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-   -   Shirreffs' latest gem (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=37673)

ateamstupid 08-09-2010 03:02 AM

Shirreffs' latest gem
 
First it was the insurmountable Rockies, then it was equating Rail Trip to 'the highest mountain,' and now this, his reasoning behind not shipping Zenyatta to the Beldame. It actually has little to do with Zenyatta!

Quote:

"The only thing that concerns me is if I go to New York, do I go directly to Kentucky?" he said. "And how long do I stay away from the [California] stable? I'm not a good telephone trainer. We have to decide the best decision."
Yes, that's right folks. It's not that he's scared to ship his champion mare, it's no longer the Rockies that are the problem, it's that there's no one who could possibly take care of his other horses for the handful of days he'll be out of town! God dammit, if only Shirreffs were a good 'telephone trainer.' Oh well, just our luck!

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 03:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 680507)
First it was the insurmountable Rockies, then it was equating Rail Trip to 'the highest mountain,' and now this, his reasoning behind not shipping Zenyatta to the Beldame. It actually has little to do with Zenyatta!



Yes, that's right folks. It's not that he's scared to ship his champion mare, it's no longer the Rockies that are the problem, it's that there's no one who could possibly take care of his other horses for the handful of days he'll be out of town! God dammit, if only Shirreffs were a good 'telephone trainer.' Oh well, just our luck!

That is totally legitimate. If he ships her to New York, he doesn't want to ship her all the way back to California and then ship all the way back to Kentucky. He would go straight to Kentucky from New York. If he does that, he's going to want to be in Kentucky and watch her train. If it was for a week, it wouldn't be a big deal. But it would be a very big deal if he was away for 5 weeks. He's a hands-on trainer. He watches all of his horses train every day. He doesn't like to miss a single day. He is extremely conscientious.

There are actually some trainers that don't even watch their horses train. They sit in their office all day and rely on their assistants. Shirreffs is not like that. He watches everything, every day. He will notice if the slightest thing is off. That is why he is so good.

The Indomitable DrugS 08-09-2010 04:01 AM

He wants another cup cake Grade 1 win.

Rinterval shipped over the rockies to lose her 20th race in her last 21 attempts in fine fashion. 3rd place finisher Princess Taylor has lost 18 races in a row.

Level weights against those horses again? How can you pass that up?

Dahoss 08-09-2010 06:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 680508)
That is totally legitimate. If he ships her to New York, he doesn't want to ship her all the way back to California and then ship all the way back to Kentucky. He would go straight to Kentucky from New York. If he does that, he's going to want to be in Kentucky and watch her train. If it was for a week, it wouldn't be a big deal. But it would be a very big deal if he was away for 5 weeks. He's a hands-on trainer. He watches all of his horses train every day. He doesn't like to miss a single day. He is extremely conscientious.

There are actually some trainers that don't even watch their horses train. They sit in their office all day and rely on their assistants. Shirreffs is not like that. He watches everything, every day. He will notice if the slightest thing is off. That is why he is so good.

You're a bright guy, which makes this all the more interesting. What is it about Zenyatta and her connections that makes people lose all rational thought?

They act like no one has ever shipped before and people eat it right up. It's pretty amazing.

Thunder Gulch 08-09-2010 10:10 AM

I don't see how the guy has enough time to train while he's thinking of all of these lame excuses. He must have an assistant write this stuff while he's grooming the animals.

justindew 08-09-2010 12:22 PM

Assuming the plan is to run in the BC Classic, won't we get our answers then? I mean, either she'll win the race two years in a row and retire 20 for 20, or she'll lose and people can say she was overrated (which is probably a ridiculous thing to say, but whatever.) I don't see the need to criticize every move the team makes.

I say, why ship to NY when a prep in CA will do just fine?

the_fat_man 08-09-2010 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew (Post 680677)
I don't see the need to criticize every move the team makes.

I say, why ship to NY when a prep in CA will do just fine?

Here an explanation:

1) Your Horse of the Year is a NO SHOW for the AB (after losing to Z's caddy)
2) YOUR Fastest Horse in Training falls on his face in the Whitney (eliminating all those STUPID arguments that he can get 10F once and for all)

It's called 'taking the offensive'.

