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7/12 (DEL 7th): Midnight Lute half debut
Nice P3 sequence at DEL today starting with MSW 7th that features Pletcher's BANK HEIST, Candytuft's 3yo that sold for $900k as a KEE Sept yearling... Lukas has 3rd time starter DELONG ROAD here as well, notable as a son of the wonderful Tates Creek.
7th (3:57) 6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $38,000 1 1 Invested Caraballo J C Ritchey Tim F 118 LA 9-2 2 2 Entertainment Napravnik A R Werner Ronny 118 LA 2-1 3 3 Voytek Rose J Moran Michael J 122 FTL-A 6-1 4 4 Bank Heist Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 118 FTL-A 3-1 5 5 Twelve Inches Castellano A Jr Griffith Gregory 118 FTL-A 8-1 6 6 Mr. E. Mancilla O G Burch Sandra E 118 FTL-A 20-1 7 7 Delong Road Saez G Lukas D Wayne 118 LA 10-1 8 8 Unto Caesar Shepherd J Shuman Mark 118 FTL-A 8-1 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta (10-cent min.) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) |
I wonder if that's the most ever paid for a Maria's Mon yearling.
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Might be the last time anyone ever pays 900K for a Maria's Mon yearling after that performance...Delong Road just demolished that group. Bank Heist was a bit overbet there at 1/2 I would say as a firster.
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Why would anyone ever bet that horse today? What are the positives of running that horse at Deleware? The 38k purse? The only thing that maybe said the horse was ready was JV being there, but he has no where else to ride today anyway, so thats not a big deal. If that horse was ANYTHING AT ALL, he would have made his debut in NY or at Monmouth, especially only a week away from Toga. |
DWL would train all of my horses with turf pedigrees.
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$4,640 in the pool. There would have had to be $386 on that combo to make the $1 payout $9.00. Tvg had the same will pay as youbet. |
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This horse never picked its feet up. And, hard to believe that the barn didn't think it'd win. |
The fat charts never lie
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Actually the horse was entered to debut before that FG maiden race that he ran 3rd in, in a 5.5F MSW on the turf at the Fair Grounds, but was an AE. |
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Anyone have a beyer on the winner of this race, considering it went faster than one of the allowances on the day?
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Let's see:
Pletcher has a 1ster in the 5th at DEL today, a $40K maiden claimer. Jara is up and the purchase price was only $100k. 2:1 with 7 minutes to post. |
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I would be more inclinded to like this Todd then yesterday's, the works on this one suck and they even worked on turf... This low level makes sense, the Midnight Lute yesterday had some good works and bullets, and like I said if he could run he would have been in NY or NJ. I think this Todd wins this race. Nothing wrong with taking9-2 especially when the top beyer is in like mid 40's for the logical contenders.
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4:1 at post time
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WOW, that was ugly, almost as bad as my speed handicapping.
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never picked up its feet; which was clear from the odds.
then again, a 25:1 shot won the race and Dutrow was 7:5. I think they were trying yesterday and fell on their faces. |
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Why? |
Why do the works suck?
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I would say the bottom line of this is, it was a totally foolish price at 1/2 on a firster in that race, even if it was Pletcher with some pedigree and good works, seeing as how there were some horses who had already been solidly competitive in the MSW ranks. 1 horse came out of a decent effort MSW at Delaware with a high 60s beyer first out, another came out of an ok Churchill MSW effort with a mid 60s beyer first out although he was off a layoff, and the winner came out of a good first out debut showing speed before tiring to 3rd with a 62 beyer, before faltering going long last time out against Sunland Derby winner Endorsement, so it's not like the horses who had started had no credentials or opportunity to improve.
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