2/7: FG; SA; Magna 5; Whirlaway-AQU; Essex-OP
 

FAIR GROUNDS


5th: 22nd Colonel Power, 4+, 5.5f-T (.50 P5, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Chamberlain Bridge 2-1: Should kick off big double for Calhoun.. WON
Next Best: #1 Storm Treasure 8-5: Always fires but no pace to chase.. DH-3RD
Best Value: #6 Acting Zippy 10-1: Step slow but arching back to big try.. 6TH
Super Add: #2 Grand Traverse 8-1: Value include was OK turf sprinting 2 back.. 2ND

$1 Exacta (5-2) Paid $15.90
$1 Trifecta (5-2-1) Paid $18.50


6th: 24th Mineshaft (Gr. II), 4+, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Honest Man 5-2: Jones poised for possible stakes triple.. WON
Best Value: #1 Secret Getaway 9-2: Wins with Tenacious repeat; Saves ground.. 5TH
Next Best: #2 Good and Lucky 6-1: Louisiana H. winner as eligible here as top 2.. 2ND
Super Add: #5 My Pal Charlie 7-2: Tough spot for Super Derby winner's return.. 4TH

$1 Exacta (8-2) Paid $20.80


7th: 22 Fair Grounds H. (Gr. III), 4+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1e Frostad entry 5-2 2ND/6TH
Best Value: #7 Demarcation 9-2 7th
Next Best: #4 Corrupt 3-1 3RD
Super Add: #2 Jimmy Simms 4-1 5TH


8th: 28th Silverbulletday (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Just Jenda 2-1: Righted ship here last after Delta misstep.. 3RD
Best Value: #4 Flying Spur 6-1: Needs to show jump up last wasn't slop only.. 4TH
Next Best: #3 War Echo 9-2: Note older brother liked this strip; On upswing.. WON
Super Add: #1 Four Gifts 3-1: DeD heroine was even throughout in local prep.. 2ND

$1 Exacta (3-1) Paid $19.50
$1 Trifecta (3-1-7) Paid $40.20
$1 Superfecta (3-1-7-4) Paid $140.50


9th: 36th Risen Star (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #2 Indygo Mountain 10-1: Appears over bruise; Toss LeComte disaster.. 7TH
Most Likely: #7 Giant Oak 3-1: Block IL-bred may need one but working well.. 5TH
Next Best: #5 Uno Mas 8-1: One of three Steve A. runners; Steadily improving.. 3RD
Super Add: #10 Soul Warrior 15-1: Saw Free Country in debut; Won 2 turn bow.. 6TH


<$75 P5 Play:

5: 1-5
6: 1-2-8
7: 1-2-4-7
8: 7
9: 2-4-5-6-7-10

2x3x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-4-5-8
7: 1-2-4-7
8: 7
9: 2-4-5-6-7

5x4x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50


10th: LA-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Ide Better Run 7-2 10TH
Best Value: #5 Tiffany Marie 15-1 2ND
Next Best: #9 Little Springer 4-1 6TH
Super Add: #8 Like a Butterfly 6-1 9TH


11th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Hillswick 5-2 3RD
Best Value: #9 Rondevous 6-1 4TH
Next Best: #5 Hull 4-1 WON
Super Add: #7 Outta Speight 6-1


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 7
9: 2-4-5-6-7-10
10: 3-5-8-9
11: 2-5-7-9

1x6x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48



AQUEDUCT


8th: 30th Whirlaway, 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Peace Town 2-1: Trombetta up from FL to saddle MD juvy champ.. 4TH
Next Best: #1 Haynesfield 1-1: Speightstown red testing stamina limits; Go against.. WON
Best Value: #6 Cellar Dweller 10-1: Paraneck bay exits hot affair; Could boost tri.. 2ND

