Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Sports Bar & Grill (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=7)
-   -   Put a fork in the Red Sox (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=35584)

the_fat_man 04-19-2010 03:26 PM

Put a fork in the Red Sox
 
Done.

Cooked.

It's all over for this year.

Way to put a team together.

Where do I get one of these jobs where I'm INEPT yet still make tons of money?

Nascar1966 04-19-2010 04:10 PM

Im going to quit picking them in my contests that I play. I have been burned by them too many times already this year. Bad thing is this still is the first month of baseball season.

dalakhani 04-19-2010 07:59 PM

I don't disagree that the Sox are in trouble. There is a giant hole in the middle of that lineup and Papi looks like he is seriously missing the needle. Maybe they are biding their time and hoping to get Gonzalez on the cheap.

Either way, how does one call a GM that has won two world series...the only two in the last 90 years in boston...inept? Theo is a lot of things but inept is not one of them.

MaTH716 04-19-2010 08:17 PM

They have too much pitching to stick a fork in them already.

dalakhani 04-19-2010 08:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 637420)
They have too much pitching to stick a fork in them already.

Exactly. Lester is going to work his way out of this. Beckett will be fine. Bucholz is right there. They can work out the bottom of the rotation from there.

That being said, to compete in the AL East, you need power. Were they really banking on Beltre and Cameron to deliver it? I think there will be moves coming. The Sox would sooner be average for a year than to break from their plans and grossly overpay at this point.

hi_im_god 04-19-2010 09:00 PM

i usually make one baseball post/year. because i f'in hate baseball. it's early but here it is:

"oooooh! they won 8 in a row! we're going to win the world series!"

"aaaaah! they lost 8 in a row! we're never going to win another game!"

"huh. will you look at that. they finished .500."

-baseball fan unable to deal with statistically insignificant fluctuations.

Cannon Shell 04-19-2010 09:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dalakhani (Post 637421)
Exactly. Lester is going to work his way out of this. Beckett will be fine. Bucholz is right there. They can work out the bottom of the rotation from there.

That being said, to compete in the AL East, you need power. Were they really banking on Beltre and Cameron to deliver it? I think there will be moves coming. The Sox would sooner be average for a year than to break from their plans and grossly overpay at this point.

The yankees have 16 HR's, the Red Sox have 14.

After 12 games is is readily apparent that it is far to early to assume anything. I believe that their offense would be fine...if they stopped giving up so many runs!!! That is their biggest issue. Adding offense is far easier than adding pitching.

Beltre avged 25 HR's from 2006-08 in Seattle
He was famously injured for much of last year
Why wouldnt they expect 20+ HR's from him?
Cameron was signed as a defensive CF. His last 4 year HR totals?
22,21,25,24

Why exactly should they expect less than that? There are 150 games left...

dalakhani 04-19-2010 09:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 637431)
The yankees have 16 HR's, the Red Sox have 14.

After 12 games is is readily apparent that it is far to early to assume anything. I believe that their offense would be fine...if they stopped giving up so many runs!!! That is their biggest issue. Adding offense is far easier than adding pitching.

Beltre avged 25 HR's from 2006-08 in Seattle
He was famously injured for much of last year
Why wouldnt they expect 20+ HR's from him?
Cameron was signed as a defensive CF. His last 4 year HR totals?
22,21,25,24

Why exactly should they expect less than that? There are 150 games left...

yeah but there is no one in that lineup that you have to fear and in that park that isnt good. You have an outfield that consists of JD Drew (35) Mike Cameron (37) and Jacoby Elsbury. Cameron strikes out way too much. Drew is too inconsistent and doesnt have that much power at this stage in his career (11,19,24 hrs last three years in that park). Elsbury is a nice player but hardly a slugger. So you have no power in the outfield.

My prediction is that none of these players will crack 30 hrs...in Fenway of all places. That isnt going to work.

Cannon Shell 04-19-2010 09:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dalakhani (Post 637433)
yeah but there is no one in that lineup that you have to fear and in that park that isnt good. You have an outfield that consists of JD Drew (35) Mike Cameron (37) and Jacoby Elsbury. Cameron strikes out way too much. Drew is too inconsistent and doesnt have that much power at this stage in his career (11,19,24 hrs last three years in that park). Elsbury is a nice player but hardly a slugger. So you have no power in the outfield.

My prediction is that none of these players will crack 30 hrs...in Fenway of all places. That isnt going to work.

What you are saying has no bearing on winning or losing games. Fear? C'mon who is feared? Pujols maybe? Where were they finding "feared" guys?

