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world t bred rankings
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Harbinger was by far the best horse in the world this year. Only having him six better than any other horse in the world is understating his overwhelming superiority.
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His nost victory over her and horrible effort in the JCGC make him the #2 horse in the world. These rankings are a total joke. |
and Zenyatta beat 3 horses on that list
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Weren't a lot of people touting him as an up-and-comer last season after a similar effort in Regal Ransom's merry-go-round Super Derby? |
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I'd say Shuback sums it up pretty well in his column when comparing 'Z' and Goldikova on drf.com:
Both Goldikova and Zenyatta won five Group or Grade 1 races in 2010, but there is little resemblance in the quality of the fields the two were beating in those races. In her four Group 1 victories in Europe and her Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Mile triumph, Goldikova was beating 16 winners of 37 Group or Grade 1 races. The overall Group/Grade 1 record of her competition in those five races is 157-37-25-19. In her five Grade 1 victories this year, Zenyatta was beating not a single Grade 1 winner. The overall Group/Grade 1 record of her competition in those five races is 28-0-1-2. Moreover, Zenyatta beat just two Grade 2 winners in those five races, St Trinians in the Vanity Handicap and Switch in the Lady's Secret. In fact, while Zenyatta’s five victories this year were all technically Grade 1’s, the quality of the competition indicates that they were no better than Grade 3’s. http://drf.com/news/goldikova-rules-world |
snap!
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The list, in its entirety... http://www.horseracingintfed.com/res...0_1111_WTR.asp |
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Im just not crazy about him. He is in the bottom 5 of BC Classic winners all time. Im waiting for PP's so I can do a list.... But just since 2000 he is not better then... IMO he is not better then Zenyatta. Not better then Ravens Pass. Not better then Curlin, likely not better then Hard Spun or Street Sense, both in that 2007 Classic. Kinda reminds me of Invasor, not sure he is better, 100% not better then Bernardini who ran 2nd. Not better then Saint Liam, not better then RHT who scratched morning of. Not better then Ghostzapper and about 5 others in that 2004 race. Not better then Pleasantly Perfect. Maybe, MAYBE BETTER THEN VOLPONI who ran some huge beyers in some big spots. Not better then Tiznow, not better then either Euro Tiznow beat, and not better then a bunch of horses out of those 2000-2001 Classics. |
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Not too long ago, your dirt stakes horses that went a route of ground would prep for their big engagements in allowance races at sprint distances. For some reason, this does not quite happen as often, but prep races are alive and well in the dirt ranks. |
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every spring race leading up to the derby is called a prep-and some are with million dollar purses. obviously the jcgc would have been a nice race to win...but blame lost that battle and won the war. sounds like it all worked out just fine. and yes, it is a prep. one with a nice purse, but a prep for bigger and better all the same.
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The same type of bettors that "overreact" to the progression or regression of a horse. Blame had only been favored in one stakes race in his career up to that point, the Grade 3 Schaefer at Pimlico. He was suddenly a monster because he beat the much lauded Quality Road at Saratoga. The same thing occured, full circle, with Unrivaled Belle this year. She trumped uber-filly Rachel Alexandra and therefore became an instant "monster", going off at odds-on in 2 of her next 3 starts. Yet fans had enough of her runner-up efforts in those races, including a 2nd in the Beldame (yet another perfect "prep" if you look at the big picture), and let her go off at 7-1 in the BC Distaff. Quote:
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Haynesfield was a winner at 10f before the JCGC? |
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Disregard everything I said. |
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Bettors are on the outside looking in, for the most part disconnected from the intentions of the horsemen (who are involved in a totally different aspect of the sport). Sometimes being aware of (or at least considering) the patterns and trends that have more to do with the human connections rather than the horse itself can be an advantage. |
I've seen countless examples of horses running giant races in what connections have called "preps" going in .. only to lay an egg when supposed to step up in their main objective.
I think Blame and Fly Down both ran every bit as well as they did in the BC Classic that they did in the JCGC. I know the speed figures won't reflect it - though I've heard CJ say he thinks the 111 Classic Beyer is a little too high and I agree. I think the difference between the two races was that Haynesfield was loose on an unpressured lead in one ... and in the other one - he got squeezed hard coming out of the gate - and was denied the lead in the BC Classic pace meltdown. I think a better example of horse prepping is obviously Zenyatta. All of her wins this year can be called preps. And in true "prep race" fashion - her trainer all of a sudden turned up the heat in her training right before the Classic. To me - if a race is really a prep - and you have a horse short - there should be a sign of more intense training leading into the objective race. They worked Zenyatta hard for 7fs and 6fs in her final two works - and actually ran a fresh horse at her in the middle of a tag team workout. Harmonious before her Grade 1 win at Keeneland is another example - she had 28 published works in her career leading into her final race before the KEE win and NOT ONE single bullet work - her first two works for that KEE race are both bullets. She steps up and destroys Evening Jewel (who beat her last time) and wins by a huge margins. |
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In regards to Harmonius you're ignoring that she was probably lengths best in the Del Mar Oaks. Evening Jewel got a much better trip and Harmonious drifted out like Swain in the stretch. |
My only point was that these rankings are comical. If Blame is 2 then Z should be tied for, if not 1.
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Because she is the better horse. I have no doubt about it. When she was winning the BCLC 3 years ago he was nothing, last year when she was winning the biggest rAce in America the BCC, he had not even won a Stakes yet. He beat her by a nose this year, congrats. The list of legit excuses for Z runs long.
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And yet, it cut through all that like a hot knife through butter. Quote:
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Tears Jerry, tears. |
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I don't disagree that she was better than EJ when EJ beat her in the Del Mar Oaks .. but that doesn't mean you have to pretend that she didn't improve a ton in her next race when Shirreffs started to drill on her. |
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Not that we need it, but for further evidence of Shirreffs' skill in the prep/drill department, dig up Giacomo's page through the Derby. The works leading up to and on the Sunday or Monday before Derby showed the same screw-tightening method. While the race ultimately fell in his lap, Giacomo was at least ready to run the best race he was capable of that day, and that's all you can ask of a horse. |
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and I was convinced Closing Argument would run 2nd. polycrap has ruined most of the derby prep race axioms I used to hold. maybe with Santa Anita going back to dirt, Cali horses will be relevant again. |
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You have no excuse! If you go back to the Yahoo DT, and you were certainly a member then, you'll recall that I wrote extensively about that Santa Anita Derby and was high on the top 4 coming out of it. And the funny thing is that the horse who may have been most likely from it, General John B (Roger Stein!), got hurt and couldn't make Derby. Wilko (6th) and Buzzard's Bay (5th) both turned in solid efforts in the Derby though, further confirming the form coming out of Santa Anita... |
has wilko sired a winner yet?
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As far as what happened one, two and three years ago, they matter as much in those rankings as they do the HOTY vote. Blame was also a graded stakes winner before she won the Classic last year. |
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