$1 Exacta (1-6) Paid $11.10



OAKLAWN


9th: 61st Essex H., 4+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Golden Yank 5-2: One of my favorite horses; Always fires.. 2ND
Best Value: #3 Solar Flare 9-2: Jones awfully busy for a guy that was retiring.. 7TH
Next Best: #8 Telling 3-1: Hobby's under-rated 5yo is 3 for 3 at Hot Springs.. 8TH
Super Add: #4 Prom Shoes 10-1: NoLa turf try a flop, but expect better here.. WON

$1 Exacta (4-2) Paid $43.50



MAGNA 5


LRL 9th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 7f

Most Likely: #1 Madman 9-5 3RD
Best Value: #8 Celery Salt 9-2 6TH
Next Best: #2 SCR
Super Add: #7 Lamster 6-1 5TH


SA 4th: MSW, 3yo, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Supreme Summit 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Late SCR
Next Best: #4 More Than Class 4-1 4TH
Super Add: #5 Dixie Passion 5-1 5TH


GP 9th: Tallahassee, 4+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #3 Smooth Air 7-2 2ND
Best Value: #4 Frisco Star 15-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Vanquisher 12-1 WON
Super Add: #10 Fearless Eagle 8-1 6th

$1 Exacta (6-3) Paid $32.00


GG 4th: S/ALW, 4+, 6f

Most Likely: #10 Saipan 5-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Razor Cut 15-1 5TH
Next Best: #8 Tijuana Tuesday 2-1 3RD
Super Add: #6 Tritium 10-1 2ND

$1 Exacta (10-6) Paid $32.90
$1 Trifecta (10-6-8) Paid $138.60


SA 5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Cato Major 7-2 2ND
Best Value: #8 Good Shot Molly 15-1 6TH
Next Best: #9 Aunt Pink 8-1 10TH
Super Add: #11 Bien Dulce 20-1 11TH


<$150 Magna 5 Play:

A: 1-7-8
B: 2-4-10
C: 3-4
D: 5-6-8-10
E: 6-8

3x3x2x4x2 = $144



SANTA ANITA


1st: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (P4, P3, Place Pick All, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Herr Mozart 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Snowmaster 6-1 2ND
Next Best: #4 Millenium Lakes 9-2 3RD
Super Add: #9 Joking Sam 8-1 5TH

$1 Exacta (3-5) Paid $15.50
$1 Trifecta (3-5-4) Paid $31.50


2nd: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Belafonte 7-2 4TH
Most Likely: #5 Riley Tucker 7-5 WON
Next Best: #6 A Lil Dumaani 5-2 2ND

$1 Exacta (5-6) Paid $3.30


3rd: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 SCR
Best Value: #6 Bestdressed 8-1 2ND
Next Best: #2 Ukiah 6-1 3RD
Super Add: #10 Street Lights 12-1 9TH


SA 4th: MSW, 3yo, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Supreme Summit 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Late SCR
Next Best: #4 More Than Class 4-1 4TH
Super Add: #5 Dixie Passion 5-1 5TH


<$75 P4 Play:

1: 3-4-5
2: 1-5
3: 2-6-[9/SCR]-10
4: 2-[4/Late SCR]-10

3x2x3x3 = $54


SA 5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Cato Major 7-2 2ND
Best Value: #8 Good Shot Molly 15-1 6TH
Next Best: #9 Aunt Pink 8-1 10TH
Super Add: #11 Bien Dulce 20-1 11TH


6th: 27th Las Virgenes (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Stardom Bound 3-5 WON
Best Value: #7 Saucey Evening 8-1 3RD
Next Best: #9 Pinkarella 8-1 8TH
Super Add: #1 SCR


7th: 6th Thunder Road (Gr. III), 4+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Ferneley 6-1
Most Likely: #9 Matto Mondo 9-2 WON
Next Best: #4 Monterey Jazz 5-1
Super Add: #7 Dilemma 8-1 4TH


8th: 71st Bob Lewis (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Pioneerof the Nile 2-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Charlie's Moment 20-1
Next Best: #4 I Want Revenge 5-2
Super Add: #8 Shafted 8-1