Drew has been terrible but he has a untradable contract and they are going to have to deal with him for another year regardless. Cameron is a placeholder with power as is Beltre. Beltre is signed to a 1 year deal and Cameron a 2 year deal. They have three 4 star or better OF prospects (though one had brain surgery recently an will be out for awhile).

They made a commitment to pitchers Lackey and Beckett and signed 2 defensive players with acceptable power to short term contracts. Over the course of 162 games things even out. Victor martinez is hitting something like .215. Youkilis is hitting .235. Lester has an era of 8.44.

As for the Red Sox needing 30 HR guys in the OF?? In 2007 when they won the WS and 96 games the starting OF's had 37 HR's.....combined.

Danzig 04-19-2010 09:47 PM

didn't the yanks start slow last year? seems like there were some comments very early on that they weren't doing too well.

Cannon Shell 04-19-2010 09:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig (Post 637442)
didn't the yanks start slow last year? seems like there were some comments very early on that they weren't doing too well.

They were 12-10 in April last year.

They have played less than 10% of the schedule...

dalakhani 04-20-2010 12:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 637441)
What you are saying has no bearing on winning or losing games. Fear? C'mon who is feared? Pujols maybe? Where were they finding "feared" guys?

Drew has been terrible but he has a untradable contract and they are going to have to deal with him for another year regardless. Cameron is a placeholder with power as is Beltre. Beltre is signed to a 1 year deal and Cameron a 2 year deal. They have three 4 star or better OF prospects (though one had brain surgery recently an will be out for awhile).

They made a commitment to pitchers Lackey and Beckett and signed 2 defensive players with acceptable power to short term contracts. Over the course of 162 games things even out. Victor martinez is hitting something like .215. Youkilis is hitting .235. Lester has an era of 8.44.

As for the Red Sox needing 30 HR guys in the OF?? In 2007 when they won the WS and 96 games the starting OF's had 37 HR's.....combined.

I definitely haven't "put a fork in them" but regardless, in my opinion, they need another bat in the lineup. No team has won the world series without a 30 hr hitter in the lineup since the '99 yankees and i don't think you would confuse this red sox team with them.

We will see. I figured that they would have issues at the plate before the season started and it looks like thats true.

Bigsmc 04-20-2010 04:58 AM

I don't think they are done, but the one thing I took away from that series is the Sox defense was brutal. They committed 5 errors in 4 games, but there were three or four more questionable rulings that could have put them up to a 2 error a game aveerage.

They botched fly balls, they botched caroms off the outfield wall and Betre actually lost a ground ball in the lights. They can not make the playoffs playing defense like that. It was only a four game sample, but they have to stop giving away free runs.

horseofcourse 04-20-2010 05:04 AM

It won't last...but there really is nothing on the planet much more enjoyable than seeing Boston teams lose a lot.

ateamstupid 04-20-2010 05:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc (Post 637463)
I don't think they are done, but the one thing I took away from that series is the Sox defense was brutal. They committed 5 errors in 4 games, but there were three or four more questionable rulings that could have put them up to a 2 error a game aveerage.

They botched fly balls, they botched caroms off the outfield wall and Betre actually lost a ground ball in the lights. They can not make the playoffs playing defense like that. It was only a four game sample, but they have to stop giving away free runs.

Seems to me like that's the kind of ballpark that would take more than two weeks to get used to playing in, and they have a lot of new additions. I'd love to see the Red Sox suck this year, but it's ridiculously early to be panicking.

gales0678 04-20-2010 07:45 AM

boston relies on being a 53 + win team at home every year

they have been a very average team on the road the last 5-6 years for a team that wins 90 games a year

if they play .500 ball on the road , which is about what they have averaged over the last 6 yrs they are going to need to win 54 out of their next 74 in Fenway park to get to 95 wins , starting 1-6 at home is a disaster for them

Cannon Shell 04-20-2010 10:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678 (Post 637471)
boston relies on being a 53 + win team at home every year

they have been a very average team on the road the last 5-6 years for a team that wins 90 games a year

if they play .500 ball on the road , which is about what they have averaged over the last 6 yrs they are going to need to win 54 out of their next 74 in Fenway park to get to 95 wins , starting 1-6 at home is a disaster for them

Prior year wins have nothing to do with this year

Gaelic Storm 04-20-2010 04:29 PM

Ellsbury has been out and the pitching has been bad. 3 of their 4 series they played were against arguably 3 of the top 5 teams in baseball. The Red Sox are the best run org in baseball over the past 7 or 8 years and are not done yet.

gales0678 04-20-2010 05:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 637535)
Prior year wins have nothing to do with this year


true chuck , but, the last few years fenway park has carried them into the playoffs , call it home cooking or not , but i don't see how they make the playoffs unless they win 52-55 home games

they don't win on the road at any great %

Cannon Shell 04-20-2010 05:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678 (Post 637646)
true chuck , but, the last few years fenway park has carried them into the playoffs , call it home cooking or not , but i don't see how they make the playoffs unless they win 52-55 home games

they don't win on the road at any great %

They currently arent winning anywhere...but there are 149 games left.

