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RACHEL JUNE 12th
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Jackson says
According to Jackson, Rachel Alexandra is being considered for two races at Churchill Downs - the Stephen Foster and the Fleur de Lis - as well as the Ogden Phipps at Belmont Park and the Obeah at Delaware Park. |
Who will be riding her?
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I hope they go the Zenyatta route.
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I think Rachel should be ridden by Chantal setting up a stretch duel with 5 wide Smith.
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We don't want these two to meet until the Breeders Cup. This sport thrives on what ifs. Lets not actually have them race each other until the majority of fans are to the point of not giving a s.hit. |
Glad to hear Jackson say "We are getting her back to her fitness level of last year" I wonder how much more time they'll need to get her fit? Probably have to wait for the next press release immediately after the race on June 12th to see if she's finally there depending on the result.
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I doubt it would be the Foster, but here's hoping she goes there. The two losses have probably lowered their expectations, so the only way to restore it is to go out and beat the boys. Actually, a loss in open company probably wouldn't hurt at this point, whereas another loss to girls would be another big mark against her. Nothing to lose and without Quality Road, the other boys don't look intimidating anyway.
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She is the dam of Go for Wand.
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Easier figuring out identities of CIA operatives than it is to pin our (diminished) 'horse-of-the-year' down to a race…
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Being a prep for the Delaware Handicap, if Rachel Alexandra were to run and win the Obeah, it might renew interest in the main event as a possible showdown with Zenyatta. Then we could have at least 3 or 4 good weeks of publicity, posters, trading cards, hotel reservations, ticket scalping, Steve Haskin diaries, etc. before one of them inevitably backs out. |
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Anyways, the Obeah is the most "ideal" spot on all fronts (and is the perfect fodder for more "RA is ducking" threads) as its 8.5f I believe (distance possibly being an important consideration for her connections), its technically a drop in class, its a direct prep over the same track for a more important contest, and it avoids Urivaled Belle at CD and Zardana at Belmont both of whom beat her previously. That said, I presume she'll go for the Fleur De Lis. Do they still run the Molly Pitcher at Monmouth? |
You know you have hit hard times when you are avoiding Zardana.
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NT |
How's Macho Again been looking lately? I forgot he won the Stephen Foster last year. It looks like he's had that one off the board finish this year in the Alysheba (G3) against Arson Squad whom he'll face again. Intuitively I feel like she could take either one of them based on her past couple, her workouts, and what I've seen of those two, but I didn't dig too deeply on that yet, esp. Arson Squad. Not sure how he's been working. If she brings her A game she'd have it and even her B game isn't to be laughed at. Those 2nd place finishes were good ones.
Of course she should've been able to win the first two races, but oh well. What I do feel is another race at 1 1/16 against females just makes me fidget. I'm not enamored with the Obeah unless she's got some legit crisis of confidence or something and they feel she'd knock it outta the park. Are we going to keep doing it til she gets it right? Eh, it's not gonna do her any favors to get beat in the Ogden Phipps, maybe some redemption's possible but if they feel she's back to her old self, it kills two birds with one stone to beat males in a G1. I just really like the idea of a 1 1/8, but that's me. What's the place money in the Stephen Foster? I guess we'll find out just how happy they are with her progress pretty soon. |
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Rachel Alexandra has been beaten on the square as the heavy favorite in two lower level races. Seems fairly sensible to me that another "prep" or drop in class is the most potent tactic to get her back in the winner's circle. |
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To be clear, Rachel Alexandra could go in any of those races mentioned and obviously be a contender for the win, but I don't think the Obeah is out of place on that list. Didn't reigning 3yo champ Skip Away get dusted at odds-on in two races at Gulfstream to start his '97 campaign (having defeated the great Cigar in his final start at 3) and look for relief next out in a listed stakes at Lone Star (coincidentally he lost that race also)? |
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Can't access the article here, randy
Does it shed any light on the greatest mystery (RA's next start) since the Zodiac killing spree? |
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'Very smooth' work for Rachel Alexandra By Marty McGee LOUISVILLE, Ky. - As the racing world awaits word where she will run Saturday, Rachel Alexandra went through her final prerace workout Monday morning at Churchill Downs, breezing a half-mile in 49.20 seconds over a fast track. |
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