Derby Trail Forums - 10/13: Belmont (Columbus Day Card)

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)

- Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)

- - 10/13: Belmont (Columbus Day Card) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=25569)

10/13: Belmont (Columbus Day Card)

It's Columbus Day, which always makes me think of John Turturro as Herbie Stempel in "Quiz Show": "You know why they call them Indians? Because Columbus thought he was in India. They're "Indians" because some white guy got lost."

Caught a few winners and exotics in attempt at double carryover Sunday, but fell far short there and later in the P4. $460,000 payday went to a deserving single ticketholder in the sextet, as the sequence was supremely difficult to traverse. Hope you did OK...

Nice holiday card on tap at Big Sandy today with lovely weather forecast. Looked at the whole 10 races. Enjoy Columbus Day as they do in New York... with a parade and cannolis! "And tell Gene Krupa to take 5.."

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Flibberjibit 3-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Seeing Clearly 5-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Talented Princess 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 My Nina Rose 15-1 7th

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 JUSTWHISTLEDIXIE 9-5 WON
Best Value: #6 West Court 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 False Impression 6-1 7th

3rd: The Trapp Mountain, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Royal Vindication 9-5 WON
Next Best: #4 Uncle Gidge 5-2 4th

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Best Value: #1 Clay County 6-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Charging Hero 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Cool Tales 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $9.90
$1 Trifecta (1-4-6) Paid $26.00

5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 The Plot Thickens 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #8 Up for Love 2-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Benton Drive 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Routine Addendum 8-1 2nd

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 5
3: 1-3-4-5
4: 1-4-5-6-7
5: 4-8

1x4x5x2 = $40

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Wildbutable 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 SCR
Next Best: #9 SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Sneaky Deeds 6-1 4th

7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1e K. O'Brien entry 5-1 2nd/6th
Most Likely: #9 Skipping Class 3-1 5th
Next Best: #2 My Anna Rose 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 My Montana Dream 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-1) Paid $16.30
$1 Trifecta (2-1-7) Paid $109.50

8th: 16th Pebbles, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Zee Zee 9-2 10th
Most Likely: #9 Remarkable Remy 7-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Meriwether Jessica 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Fareena 12-1 6th

9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Logic Way 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Stormy Mirage 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Big Jerome 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Baletti 9-2 3rd

10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #7 Seven in a Row 8-1 4th
Most Likely: #11 Fast Learner 5-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Cordilleran Ice 5-2 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Spinnaker Run 30-1 9th

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-5-7-9-11
8: 9-10
9: 7
10: 1-6-7-11

6x2x1x4 = $48

$1 Pick 4 (2/9/7,10/6) Paid $354.50

Good luck!
Steve

1
10 Chicago's Girl Early

4
3 Masterwork Early

6
6 Lacy Halo Early NO TRIFECTA or SUPERFECTA
7 Cleverly Regal Early
8 Amongooseamongus Early
9 Gus's Axios Early

7
6 Kettlencranberry Early
12 Sweet Bama Breeze Early
13 Indycat Early
14 Indy's Forum Early
15 Cougar Hunt Early

8
1 Ready for Fortune Early
1A Time Reveals All Early

9
10 Marq of Love Early

Decided to take the day off, so . . . let's play some horses! Stab at early pk4:

2- 5
3- 1,3,4
4- 4,6,7
5- 3,4,5,8,10

Good Luck!

Steve...on fire thru the first 4... keep it going

Quote:

Originally Posted by Payson Dave

Steve...on fire thru the first 4... keep it going

Thx Dave, though it hasn't exactly taken Kreskin here for the first 4. Would like to grab this chalky P4 though before finalizing tonight's Show.. Anyone have the will pays for the 4 and 8? I only saw the P3 payouts..

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

4- 322
8- 104

I am a bonehead for leaving the 1 out of last. Considering how chalky so far, willpays to anything other than the 8 (who I think is overbet here) are not bad.

I like the 3 here, playing $20W 3, tri - 3/4,8,10. Good Luck, Steve!

Square price on The Plot Thickens

$20 win

Wow, Arroyo went down bad! That did not look good, looked like he got kicked in the head. I hope he is ok.

That was unfortunate. Yikes.

Jason Blewitt reporting that Arroyo concious, on way to North Shore Hospital.

Think the 2 is a fair price in the 6th, $20W 2.

LOL..Are they running Meadowlands and Belmont at the same time? ...Wow:eek: :tro:

Race 7

$5wp North Ocean Drive

Taking a shot on a deep ticket in pk4:

7- 1,2,5,9
8- 8,9
9- 1,4,7,8
10- 5,6,7,8,12

Good Luck!

