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-   -   Synthetic to Dirt 'Improvers' (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=29182)

Travis Stone 04-22-2009 12:25 PM

Synthetic to Dirt 'Improvers'
 
I'm trying to formulate a list of horses who would fit the I Want Revenge model. Aside from IWR, are there any recent (as in past year or so) synthetic-to-dirt horses who improved dramatically when switching to dirt? I'm drawing a blank...

Indian Charlie 04-22-2009 12:32 PM

Fab strike
Zenyatta
Well Armed
Papa Clem
Indian Blessing

Sightseek 04-22-2009 12:32 PM

Tiago

10 pnt move up 04-22-2009 12:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone
I'm trying to formulate a list of horses who would fit the I Want Revenge model. Aside from IWR, are there any recent (as in past year or so) synthetic-to-dirt horses who improved dramatically when switching to dirt? I'm drawing a blank...

Bob Black Jack

who is the filly that Zenyatta was drubbing all year long last year that won at Belmont?

Intangaroo

ezgoerbaby 04-22-2009 12:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
Bob Black Jack

who is the filly that Zenyatta was drubbing all year long last year that won at Belmont?

Intangaroo

Ginger Punch?? Hystericalady??

robfla 04-22-2009 12:38 PM

Recapturetheglory? His two on the AP synth were ugly..

robfla 04-22-2009 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
Bob Black Jack


didnt he set a world record on synth?

lemoncrush 04-22-2009 12:41 PM

Are we talking about horses who ran on dirt first, and then didn't run well on synthetic? That's the case for many of the examples people have mentioned above. Ginger Punch, Indian Blessing, etc...

I think the point of the thread was to list horses who were strictly synthetic horses as they started their career, and then improved dramatically when switched to dirt. Not to list dirt horses who didn't care for synthetics.

The Indomitable DrugS 04-22-2009 12:43 PM

Bob Black Jack was beaten 32 lengths in the Derby in his only dirt start.

More a matter of distance probably.

The Indomitable DrugS 04-22-2009 12:47 PM

Lawyer Ron lost a pair of maiden claiming races on synethetic and exploded on the dirt to a dominant MSW win at 7/1.

NTamm1215 04-22-2009 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
Fab strike
Zenyatta
Well Armed
Papa Clem
Indian Blessing

Fabulous Strike only made one synthetic start in his career, in the BC Sprint last year. Zenyatta ran multiple races on synthetics that were better than her one dirt effort. Well Armed has three graded stakes wins on synthetics and five overall, with only two wins in five tries on dirt. Indian Blessing debuted on dirt and was undefeated in three starts before trying synthetics.

I think the intent of the thread is to point out horses who have been running exclusively (or mainly) on synthetics and are being switched to dirt, not just a one-race engagement.

NT

Indian Charlie 04-22-2009 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
Fabulous Strike only made one synthetic start in his career, in the BC Sprint last year. Zenyatta ran multiple races on synthetics that were better than her one dirt effort. Well Armed has three graded stakes wins on synthetics and five overall, with only two wins in five tries on dirt. Indian Blessing debuted on dirt and was undefeated in three starts before trying synthetics.

I think the intent of the thread is to point out horses who have been running exclusively (or mainly) on synthetics and are being switched to dirt, not just a one-race engagement.

NT

yeah, i know all that.

none of that really matters though, since it would still be useful data for a study like this.

sumitas 04-22-2009 01:04 PM

Bob Black Jack was off a long time after the KD . He must have been injured during or prior to the race so he is not a good example of switching surfaces .

HaloWishingwell 04-22-2009 01:52 PM

I know he just beat a bunch of dogs but WELL ARMED turned it around on dirt at Dubai.

smuthg 04-22-2009 02:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

who is the filly that Zenyatta was drubbing all year long last year that won at Belmont?

Tough Tiz's Sis?

10 pnt move up 04-22-2009 02:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by smuthg
Tough Tiz's Sis?

yea thats it

10 pnt move up 04-22-2009 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Bob Black Jack was beaten 32 lengths in the Derby in his only dirt start.

More a matter of distance probably.