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 02:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 680528)
You're a bright guy, which makes this all the more interesting. What is it about Zenyatta and her connections that makes people lose all rational thought?

They act like no one has ever shipped before and people eat it right up. It's pretty amazing.

She shipped in April for the Apple Blossom and she's going to ship again in November for the BC Classic. Shipping across the country twice in a year is a reasonable amount.

With regards to horses shipping in general, it really depends on the horse. But even if a horse was a great shipper, I probably wouldn't ship the horse across the country more than 3 times in a year.

With regard to keeping the horse in Kentucky for 5 weeks, if you know John Shireffs you wouldn't have any doubt that he would be uncomfortable with that. The guy is incredibly anal and wants to oversee everything. I don't think that's a negative. It's good that he is so conscientious.

Thunder Gulch 08-09-2010 02:25 PM

Ok, so don't ship but run the best races out west. Tiago and Giacomo ran them, or does she not measure up to those two??

Clip-Clop 08-09-2010 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 680685)
Here an explanation:

1) Your Horse of the Year is a NO SHOW for the AB (after losing to Z's caddy)
2) YOUR Fastest Horse in Training falls on his face in the Whitney (eliminating all those STUPID arguments that he can get 10F once and for all)

It's called 'taking the offensive'.

Is her race Saturday good enough to win the Whitney?

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop (Post 680750)
Is her race Saturday good enough to win the Whitney?

Was her race in the Hirsch last year good enough to win the BC Classic? No, but it didn't stop her from winning it.

letswastemoney 08-09-2010 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch (Post 680749)
Ok, so don't ship but run the best races out west. Tiago and Giacomo ran them, or does she not measure up to those two??

I think because Zenyatta is female, they are getting as many easy G1s as possible rather than going for the more difficult open company G1.

Tiago and Giacomo had no other G1 options other than to run in the open company races.

Clip-Clop 08-09-2010 02:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 680754)
Was her race in the Hirsch last year good enough to win the BC Classic? No, but it didn't stop her from winning it.

It did not and that cannot be taken away from her. I was just looking for a comparison, the original quote from TFM mentioned QR falling apart, hence my question. Could be rephrased simply as; does she win the Whitney on Saturday?

PSH 08-09-2010 02:46 PM

Zenyatta
 
They have said all along that their ultimate goal is to run in the BC Classic at CD. Everyone will have their chance to run against her at that point. If JS pulls out of that race then we are opened to criticize them.

The days of all the best horses running against one another in all the big stake races has long passed us.

Would it be great to see RA vs. Zen in the race in NY? Of course it would. Is it a little tiring to see them both race against allowance and G3 type of horses? Of course it is.

But, it is what it is and we will have to wait to see who shows up in the BC Classic.

Antitrust32 08-09-2010 02:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 680746)
She shipped in April for the Apple Blossom and she's going to ship again in November for the BC Classic. Shipping across the country twice in a year is a reasonable amount.

With regards to horses shipping in general, it really depends on the horse. But even if a horse was a great shipper, I probably wouldn't ship the horse across the country more than 3 times in a year.

With regard to keeping the horse in Kentucky for 5 weeks, if you know John Shireffs you wouldn't have any doubt that he would be uncomfortable with that. The guy is incredibly anal and wants to oversee everything. I don't think that's a negative. It's good that he is so conscientious.

I swear if I had a nickel for every time Arkansas was called "across the country" I'd be a rich woman.

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch (Post 680749)
Ok, so don't ship but run the best races out west. Tiago and Giacomo ran them, or does she not measure up to those two??

You have a point but at this point, winning the Goodwood doesn't do anything for them. There's no real upside. There's only downside. They don't need to run there to win HOY.

I'm sure they think they could win the Goodwood, but they probably figure "Why gamble at this point?". She would have to run harder in the Goodwood than the filly race. The harder you run, the more risk you take in terms of not coming out of a race good. Since their goal is to win the BC Classic, how dumb would they feel if she ran her butt off to win the Goodwood and it knocked her out? They are so close to their goal at this point. Why take a risk (even if it's only a small risk) when there is really no upside to that risk. They want to be 100% healthy for the BC Classic. The best way to ensure that happens is by having an easy race rather than a tough race for her final prep.

