Aqueduct 11-26
 

A series of filly races for most of the card on Wednesday and the early Pick 4 looks pretty tough at first glance. I think there is some definite value in some of these races.


RACE 4:
One horse to keep a real close eye on is #7 - SHESGONESHOPPING (Bocachica/Bazeos) is coming in from Suffolk after showing speed in her first start. At 15-1 on the morning line this horse could surprise some people tomorrow. Not saying to put her on top, but she does deserve some respect here.
On to the pick 4.........

BEGINNING IN RACE 2:

$1 Pick 4

$1 Pick 4
2: 2,4,6,8,9
3: 2,3,5,7
4: 1,4,6,7,12
5: 1,3

$200 Ticket

Nothing personal, but Shesgoneshopping has next to no chance. Seriously.

Yeah....but have you checked out his blog??

I'm not trying to be my usual wiseguy self here. That's a silly horse to suggest to people that they bet. He got drowned against serious jokes at Suffolk and, believe it or not, the 25 Beyer fig is probably too high.

To make matters worse, he went five deep in that race and left out a very logical horse. Plus, he went five deep in the first leg, and assuming it stays on the turf ( iffy I guess ), he left out a very reasonable use. And, frankly, in the second leg, where there is the biggest favorite of the sequence, he used four and left out another real contender ( if you're against the favorite....which I have to assume he is to use that many ).

Whatever.

He's putting Shesgoneshopping as part of a 5 horse spread which to me it looks like he's fishing for a price in a ny bred maiden claimer.

The horse that he selects in race 5, Royal Spaulding is the head scratcher.

Nothing against you or the selections you make daily in New York, but some of the horses that have been winning have no reasons to be bet on paper.

I have my opinion and you have yours, but I think the horse could surprise some people tomorrow. I am not saying to put it on top of your tickets just take note of what I said.

Some of your selections finish dead last and so do every other handicappers in the country.

You can criticize people's selections all you want, but if it happens to finish in the money take the heat for the comments you made.

I respect your work and I hope that one day I have the chance to do what you do everyday, but I have to start somewhere.

I don't keep tabs on New York efficiently enough to determine whether that horse has a chance or not, but if you say he doesn't, he probably doesn't.

Best of luck!

I really wish I didn't have to go to sleep right now

Royal Spauding is stepping up in class slightly, but showed speed 2nd off the layoff and couldn't hang on in the mud at the Meadowlands. This horse was trained by Barclay Tagg and has had success at the conditioned claiming ranks and heads back gets her 2nd dirt start at Aqueduct. I didn't see many races last weekend, but I heard your horse needed to be at or near the lead to win. This horse has a shot to be on the front end with the Tesher horse. I think she has a chance at a price.

Just to note, I will always try to fish for a price if I can't get a real grasp on a race. I have handicapping daily for a little over a year since graduating from the University of Minnesota. I am still learning the tricks of the trade and it is no offense to all of you who have more experience handicapping.

I know your response was directed towards Throat.... but

If some of the horses you selected in the first three legs win the pick 4 will pay a bundle. I'm just wondering what you see in Royal Spaulding? He was a horse one could play against with confidence the past few years in turf sprints.

i
Good analysis. I'm biased since I've seen Royal Spauding burn money time after time. Perhaps dirt and a change of regime with the trainer changecould make the difference. To me this r5th race has Gary Contessa written all over it. But I'll include Bruce Levine and Bruce Browns horses in my multis.

Two things...if you research the Suffolk horse on Formulator you might understand better where I'm coming from. I know it's a bad race today....but not bad enough for her.

On Royal Spaulding.....I picked her second. She might be an interesting longshot in that race.

Pre-scratches

1) 39/2369 $2 exactas lost

5) 26/126,10 scr 1 10 lost
7) 1,10/128,10 scr #1 lost
8) 56/1568 scr #5lost

[quote=thunderdan09]Nothing against you or the selections you make daily in New York, but some of the horses that have been winning have no reasons to be bet on paper.

I have my opinion and you have yours, but I think the horse could surprise some people tomorrow. I am not saying to put it on top of your tickets just take note of what I said.

Some of your selections finish dead last and so do every other handicappers in the country.

You can criticize people's selections all you want, but if it happens to finish in the money take the heat for the comments you made.

I respect your work and I hope that one day I have the chance to do what you do everyday, but I have to start somewhere.

I don't keep tabs on New York efficiently enough to determine whether that horse has a chance or not, but if you say he doesn't, he probably doesn't.

Best of luck![/QUOTE



In case you missed this re Serling from the NYT:

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/07/30/sp...s/30cheer.html

^^oh boy:wf :wf

RACE 3

small pick 3

2,3/4,12/3,6,7

That finish sucked. You had that race nailed.

GL the rest of the way Bro.

S Morales ..nice Job Late..wtf..

Yeah...$14 horse woulda been nice.

I'm just fiddle farting around til Dec. 13th:tro:

I'm going completely stir crazy. With all the ADW bs going on, I'm anticipating this meet more than any other (if that is possible). Been cranking out honey-dos the past couple weekends to try to clean my plate. Lord knows they get neglected until May so I need to earn as many points as possible now.

I took the girls last Saturday morning to watch some works. I'm ready.

I PROMISE I'm coming down this year.:)

:rolleyes:

Some interesting names on the work tab so far.

Tour the Hive has worked twice already....he's only 11yrs old.
The Pyrite Stable (owners of Tour the Hive) has worked several horses twice already. Looks like they are going to fire some shots early in the meet.

You Go West Girl has worked twice. She ran decent in NY this summer on the grass, but the best part of seeing her is that Tom Proctor is back. :)

Your girl gonna be back riding there this meet?

Let me know when Shesgoneshopping finishes.

























Come on, I'm allowed a little fun.

:o

Didn't see her Saturday, but I am sure she will be here as long as she's healthy.

I think I saw her crossing the wire as the winner was getting her picture taken.

What did he do wrong? I thought he was very patient, looked a winner, and got nailed late. Frustrating for sure.....but not his fault.

Get Up Seven!!

Ya'll stand by...I may need someone to sign:rolleyes:

Royal Spaulding gets you $128, that's nothing to sneeze at.

The other two? Not so good.

GL

7-Seventeen Love 20 Win

Small P3
5,7/2,5/2,8 - 8.00
7/2,5/2,8 4.00
5,7/5/2,8 4.00
5,7/2,5/8 4.00

Though she's going up in class, I'll hope Calling My Colors can wire them

yes id thought at first when he shook him up hed steadied him right out of the win..but after the replay its not so bad.

bang up ride on seventen love. howie tesher lol

$44.25


I'm leaving:wf

Sorry I don't get the joke... You win some you lose some...

pp's for today's Aqu 8th

http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdf...ssa_131909.pdf

Rosie's Run taking alot of :$: :$:

No solid opinion here for me in this race.

Track Name: AQUEDUCT
Race Number: 6
Stake: $1.00
Pool: Pick 4
Selections: 2,5,8,9/6,8,9/4,6,7/3,5,12
Total Bet Amount: $108.00

---

Track Name: AQUEDUCT
Race Number: 6
Stake: $1.00
Pool: Pick 4
Selections: 2/1,5,8/4,6-8/3,5
Total Bet Amount: $24.00