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Put a fork in the Red Sox
Done.
Cooked. It's all over for this year. Way to put a team together. Where do I get one of these jobs where I'm INEPT yet still make tons of money? |
Im going to quit picking them in my contests that I play. I have been burned by them too many times already this year. Bad thing is this still is the first month of baseball season.
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I don't disagree that the Sox are in trouble. There is a giant hole in the middle of that lineup and Papi looks like he is seriously missing the needle. Maybe they are biding their time and hoping to get Gonzalez on the cheap.
Either way, how does one call a GM that has won two world series...the only two in the last 90 years in boston...inept? Theo is a lot of things but inept is not one of them. |
They have too much pitching to stick a fork in them already.
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That being said, to compete in the AL East, you need power. Were they really banking on Beltre and Cameron to deliver it? I think there will be moves coming. The Sox would sooner be average for a year than to break from their plans and grossly overpay at this point. |
i usually make one baseball post/year. because i f'in hate baseball. it's early but here it is:
"oooooh! they won 8 in a row! we're going to win the world series!" "aaaaah! they lost 8 in a row! we're never going to win another game!" "huh. will you look at that. they finished .500." -baseball fan unable to deal with statistically insignificant fluctuations. |
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After 12 games is is readily apparent that it is far to early to assume anything. I believe that their offense would be fine...if they stopped giving up so many runs!!! That is their biggest issue. Adding offense is far easier than adding pitching. Beltre avged 25 HR's from 2006-08 in Seattle He was famously injured for much of last year Why wouldnt they expect 20+ HR's from him? Cameron was signed as a defensive CF. His last 4 year HR totals? 22,21,25,24 Why exactly should they expect less than that? There are 150 games left... |
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My prediction is that none of these players will crack 30 hrs...in Fenway of all places. That isnt going to work. |
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Drew has been terrible but he has a untradable contract and they are going to have to deal with him for another year regardless. Cameron is a placeholder with power as is Beltre. Beltre is signed to a 1 year deal and Cameron a 2 year deal. They have three 4 star or better OF prospects (though one had brain surgery recently an will be out for awhile). They made a commitment to pitchers Lackey and Beckett and signed 2 defensive players with acceptable power to short term contracts. Over the course of 162 games things even out. Victor martinez is hitting something like .215. Youkilis is hitting .235. Lester has an era of 8.44. As for the Red Sox needing 30 HR guys in the OF?? In 2007 when they won the WS and 96 games the starting OF's had 37 HR's.....combined. |
didn't the yanks start slow last year? seems like there were some comments very early on that they weren't doing too well.
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They have played less than 10% of the schedule... |
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We will see. I figured that they would have issues at the plate before the season started and it looks like thats true. |
I don't think they are done, but the one thing I took away from that series is the Sox defense was brutal. They committed 5 errors in 4 games, but there were three or four more questionable rulings that could have put them up to a 2 error a game aveerage.
They botched fly balls, they botched caroms off the outfield wall and Betre actually lost a ground ball in the lights. They can not make the playoffs playing defense like that. It was only a four game sample, but they have to stop giving away free runs. |
It won't last...but there really is nothing on the planet much more enjoyable than seeing Boston teams lose a lot.
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boston relies on being a 53 + win team at home every year
they have been a very average team on the road the last 5-6 years for a team that wins 90 games a year if they play .500 ball on the road , which is about what they have averaged over the last 6 yrs they are going to need to win 54 out of their next 74 in Fenway park to get to 95 wins , starting 1-6 at home is a disaster for them |
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Ellsbury has been out and the pitching has been bad. 3 of their 4 series they played were against arguably 3 of the top 5 teams in baseball. The Red Sox are the best run org in baseball over the past 7 or 8 years and are not done yet.
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true chuck , but, the last few years fenway park has carried them into the playoffs , call it home cooking or not , but i don't see how they make the playoffs unless they win 52-55 home games they don't win on the road at any great % |
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And the notion that the Red Sox or any team gets "homecooking" is ridiclous |
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Rattled off 3 in a row now...
I'm not ready to give up on them just yet... |
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http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?...=.jsp&c_id=mlb
The supposedly dead Red Sox are 2 games out of the wildcard. David Ortiz has 10 HR's, 9 in May. They have 4 games coming up against KC, 3 against Oak, 3 against the O's and 4 against Cleveland over the next two weeks. They may be ahead of the Yankees by June 10. |
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still think the are cooked , they'll hang in for a while in june , but , a tough west coast trip to col and sf won't help in late june , but the killer will come in late july when they have 10 games out west against oak , sea and laa
don't worry chuck i'll be up at the spa and eddie k will have some good 2 yr olds that we can talk about in late july that will help take your mind off the red sox |
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Scary |
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now is when the going gets tough for these red sox let's see what they do over the next 48 game stretch
they sit 2 games behind the yanks in the loss column i say when aug 15 rolls around it will be a lot bigger defecit for them to overcome in my opinion it will be too great of the 48 games 32 will be on the road where they just don't play nearly as well as they do at fenway i give them 13 -19 on those road games the 16 games at home , they should go 11-5 on the homes games which , will have them going 24-24 or .500 over the next 48 games , not eneough to keep the pace with thy yanks or rays sorry chuck |
Marty, The Red Sox actually have a better winning % on the road then the Yanks.
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take a look at the teams that they have played on the road to date now take a look at the road trips coming up in this next 48 game strectch 2 trips to the west coast and a 10 game trip at the end with ny , tor and tex how many west coast swings have they had so far , how many times have they played in balt , they don't get balt at all on this trip they gotta face jiminez in colorado and lincecum in sf this week , not going to be easy put me down for 24-24 over the next 48 , what do you think they will go over the stretch? |
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This entire thread has been laughable since it was started. The race should be great this summer and if any team were to fade my money would be on Tampa since many of their pitchers way overperformed early in the season and may be on their way to evening out. |
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they are 43-28 they have played 41 at home and only 30 on the road they are 17-13 on the road with no west coast trips yet , they get 2 west coast trips over the next 48 games chuck the red sox will be done by travers day chuck , they will at best go .500 over these next 48 games |
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And unlike Tampa they may add at the deadline. You are so biased against them that you confuse wishful thinking with reality. |
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