real "move". He's not a typical AP Indy plodder.

Visually, he's never really finished up particularly well. He was under a heavy drive just to make up a couple of lengths on two sons of sprint sire Speightstown this past weekend. He looked good in an allowance last year, but that just brings up another question mark...his class.

He's won 4 of his last 7 dirt races. Looked at the other way, he's lost the Cigar Mile, BC Sprint, and Forego...all open races He's won a couple of conditioned allowances, a 5-horse age restricted Grade 1, and held safe one of Oaklawn's finest in Riley Tucker.

I would point to that great barometer of future success, the now defunct Futurity Stakes, as further evidence of his "cut below" status. He was outrun by Charitable Man, Flying Pegasus, and Kensei that day, and faltered alongside the decidely non-Grade 1 colt Freisan Fire in what turned out to be a preview of failure for the following 2 racing seasons.

As to Girolamao, I disagree completely that he doesn't have acceleration. I've seen it in many of his races - maybe not this year, but it's been there. He's run several big races and he's usually finished up quite well, but this year they screwed up with him. He ran well in the Forego for a horse who'd not run in 10 months. He ran well in the Vosburgh. I think he's obviously off-form at this point, but he's still very talented.

He was 2 years old when he ran in the Futurity and he didn't run badly. Most Indy's improve with age, so they gave him time off and he came back brilliantly as a 3 year old. I don't see how his 2 year old races are an indication that he lacks sufficient class........

RolloTomasi 11-29-2010 10:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Betsy (Post 728858)
AP Indy sires mostly plodders? Well, I won't get into that.

I was describing the typical running style of his progeny.

Quote:

As to Girolamao, I disagree completely that he doesn't have acceleration. I've seen it in many of his races - maybe not this year, but it's been there. He's run several big races and he's usually finished up quite well, but this year they screwed up with him. He ran well in the Forego for a horse who'd not run in 10 months. He ran well in the Vosburgh. I think he's obviously off-form at this point, but he's still very talented.
He's run several big races? He's 2 for 7 in stakes company with 4 unplaced efforts.

Quote:

I don't see how his 2 year old races are an indication that he lacks sufficient class........
He was buried in the Futurity amid a field of future one-hit Grade 2 runners.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-29-2010 10:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 728774)
He's not a typical AP Indy plodder.

Visually, he's never really finished up particularly well.

Most A. P. Indy routers aren't plodders. A lot of them have very good natural speed.

In sprint races - they break well - and start struggling to maintain position after a few furlongs.

After watching the Cigar Mile again - you're right - he wasn't rushed along like in the other sprints .. but he still was in a spot he wouldn't be in going long. He wouldn't have to worry about being 5th or so, in a pack of 3, and getting dirt kicked back in his face.

I think he'd get a ton of perfect trips at 9fs or 10fs - the way a Quality Road or Left Bank always would. I have no doubts about his ability to stay a distance against chumppy top competition in these rich 6 horse field stakes to come.

RolloTomasi 11-29-2010 11:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 728864)
In sprint races - they break well - and start struggling to maintain position after a few furlongs.

This was certainly true of A.P. Indy himself as a racehorse. In nearly all his starts, he broke on top and led for the first hundred yards or so before settling into a mid-pack spot. Though I wouldn't say he was "struggling" to maintain position.

Quote:

I think he'd get a ton of perfect trips at 9fs or 10fs - the way a Quality Road or Left Bank always would. I have no doubts about his ability to stay a distance against chumppy top competition in these rich 6 horse field stakes to come.
Assuming the calibur of competition left, I essentially agree with you. However, I still think its likely that Girolamo is past his prime despite the sparse race record.

Also, Haynsefield and Morning Line seem like better candidates to fill the niche you're envisioning for him.

RockHardTen1985 11-29-2010 11:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 728715)
This horse will run all day long. It's pretty funny that he's still never run beyond 8fs on dirt.

If pointed to a race like the Santa Anita Handicap - he'd be more likely than anyone to win that race.


