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-   -   1/9: C/O Mania! (AQU; GP; SA) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=27146)

Kasept 01-09-2009 07:29 AM

1/9: C/O Mania! (AQU; GP; SA)
 
Impossible horses and tricky sequences have conspired to create 3 carryovers at NY, FL and CA...


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Invisible Star 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 The Optimist 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1a Beam Me Up 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Mr. Again 10-1 WON

$1 Exacta (4-6) Paid $65.00
$1 Trifecta (4-6-1) Paid $234.25



5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Coaltown Legend 5-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Tell Me First 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Top Leader 9-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Shot Gun Holiday 4-1 2nd


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Wild Conga 5-2 WON
Next Best: #1 Winitback 7-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Don'tfightthefed 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Geno Green 3-1 4th


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 She's Prime 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Red Cognac 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 High Cry 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Soave 4-1 5th


8th: The Plankton, F&M-4+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Ididntmeantoo 2-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Weathered 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Miss Blue Tye Dye 4-1 5th


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Dark Ops 3-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Mr. Joystick 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 SCR
Super Add: #10 Footnote This 4-1 4th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 6-8
5: 6-8
6: 1-2-9
7: 1-2-4-7
8: 4-5
9: 3

2x2x3x4x2x1 = 96 x 2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-9
7: 1-2-4-7
8: 4-5
9: 3-6-10

3x4x2x3 = $72



GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Meadow Ashlee 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1e Rose entry 12-1 4th
Next Best: #11 High Altitude 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Yes It's White 12-1 2nd


5th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Prince Alphie 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Gallantin Guy 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Three Miracles 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Raymundo 4-1 2nd


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Sobee 3-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Sweet Tune 5-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Sarah's Sally 6-1 10th
Super Add: #6 Autumn Lady 20-1 11th


7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Swing Music 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Secret Tracker 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Turning South 6-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Power Express 5-1 3rd


8th: OC/N$Y, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

NOTE: AE'S #15 & #16 both running as of now.. #15 Long Approach a serious player..

Most Likely: #10 Lady on Holiday 4-1: McPeek came south stocked.. 4th
Best Value: #3 Star Dixie 12-1: 5yo from Hough regularly fires fresh.. 8th
Next Best: #15 Long Approach 3-1: Sheppard draw-in is tactical gal.. 3rd
Super Add: #4 Avie's Tale 20-1: Improving; Board threat at bonus tote.. 6th


9th: MSW, 4+, 6f (Super)

World's most unlucky maiden #8 Excess Capital) may finally get his win here..

Most Likely: #8 Excess Capital 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 U S Treasury 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Formidable 5-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Todd Got Even 4-1

$1 Exacta (7-6) Paid $27.10
$1 Trifecta (7-6-8) Paid $74.20



<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-5
5: 2
6: 2-8
7: 1-5-6-10
8: 3-10-15
9: 6-8

2x1x2x4x3x2 = 96 x 2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-8
7: 1-5-6-10
8: 3-10-15
9: 6-7-8

2x4x3x3 = $72



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 6.5f-DHT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Sorry Baby 7-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Atka 9-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Pride 2-1 2nd


4th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Malibu Artiste 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Bella Bubbles 8-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Bubbley Blonde 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 She's Our Ten 5-1 5th


5th: Cal-MSW, 3yo, 5,5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Too Much Heat 4-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Spendamillionbux 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 SCR
Super Add: #5 Dana Dynamo 6-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (1-5) $14.20
$1 Trifecta (1-5-7) Paid $77.80



6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Army Officer 5-1
Most Likely: #9 Tribal Deal 2-1
Next Best: #10 Follows None 6-1
Super Add: #7 Razor Cut 8-1


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 10f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Good Request 2-1
Best Value: #1 Romp 8-1
Next Best: #3 Soupy 6-1
Super Add: #6 Lockford 5-1


8th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Silent Western 7-2
Best Value: #4 Snooty Gal 6-1
Next Best: #13 Saint's Crown 5-1
Exotics Use: #11 Ata Honour 8-1
Hi-5 Play: #6 Girl Humor 6-1


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 1-2-4-5
4: 2-3-5-6
5: 1-6-7
6: 8
7: 1-9
8: 3

4x4x3x1x2x1 = 96 x 2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-6-7
6: 7-8-9-10
7: 1-9
8: 3-4-6

