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randallscott35 12-09-2009 09:15 AM

Yankee Bravo
 
Anyone got 50k to put down for him today? I'll throw in.

Scav 12-09-2009 09:21 AM

why in the world would you claim this horse?

randallscott35 12-09-2009 09:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
why in the world would you claim this horse?

Why not? 50k? He isn't snipped. He needs a Wolfson worming and he'd be winning the Big Cap.

Scav 12-09-2009 10:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
Why not? 50k? He isn't snipped. He needs a Wolfson worming and he'd be winning the Big Cap.

if you are claiming a horse for 50k in California now days, you almost have to win allowance conditions to make money, this horse can't do that. He isn't a statebred, and has had four bad races off a 280 day layoff, then a 92 day layoff, then two races, then 74 days, and now another 91 days.

His nuts aren't the problem. Spirit of Cochise is a pretty good claim, he is a Cal-bred with a bunch of conditions left, and has a real good Del Mar race to go back to. He would pay his way next year and probably chip away at the 50k investment

randallscott35 12-09-2009 10:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
if you are claiming a horse for 50k in California now days, you almost have to win allowance conditions to make money, this horse can't do that. He isn't a statebred, and has had four bad races off a 280 day layoff, then a 92 day layoff, then two races, then 74 days, and now another 91 days.

His nuts aren't the problem. Spirit of Cochise is a pretty good claim, he is a Cal-bred with a bunch of conditions left, and has a real good Del Mar race to go back to. He would pay his way next year and probably chip away at the 50k investment

I wouldn't keep him in Cali.

Scav 12-09-2009 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
I wouldn't keep him in Cali.

Where would you take him? NY? FL?

NTamm1215 12-09-2009 10:25 AM

I'd claim Usurp before Yankee Bravo.

NT

randallscott35 12-09-2009 10:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Where would you take him? NY? FL?

Money no object? Gulfstream.

Scav 12-09-2009 10:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
Money no object? Gulfstream.

But money is almost always an object. By the time you get him to Gulfstream you would be 65k into the horse, he would have to win a 100k stakes races to be almost even, and he wouldn't be 15 lengths within a 100k stakes race now.

Duvalier 12-09-2009 10:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Where would you take him? NY? FL?

Penn National

randallscott35 12-09-2009 10:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
But money is almost always an object. By the time you get him to Gulfstream you would be 65k into the horse, he would have to win a 100k stakes races to be almost even, and he wouldn't be 15 lengths within a 100k stakes race now.

You have him for as long as you want. He's 4. He doesn't have to be a claimer forever.

Usurp is interesting as well.

Scav 12-09-2009 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
You have him for as long as you want. He's 4. He doesn't have to be a claimer forever.

Usurp is interesting as well.

Ok, if you are looking to piss away 250k on one horse, which is what 'forever' will probably cost, then sure he is a great claim :rolleyes:

randallscott35 12-09-2009 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Ok, if you are looking to piss away 250k on one horse, which is what 'forever' will probably cost, then sure he is a great claim :rolleyes:

Tom obviously not over Zenyatta not hitting the board in the BC....Trying to liven up the board with a horse I would claim. Get a discussion started. Furthest Land was had for 35k.

freddymo 12-09-2009 11:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Duvalier
Penn National

There is a 12,500 claimer tomorrow at Aqueduct that could be Dr'Nessed up to win an allowance or two maybe even that 14 opt claimer for 40k

RolloTomasi 12-09-2009 12:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
if you are claiming a horse for 50k in California now days, you almost have to win allowance conditions to make money, this horse can't do that. He isn't a statebred, and has had four bad races off a 280 day layoff, then a 92 day layoff, then two races, then 74 days, and now another 91 days.

His nuts aren't the problem.

Actually, Yankee Bravo, noted for his dead closing style during the '08 Derby campaign, has either run-off completely (the San Carlos) or been very rank in his off-and-on campaign this year. Solis was able to settle him in a couple turf allowances but only with a strong hold.

While ultimately this roguish behavior (which should be viewed as a major negative if considering a claim) may have nothing to do with his testicles, its probably a good place to start.

Quote:

Spirit of Cochise is a pretty good claim, he is a Cal-bred with a bunch of conditions left, and has a real good Del Mar race to go back to. He would pay his way next year and probably chip away at the 50k investment
Spirit Of Cochise has won both the state-bred first condition and the open company first condition. From a realistic standpoint (ie races he can win), he doesn't have a lot of conditions left.

