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-   -   3/28: Dubai World Cup (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=28668)

Kasept 03-27-2009 10:20 PM

3/28: Dubai World Cup
 
Don't typically play this card but admit to having interest after following it on "At the Races" throughout the Carnival...


NAD AL SHEBA


2nd: Godolphin Mile, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #13 Gayego 7-2
Best Value: #15 Dijeer 20-1
Next Best: #6 Kalahari Gold 8-1
Exotics Use: #10 Art of War 10-1


3rd: UAE Derby, 3 & 4yo, 9f (P3 Super)

Most Likely: #5 Desert Party 1-1
Best Value: #3 Lelah Dorak 15-1
Next Best: #11 Soy Libriano 10-1
Exotics Use: #9 Balcarce Nov 20-1


4th: Golden Shaheen, 3+, 6f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #12 Indian Blesing 3-1
Next Best: #7 Marchand d'Or 9-2
Best Value: #8 Balthazaar's Gift 20-1
Exotics Use: #9 Machismo 12-1


5th: Duty Free, 3+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Archipenko 4-1
Next Best: #13 Paco Boy 7-2
Best Value: #8 Balius 8-1
Exotics Use: #15 Jay Peg 20-1


6th: Sheema Classic, 4+, 12f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #13 Doctor Dino 7-2
Best Value: #14 Kirklees 12-1
Next Best: #7 Purple Moon 6-1
Exotics Use: #5 King of Rome 8-1


7th: World Cup, 4+, 10f (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Asiatic Boy 5-2
Best Value: #8 Casino Drive 8-1
Next Best: #3 Snaafy 12-1
Exotics Use: #6 Gloria de Campeao 30-1


Good luck!
Steve

Sightseek 03-27-2009 10:25 PM

Isn't Black 17 out?

Kasept 03-27-2009 10:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
Isn't Black 17 out?

I don't think so, but I'll adjust anyway just in case. Will be up early tomorrow to write up GP card, so we'll see what's happened then.

jwkniska 03-27-2009 10:39 PM

I hope you're spot-on. We're very, very similar on most. Like Front House in the Sheema though.

Kasept 03-27-2009 10:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jwkniska
I hope you're spot-on. We're very, very similar on most. Like Front House in the Sheema though.

I have key horses I like and will spread off them... G/L!

I've never really seriously gone after this card before...

mclem0822 03-27-2009 11:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Don't typically play this card but admit to having interest after following it on "At the Races" throughout the Carnival...


7th: World Cup, 4+, 10f (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Asiatic Boy 5-2
Best Value: #8 Casino Drive 8-1
Next Best: #3 Snaafy 12-1
Exotics Use: #6 Gloria de Campeao 30-1


Good luck!
Steve

Although I like Asiatic Boy is the one to beat, I give Snaafy a good shot in here Steve.

Scav 03-27-2009 11:12 PM

The horse I might be focusing on is Jose Adan to finish 2nd to Desert Party. Really think he appreciates 2 turns and 3rd off the layoff.

smuthg 03-27-2009 11:29 PM

turf to "wet" dirt?
 
what are you guys doing with the turf sprinters moving to what appears to be a "wet" Nad Al Sheba?

if it is wet/sloppy I think Black Seventeen is a must use...

brockguy 03-28-2009 12:09 AM

Lads, Prevsis is gonna run huge - maybe not enough to beat Archi or Vodka but dont let him go off at a ridiculous price unbacked..

jwkniska 03-28-2009 01:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
I have key horses I like and will spread off them... G/L!

I've never really seriously gone after this card before...


prices, prices and more prices. the U.S. horses will be overbet, making for some great win/exotic pays. I've played it the last few years.

hockey2315 03-28-2009 02:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by smuthg
what are you guys doing with the turf sprinters moving to what appears to be a "wet" Nad Al Sheba?

if it is wet/sloppy I think Black Seventeen is a must use...

Word is that he's looked awful over there and may not even run.

smuthg 03-28-2009 07:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
Word is that he's looked awful over there and may not even run.

from Pat Cummings blog "Golden Shaheen runner BLACK SEVENTEEN may scratch as race time approaches, his morning lethargy has bothered trainer Brian Koriner and is considered a last minute decision."

http://emiratesracing.com/eq/Changes.cfm

hockey2315 03-28-2009 07:41 AM

Really like Russian Sage in the Sheema.

Bigsmc 03-28-2009 08:14 AM

Youbet says main is "good" and turf is "good" can anybody confirm this?

Nevermind, track feed is up.

CSC 03-28-2009 08:19 AM

Horses I like for win bets:

2nd- Gayego
5th - Jay Peg (possible repeat)
6th - Front House
Longshot - Deem

The 3rd and 4th

Desert Party and Indian Blessing look like singles for exotic plays.

