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-   -   Friesan Fire training up to Derby (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=28735)

ateamstupid 03-31-2009 08:24 PM

Friesan Fire training up to Derby
 
http://www.drf.com/news/article/102616.html

Thoughts?

philcski 03-31-2009 08:29 PM

Terrible decision.

NTamm1215 03-31-2009 08:30 PM

I didn't think he was gonna win anyway. But I really don't like him now.

NT

Sightseek 03-31-2009 08:34 PM

If anyone can do it, Jones can.

The horse has been pretty professional in all of his starts and by today's standards has a decent foundation of starts as a two and three year old.

randallscott35 03-31-2009 08:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Terrible decision.

Wait, he finished 2nd in the last 2 Derbys and did the same thing with Hard Spun 2 years ago who last I looked ran a bang up race.

I'd like the horse more if Jones would allow someone on him in the mornings under 250 pounds...but that's just me.

mclem0822 03-31-2009 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek[B
]If anyone can do it, Jones can[/b].

The horse has been pretty professional in all of his starts and by today's standards has a decent foundation of starts as a two and three year old.

I have alot of respect for Larry Jones, he knows his stuff. I'm sure he's doing what he feels is best for the horse, we'll see how it goes. I'm not saying he's going to win the Derby, but who knows.

dellinger63 03-31-2009 08:46 PM

Thought if it poured in Louisville, they sealed the track, it was hugely speed biased, FF drew 5-11, broke perfect getting the lead on soft fractions, he had a chance at holding on for 3rd or 4rth. Now I don't.

philcski 03-31-2009 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
Wait, he finished 2nd in the last 2 Derbys and did the same thing with Hard Spun 2 years ago who last I looked ran a bang up race.

I'd like the horse more if Jones would allow someone on him in the mornings under 250 pounds...but that's just me.

I know he did- I loved Hard Spun and he did me quite well in that Derby. However 2 things stick out here- (1) he didn't win, and (2) this is 7 weeks not 6 like Hard Spun, and he wanted a fresh horse for the Derby with Hard Spun because he wanted to utilize his speed- however Friesan Fire doesn't have that advantage. Sure, I think Larry Jones knows what he's doing more than I do. I like this horse a lot, and just think this isn't the best approach to have him ready to WIN.

That same year, Street Sense had a hard race 7 weeks out then had a designed "tuneup" in the Blue Grass, and fired his best shot on Derby Day. Don't you think that's a better comparison?

The Indomitable DrugS 03-31-2009 08:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
That same year, Street Sense had a hard race 7 weeks out then had a designed "tuneup" in the Blue Grass, and fired his best shot on Derby Day. Don't you think that's a better comparison?

Not really.

philcski 03-31-2009 08:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Not really.

Reason?

(other than Street Sense was 5X the horse Friesan Fire is)

randallscott35 03-31-2009 08:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
I know he did- I loved Hard Spun and he did me quite well in that Derby. However 2 things stick out here- (1) he didn't win, and (2) this is 7 weeks not 6 like Hard Spun, and he wanted a fresh horse for the Derby with Hard Spun because he wanted to utilize his speed- however Friesan Fire doesn't have that advantage. Sure, I think Larry Jones knows what he's doing more than I do. I like this horse a lot, and just think this isn't the best approach to have him ready to WIN.

That same year, Street Sense had a hard race 7 weeks out then had a designed "tuneup" in the Blue Grass, and fired his best shot on Derby Day. Don't you think that's a better comparison?

So you would have liked the horse had it been 6 weeks and not 7? Really. Let me be clear, he is not a horse I would've been playing anyway, but I think a guy who has finished 2nd in the last 2 Derbys gets the benefit of the doubt. I think the horse will run his race, I just don't see him getting 10 panels. But to me at least, it isn't a terrible decision coming off a lifetime top for the horse.

philcski 03-31-2009 08:56 PM

How about the fact that Friesan Fire hasn't run a mile and an eighth yet, and Hard Spun did in his final prep?

Who was the last horse who won the Derby without a mile and an eighth race under their belt?

Scurlogue Champ 03-31-2009 09:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Reason?

(other than Street Sense was 5X the horse Friesan Fire is)

At Churchill with Borel on he was.

philcski 03-31-2009 09:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
So you would have liked the horse had it been 6 weeks and not 7? Really. Let me be clear, he is not a horse I would've been playing anyway, but I think a guy who has finished 2nd in the last 2 Derbys gets the benefit of the doubt. I think the horse will run his race, I just don't see him getting 10 panels. But to me at least, it isn't a terrible decision coming off a lifetime top for the horse.

