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-   -   2/21: Magna 5; GP & SA C/O's (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=27988)

Kasept 02-21-2009 08:23 AM

2/21: Magna 5; GP & SA C/O's
 
MAGNA 5


PRE-SCRATCHES


A -- LRL 9th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 6f

Most Likely: #7 Body Rocket 7-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Put It in Writing 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Cudjo 5-1 WON
Super Add: #3 No Patience Here 4-1 6th


B -- SA 4th: 71st San Carlos (Gr. II), 4+, 7f

Most Likely: #5 Georgie Boy 3-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Mutadda 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Past the Point 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Star Nicholas 12-1 4th


C -- GP 9th: 14th Mac Diarmida (Gr. II), 4+, 11f-T

Most Likely: #3 Spice Route 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Baltimore Bob 10-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Mr. Sidney 8-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Quasicobra 10-1 2nd


D -- GG 4th: MSW, 3yo, 5.5f

Most Likely: #3 Bubsy 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Kalookan Ghost 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Kings Humor 9-5 4th


E -- SA 5th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #9 Taco Willy 6-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Dr. Seacliff 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Intermission 9-2 5th
Super Add: #1 SCR


<$150 Magna 5 Play:

A: 1-3-4-6-7
B: 5
C: 3-9-10
D: 3-6
E: [1]-2-4-9-10

5x1x3x2x5 = $150



GULFSTREAM


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: S/ALW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Rev it Up Rhonda 3-1 DNF
Best Value: #1e Collazo entry 8-1 4th/6th
Next Best: #4 Cinque Belle 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Wild Awake 6-1 2nd


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Just a Coincidence 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 No Detour 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Single Malt 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Stayonit 5-1 4th

$1 Exacta (7-6) Paid $36.30
$1 Trifecta (7-6-4) Paid $145.90
$1 Superfecta (7-6-4-9) Paid $716.30



7th: CLM, 4+, 1m-T (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Watch for draw-ins off AE list as #'s 14-15 especially necessary if running..

Most Likely: #8 In Classic Fashion 3-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Note to Harry 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Mascot 5-1 WON
Super Add: #11 Chop Spats 12-1 9th

$1 Exacta (12-2) Paid $20.20


8th: S/ALW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1a (POE) No Speed Limit 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Threetimesawonder 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Swing Music 6-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Tadisha 5-1 4th

$1 Exacta (1-8) Paid $7.10


9th: 14th Mac Diarmida (Gr. II), 4+, 11f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Spice Route 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Baltimore Bob 10-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Mr. Sidney 8-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Quasicobra 10-1 2nd


10th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (Super)

Best Value: #12 Amen and Amen 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #4 Berry Berry Bueno 7-2 7th
Next Best: #5 Santana Six 4-1 WON
Super Add: #11 Big Flirt 12-1 5th


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 1-2-4
6: 4-6-7
7: 2-8
8: 1-8
9: 3
10: 4-12

3x3x2x2x1x2 = 72 x $2 = 144


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-8-11-12
8: 1-6-8-9
9: 3-6-9-10
10: 4-12

4x4x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: 71st San Carlos (Gr. II), 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Georgie Boy 3-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Mutadda 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Past the Point 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Star Nicholas 12-1 4th


5th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Taco Willy 6-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Dr. Seacliff 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Intermission 9-2 5th
Super Add: #1 SCR


6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Shelbydell 5-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Jakes Lady Luck 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Desperate 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 South of France 10-1 4th


7th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Yodelin Dan 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #11 Frankelstein 8-1 WON
Next Best: #4 King of the Green 10-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Jan's Ruling Angel 8-1 6th


8th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Zensational 5-2 WON
Next Best: #9 Iron Fortitude 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Steel Blue 15-1 8th
Super Add: #1 Gold Schleiger 9-2 7th


9th: 11th Valentine's Dancer, Cal-bred F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Tiz a Blend 3-1 7th
Best Value: #1 Swiss Diva 10-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Bel Air Sizzle 5-2 WON-DH
Super Add: #8 Onebadkitty 12-1 WON-DH


$1 Exacta (3-8) Paid $20.40
$1 Exacta (8-3) Paid $23.40



10th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 7f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #3 Squire Trelawny 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Solo Performance 5-1 WON
Best Value: #10 Strength 30-1 6th
Exotics Use: #14 LATE SCR
High 5 Play: #1 Capi and Mike 5-1 4th


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-4-9-10
6: 2-5
7: 4-9-11
8: 3-4
9: 1-7
10: 3

4x2x3x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-9-11
8: 1-3-4-9
9: 1-7
10: 3-9-10

3x4x2x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

a_rookie 02-21-2009 11:02 AM

Sa Pk6 For $56 ???

R5 1 3
R6 3 5
R7 9
R8 2
R9 7
R10 2 3 4 5 9 11 14

gales0678 02-21-2009 11:03 AM

good luck

lemoncrush 02-21-2009 01:54 PM

Magna 5
 
Trying 3 smaller tickets, rather than 1 large ticket this week.