In addition, they are going to be taking a risk of getting beat in the BC Classic and ending her streak. At this point, I think they'd rather take that risk just once rather than twice.

Clip-Clop 08-09-2010 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 680764)
I swear if I had a nickel for every time Arkansas was called "across the country" I'd be a rich woman.

I prefer the rational that NY and Kentucky are nearby. I see that a lot.

Antitrust32 08-09-2010 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop (Post 680766)
I prefer the rational that NY and Kentucky are nearby. I see that a lot.

yes lots of people seem to think Churchill is on the east coast too. quite the hike from NY!

Churchill & Oaklawn.. East Coast tracks all the way!

Clip-Clop 08-09-2010 02:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 680768)
yes lots of people seem to think Churchill is on the east coast too. quite the hike from NY!

Churchill & Oaklawn.. East Coast tracks all the way!

Don't forget Arlington. Hell might as well include Arapahoe Park since it is east of the Rockies. :D

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 02:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop (Post 680757)
It did not and that cannot be taken away from her. I was just looking for a comparison, the original quote from TFM mentioned QR falling apart, hence my question. Could be rephrased simply as; does she win the Whitney on Saturday?

There's really no way to know. Her race was obviously not nearly as good as Blame's race. But that doesn't necessarily mean anything with her. I think she has shown that she usually runs to her competition. The times of her races and her margin of victory don't really tell you much.

Antitrust32 08-09-2010 02:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 680765)
You have a point but at this point, winning the Goodwood doesn't do anything for them. There's no real upside. There's only downside. They don't need to run there to win HOY.

I'm sure they think they could win the Goodwood, but they probably figure "Why gamble at this point?". She would have to run harder in the Goodwood than the filly race. The harder you run, the more risk you take in terms of not coming out of a race good. Since their goal is to win the BC Classic, how dumb would they feel if she ran her butt off to win the Goodwood and it knocked her out? They are so close to their goal at this point. Why take a risk (even if it's only a small risk) when there is really no upside to that risk. They want to be 100% healthy for the BC Classic. The best way to ensure that happens is by having an easy race rather than a tough race for her final prep.

In addition, they are going to be taking a risk of getting beat in the BC Classic and ending her streak. At this point, I think they'd rather take that risk just once rather than twice.


you could have just said this instead of the long paragraph:

The owners are chickens.


Seriously? There is no upside to winning a G1 against males? That is absolutely incorrect.

There is no upside in winning your 15th race against the same crappy females in the same crappy situation (aka the Zenyatta Stakes).

The owners are such chickens that it almost makes you root for her to lose so maybe they will actually take some chances with their horse..

Antitrust32 08-09-2010 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clip-Clop (Post 680769)
Don't forget Arlington. Hell might as well include Arapahoe Park since it is east of the Rockies. :D

yes, you can get a very nice view of the Atlantic Ocean from Arapahoe! Thinking about making it my next vacay destination for that reason!

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 02:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 680764)
I swear if I had a nickel for every time Arkansas was called "across the country" I'd be a rich woman.

It's 1700 miles. That's a pretty long trip.

Antitrust32 08-09-2010 03:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 680775)
It's 1700 miles. That's a pretty long trip.

sure by car it is.. not by plane.

it takes about the same amount of time to fly there than it does to drive track to track in cali with that traffic.

its like a 3 1/2 hour flight. its not something that is a big deal. top horses do it all the time.

Clip-Clop 08-09-2010 03:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 680773)
yes, you can get a very nice view of the Atlantic Ocean from Arapahoe! Thinking about making it my next vacay destination for that reason!

Unless you love quarter horses (as I learned to when I went two weeks ago, 5-5 exactas) don't bother. Although the 1M 70 horses set faster fractions than in the Whitney sometimes.

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 03:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 680772)
you could have just said this instead of the long paragraph:

The owners are chickens.


Seriously? There is no upside to winning a G1 against males? That is absolutely incorrect.

There is no upside in winning your 15th race against the same crappy females in the same crappy situation (aka the Zenyatta Stakes).

The owners are such chickens that it almost makes you root for her to lose so maybe they will actually take some chances with their horse..

