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Paddy O to Classic O
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Great decision. He has an excellent chance to run last.
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He's obviously pretty unlikely to hit the board, but I can't really fault their reasoning. They better hope it pours.
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It says so much about American Racing. He is 100% clearly our best 3yr old turf horse. Its really pathetic. |
He has no shot in this race unless its a monsoon
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What is so great about him on a sloppy track ?
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You're all forgetting the BIG ASS factor. Romans has the biggest ASS (luck) in racing this side of Nick Zito. Look at all the rail trips his winners got @ SAR.
Is it so far fetched that: a) it rains torrentially b) a few horses go down in the race c) those that stay up get ridiculously wide trips d) POP skims the rail and wins going away stranger things have happened and I'd think twice before dismissing ASS LUCK the size of Romans' :rolleyes: |
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Why can't he hit the board? He loves the track and he has improved since the last time he ran on it.
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He most definitely has improved. |
PoP has no shot in a totally wide open and sub-par edition of the BC Classic.
He would be better served in the Turf mile - the Turf - or the Dirt Mile. His big turn move in the Derby came in a 27.07 fourth 1/4 mile - it was an optical illusion. Maybe not as much of an optical illusion as Ice Box and Make Music For Me's big late moves through a 52.87 last half mile ... but still. He showed his true dirt colors in the Preakness. The 2010 Kentucky Derby basically consisted of two races. An absolutely strong dash to the half mile pole in brilliant time over a slower than par track .. and a sinking ship final half mile of pure stagger. The top five finishers after 6fs were: 1. Conveyance 2. Sidney's Candy 3. Noble's Promise 4. Super Saver 5. Discreetly Mine Just pretend the last half mile of that race never even happened and everyone would be better off for it. Make Music For Me went from 20th beaten 24 lengths after six furlongs - to 4th beaten 4.75 lengths at the wire. If that POS can make up 19.25 lengths in the final half mile .. you know the pace fig wasn't lying. That horse had never been more than 5 lengths off of the early pace in his career - and Rosario had him 24.75 lengths back and in last after just a quarter mile. Really smart ride as it played out. |
I don't blame them. I won't bet him, but I don't blame them... and I'm pleased to get another body in the race to help juice those exotics if some fun stuff happens.
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That Zenyatta is sure scaring them off. Guys are lining up to run turf horses against her...
Personally I think drugs is right. The dirt mile is hardly a stellar field and he would have a big shot on the cutback. I still can't believe musket man isnt running in the mile. That race was made for horses like him. |
Doubt it rains. It's drier than Ann Moss' hoo ha here.
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Or, better put, it's not clear at all he's our best 3yo turf horse. |
I don't know. I think it is conceivable that Ploddy slow Ploddo could have cashed a check in the Turf race.
I don't see him finishing in the top 5-6 in the Classic. Though I guess we should wait to see the actual field. |
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no One. Nunya First Said It Dur
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Certainly at 9f or less, Sidney's Candy would destroy Ploddy so Slowdo. |
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I know you aren't really saying it, but I've seen it on boards for the last few weeks. I've even seen some that like him in the Mile. I'd like to see him run another good race on turf before crowning him yet and going into the mile without a prep doesn't bode well for him IMO. |
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And, unlike with el Slowmo, SC might be an awesome horse on turf. He certainly has more upside to him. I agree on the lack of prep. Something smells fishy there. The mile is by miles the most interesting race on the card. |
Paddy O' Prado is a very respectable horse as far as 3yo North American turf males go relative to what we've seen in that division since the days of Kitten's Joy and Artie Schiller.
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Since I'm not impressed with the Classic division I think this is the right decision.
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Pretty sure they're paying more for SC than was offered for Paddy. . . Not sure either are worth it.
Hossy - I'm probably one of the people you had in mind w/ the SC thing. It's not that I think he's a good bet in the mile (he can't super high, right?), but the chance of him freaking or just being that good and beating the chalk if she's off her game seems more likely than Paco Boy beating her. Have to do more homework, though. |
I actually like the decision.
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I liked the part that said he WILL have a 4 yr old campaign.
Anyone wanna take a stab at his odds? |
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Disgraceful that this country can't consistently produce turfers which can compete with the Euros We're hell at churning out distance-challenged dirt speedballs, tho............. |
There are about 8-9 probables in the Breeders' Cup Turf. Does Paddy O' Prado have a very good chance against horses like Behkabad or Workforce? Not really, but to say that he has "no chance" or doesn't stack up even in a small way is foolish.
His Preakness is a much better indication of his dirt ability than his Derby in my opinion and this decision is foolish. I'll be absolutely stunned if he's in the superfecta. |
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top royelle in her day would crush them all
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Dale was on ATR
Sounded like he would be happy with a 2nd or 3rd as it would help his post racing career. He didn't sound like 1st was that realistic. Said he thought winning the Turf race would not do that much for his stallion fees...but a good effort in the Classic would. |
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