I have the wrong horse then, who won the sprint race the fall of 07' at Belmont. Got like a 118, went from like 100 on syn to 118 if I remember.

10 pnt move up 04-22-2009 03:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Black Seventeen? He was '08 though.

thx, I knew black was in there.

Travis Stone 04-22-2009 03:29 PM

Thanks all. Basically I'm trying to look into charecteristics or common traits amongst horses who struggled on synthetics but improved in noteworthy fashion to dirt. Do they have a visual trait common amongst them? Or.... etc.

SniperSB23 04-22-2009 03:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone
Thanks all. Basically I'm trying to look into charecteristics or common traits amongst horses who struggled on synthetics but improved in noteworthy fashion to dirt. Do they have a visual trait common amongst them? Or.... etc.

Most are on the pace runners. The closers seem more likely to just be turf horses that take to the synthetics.

10 pnt move up 04-22-2009 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Most are on the pace runners. The closers seem more likely to just be turf horses that take to the synthetics.

Like Intangaroo, Tiago, and Zenyatta?

Honestly some horses are going to take to it and some are not, I dont think style means much.

Thunder Gulch 04-22-2009 03:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
Like Intangaroo, Tiago, and Zenyatta?

Honestly some horses are going to take to it and some are not, I dont think style means much.

Bingo...some do, some don't. You just can't know for sure until it's attempted under race conditions.

SniperSB23 04-22-2009 03:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
Like Intangaroo, Tiago, and Zenyatta?

Honestly some horses are going to take to it and some are not, I dont think style means much.

I don't buy that Zenyatta and Intangaroo moved up much on the dirt, both are G1 winners on the synthetics. It is nothing like the difference with Hystericalady when she goes from synthetic to dirt. Tiago has always been hit or miss, he did run third in the BC Classic on synthetic. It of course isn't going to apply in all cases, that's why I said most.

slotdirt 04-22-2009 03:55 PM

Tiago's best race to date was probably at Oaklawn Park, was it not?

SniperSB23 04-22-2009 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt
Tiago's best race to date was probably at Oaklawn Park, was it not?

Probably. I still don't entirely get that figure. He went 9 furlongs in 1:50.34 and got a 110 Beyer. Zenyatta went 8.5 in 1:42.64 and got a 104 Beyer. That just seems strange to me but without the full card or knowing the pars there I don't really know what went on with it.

SniperSB23 04-22-2009 04:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Probably. I still don't entirely get that figure. He went 9 furlongs in 1:50.34 and got a 110 Beyer. Zenyatta went 8.5 in 1:42.64 and got a 104 Beyer. That just seems strange to me but without the full card or knowing the pars there I don't really know what went on with it.

Just looked into it and the time was later corrected from 1:50.34 to 1:48.60.

The Indomitable DrugS 04-22-2009 05:14 PM

Reporting for Duty was 3rd beaten 6 in that Oaklawn Park handicap - he got bought up and has been drubbed a couple of times in Saudi Arabia.

Tiago had already won the Santa Anita Derby - and was 3rd in the Belmont Stakes in a race where he got no pace at all before ever racing on a synthetic track.

He's basically about the same on both surfaces.

10 pnt move up 04-22-2009 05:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Reporting for Duty was 3rd beaten 6 in that Oaklawn Park handicap - he got bought up and has been drubbed a couple of times in Saudi Arabia.

Tiago had already won the Santa Anita Derby - and was 3rd in the Belmont Stakes in a race where he got no pace at all before ever racing on a synthetic track.

He's basically about the same on both surfaces.

Tiago is so much better on dirt, what syn race has he won that he beat anything. He has been mismanaged.

The Indomitable DrugS 04-22-2009 05:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
Like Intangaroo, Tiago, and Zenyatta?

Honestly some horses are going to take to it and some are not, I dont think style means much.

None of those horses were better on dirt than synthetic.

The lousy Brownie Points was 2nd to Zenyatta in the Apple Blossom.

Closers with turf oriented pedigrees make the worst syn to dirt projections.

The Indomitable DrugS 04-22-2009 05:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
Tiago is so much better on dirt, what syn race has he won that he beat anything. He has been mismanaged.