Considering they are running in the BC Classic, I don't think there is any real upside to running in the Goodwood. If she can beat the boys in the BC Classic for the second year in a row and finish her career 20 for 20, she will be immortalized forever. I don't think winning the Goodwood would really add anything to that legacy. It all comes down to this year's BC Classic.

If she's 20 for 20 with 2 wins in the BC Classic, I doubt anyone will look at her PP's and question why she didn't run in the Goodwood.

Smooth Operator 08-09-2010 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 680778)
Considering they are running in the BC Classic, I don't think there is any real upside to running in the Goodwood. If she can beat the boys in the BC Classic for the second year in a row and finish her career 20 for 20, she will be immortalized forever. I don't think winning the Goodwood would really add anything to that legacy. It all comes down to this year's BC Classic.

If she's 20 for 20 with 2 wins in the BC Classic, I doubt anyone will look at her PP's and question why she didn't run in the Goodwood.

:tro:

Thunder Gulch 08-09-2010 03:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 680765)
You have a point but at this point, winning the Goodwood doesn't do anything for them. There's no real upside. There's only downside. They don't need to run there to win HOY.

I'm sure they think they could win the Goodwood, but they probably figure "Why gamble at this point?". She would have to run harder in the Goodwood than the filly race. The harder you run, the more risk you take in terms of not coming out of a race good. Since their goal is to win the BC Classic, how dumb would they feel if she ran her butt off to win the Goodwood and it knocked her out? They are so close to their goal at this point. Why take a risk (even if it's only a small risk) when there is really no upside to that risk. They want to be 100% healthy for the BC Classic. The best way to ensure that happens is by having an easy race rather than a tough race for her final prep.

In addition, they are going to be taking a risk of getting beat in the BC Classic and ending her streak. At this point, I think they'd rather take that risk just once rather than twice.

"Only downside"...that sums it up. Actually facing a challenge and losing is considered downside in their mind. It's not about PROVING you are the best, it's all about perpetuating this fraud of a record. The horse isn't a fraud, she's a great mare, but the record is.

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 03:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 680776)
sure by car it is.. not by plane.

it takes about the same amount of time to fly there than it does to drive track to track in cali with that traffic.

its like a 3 1/2 hour flight. its not something that is a big deal. top horses do it all the time.

They get the horse up at 3:00am. Then she has a one hour drive to Ontario Airport. They make you get to the airport early and then the horse has to sit at the airport for another hour. Then you have a 3 1/2 hour flight. Then you arrive at Hot Springs Airport and have another short van ride. It's at least a 6 hour deal altogether. It's not going to kill a horse but it's not something I would want a horse to be doing every couple of months.

Crown@club 08-09-2010 03:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 680768)
yes lots of people seem to think Churchill is on the east coast too. quite the hike from NY!

Churchill & Oaklawn.. East Coast tracks all the way!

Heck some say Oaklawn is East of the Mississippi :zz:

miraja2 08-09-2010 03:43 PM

I like the part where he said:

"We have to decide the right decision."

He's completely right about that. They also need to choose the right choice and formulate the right formulation.

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 03:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch (Post 680783)
"Only downside"...that sums it up. Actually facing a challenge and losing is considered downside in their mind. It's not about PROVING you are the best, it's all about perpetuating this fraud of a record. The horse isn't a fraud, she's a great mare, but the record is.

She will be facing the biggest challenge possible in the toughest race of the year in the BC Classic.

You can't say the record is a fraud. She's running in grade I after grade I.

As I said in another thread about a month ago, you guys are using a totally different standard to measure her than other great mares. Personal Ensign ran 10 of her 13 lifetime races at Belmont. She ran once at Saratoga and once at Monmouth. So out of her 13 lifetime races, 12 were in New York and 1 was in New Jersey. She only left the area once to run in Kentucky. And how many times did she face the boys? I think it was once. Yet I've never heard anyone complain that Personal Ensign didn't travel enough or didn't face the boys enough.