Race 8

Senior Rita Lady $15 wp

I like Thou Swell's chances to take them around the park, $20W 4, $2 EX 4/1,7,8,9, good luck!

Race 9

ex/tri 7/1,5,8
$15 and $18

One of these days we'll see a 27 and 53 and the same outcome.

Bring it home Steve...

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman

Taking a shot on a deep ticket in pk4:

7- 1,2,5,9
8- 8,9
9- 1,4,7,8
10- 5,6,7,8,12

Good Luck!

Good Luck, Steve, one or both of us have to get this home!

Quote:

Originally Posted by kenny p

Bring it home Steve...

Thx Kenny... Getting the single home was.. obviously.. huge. He totally stood out to me with a toss of the soft turf last time.. Anyone have the will pays?

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman

Good Luck, Steve, one or both of us have to get this home!

Get her P!

Willpays:

1- 15,043
5- 3,387
6- 709
7- 2,234
8- 1,854
11- 2,260
12- 1,518

Good Luck, Steve!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

It's Columbus Day, which always makes me think of John Turturro as Herbie Stempel in "Quiz Show": "You know why they call them Indians? Because Columbus thought he was in India. They're "Indians" because some white guy got lost."

Caught a few winners and exotics in attempt at double carryover Sunday, but fell far short there and later in the P4. $460,000 payday went to a deserving single ticketholder in the sextet, as the sequence was supremely difficult to traverse. Hope you did OK...

Nice holiday card on tap at Big Sandy today with lovely weather forecast. Looked at the whole 10 races. Enjoy Columbus Day as they do in New York... with a parade and cannolis! "And tell Gene Krupa to take 5.."

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Flibberjibit 3-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Seeing Clearly 5-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Talented Princess 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 My Nina Rose 15-1 7th

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 JUSTWHISTLEDIXIE 9-5 WON
Best Value: #6 West Court 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 False Impression 6-1 7th

3rd: The Trapp Mountain, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Royal Vindication 9-5 WON
Next Best: #4 Uncle Gidge 5-2 4th

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Best Value: #1 Clay County 6-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Charging Hero 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Cool Tales 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $9.90
$1 Trifecta (1-4-6) Paid $26.00

5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 The Plot Thickens 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #8 Up for Love 2-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Benton Drive 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Routine Addendum 8-1 2nd

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 5
3: 1-3-4-5
4: 1-4-5-6-7
5: 4-8

1x4x5x2 = $40

6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Wildbutable 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 SCR
Next Best: #9 SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Sneaky Deeds 6-1 4th

7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1e K. O'Brien entry 5-1 2nd/6th
Most Likely: #9 Skipping Class 3-1 5th
Next Best: #2 My Anna Rose 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 My Montana Dream 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-1) Paid $16.30
$1 Trifecta (2-1-7) Paid $109.50

8th: 16th Pebbles, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Zee Zee 9-2 10th
Most Likely: #9 Remarkable Remy 7-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Meriwether Jessica 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Fareena 12-1 6th

9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Logic Way 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Stormy Mirage 8-1
Next Best: #8 Big Jerome 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 Baletti 9-2

10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #7 Seven in a Row 8-1
Most Likely: #11 Fast Learner 5-1
Next Best: #6 Cordilleran Ice 5-2
Exotics Use: #1 Spinnaker Run 30-1

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-5-7-9-11
8: 9-10
9: 7
10: 1-6-7-11

6x2x1x4 = $48

Good luck!
Steve

Let's root 1-Spinnaker Run Home

Good luck Steve!

Seven In A Row $15wp

Nice pick 4 there Steve :) Congrats!

Nice Job today Steve :tro:

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman

Good Luck, Steve, one or both of us have to get this home!

Nice one pointman. good hit

Thx team.. Hope some came along for the ride today... Funny thing is that of the early and late P4's, it was the early one that I felt really good about... But then the late one scores. Actually played only a $12 ticket early but still live with with the same pair in the 5th. Played the full tick later.

Was a fun day of racing... Hope everyone did well!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Handicappy

Nice one pointman. good hit

Thanks, Cappy. The 5 I used in the last finish 1 through 5 and I would have rather had anyone of the other 4 on top, but still came out with a profit today and I'll take the hit even with the smallist payout. Unfortunately, I have been a little like Jennifer Aniston lately, flirting with big catches, but never bagging the big one.