His first two starts on it were good:

Start #1: Won a Grade 2 stake by 2.5 lengths over Albertis Maxiumus

Start #2: Won a Grade 1 stake by a nose over next out BC Classic 3rd place finisher Awesome Gem

He also had the best finish of any American horse in last year's Breeders Cup Classic.

Bobby Fischer 04-22-2009 05:24 PM

You look at the amount of turf a horse has in it's pedigree.

the_fat_man 04-22-2009 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone
Thanks all. Basically I'm trying to look into charecteristics or common traits amongst horses who struggled on synthetics but improved in noteworthy fashion to dirt. Do they have a visual trait common amongst them? Or.... etc.

Glad you brought this up cause it ties in with some MAJOR research I've been doing lately. And, I do mean MAJOR: 50 years worth of races in my SUPER DUPER Database.

My starting point is the most INTEGRAL, IMPORTANT, and IMPOSING concept in the history of horse racing: THE BOUNCE.:rolleyes:

My data shows that those horses that never BOUNCE in their racing career are those most apt to run on ANY surface. Of course, once they bounce, this all goes out the window. There's the 'common trait'.

10 pnt move up 04-22-2009 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
His first two starts on it were good:

Start #1: Won a Grade 2 stake by 2.5 lengths over Albertis Maxiumus

Start #2: Won a Grade 1 stake by a nose over next out BC Classic 3rd place finisher Awesome Gem

He also had the best finish of any American horse in last year's Breeders Cup Classic.

I believe his three dirt starts dating back to the SA Derby are two wins, a third in the Belmont and 7th in the derby.

I would love to see him in the Met Mile, he cant make it now. Maybe the Whitney.

CSC 04-22-2009 06:35 PM

Acoma broke her Mdn at Keeneland and then won 2 straight at CD, one that included the Dogwood Stks.

hoovesupsideyourhead 04-22-2009 06:55 PM

this is a tough subject and is only on a case to case basis. the breeding is not as big a deal as it may look. any horse who has the look of a contener off poly should be used as if he had the ped for the dirt.there is huge misconception that a horse does not like poly. he/she was not a fit horse last out. got a bad trip ect.dont buy into the press of people that say they didnt like the poly..chances are the horse was not ready for it [the race] and will not all of a sudden get on the dirt and fly..

CSC 04-22-2009 07:22 PM

Colonial John is perhaps the best and most interesting example, he didn't get the best of trips last year in the derby which resulted in only a 6th place finished, it would have been very easy to dismiss him as a synthetic surface horse after that race, instead he came back to win the Travers later that summer. This is a perfect example of letting biases and or predjudices getting in the way of making a winning bet, I know I dismissed him last year so what do you do? You live and learn and try to keep an open mind next time a similiar situation comes along.

PatCummings 04-22-2009 07:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Reporting for Duty was 3rd beaten 6 in that Oaklawn Park handicap - he got bought up and has been drubbed a couple of times in Saudi Arabia.

Tiago had already won the Santa Anita Derby - and was 3rd in the Belmont Stakes in a race where he got no pace at all before ever racing on a synthetic track.

He's basically about the same on both surfaces.

For what its worth (not much probably) but the surfaces in Saudi Arabia are synthetic.

Pedigree Ann 04-23-2009 11:35 AM

IMHO, AW surfaces put a premium on stamina, whether it is implicit in the pedigree or developed by the trainer. In the current state of racing in the US, a horse is likelier to get stamina from the turf runners in the pedigree than the dirt runners, leading to the impression that horses with 'turfy' peds will do better on AW. Stallions who explode the notion equating turf and AW include dyed-in-the-wool dirt stayers A.P. Indy and Tiznow.

SniperSB23 04-23-2009 12:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
I believe his three dirt starts dating back to the SA Derby are two wins, a third in the Belmont and 7th in the derby.

I would love to see him in the Met Mile, he cant make it now. Maybe the Whitney.

Are you not counting the 07 Classic cause it was a sloppy track or cause he was beaten 18.5 lengths?


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