Im sure this will make you change your opinion, but I think Giralomo could EASILY BE THE BEST HORSE IN TRAINING NEXT YEAR. They need to campaign him the right way. Break-prep-Donn and go from there. Not this bullshit with the winter and spring off. Let this horse roll in the 9f and 10f US Classic races.

RockHardTen1985 11-29-2010 11:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VOL JACK (Post 728744)
Yeah, mine too.
Because I toss him every time he runs with the utmost confidence.
I love those over bet/over hyped horses.

Jack this is silly. Toss every time he runs? Well I guess you lost some $ LAST YEAR. I guess you also lost $ in that G1 sprint a few back.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-29-2010 11:35 PM

Oh god.

RockHardTen1985 11-29-2010 11:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 728872)
Oh god.

Stop. I have always liked him. He has been mishandled since last year. Why the hell was he rushed to the Classic? Why not the Cigar Mile last year then a full campaign this year?

The Indomitable DrugS 11-29-2010 11:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 728873)
Stop. I have always liked him. He has been mishandled since last year. Why the hell was he rushed to the Classic? Why not the Cigar Mile last year then a full campaign this year?

I left you an assignment. The whole board is in suspense.

RockHardTen1985 11-29-2010 11:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 728875)
I left you an assignment. The whole board is in suspense.

Im sleepy. Are we talking 2 yr olds or anything?

The Indomitable DrugS 11-29-2010 11:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 728877)
Im sleepy. Are we talking 2 yr olds or anything?

No - all returning horses.

RockHardTen1985 11-29-2010 11:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 728878)
No - all returning horses.


Goodnight. THat was a quick sloppy list.

Indian Charlie 11-30-2010 12:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 728867)
This was certainly true of A.P. Indy himself as a racehorse. In nearly all his starts, he broke on top and led for the first hundred yards or so before settling into a mid-pack spot. Though I wouldn't say he was "struggling" to maintain position.



Assuming the calibur of competition left, I essentially agree with you. However, I still think its likely that Girolamo is past his prime despite the sparse race record.

Also, Haynsefield and Morning Line seem like better candidates to fill the niche you're envisioning for him.

AP Indy had alot more natural speed than most people seem to remember.

For instance, in what I would call maybe his second finest performance, we have..

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FWVAHhIr3Z8

And in the SA Derby, this clip shows him a few lengths back on the turn, but I recall him being closer up earlier in the race. Either way, it's not like being 3 off of Bertrando is exactly slow.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7eQSeOhJKW8

Dahoss 11-30-2010 12:20 AM

Considering it's 1-9 that Girolamo is going to Dubai, how is it even remotely possible he has any kind of campaign next year? He'll make a start or two in Dubai. If he hasn't been destroyed after that he'll resurface at Belmont or Saratoga. One or two starts before the Breeders Cup and that is it.

I just don't see what some of you others do with him. Don't get me wrong, by 2010 standards he's okay. But I'd rather have Morning Line, Successful Dan, Fly Down (assuming he doesn't get ruined going to Dubai), even Reading Colliery.

RolloTomasi 11-30-2010 12:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 728885)
AP Indy had alot more natural speed than most people seem to remember.

For instance, in what I would call maybe his second finest performance, we have..

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FWVAHhIr3Z8

And in the SA Derby, this clip shows him a few lengths back on the turn, but I recall him being closer up earlier in the race. Either way, it's not like being 3 off of Bertrando is exactly slow.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7eQSeOhJKW8

He challenged for the lead the first 1/4 of his Belmont win and also broke on top under a snug hold in his BC Classic win.

His rally several lengths behind dead closer Strike The Gold after a horrendous start to reach contention in the JCGC would have achieved legendary status had he been able to sustain the run. Too bad Eddie D. let him get involved, he might have been a better price in his final start if he let him just follow the field the home.

Not sure what happened to him in Canada, the only real blight on his record.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-30-2010 12:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 728891)
I just don't see what some of you others do with him. Don't get me wrong, by 2010 standards he's okay. But I'd rather have Morning Line, Successful Dan, Fly Down (assuming he doesn't get ruined going to Dubai), even Reading Colliery.