Ticket 1 $40
Leg a) 1,3,4,6,7
Leg b) 5
Leg c) 3
Leg d) 2,3
Leg e) 2,3,9,10

Ticket 2 $18
Leg a) 4,7
Leg b) 4,5,6
Leg c) 3,6,12
Leg d) 3
Leg e) 10

Ticket 3 $16
Leg a) 6,7
Leg b) 1.5
Leg c) 3,10
leg d) 3
leg e) 9,10

estreetposse 02-21-2009 02:47 PM

Good call in race 6 at the Gulf Steve.

Rudeboyelvis 02-21-2009 03:13 PM

Treading a little deeper than normal -

Leg "A") 3,6,7
Leg "B") 5
Leg "C") 3,6,9,12
Leg "D") 2,3,6
Leg "E") 2,3,9,10

3x1x4x3x4 = 144.00


Good Luck Everyone

Kasept 02-21-2009 03:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by estreetposse
Good call in race 6 at the Gulf Steve.

Thx E! Was surprised the winner went underbet. Super paid, well... super.

pweizer 02-21-2009 03:40 PM

My Magna 5 ticket:

3-4-6-7
5
3-4-6-10-12
1-2
2-5-9-10

Paul

XIIPointStables 02-21-2009 03:47 PM

My first jump into the Magna Five Pool...

R1: 4,6,7
R2: 5
R3: 3,4
R4: 2.4
R5: 2,5,7,8

2Hot4TV 02-21-2009 03:57 PM

somebody put 100K on Georgie Boy to show

jms62 02-21-2009 04:01 PM

Santa Anita 4th

Georgie Boy looks like the one but I will try and beat him with 1-Star Nicholas

pointman 02-21-2009 05:50 PM

Nice job, Steve, a 24-1 shot in the first leg of the Santa Anita late pk4! I punched this for action, let's keep it rolling!

XIIPointStables 02-21-2009 06:56 PM

Can anyone explain the rules on the deadhead and the late Pick 3 at SA? I played the 8 in the 9th, who deadheated with the 3, but I'm not seeing will-pays for an x-8-x ticket...

SCUDSBROTHER 02-21-2009 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by XIIPointStables
Can anyone explain the rules on the deadhead and the late Pick 3 at SA? I played the 8 in the 9th, who deadheated with the 3, but I'm not seeing will-pays for an x-8-x ticket...

Looks like they just have one p3 payoff(you can have either horse in the 9th, and they don't care which one.)

pick4 02-21-2009 07:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by XIIPointStables
Can anyone explain the rules on the deadhead and the late Pick 3 at SA? I played the 8 in the 9th, who deadheated with the 3, but I'm not seeing will-pays for an x-8-x ticket...

Twinspires has the breakdown of both 3 and 8

8 with 74.70 53.00 410.40 167.50 121.20 572.90 658.40 96.80 669.20 --- 784.60 95.40 147.90

XIIPointStables 02-21-2009 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pick4
Twinspires has the breakdown of both 3 and 8

8 with 74.70 53.00 410.40 167.50 121.20 572.90 658.40 96.80 669.20 --- 784.60 95.40 147.90

Thanks- Youbet was giving me nothing.

Kasept 02-21-2009 07:24 PM

Paid $1,695.60 (P4 for $1)


$2 Pick 3 (4/8/9) Paid $177.40
$2 Pick 3 (4/3/9) Paid $62.00

SCUDSBROTHER 02-21-2009 07:39 PM

Sorry,TVG just gave one payoff for the pick 3. Why do they give one payoff for the pick 4, and 2 payoffs for the pick 3?

CharlieR 02-21-2009 07:43 PM

I messed that up pretty bad. Had 2 Pick 4s going. Left the 11 off the first leg on one ticket but had the other 3 legs. On my other ticket I was alive to the 3. Thought I had a shot at my first Pick 4 until I saw the 3 struggle out of the gate.

I was working with a combination of Steve's picks. Still learning the Pick 3 & Pick 4 so I'm not confident enough yet to post my picks. In the mean time I keep watching and learning and doing my best to keep within my budget. Gets a little frustrating when $18 cost me $1695 :zz:

Kasept 02-21-2009 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Sorry,TVG just gave one payoff for the pick 3. Why do they give one payoff for the pick 4, and 2 payoffs for the pick 3?

Rules must differ as they do in NY. Common payoff on P4's and seperate payoffs on P3's.

Seems very unfair to P4/P6 players that had the more difficult and outrageous result... Steve Crist addresses this all the time.

onebadbeast 02-21-2009 07:56 PM

late rally in sa last for me, thank you carribean comic!!!!!!!!!!!!:tro:

SCUDSBROTHER 02-21-2009 07:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Rules must differ as they do in NY. Common payoff on P4's and seperate payoffs on P3's.

Seems very unfair to P4/P6 players that had the more difficult and outrageous result... Steve Crist addresses this all the time.

So, does any state have separate payoffs for p3, p4, and p6? (the way that seems logical to most players.)

XIIPointStables 02-21-2009 08:16 PM

Agreed on "common payoffs." Would seem unfair if the guy who had a 12-1 horse got lumped in with those with the 3-1 horse.

No reward - just lumped in.


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