3x4x2x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 01-09-2009 10:01 AM

AQU SCR'S:


4TH:

1 (poe) Underground Hero Early
9 Lofty Banner Early


9TH

1A King of Karakorum Early
2 Mr. Petersson Early
7 Cats Pic Early
14 Take a Number Early

Kasept 01-09-2009 10:31 AM

GULFSTREAM Early Changes:

Friday, January 9
Track: Fast
Turf: Firm
Rail: 12 feet

Race 4:
Scratch #3
Jockey Change #1 Wesley Henry

Race 5:
Scratch #1

Race 6:
Scratch #9
Jockey Change #11 Eibar Coa

Race 8:
Scratch #2 #9 #13 #14

NOTE: AE'S #15 & #16 Both running as of now..

Race 9:
Scratch #9

swedejxn 01-09-2009 11:31 AM

AQ 1,2,6
2,3
2,4,7,9
1,2,4,8
1,3,4
3,6,9

GP

5,6,8
2,5,8
2,3,8
1,7,8
1,3,7,10
4,7,8


SA

2,4
2,5,6
3,4,6,8
3,4,5,9
4,6,9
1,5,6

Good luck to all

thunderdan09 01-09-2009 12:24 PM

Santa Anita Pick 6 Tickets
 
Copied from my blog

MOST AFFORDABLE

3: 3,5
4: 2,5
5: 6
6: 7,8,9
7: 9
8: 6

$24 Ticket

MODERATELY AFFORDABLE

3: 2,3,4,5
4: 2
5: 1,6,8
6: 4,7,8,9
7: 3,9
8: 3,4,6

$576 Ticket

MOST LIKELY AND MOST EXPENSIVE

3: 1,2,3,4,5
4: 2,4,5
5: 1,6,8
6: 1,4,7,8,9
7: 9
8: 4,6

$900 Ticket

Scav 01-09-2009 02:18 PM

Absolutely love Malibu Artiste today and think she is a stone cold single. Aguirre is not a debut trainer, 25% 2nd time starter. This horse hung a little in her first start while 3w and took the lead and got beat by the even money chalk, and ended up galloping out real good.

Rootdog1 01-09-2009 02:54 PM

do you not fear the #2? That race Malibu and the rest are coming out of was pretty slow.

Scav 01-09-2009 03:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1
do you not fear the #2? That race Malibu and the rest are coming out of was pretty slow.

No, Walsh is a 2nd/3rd time trainer, she usually sends them out for a race. Aguirre did the same thing with Carmel Coffee....

3: 1,2,4
4: 5
5: 1,2
6: 1,4,5,8,9,10
7: 3,9
8: 3,4

SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 04:13 PM

LOL...5th favorite starts it off.

Scav 01-09-2009 04:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
LOL...5th favorite starts it off.

She had no business being that. How they were betting the 3 off all her crazy antics and still a maiden is beyond me, Atka is questionable and Baffert's horse needs a break and probably should be bought by someone here because she would dominate IL Breds. She should have been 2nd choice, Pride will be better 2nd time down the hill I think

SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 04:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
She had no business being that. How they were betting the 3 off all her crazy antics and still a maiden is beyond me, Atka is questionable and Baffert's horse needs a break and probably should be bought by someone here because she would dominate IL Breds. She should have been 2nd choice, Pride will be better 2nd time down the hill I think

Well, that's what she was. She had a poor outing down the hill, and an unreliable fossil riding her. I liked her the best, but figures kept me from getting involved. Tough race. If ya used her, you probably had to go 3 deep (I would think.) I guess if ya just went with the morning line, then maybe you could get by taking 2. Canani is probably the only individual singling her(trainers have to single their own ... no?)

SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 04:37 PM

Lol...wow....longest Shot.

Bigsmc 01-09-2009 04:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Lol...wow....longest Shot.

Tomorrow's Form just got sent to my printer....:D

Kasept 01-09-2009 04:40 PM

This is getting nuts..

Multi-day C/O's already...

AQU Saturday: $91k
GP Saturday: $46k

Scav 01-09-2009 04:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Well, that's what she was. She had a poor outing down the hill, and an unreliable fossil riding her. I liked her the best, but figures kept me from getting involved. Tough race. If ya used her, you probably had to go 3 deep (I would think.) I guess if ya just went with the morning line, then maybe you could get by taking 2. Canani is probably the only individual singling her(trainers have to single their own ... no?)