I hear ya. If he goes to Dubai you can forget about him.

I fear Fly Down is another one of those BC Classic 3rd place finishers who thrive going 10fs with a hot pace to aid them.

Going 9fs - in smaller fields - at easier paces for speed horses (like the '10 Jim Dandy) - I think he'll underachieve. However, there really isn't much out there - so maybe he'll win a big race or two on the square.

RockHardTen1985 11-30-2010 12:27 AM

Going 9 or 10f on dirt, I would take a shot with Giralomo before I bet anyone out of the Clark!!!

Indian Charlie 11-30-2010 12:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 728892)
He challenged for the lead the first 1/4 of his Belmont win and also broke on top under a snug hold in his BC Classic win.

His rally several lengths behind dead closer Strike The Gold after a horrendous start to reach contention in the JCGC would have achieved legendary status had he been able to sustain the run. Too bad Eddie D. let him get involved, he might have been a better price in his final start if he let him just follow the field the home.

Not sure what happened to him in Canada, the only real blight on his record.

That horrendous start you mention, he lost a shoe there. I mentioned his win against Treekster, himself a very nice horse that met an untimely end, was Indy's second finest race. His race in the JCGC was impossibly good and clearly his best performance.

He stunk in Canada because, I believe, he was under prepared for the race. Twenty years ago, Drysdale was absolutely the worst trainer out there for winning with horses off of a rest. Over a significant period of time, he was about 1% with those.

Dahoss 11-30-2010 12:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 728893)
I hear ya. If he goes to Dubai you can forget about him.

I fear Fly Down is another one of those BC Classic 3rd place finishers who thrive going 10fs with a hot pace to aid them.

Going 9fs - in smaller fields - at easier paces for speed horses (like the '10 Jim Dandy) - I think he'll underachieve. However, there really isn't much out there - so maybe he'll win a big race or two on the square.

He did run well in the Dwyer and there wasn't much pace in there...but the field sucked too. But yeah, he is at the mercy of pace most of the time. Is Haynesfield coming back? I mistakenly thought he was a Belmont horse for the course. I know he was the only other horse other than the winner that ran their race in the Cigar, but he's okay.

Dahoss 11-30-2010 12:43 AM

I don't know how far Wise Dan is going to go, but I thought he looked okay on Thanksgiving going a mile. 102 Beyer and Leparoux had him strangled also. If Lopresti can keep him and his half brother sound next year I think they can win a lot of races.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-30-2010 02:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 728895)
That horrendous start you mention, he lost a shoe there. I mentioned his win against Treekster, himself a very nice horse that met an untimely end, was Indy's second finest race. His race in the JCGC was impossibly good and clearly his best performance.

He stunk in Canada because, I believe, he was under prepared for the race. Twenty years ago, Drysdale was absolutely the worst trainer out there for winning with horses off of a rest. Over a significant period of time, he was about 1% with those.

If they breed Zenyatta to A. P. Indy ... that is going to be one extremely slow horse.

Betsy 11-30-2010 07:34 AM

I was at Belmont for the JCGC - Indy acted up before the race, lol, rearing and just otherwise being rambunctious. He ran great in the Gold Cup, but still I was surprised that he was the favorite in the Classic.

Indian Charlie 11-30-2010 08:37 AM

Why?

I'd have been shocked had he not been favored. He was clearly the best horse in the race, and ran the best prep race, by far.

To me, in the history of the BCC, he was perhaps the second biggest lock to win the race. The first biggest lock being the SS/EG exacta box.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-30-2010 08:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 728936)
Why?

I'd have been shocked had he not been favored. He was clearly the best horse in the race, and ran the best prep race, by far.

To me, in the history of the BCC, he was perhaps the second biggest lock to win the race. The first biggest lock being the SS/EG exacta box.

Skip Away in the '97 Classic was death and taxes. All of his heavy competition was out of the way


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