Lava 03-28-2009 08:29 AM

Race 2 $2 Pick 3
2) 4,13,15
3) 5
4) 6,7,12

$18

jms62 03-28-2009 08:32 AM

Making some plays off of Steveo's selections looking for some prices.

R2

10 Win 15-Dijeerr

1 Super Key 13/6,10,15

2 Ex Key Box 13/6,10,15

herkhorse 03-28-2009 08:32 AM

rolling pic 3s

race 2: 11-3-9
race 3: 5-12
race 4: 12-11
race 5: 8-10
race 6: 1-4-3-5
race 7: 5-14-8-9-3

pic 6 4/5/12/8-10/1-3-4-5/3-5-8-9-14

johnny pinwheel 03-28-2009 08:52 AM

sprint: big city man and diabolical, classic: front house, world cup: well armed , asiatic boy and albertus maximus. heading over to simulcast.

Lava 03-28-2009 09:00 AM

Race 3 $10 Ex
5 with 11

jms62 03-28-2009 09:09 AM

R3

10 WIn 3
1.00 Super 5/3,9,11
2.00 Exacta 5/3,9,11 11,3,9/5

mclem0822 03-28-2009 09:10 AM

Race 2 tri......
 
5/1-3-11-12/3-6-9-12

Good Luck All!

Lava 03-28-2009 09:33 AM

Race 4 $5 Tri
12
with
6,7
with
2,6,7

$20

Bigsmc 03-28-2009 10:02 AM

Interesting route Prado took with Indian Blessing. Took her off the rail, cutting towards the middle of the track, next time I look over at her, she's back to the rail. Why not just take the shortest distance (straight)?

Didn't bet a dime, it just looked strange.

brockguy 03-28-2009 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Interesting route Prado took with Indian Blessing. Took her off the rail, cutting towards the middle of the track, next time I look over at her, she's back to the rail. Why not just take the shortest distance (straight)?

Didn't bet a dime, it just looked strange.

i dont think any of the jocks knew where they wanted to be, the winner was all over the place as well. Indian Blessing's start killed her

hockey2315 03-28-2009 10:19 AM

Can someone please tell me why Balius is 15-1 right now?

Scav 03-28-2009 10:28 AM

If you were dosing right now you would be FREAKIN with that color show

brockguy 03-28-2009 10:30 AM

I dont think the horses like the fireworks though!

rkinnin 03-28-2009 10:32 AM

I am watching both TVG and TwinSpires TV - the [in between] show is neat. Do other international races like Japan, etc do the same thing? Are we going to see this in the US with Breeders Cup or the Triple Crown race days?

Scav 03-28-2009 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brockguy
I dont think the horses like the fireworks though!

Oh I know they don't, you should have seen KnS on the fourth of July

dellinger63 03-28-2009 10:35 AM

who was the fat guy riding w/trick rider

brockguy 03-28-2009 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Oh I know they don't, you should have seen KnS on the fourth of July

I think Ouija Board went crazy a few years back..

What price is Prevsis in the US. Ive got an Australian account, and Tuesday Joy is the favourite at 2-1. So funny, Prevsis is 44-1.. Kip Deville sure is 50-1!

ArlJim78 03-28-2009 10:40 AM

Presvis 25 to 1 right now.
Kip deVille 7-2:zz:

Coach Pants 03-28-2009 10:41 AM

Race 5 P3 1, 4, 8, 16 / 6 / 3, 5, 8, 10, 14 $20.00
10, 16/13/3, 8, 10, 14 $8.00

Scav 03-28-2009 10:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brockguy
I think Ouija Board went crazy a few years back..

What price is Prevsis in the US. Ive got an Australian account, and Tuesday Joy is the favourite at 2-1. So funny, Prevsis is 44-1.. Kip Deville sure is 50-1!

Kip Deville is 4/1 here :rolleyes:

Archi is 3/1 and Vodka is 6/1

brockguy 03-28-2009 10:57 AM

Oh My God!

Coach Pants 03-28-2009 10:58 AM

I have zero luck betting horses the last two months. It seems absolutely retarded s.hit like that happens when I bet.

I can only hope Sheikh Mo detains and kills all of the jockeys outside of the winner in that race.

-BT- 03-28-2009 10:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brockguy
Oh My God!

if i was a jock in that race i would be embarassed


-bt-

SCUDSBROTHER 03-28-2009 11:04 AM

More rags than a car wash.

jrajf 03-28-2009 11:13 AM

pascal bary
 
In the race 7 the 6.. This guy is low profile and has won numerous bc races in the states with bobs away...domedriver for one..if he shows he goes he always gets my money and rewards


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