9th: 62nd Strub (Gr. II), 4yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Nownownow 8-1
Most Likely: #8 Cowboy Cal 9-2 WON
Next Best: #5 Gio Ponti 7-2
Super Add: #11 Cherokee Artist 30-1


10th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #2 Thornmark 3-1
Best Value: #4 The Emerald King 6-1
Next Best: #6 Sailboat Sam 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #14 Villa Park 15-1
Hi 5 Play: #1 Hold This 6-1


<$100/<$200 P6 Carryover Play:

5: 6-8
6: 5
7: 2-9
8: 2-9 [4-8]
9: 7-8
10: 2-4-6

2x1x2x4x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192 or 2x1x2x2x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96

5 of 6 Paid $78.40 x 2 = $156.80


@$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-9
8: 2-4-9
9: 5-7-8
10: 2-4-6

3x3x3x3 = $81 P4 Paid $378.50


Good luck!
Steve

Looks like a great day of racing!

Love the Fairgrounds "All Stakes" pick 6 & pick 5 for .50 cent.

Best day since BC IMO. Sunshine Millions not for me as I can't stand SA.

Gulfstream -- Early Changes: Saturday, February 7

Track: Fast Turf: Firm Rail: 24 Feet

Race 1: Scratch #4

Race 3: Scratch #2

Race 4: Scratch #8 #11

Race 7: Scratch #13 #14

Race 8: Scratch #4 #14 #15
Jockey Change #8 Paco Lopez

Race 9: Scratch #2 (Roman Tiger) #5 (St. Joe) #11 - Gelding

Race 10: Scratch #13 #14 #15 #16

Big Scratch in the Pan Zareta.....
 

# 3 Secret Gypsy out, along with Control System

Just saw that, sheesh. Changes things a bit.

That didn't hurt him last time.

FAIR GROUNDS SCR'S

Race 2 #13 Look Both Ways, #14 Pleasant Tune
Race 3 #6 The Q Club
Race 4 #1 Control System, #3 Secret Gypsy
Race 5 #4 Break New Ground, #8 Sok Sok
Race 7 #8 Brothers Nicholas
Race 10 #2 Missionofthenight

Very wet in SOCAL. Suppose to clear up(now would be good.)

Thanks for all the hard work Steve...looks like it was a looong night.

Thx Root. My pleasure. Actually had capped everything except the non-stakes for ATR preview segments Thurs-Fri... Some very tricky races sprinkled throughout the cards everywhere. Should be a fun afternoon/evening.

Running out for a while... Good luck all. Catch up later aft.

Anyone else worried that Stardom Bound may not be cranked up and the wet track may make it difficult to close?

Also, the 3rd at SA is a great wagering race....love Best dressed at 8-1 but what about 14 Be Realistic at 10-1, Street Lights at 12-1, Prince Atlantis at a FAT 20-1, and Self Insured at 15-1 (some flashy works for 7months on the bench). Can I just box em all please?

FG Early Pick 3 Plays....
 

3
4-5-6-9-10-11-12
1-4-7
$21

2-3
4-6-12
1-4-7
$18
Good Luck All!

FG Early Pick 4

2,6,7,12
1,5,8
5
5

.50x12=$6

wow, secret gypsy scratching out of the 4th really puts a kink in my plans


FG
R2) $0.50 PK4

679 10 12 / 57 / 25 / 135 = $30

$1 PK4
9 10 12 / 5 / 2 / 15 = $6


gl all


-bt-

Aqueduct late:

6- 8
7- 1,7,9
8- 1,4,6
9- 2,5,8,10

Good Luck!