That being said, I still understand where you are all coming from. The grade 1s against fillies on the west coast are not very challening races for Z. As others have said, these races are almost like exhibitions. It is somewhat boring to watch Z beat up on medicore fillies. I agree with that. I see where you're all coming from. I understand why you would be frustrated. I don't blame you. But by the same token, I understand why the connections are doing what they are doing and I can't really fault them at this point. If they would have refused to face RA in the AB earlier in the year, then I would have faulted them. But they were actually eager to face RA. At this point, it's different. They are very close to their goal and they don't want to do anything to screw it up. I can't blamethem . I see where they're coming from. I also see where you are all coming from and I understand your frustration.

slotdirt 08-09-2010 03:50 PM

Rupert, with all due respect, you do understand that synthetics didn't exist anywhere in the USA aside from in the confines of Michael Dickinson's brain in 1986-1987 or so, right?

ateamstupid 08-09-2010 03:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 680791)
You can't say the record is a fraud.

Yes, you definitely can. Again with the "Grade I" nonsense. How many legitimate Grade I horses has she beaten in her Grade I's this year? Stop being ridiculous.

slotdirt 08-09-2010 03:57 PM

I'd have to imagine at some point we'll see something like G1S (similar to G1T) in the stakes schedules to annotate that a particular race is run on a third, decidedly not dirt or turf surface.

In any event, the ludicrousness of this fear of traveling mentioned several times now by Shireffs is particularly magnified when one looks at the PP's of some of Shireffs' other "stars" in the synthetic track era.

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 04:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 680792)
Rupert, with all due respect, you do understand that synthetics didn't exist anywhere in the USA aside from in the confines of Michael Dickinson's brain in 1986-1987 or so, right?

If Z had never run on real dirt, people would have a right to wonder if she would be the same horse on the dirt. But she's run twice on dirt and she won easily both times.

Let's pretend we still had real dirt in California. Do you think the criticism of Z would be any less? I don't think so.

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 04:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 680794)
Yes, you definitely can. Again with the "Grade I" nonsense. How many legitimate Grade I horses has she beaten in her Grade I's this year? Stop being ridiculous.

I agree that many of her grade 1s have been very weak fields. But on a horse's resume, a grade I is a grade I. I'd be thrilled to buy a mare and win a bad grade I. A mare's value goes through the roof when they win a grade I.

It's not as if there are great mares out there sitting on the sidelines. Every owner wants to win a grade I because it makes the value of their horse go up by 5x. If there were any mares whose connections thought they could beat Z in these grade 1s, they'd be there.

Rupert Pupkin 08-09-2010 04:21 PM

Just to repeat what I said in an edited post earlier, I understand where you are all coming from. The grade 1s against fillies on the west coast are not very challening races for Z. As others have said, these races are almost like exhibitions. It is somewhat boring to watch Z beat up on medicore fillies. I agree with that. I see where you're all coming from. I understand why you would be frustrated. I don't blame you. But by the same token, I understand why the connections are doing what they are doing and I can't really fault them at this point. If they would have refused to face RA in the AB earlier in the year, then I would have faulted them. But they were actually eager to face RA. At this point, it's different. They are very close to their goal and they don't want to do anything to screw it up. I can't blame them . I see where they're coming from. I also see where you are all coming from and I understand your frustration.

Scav 08-09-2010 04:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 680799)
If Z had never run on real dirt, people would have a right to wonder if she would be the same horse on the dirt. But she's run twice on dirt and she won easily both times.

Let's pretend we still had real dirt in California. Do you think the criticism of Z would be any less? I don't think so.

Her dirt wins have been her best wins IMO. You can't change who shows up to face her, if there wasn't so many graded stakes races then there would be competitive races, why does everyone have such a hard on for her to ship across the country. I don't see people shipping from NY all the way to California every single day.

When she drills Rachel Alexandra they will blame something or someone. When she wins the BC Classic this year, people will still find something comedy to say. Its a tiresome argument.

ateamstupid 08-09-2010 04:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 680801)
I agree that many of her grade 1s have been very weak fields. But on a horse's resume, a grade I is a grade I. I'd be thrilled to buy a mare and win a bad grade I. A mare's value goes through the roof when they win a grade I.

It's not as if there are great mares out there sitting on the sidelines. Every owner wants to win a grade I because it makes the value of their horse go up by 5x. If there were any mares whose connections thought they could beat Z in these grade 1s, they'd be there.

Really? So now the discussion is about broodmare value? Nice deflection. We're talking about level of competition, and it has been piss poor. Period. Enough with the excuses.


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