Yes I think so, i think they have to single or use all, one or the other....

thunderdan09 01-09-2009 04:42 PM

I am 2 for 2, now it gets interesting.

:)

Coach Pants 01-09-2009 04:42 PM

What does Paul Aguirre do for a living?

Bigsmc 01-09-2009 04:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
This is getting nuts..

Multi-day C/O's already...

AQU Saturday: $91k
GP Saturday: $46k

Tomorrow is going to be fun....

TheSpyder 01-09-2009 04:42 PM

And SA not far behind...
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
This is getting nuts..

Multi-day C/O's already...

AQU Saturday: $91k
GP Saturday: $46k


Bigsmc 01-09-2009 04:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thunderdan09
I am 2 for 2, now it gets interesting.

:)

Did you play that $900 ticket?

TheSpyder 01-09-2009 04:43 PM

Real money?
Quote:

Originally Posted by thunderdan09
I am 2 for 2, now it gets interesting.

:)


SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 04:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Tomorrow is going to be fun....

Already had plans to go to Vegas tomorrow morning. Will be fun if this will carry. I have a single in the last, but haven't looked at the rest of the card yet. May not be able to go though. Depends on how bad the winds are in the pass.

thunderdan09 01-09-2009 04:59 PM

My live ticket is as follows...

2,3,4,5
2,4,5
1
1,4
9
6

thunderdan09 01-09-2009 04:59 PM

Played a couple more, but they got killed with the #4

Bigsmc 01-09-2009 05:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thunderdan09
My live ticket is as follows...

2,3,4,5
2,4,5
1
1,4
9
6

Where did that come from? You posted three other tickets from your "blog" earlier in the thread and now you miraculously are alive betting a ticket that is none of the three?

SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 05:32 PM

Gunna try to kill all the tickets left alive. These chalk pick 3's should kill them(hopefully.) Somebody has to do the work.

9/1,2,3,6,9/3,6

1,4,8,9/9/3,6

9/369/4

Bigsmc 01-09-2009 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Gunna try to kill all the tickets left alive. These chalk pick 3's should kill them(hopefully.) Somebody has to do the work.

9/1,2,3,6,9/3,6

1,4,8,9/9/3,6

9/369/4

Nice work. That ought to do the trick.

thunderdan09 01-09-2009 05:43 PM

:(

SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 05:43 PM

Well, I did my job. If they hit it now, then there is no God.

thunderdan09 01-09-2009 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Where did that come from? You posted three other tickets from your "blog" earlier in the thread and now you miraculously are alive betting a ticket that is none of the three?

I had three tickets of my own and split one with one of our customers. We combined our thoughts and came up with that $48 one.

You asked if I played the $900 Ticket, I did not.

Not trying to bring tickets out of nowhere, just replying to your question.

SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 05:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Nice work. That ought to do the trick.

Somebody put a good lick of money on the late double 9/3 and 9/6. That should slaughter the beast.

SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 06:11 PM

oh fk yea!!...KNAPP...LOL....

Bigsmc 01-09-2009 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
oh fk yea!!...KNAPP...LOL....

Ello Elle.

Get crackin' for tomorrow's c/o.

*edit* Several tickets alive. Wow. 5,7,8,9,12 are the only carries.

SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 06:21 PM

Only 5,7,8,9,12 Carry

That's Unbelievable.

SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 06:26 PM

There's maybe....maybe...been 1 single in the 5th race, but they're alive to 6 horses in the last? Wow...How? I could see being alive to the 3, and 6, but six horses pay out?

Bigsmc 01-09-2009 06:31 PM

3 - $134,523
4 - $1,210,707
6 - $605,353
10 - $1,210,707
11 - $605,353
13 - $1,210,707

Several tickets alive to the 3.....

SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 06:42 PM

Fk Yea

Bigsmc 01-09-2009 06:43 PM

Sweet

ateamstupid 01-09-2009 06:43 PM

There's your C/O boys! The only non-bomb horse that it carried to wins.

SCUDSBROTHER 01-09-2009 06:44 PM

God Damn Criminals ........each Shiiaat N Die!!!!! We Carry Despite You Maggots.


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