Aqueduct Late 4
2,8
1,7
1,4,6
5,7,8
$36

FG Pick 5 (Race 5)

1,5
4,8
1,4,5,7
2,4,7,8
2,7,12

.50x192=$96

Pick 4 (Race 6)

4,8
1,4,5,7
2,4,7,8
2,7,12

.50x96=$48

Steve, hope you're right on the Risen Star. Capped it last night and came up with the identical horses and basically same comments you did. 2-7-5 in it for me.

Just a couple of straight tri's for me in the Whirlaway: Peace Town-Haynesfield-Zooger and Haynesfield-Peace Town-Zooger

SANTA ANITA SCR

Race 1 #2 Dynamic Host, #7 Meteore, #8 Lemonbird, #11 Career High, #14 Free Beer, #10 Black Feather

Race 2 #3 Tiztime, #7 Gotthatfeeling

Race 3 #1 Broctane (NZ), #9 Kewen, #13 Rivergrade Boy, #8 Smooth and Savvy

Race 6 #1 Navigator

Race 7 #5 Yankee Bravo, #1 Mr Napper Tandy (GB)

Race 10 #12 Kickin Caper, #10 Elusive Chief, #11 Kyle Draws Aces

Adding My Pal Charlie to the Pick 4. Don't have him in the Pick 5.

$72 Pick 4 now.

Magna 5



Leg A – Laurel race 9



1, 5, 6, 8

Not overly confident going 4 deep, but look for #6 Funny Book to run a big race.



Leg B – Santa Anita 4th



4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10



In a race difficult to gauge I’m tossing two logical horses Cantankerous Clyde (barn is ice cold) and Great Legacy
(Pedigree doesn’t exactly scream 5/12 furlongs, despite eye catching workouts). Interested to see Rosario land on Machowsky first-timer Dixie Passion, and think long-shot New York Baby could be ready at first asking.



Leg C – Gulfstream 9th



3, 6, 10

Most of the major players drew unfavorable outside posts, but 4 scratches this morning make it less problematic. Assuming Jet Propulsion and the Dutrow horse assure a more than honest pace.



Leg D – Golden Gate 4th

10

Plenty of speed here, and looking for Russell Baze to give Saipan a perfect stalking trip and mow them down late. Just missed the photo finish in last race with the exact same conditions.



Leg E – Santa Anita 5th



6

Insane to single a horse that’s 1 for 12, but there’s not a horse in the race that’s in even remotely good form (other than Raise Again who just beat a weak field to break his maiden). Banking on the big class drop, solid connections, good workout pattern and history running against much, much tougher than these.

1,5,6,8
4,5,6,8,9,10
3,6,10
10
6

$72 for $1

At Fairgrounds, I think Secret Getaway is a viable alternative to the two big faves here in the 6th. I don't think we know where his ceiling is yet. 8-1 overlay(?) is good enough for me

I hope to get half my money back.

I switched over to Gulfstream.. Has Peacetown finished the Whirlaway yet ?

They are hammering away on Diamond Tycoon here in the 7th.

Is the timing wrong on the turf course at Fair Grounds or is the course just complete garbage? I mean really. That's horrendous.

It used to last until March before turning completely to sand. Guess there wasn't enough rain this season. Seriously, do they never water the course down there or what? It's the same thing every year. Horses get more dirt kicked in their face on turf at FG than on dirt.

Churchill just sucks ass. That's all there is to it.

Indygo Mountain is getting pounded like Jenna Jameson. Pass.

Edit: Glad I did. That horse is gutless.

Chalkfest today, Coach. Couldn't get a price anywhere.

Santa anita pk 3 rc 7.....2,7,10/2,7,8/1,7,8,12....36$ total

Santa Anita Pick 3 races 8-10
2,4/1,5,7/1,2,6,8 $24

I'm going down, only Slew's Tiznow can save me now

yikes

Up and down (more down) sort of Saturday.

Dixie Chatter w/p here in the Strub. Doubles 1 w/ 2,8

SA 10th

$4 ex 6/1,2
$1 tri 6/1,2,8/1,2,4,8
1,2,8/6/1,2,4,8