Cannon Shell 12-09-2009 12:56 PM

Yankee Bravo wouldnt be a terrible claim if you had some idea about his current physical condition. His trainer seemingly has run out of ideas after blinks on then off then on again and different surface switches. The first thing I would do is geld him and give him 45 days off. Then try a dirt surface. At least he had quite a bit of talent at one time.

The claim in that race if you gave me the 50k would be Usurp. I would immediately ship him out of CA to Philly/NY inner where his natural speed is a plus and wont be used against him.

NTamm1215 12-09-2009 01:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Yankee Bravo wouldnt be a terrible claim if you had some idea about his current physical condition. His trainer seemingly has run out of ideas after blinks on then off then on again and different surface switches. The first thing I would do is geld him and give him 45 days off. Then try a dirt surface. At least he had quite a bit of talent at one time.

The claim in that race if you gave me the 50k would be Usurp. I would immediately ship him out of CA to Philly/NY inner where his natural speed is a plus and wont be used against him.

That was my point as it seemed like his Fairplex effort would sort of portend dirt ability. He is a half to Sly, who's not a very good horse by any stretch but has been an effective turf sprinter. Thus, if you brought him to a place like NY and ran him on the inner for the winter then looked at the turf sprints in the spring and summer you could get the money back.

It would also seem like Ron Ellis would be a decent trainer to claim off of since he doesn't seem to overwork his horses.

NT

hockey2315 12-09-2009 01:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
It would also seem like Ron Ellis would be a decent trainer to claim off of since he doesn't seem to overwork his horses.

9/59 - 15% - first after claimed from

SCUDSBROTHER 12-09-2009 02:02 PM

Who is Yankee Bravo?





This is Yankee Pssy. Been that way a long time. Good luck waking this bent lil btch up. Let him continue to be Lucifer's helper.

RolloTomasi 12-09-2009 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
That was my point as it seemed like his Fairplex effort would sort of portend dirt ability. He is a half to Sly, who's not a very good horse by any stretch but has been an effective turf sprinter. Thus, if you brought him to a place like NY and ran him on the inner for the winter then looked at the turf sprints in the spring and summer you could get the money back.

It would also seem like Ron Ellis would be a decent trainer to claim off of since he doesn't seem to overwork his horses.

NT

Usurp has faced some decent horses throughout his career but note that he had a 6 month layoff from 2 to 3 followed by an 11th month layoff after a handful of starts at 3.

While he hasn't missed much time this year (aside from a 2 month break after his comeback win), there are red flags starting to pop up. First, Ron Ellis is quoted as saying he came out of his work prior to the Pomona race "a little funky". In that race he got out horribly going into the first turn and finished up the race short strided (whereas he usually fought gamely--even when losing--in prior starts). Either he was hurting, didn't particularly care for dirt, or both.

In his last 2, he has not shown his customary :44+ speed and has finished off the board. Given that he finished in the exacta in 7 of his first 9 starts while racing on the front end, this doesn't bode well.

In addition to dropping down a level today, he also does not have a recorded breeze since his last race.

If he is able to hold up for a few more races, it would be interesting to see how he handles two turns, given his pedigree (his 2nd dam is a Grade 1 winner BTW).

Cannon Shell 12-09-2009 03:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
Usurp has faced some decent horses throughout his career but note that he had a 6 month layoff from 2 to 3 followed by an 11th month layoff after a handful of starts at 3.

While he hasn't missed much time this year (aside from a 2 month break after his comeback win), there are red flags starting to pop up. First, Ron Ellis is quoted as saying he came out of his work prior to the Pomona race "a little funky". In that race he got out horribly going into the first turn and finished up the race short strided (whereas he usually fought gamely--even when losing--in prior starts). Either he was hurting, didn't particularly care for dirt, or both.

In his last 2, he has not shown his customary :44+ speed and has finished off the board. Given that he finished in the exacta in 7 of his first 9 starts while racing on the front end, this doesn't bode well.

In addition to dropping down a level today, he also does not have a recorded breeze since his last race.

If he is able to hold up for a few more races, it would be interesting to see how he handles two turns, given his pedigree (his 2nd dam is a Grade 1 winner BTW).

Hey its risky but horses with issues are the ones that can turn out to be the most profitable or on the other hand the biggest disasters. If there is nothing to fix they usually wind up deteriorating in form anyway.