And the notion that the Red Sox or any team gets "homecooking" is ridiclous

the_fat_man 05-03-2010 09:35 PM

Bump.

It's official.

ARyan 05-05-2010 08:58 PM

Rattled off 3 in a row now...

I'm not ready to give up on them just yet...

docicu3 05-05-2010 09:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ARyan (Post 644537)
Rattled off 3 in a row now...

I'm not ready to give up on them just yet...

As long as TFM is touting they are done, they have a chance.

Cannon Shell 05-26-2010 11:18 PM

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?...=.jsp&c_id=mlb

The supposedly dead Red Sox are 2 games out of the wildcard.
David Ortiz has 10 HR's, 9 in May.

They have 4 games coming up against KC, 3 against Oak, 3 against the O's and 4 against Cleveland over the next two weeks. They may be ahead of the Yankees by June 10.

declansharbor 05-27-2010 05:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 651574)
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?...=.jsp&c_id=mlb

The supposedly dead Red Sox are 2 games out of the wildcard.
David Ortiz has 10 HR's, 9 in May.

They have 4 games coming up against KC, 3 against Oak, 3 against the O's and 4 against Cleveland over the next two weeks. They may be ahead of the Yankees by June 10.

Playing some mighty good ball to boot.

gales0678 06-07-2010 08:43 AM

still think the are cooked , they'll hang in for a while in june , but , a tough west coast trip to col and sf won't help in late june , but the killer will come in late july when they have 10 games out west against oak , sea and laa

don't worry chuck i'll be up at the spa and eddie k will have some good 2 yr olds that we can talk about in late july that will help take your mind off the red sox

Bigsmc 06-07-2010 08:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678 (Post 654869)

don't worry chuck i'll be up at the spa and eddie k will have some good 2 yr olds that we can talk about in late july that will help take your mind off the red sox

:tro::tro:

Cannon Shell 06-07-2010 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678 (Post 654869)
still think the are cooked , they'll hang in for a while in june , but , a tough west coast trip to col and sf won't help in late june , but the killer will come in late july when they have 10 games out west against oak , sea and laa

don't worry chuck i'll be up at the spa and eddie k will have some good 2 yr olds that we can talk about in late july that will help take your mind off the red sox

my mind is rarely on the Red Sox and never on Eddie K.Though i was wondering when Colorado (outside of Jimenez starts) or SF (outside Linecum/Cain starts) were such tough teams. Or Oakland, Seattle or LAA for that matter?

Antitrust32 06-07-2010 11:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 654952)
my mind is rarely on the Red Sox and never on Eddie K.Though i was wondering when Colorado (outside of Jimenez starts) or SF (outside Linecum/Cain starts) were such tough teams. Or Oakland, Seattle or LAA for that matter?

have to say I was wondering the same thing. Though they could have added the Phillies to that list. Phils cant beat the Red Sox even if it was life or death.

Cannon Shell 06-07-2010 11:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 654955)
have to say I was wondering the same thing. Though they could have added the Phillies to that list. Phils cant beat the Red Sox even if it was life or death.

Stop the pouting. Things will be fine. Brad Lidge is back...

Cannon Shell 06-07-2010 12:01 PM



Scary

Antitrust32 06-07-2010 12:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 654956)
Stop the pouting. Things will be fine. Brad Lidge is back...

I'm not too worried. Though the Phillies cant beat the Red Sox even when they are firing from all weapons.

gales0678 06-21-2010 02:10 PM

now is when the going gets tough for these red sox let's see what they do over the next 48 game stretch

they sit 2 games behind the yanks in the loss column

i say when aug 15 rolls around it will be a lot bigger defecit for them to overcome

in my opinion it will be too great

of the 48 games 32 will be on the road where they just don't play nearly as well as they do at fenway

i give them 13 -19 on those road games

the 16 games at home , they should go 11-5 on the homes games which , will have them going 24-24 or .500 over the next 48 games , not eneough to keep the pace with thy yanks or rays

sorry chuck

MaTH716 06-21-2010 02:28 PM

Marty, The Red Sox actually have a better winning % on the road then the Yanks.

gales0678 06-21-2010 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 660210)
Marty, The Red Sox actually have a better winning % on the road then the Yanks.



take a look at the teams that they have played on the road to date

now take a look at the road trips coming up in this next 48 game strectch

2 trips to the west coast

and a 10 game trip at the end with ny , tor and tex

how many west coast swings have they had so far , how many times have they played in balt , they don't get balt at all on this trip

they gotta face jiminez in colorado and lincecum in sf this week , not going to be easy

put me down for 24-24 over the next 48 , what do you think they will go over the stretch?