Not at all what I'm saying. They're two different animals and should be treated as such. Just because it (almost) worked with a very special horse doesn't mean it's the right approach for this one.

Bobby Fischer 03-31-2009 09:08 PM

training up is his best move.

running on that Keeneland track would be stupid.

The Indomitable DrugS 03-31-2009 09:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
(other than Street Sense was 5X the horse Friesan Fire is)

Street Sense wasn't five times the horse of Rockport Harbor.

hoovesupsideyourhead 03-31-2009 09:13 PM

dunkirk will run in the derby trial the win the derby by 13:rolleyes:

Bobby Fischer 03-31-2009 09:14 PM

street sense's race got to go out in 1:16.65 and finish in 1:51.33
it was a different type of race and a great chance to carry form forward for a closer.

The Blue Grass could easily be a grueling race this year, nothing like the race SS ran in. It could cause a horse like Friesan Fire to lose momentum.

philcski 03-31-2009 09:14 PM

Musket Man has enough earnings and also ran last on the 14th. Forget it, just train up to the Derby.

Win Willy has enough earnings and also ran last on the 14th. Forget it, just train up to the Derby.

Old Fashioned has enough earnings and also ran last on the 14th. F*ck it, just train up to the Derby with him too.

hoovesupsideyourhead 03-31-2009 09:15 PM

barbero had some time off before his romp

The Indomitable DrugS 03-31-2009 09:16 PM

same five weeks Big Brown had.

Bobby Fischer 03-31-2009 09:19 PM

obviously jokes but

Win Willy actually should train up to the Derby IMO.

Sell him , and get him to the gate.

I think he could flop in the Arkansas Derby

Cannon Shell 03-31-2009 09:19 PM

While I think it is a questionable decision to try to run 1 1/4 without a 1 1/8th prep, the 7 weeks thing isnt that big of a deal anymore. While it hasnt been done there are virtually no real contenders that ever even tried. With the light training schedules and spacing of races, it will happen eventually. The 3/16th stretchout would concern me more than the 7 weeks.

hoovesupsideyourhead 03-31-2009 09:20 PM

is the derby trial just a joke now ..with the way the breed is nowdays
if you win that thing your up the track next week..maybee dutrow could put
one in and try it.

philcski 03-31-2009 09:21 PM

I just heard Street Hero is coming out of retirement and going to Larry Jones who's going to just train him up to the Derby, "because he's had a tough campaign mounting mares and needs to be fresh for the biggest race of his life".

Cannon Shell 03-31-2009 09:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
is the derby trial just a joke now ..with the way the breed is nowdays
if you win that thing your up the track next week..maybee dutrow could put
one in and try it.

It has been some time since real contneders raced in the DT. I believe it used to be held on the Tuesday before the Derby.

Cannon Shell 03-31-2009 09:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
I just heard Street Hero is coming out of retirement and going to Larry Jones who's going to just train him up to the Derby, "because he's had a tough campaign mounting mares and needs to be fresh for the biggest race of his life".

That is one crooked horse. His legs might snap if Jones ever got on him.

-BT- 03-31-2009 09:26 PM

though they have very little in common in regards to running style as soon as i read this i thought of Circular Quay............:rolleyes:

to each is own, wouldn't be surprised if he floated up in the futures though

-bt-

Sightseek 03-31-2009 09:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
It has been some time since real contneders raced in the DT. I believe it used to be held on the Tuesday before the Derby.

I think the last horse to win the DT and a TC race was Creme Fraiche?

Cannon Shell 03-31-2009 09:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
I think the last horse to win the DT and a TC race was Creme Fraiche?

Did he win the Dt? I didnt realize that.

ateamstupid 03-31-2009 09:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
street sense's race got to go out in 1:16.65 and finish in 1:51.33
it was a different type of race and a great chance to carry form forward for a closer.

The Blue Grass could easily be a grueling race this year, nothing like the race SS ran in. It could cause a horse like Friesan Fire to lose momentum.

Huh?

blackthroatedwind 03-31-2009 09:37 PM

Back to back years in the early 90s the Derby Trial winner placed in the Preakness.

philcski 03-31-2009 09:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Back to back years in the early 90s the Derby Trial winner placed in the Preakness.

So did the 2008 winner...

Bobby Fischer 03-31-2009 09:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Huh?

Jones was also considering the Blue Grass for Friesan Fire.

Sightseek 03-31-2009 09:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Back to back years in the early 90s the Derby Trial winner placed in the Preakness.

Right, Cherokee Run and Alydeed.

blackthroatedwind 03-31-2009 09:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus
Cherokee Run and Alydeed?


I had to take you off ignore to read this.


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