Duvalier 12-09-2009 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Hey its risky but horses with issues are the ones that can turn out to be the most profitable or on the other hand the biggest disasters. If there is nothing to fix they usually wind up deteriorating in form anyway.

Just curious Chuck...what issues are you able to deal with and which ones end up being nothing but a money pit? For example...joints, breathing problems etc.

Cannon Shell 12-09-2009 03:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Duvalier
Just curious Chuck...what issues are you able to deal with and which ones end up being nothing but a money pit? For example...joints, breathing problems etc.

Sometimes it isnt the specific issue but the degree of severity, especially with breathing issues. Tendons can be really bad. Sometimes all a horse needs is a little rest before a bunch of small things that are bothering them and affecting performance become big things. Not all owners can afford or are patient enough to give a lot of time off to a claimer.

SCUDSBROTHER 12-09-2009 03:51 PM

I think Y.B. got hurt in the final 16th of the Louisiana Derby. He never gave up ground to anyone before that, and he has been giving up ground ever since. What is the other view? After he got beat, his attitude changed? If they thought that, then why wouldn't they've gelded him by now?

Cannon Shell 12-09-2009 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
I think Y.B. got hurt in the final 16th of the Louisiana Derby. He never gave up ground to anyone before that, and he has been giving up ground ever since. What is the other view? After he got beat, his attitude changed? If they thought that, then why wouldn't they've gelded him by now?

if you had claimed him we could try to figure that out

RolloTomasi 12-09-2009 04:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Hey its risky but horses with issues are the ones that can turn out to be the most profitable or on the other hand the biggest disasters. If there is nothing to fix they usually wind up deteriorating in form anyway.

Yep, but this specific horse seems to be going the wrong way quickly, when just last May (6f in 1:08+ for the 3rd time in his career) he seemed a stakes calibur horse. From a handicapping (and jaded) point of view, I wouldn't be looking for this horse to turn it around unless Mike Mitchell or John Sadler happens to claim him.

I'm sure Spirit Of Cochise has issues, too, but he is in good form at the moment at least, having won his last start.

SCUDSBROTHER 12-09-2009 04:23 PM

If someone claims Y.B., my first guess is it's O'neill. That guy must stop for a thrift shop.

Scav 12-09-2009 05:41 PM

If you wait about two month, Yankee Bravo will be at Golden Gate running for 10nw6m

The Indomitable DrugS 12-09-2009 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Who is Yankee Bravo?


http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=20799

Ring a bell?

docicu3 12-09-2009 05:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Hey Drugs what's your best guess as to why Rosario got the day off today?

SCUDSBROTHER 12-09-2009 05:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

You must orgasm on the wall each time they lead him out there to run poorly. O.K....Write about him. I 'm not gunna fight about every horse that goes sour on someone.

The Indomitable DrugS 12-09-2009 05:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by docicu3
Hey Drugs what's your best guess as to why Rosario got the day off today?

As of today ... I think Vic S. is still Rosario's agent.. he might be a little better suited to answer that question.

The Indomitable DrugS 12-09-2009 06:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
You must orgasm on the wall each time they lead him out there to run poorly. O.K....Write about him. I 'm not gunna fight about every horse that goes sour on someone.

That would be down at about my #34,529th best reason to orgasm on a wall.

Horses go sour all the time ... that type of stuff happens. However, Yankee Bravo basically went from being a very sucky slowpoke you thought was a live Derby horse .. to now being a sour sucky slowpoke.

RockHardTen1985 12-09-2009 06:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Has it been a month?

The Indomitable DrugS 12-09-2009 06:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DrugS Future Bro-In-Law
Has it been a month?

I'm not sure Joey ... it's been a while.

RockHardTen1985 12-09-2009 06:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I'm not sure Joey ... it's been a while.

My sister likes guys like COACH.

GBBob 12-09-2009 06:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
I likes black guys like COACH.

ftfy


sigh

RockHardTen1985 12-09-2009 06:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GBBob
ftfy


sigh

lolol

I like Coach, but I prefer white girls... Older then me usually works.

randallscott35 12-09-2009 07:32 PM

Looks like I can pick him up for 35k soon. Not a pretty run.

NTamm1215 12-09-2009 07:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
Looks like I can pick him up for 8k soon. Not a pretty run.

FTFY

NT


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