Cannon Shell 06-21-2010 02:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678 (Post 660195)
now is when the going gets tough for these red sox let's see what they do over the next 48 game stretch

they sit 2 games behind the yanks in the loss column

i say when aug 15 rolls around it will be a lot bigger defecit for them to overcome

in my opinion it will be too great

of the 48 games 32 will be on the road where they just don't play nearly as well as they do at fenway

i give them 13 -19 on those road games

the 16 games at home , they should go 11-5 on the homes games which , will have them going 24-24 or .500 over the next 48 games , not eneough to keep the pace with thy yanks or rays

sorry chuck

The next 48 gme stretch? LOL! That's close to 1/3rd of the season. You havent been right about Boston yet. You just take numbers out of the sky, make projections on those numbers and declare this as gospel?

This entire thread has been laughable since it was started. The race should be great this summer and if any team were to fade my money would be on Tampa since many of their pitchers way overperformed early in the season and may be on their way to evening out.

MaTH716 06-21-2010 03:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678 (Post 660215)
take a look at the teams that they have played on the road to date

now take a look at the road trips coming up in this next 48 game strectch

2 trips to the west coast

and a 10 game trip at the end with ny , tor and tex

how many west coast swings have they had so far , how many times have they played in balt , they don't get balt at all on this trip

they gotta face jiminez in colorado and lincecum in sf this week , not going to be easy

put me down for 24-24 over the next 48 , what do you think they will go over the stretch?

I just think that they are getting it done right now without Beckett and Dice K (other various injuries). What's going to happen when those guys come back? Also you would think that they are going to upgrade the offense in the near future (heard rumors of Prince Fielder). And for some reason they decided to get into the Cliff Lee sweepstakes, they could have a truely scary rotation. Not sure about the next 48, obviously the health of the team remains a mystery. But they do have games against the Birds and Tribe at home. So my guess is 27-21 in the next 48.

gales0678 06-21-2010 03:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 660216)
The next 48 gme stretch? LOL! That's close to 1/3rd of the season. You havent been right about Boston yet. You just take numbers out of the sky, make projections on those numbers and declare this as gospel?

This entire thread has been laughable since it was started. The race should be great this summer and if any team were to fade my money would be on Tampa since many of their pitchers way overperformed early in the season and may be on their way to evening out.

these numbers are not out of the sky chuck

they are 43-28

they have played 41 at home and only 30 on the road

they are 17-13 on the road with no west coast trips yet , they get 2 west coast trips over the next 48 games chuck

the red sox will be done by travers day chuck , they will at best go .500 over these next 48 games

Cannon Shell 06-21-2010 09:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678 (Post 660225)
these numbers are not out of the sky chuck

they are 43-28

they have played 41 at home and only 30 on the road

they are 17-13 on the road with no west coast trips yet , they get 2 west coast trips over the next 48 games chuck

the red sox will be done by travers day chuck , they will at best go .500 over these next 48 games

Why do you think they will have trouble on the West Coast? Seattle is awful, oakland is average at best, The Angels are not a great team at home and are having pitching issues, The West coast NL teams just arent that good especially matched up with AL teams. Boston is 43-28 and are currently trotting an outfield of Daniel Nava, Darnell McDonald and Bill hall...and winning. They have the deepest pitching staff, best bullpen and are leading the league in offensive production. This despite missing Ellsbury and Cameron for most of the season and Beckett for quite a few starts.

And unlike Tampa they may add at the deadline. You are so biased against them that you confuse wishful thinking with reality.

MaTH716 06-21-2010 09:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 660331)
Why do you think they will have trouble on the West Coast? Seattle is awful, oakland is average at best, The Angels are not a great team at home and are having pitching issues, The West coast NL teams just arent that good especially matched up with AL teams. Boston is 43-28 and are currently trotting an outfield of Daniel Nava, Darnell McDonald and Bill hall...and winning. They have the deepest pitching staff, best bullpen and are leading the league in offensive production. This despite missing Ellsbury and Cameron for most of the season and Beckett for quite a few starts.

And unlike Tampa they may add at the deadline. You are so biased against them that you confuse wishful thinking with reality.

:tro:


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:26 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.