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3/28 (GP): Florida Derby (G1); Swale (G2); Appleton (G3)
9TH (5:11) Swale S. (G2)
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $150,000 1 This Ones for Phil Gomez G K 120 L 2 B Z Warrior Velazquez J R 114 Blk-On L 3 Sabi Sabi Lezcano J 118 L 4 Custom for Carlos Desormeaux K J 114 L 5 Brave Victory Leparoux J R 116 L 6 Big Drama Coa E M 120 L 10TH (5:44) Florida Derby (G1) 1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $750,000 1 Toby the Coal Man Leparoux J R 122 L 2 Quality Road Velazquez J R 122 L 3 Casey's On Call Baird E T 122 L 4 Dunkirk Gomez G K 122 L 5 Sincero Trujillo E 122 L 6 Theregoesjojo Desormeaux K J 122 L 7 Danger to Society Madrid M 122 L 8 Europe Decarlo C P 122 L 9 Stately Character Douglas R R 122 L 11TH (6:15) Appleton S. (G3) 7 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $100,000 Post # Horse Jockey Weight Claim Price Equip. Med. 1 Passager (FR) Lezcano J 122 L 2 Vanquisher Montalvo C 120 L 3 Kiss the Kid Trujillo E 122 L 4 Granizo (BRZ) Nunez E O 114 L 5 Bold Start Desormeaux K J 120 L 6 Avanti Avanti Lopez P 116 L MTO Hypocrite Cruz M R 120 L 8 Cannonball Douglas R R 120 L 9 Artic Cry Leparoux J R 114 L 10 Pickapocket Gomez G K 120 L 11 T. D. Vance Velazquez J R 122 L 12 Fagedaboudit Sal Decarlo C P 120 L |
Nicanor will be about 4/5 in the 5th race.
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________________________________________________ Quality Road. |
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Couldn't find one of Joe Tessitore. |
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Switch to that, it's more kind on the eyes!
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Where is Prado? Snagging him this year might be the worst jockey pick in the history of RTTR.
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NT |
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Anyone else find it funny that Tabor/Smith are using a $2.6 million horse as a rabbit? Jesus.
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Team TAP seems to have been following Dutrow's lead. NT |
If Big Drama runs well in the Swale, do you think there's any chance they reconsider their decision to not point towards the Derby?
I know they announced the decision a couple weeks ago as betting for the 2nd Derby Futures pool was about it begin, and it made sense then not to mislead bettors. But unless they believe it's "too much too soon" or he can't get the 1-1/4 distance, I don't see why not. |
Danger to Society is kind of an unknown factor in this one. A lot of the 3rd choice wagering will gear towards JoJo, and Danger is arguably more deserving.
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random facts?
Toby The Coal Man's finish last out (37.6 final 3/8ths) was surprisingly fast. To be honest the pace was kind of soft and I'm not too crazy about this horse. It was a quicker time than I expected, and i will want to look at the variant for that day and maybe hand time it. Just a nose margin, but the place horse had a great trip with the exception of maybe being asked a little early.
EDIT - no the time is right , and per DRF the track variant was about the same 21 vs 20. He could save ground all the way. Honestly handicapping the 3rd and 4th slots is moot. This isn't a betting race as much as it is an important prep. |
fixed odds at TheGreek.com:
301 Dunkirk +125 302 Quality Road +185 303 Rest of the Field +185 A prop: Danger to Society will finish top 3 Listed runners must start for bets to be action. $200 limit. 321 Yes +225 322 No -305 Matchups: Dunkirk vs Quality Road Listed runners must start for bets to be action. $200 limit. 311 Dunkirk -150 312 Quality Road +120 Quality Road vs There Goes Jojo Listed runners must start for bets to be action. $200 limit. 313 Quality Road -160 314 There Goes Jojo +130 --Dunbar |
Danger To Society scratched
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Playing a little on Stately Character hoping for the upset, and boxing in a tri with Dunkirk and Theregoesjojo.
GL |
Florida Derby will be a very nice race to watch but horrible betting race.
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too bad gomez didn't ride TOFP in the FOY
pretty nice Swale. I don't know how juiced the track was but they set the track record. |
gotta come down
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Coa giving Gomez some of his own cheating stuff.
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i call that the camel
2 bumps |
got the 1st 3 straight in my pick 6
jinxing by redboarding the link for todays piece on the HANA blog http://blog.horseplayersassociation.org/ " From a handicapping perspective, I really like the "Big 2" here. Quality Road figures to go out and cruise along the rail. Dunkirk can challenge on the 2nd turn and beat him in the stretch. I am looking for value in the 3rd slot. Theregoesjojo is a nice horse, but may flatten out with the distance. I'll use longshots Toby The Coal Man, and Sincero for 3rd in tris and supers. I'll also play an exacta with Dunkirk And Quality Road over Toby The Coal Man, and use Dunkirk and Quality Road with Artic Cry in the Daily Double. Selections Race 7. #9 Vitruvius Race 8. #4 Rogue Victory Race 9. #1 This Ones For Phil Race 10.#4 Dunkirk Race 11.#9 Artic Cry Race 12.#5 Street Talk'n Man" |
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the Swale shows how terrible Prado did on TOFP in the Fountain of Youth. Quality Road still wins that race, but Prado really did a horrible job with a powerhouse horse in an extended sprint. Much better horse as I think DougS said from just off the pace rather than setting the pace. |
looks like Dunkirk is getting over bet
Quality Road is going to be a handful with this speed favoring track. What a stupid choice to scratch the rabbit Europe. A rabbit was a good idea. - Actually a good idea would have been to enter a reliable early speed sprinter... - not a maiden who broke slow in his only race. You're tellin me this goofy Casey's on Call is supposed to "ensure a good pace" ? Pletcher and Tabor really depending on that? That must just be talk from Nicoletti and co.. because Casey can't be the reason Pletcher scratched Europe. QR is going to trot to the lead on the rail... |
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Guess not. Jojo is even worse at 7-2. |
Quality Road really scares me on an uncontested lead.
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great race
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Well, color me impressed.
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I love to see that.
Go back to Ireland. |
That's about what I expected. Good race from both.
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Good for Jimmy Jerkens. I see Pletcher has plenty of excuses.
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:{>: Quality Road
Todd is crying like a sissy. I Want Revenge would eat Dunkirk. |
Hell of a performance. JV must have known he had a monster if he skipped the big money in Dubai.
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no reason to knock either. They both ran big.
Quality Road might be the triple crown horse this year. |
Bias or not that's a tough SOB.
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